TF HTAP Status & Workshop Objectives

Transcription

1 TF HTAP Status & Workshop Objectives TF HTAP Co-Chairs Terry Keating, PhD Frank Dentener, PhD U.S. Environmental Protection Agency European Commission Office of Research & Development Joint Research Centre

2 Objectives of This Workshop Identify Areas of Future HTAP AMAP Cooperation In the context of broader EMEP AMAP cooperation Identify Analyses for ACP Special Issue Global and regional assessment of intercontinental transport of air pollution: results from HTAP, AQMEII and MICS Accepting submissions until 1 December 2016 Identify Areas of Future Research to Improve Air Pollution Impact Assessment Within global integrated assessment models, TF HTAP, and other related activities.

3 Outcome of Wednesday s discussions: Joint meeting of AMAP and EMEP/HTAP to define areas of joint work and synergies. Artic as a receptor Issues related to Hg, POPs and SLCFs both of relevance for EMEP, and AMAP Scenarios and implications for Arctic Methods for impacts assessment- to be further elaborated Thursday/Friday

4 Issues to Follow Up Hg GMA update? Integration of Hg into Air Pollution Scenarios Health Assessment? POPs Stockholm Effectiveness Emerging Concerns Integration into Scenarios? SLCPs Compare HTAP2 to AMAP EG transport estimates? Processes contributing to Spring O3 Peak, Model Performance, Timing Shifts, Implications for Ecosystems Climate Effects Policy Targets? Costs of Policies? Ecosystem Impacts O3 N (and S) Deposition and CLs Biodiversity

5 Assessing the Impacts of Global Air Pollution Scenarios: Implications for HTAP2, AMAP, and Global IAMs HTAP & AMAP HTAP & Global IAMs Wed Thu Fri Atmospheric Modeling Emissions and Scenarios Impacts Assessment Next Steps on Arctic Issues Status of HTAP2 and Related Efforts Integrated Assessment and Decision Support Health Impacts of Air Pollution Ecosystem Impacts of Air Pollution Alternative Policy Scenarios and Costs Uncertainty Estimation Future Challenges and Opportunities

6 Objectives of This Workshop Identify Areas of Future HTAP AMAP Cooperation In the context of broader EMEP AMAP cooperation Identify Analyses for ACP Special Issue Global and regional assessment of intercontinental transport of air pollution: results from HTAP, AQMEII and MICS Accepting submissions until 1 December 2016 Identify Areas of Future Research to Improve Air Pollution Impact Assessment Within global integrated assessment models, TF HTAP, and other related activities.

7 Objectives of This Workshop Identify Analyses for ACP Special Issue Global and regional assessment of intercontinental transport of air pollution: results from HTAP, AQMEII and MICS Accepting submissions until 1 December 2016 Not limited to HTAP2 simulations. Open to all publications related to the policyrelevant science questions: a. What fraction of air pollution can be attributed to contemporary anthropogenic regional emissions sources versus extra-regional, nonanthropogenic, or legacy sources of pollution? b. What is the contribution of each fraction to impacts on human health, ecosystems and climate change? c. How sensitive are regional pollution levels and related impacts to changes in regional versus extra-regional emission sources? d. How will the contributions of the fractions and their sensitivities change in the future as a result of expected air pollution abatement efforts or climate change? e. How do the availability, costs and impacts of additional emission abatement options compare across different regions?

8 Questions for Discussion At the end of each session, we have a set a questions we would like to discuss. Each set is similar to the following: What are the most important uncertainties or questions to be addressed? Are there additional relevant activities (completed, ongoing, or planned) that should be considered as we assess future opportunities? What questions can be addressed in the short term (i.e., what analysis can be completed by Dec 2016 for inclusion in the ACP special issue)? What questions can be addressed over the next 2-3 years? What opportunities are there to build upon past and ongoing work within TF HTAP and AMAP to address new questions? What are the critical steps necessary to advance this work in the short (2016) and longer terms ( )?

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