Future Energy Markets

Transcription

1 Future Energy Markets Power based Markets vs. Energy based Markets Christopher Wiig 05 September DNV GL 05 September 2018 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

2 DNV GL a quality assurance and risk management company 150+ years 100+ countries Stiftelsen Det Norske Veritas is a free-standing, autonomous and independent foundation whose purpose is to safeguard life, property and the environment. 100,000 customers MARITIME Hamburg,DE OIL & GAS Oslo, N ENERGY Arnhem, NL BUSINESS ASSURANCE DIGITAL SOLUTIONS 12,500 employees Milan, IT Oslo, N 5% of revenue spent on R&D 2

3 >100 No We are the leading advisor for more than 100 TSOs and DNOs on transmission & distribution grid developments throughout the asset lifecycle This includes HVDC, integration of renewable energy, the application of highest reliability standards, and verification of power systems We are chairing PROMOTioN, the largest energy project in the EU Horizon 2020 Research Programme which will create a meshed offshore grid in the North Sea 1st 1200kV 95% Our KEMA Laboratories have the largest high-power/high-voltage capacity in the world We are the only testing company in the world that can test ultra-high voltage grid components up to 1200kV We conduct 95% of short-circuit testing of transformers up to 800 kv class 3 *Our testing, certification and advisory services are independent from each other

4 In the eye of the perfect storm Digitalization Block chain Machine Learning IoT AI Processing capacity Analytics Robotics Storage Big data VR / AR Deep Learning Smart Energy Platforms 4

5 The average European GJ/year GJ/year In progress Energy Transition Outlook 2017 (eto.dnvgl.com) 5

6 Energy Transition Outlook Europe - Electricity generation by power station type Units: PWh/yr 5,0 4,5 4,0 3,5 3,0 2,5 2,0 1,5 1,0 0,5 0, Energy source Geothermal Offshore wind Onshore wind Solar thermal Solar PV Biomass-fired CHP Biomass-fired Hydropower Nuclear Oil-fired Gas-fired CHP Gas-fired Coal-fired CHP Coal-fired Energy Transition Outlook 2017 (eto.dnvgl.com) 6 DNV GL DNV GL 05 September Europe Energy 2018Transition (2017)

7 7

8 8

9 9

10 Queue is not an option in electricity networks 10

11 Demand for capacity grows faster than demand for energy 11

12 The old top-down electricity system meets a new bottom-up approach 12

13 Levels of interoperability to make it happen - example Business process interoperability Business function interoperability Semantic interoperability Syntactic interoperability IEC COSEM model IEC OBIS identifiers IEC DLMS/COSEM Application layer Companion specifications (CSs) FR: Linky ES: IBERDROLA India: IS Italy (gas): UNI/TS :2014 NL: DSMR UK: GBSC (DECC) Functional testing against CS DLMS/COSEM Conformance testing against the standard Network interop. / coexistence IEC 62056, prts 52056, prts 50568, prts Communication profiles IDIS Medium spec. testing (lower layers) Domains Standards Project spec. Comp specs Testing 13

14 What will the business models in the future look like? Can new business models challenge the way we operate? 14

15 NODES Roles in new market design Buy flex Sell flex Buy flex Sell flex Flex contract Dispatch Flexibility Marketplace Buy flex Sell flex Need flexibility Flexibility provider

16 What do we need to enable flexibility and capacity markets? 16

17 Different network bills for similar network connections 17

18 On consumer expectations Tre av fire elbileiere positive til å levere strøm I en undersøkelse for Statnett svarer tre av fire elbileiere at de er positive til å levere strøm fra bilen til nettet hvis de kan spare penger på det.... Norsk Elbilforening mener det er avgjørende med gode insentiver Europower.com: Publisert:

19 Selected use cases for flexibility Portfolio optimization Primary and secondary control reserve PV storage

20 Future energy markets New needs, requirements and opportunities. Digitalization. Generation Trading Transmission Distribution Customer Energy Retail CRM Billing ERP WMS GIS Local applications Meter Communication infrastructure Head End System Meter Data Management Integration DMS SCADA 20

21 Smart Metering enables capacity tariffs and a different set of incentives 21

22 Future energy markets

23 Christopher Wiig SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER The trademarks DNV GL, DNV, the Horizon Graphic and Det Norske Veritas are the properties of companies in the Det Norske Veritas group. All rights reserved. 23