IGBP Update for NEESPI

Transcription

1 IGBP Update for NEESPI NEESPI Focus Research Center for Biogeochemical Cycles Jena, Germany, 17 March 2008 Kevin Noone Executive Director International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme

2 Outline A quick introduction to IGBP Applied Earth System Science Coming Attractions NEESPI connections

3 A quick introduction to IGBP

4 IGBP vision and goal The vision of IGBP is to provide scientific knowledge to improve the sustainability of the living Earth. IGBP studies the interactions between biological, chemical and physical processes and human systems IGBP collaborates with other programmes to develop and impart the understanding necessary to respond to global change

5 Some IGBP Research Foci Ocean biogeochemistry, ocean acidification Aerosols, clouds precipitation & climate (ACPC) Atmospheric chemistry & climate (AC&C) Improved (& coupled) C and N cycles Applied earth system science (IGBP 2.5) Feedbacks and tipping points - past and future Integrated land use & cover change Linking process studies, observations and models

6 The IGBP network

7 Added value of IGBP Facilitates international, multidisciplinary research Supplies an international context for national research programs Connects remote sensing and in situ observational projects with modeling from process to global scales Leads international efforts in setting the scientific agenda for research into GEC issues, and provides a forum for scientists from ca. 70 nations to participate in agenda development Provides a legitimate forum and mechanism for intercomparisons

8 Conventions and assessments 80 IGBP scientists are coauthors of the IPCC AR4 7 IGBP scientists are coauthors of the MA Joint IGBP-WCRP (+GCOS) input to IPCC New ESSP collaboration with SBSTA Future focus on desertification (Global Land Project, ) Extensive work on lang-range transport and transformation of air pollution (esp. IGAC) Extensive work on marine food webs and biogeochemical cycling

9 Anthropogenic CO2 in the oceans Source: Sabine, et al., Science 305, , 2004

10 Changing Ocean ph From R. Buddemeier, based on Kleypas et al. 1999

11 Changing Ocean ph From R. Buddemeier, based on Kleypas et al. 1999

12 Changing Ocean ph From R. Buddemeier, based on Kleypas et al. 1999

13 Growing degree days ( C) NH vegetation changes land-use induced Latitude natural vegetation dynamics de Noblet-Ducoudré (unpublished) The Siberian larch forest is changing extremely rapidly at present, with implications for surface energy balance, permafrost stability and carbon pools in the northern high latitudes. How does this compare with earlier changes?

14 ESA-IGBP Interface 14

15 Land cover First global mosaic for May 2005 First land cover classification over Europe

16 The previous interglacial Otto-Bliesner et al., Science 311, 2006 Miller et al., Quat. Sci. Rev. 25, 2006 Greenland ice melt in the last interglacial period (130,000 bp) Greenland melting contributed between 2-2 to 3.4m of sea level rise CAPE Synthesis: CircumArctic Last Interglacial Reconstruction

17 A decade of iron experiments Boyd, et al., 2006 Long-term, coordinated, international research efforts lead to information directly relevant to issues of societal relevance - e.g., fertilizing the oceans 0 µgcl

18 Where s the carbon going? Atmospheric CO2 difference Ocean uptake Land uptake C 4 MIP - Friedlingstein et al., J. Climate 19, 2006

19 Examples of synergies Joint WCRP-IGBP white paper and recommendation to IPCC about future modeling strategies New co-sponsorship of IGBP Integrated History and future Of People on Earth (IHOPE) project Joint Future Climate Change Research and Observations: GCOS, WCRP and IGBP Learning from the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, October 2007, Sydney

20 Earth System Science Partnership DIVERSITAS, IGBP, IHDP, WCRP ESSP is a joint initiative of

21 Applied Earth System Science IGBP 2.5

22 Pasteur s quadrant Relevance for advancing knowledge Bohr Who wants to be here!? Pasteur Edison Relevance for immediate applications Source: Stokes, D. E. (1997). Pasteur's Quadrant: Basic Science and Technological Innovation.

23 A different approach Future Climate Change Research and Observations: GCOS, WCRP and IGBP Learning from the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report

24 Critical issues Understand how the Earth system works Coordinated observations in all spheres ; atmosphere, land and ocean Fluxes (both emission and deposition) Coupled cycles (e.g., C+N) Feedbacks, teleconnections and nonlinearities Basic science as decision support for adaptation Cross-scale issues, vulnerability, biological diversity, the human components of the Earth system Unified data access and tools

25 20 th Anniversary Symposium Earth System Science and Society Stockholm, September Joint with Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences Explore the past and future relationship between the science, policy and private sectors 70 participants: 40% scientists, 30% private sector, 30% policy sector Policy sector EU MP, Indonesian Forestry Ministry, SIDA, US Embassy, several Swedish agencies and ministries, several int. embassy representatives Private sector SAS Group, Alcan, E ON, Statoil, Petrobras, Ericsson, Vattenfall, Hilton and Scandic, IER, CLIMOS, Global Footprint Network, World Bank

26 20 th Anniversary Symposium Time Day 1 Day 2 Monday, 17th September Tuesday 18th September 07:30 Board bus to Academy 08:00 Registration Board bus to Academy 08:30 Introduction and Welcome Registration 09:00 Session 1 Session 1 Global climate change and the IPCC Air quality and climate 10:15 Coffee break Coffee break 10:45 Session 2 Session 2 The ozone hole and the Montreal Ocean acidification Protocol 12:00 Lunch Lunch 13:00 Session 3 Session 3 Land use change in the tropics Consequences of renewable energy 14:15 Coffee break Coffee break 14:45 Session 4 Session 4 Iron fertilization of the oceans Adaptation and sustainable development 16:00 Discussion: Lessons learned Discussion: Sustainable dialogue 16:45 Conclusions: Day 1 Closing remarks 17:00 Posters & Mingle 18:00 21:00 Dinner at Nobel Museum

27 Coming attractions

28 IGBP Congress

29 Objectives To develop ways for IGBP to apply Earth System science and improve IGBP relevance to civil society, the private sector and the policy community; To provide a forum for cross-project interaction and integration across the breadth of the programme, including National Committees To identify where IGBP work is contributing to addressing mitigation and adaptation, large-scale pilot projects on sustainability science pathways to sustainable solutions and institutional networking; To address the challenges of Global Environmental Change and development in Africa (e.g. climate change as a stress factor to African development, water and food systems, etc) To develop a lasting network linking the scientific, political and private enterprises, collectively engaged in developing a closer global-scale environmental management collaboration.

30 Program Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Days 6-7 Mon 5 May Tue 6 May Wed 7 May Thur 8 May Fri 9 May May IGBP SSC Meetings (Closed) Kirstenbosch Botanical Garden IGBP SSC Meetings (Closed) Kirstenbosch Botanical Garden Plenary Symposium: Sustainable African Pathways in a Changing Earth System 1. The chalenges 2. Pathways for solutions Paralel: IGBP Science and Beyond WorkingGroup Sessions I (5-6) WorkingGroup Sessions II (5-6) Plenary: I. Open Advisory Panel II: IGBP contribution to Applied Earth System Science Formal closure 2 day IGBP-SC meeting Lunch Lunch Lunch Lunch Lunch Lunch IGBP SSC Meetings (Closed) Evening: SSC Meetings / GEC Exhibitions 1700: Public Poster Session for non-experts Public Lecture OfficialWelcome reception at CTICC 3. Policy andmanagement Responses 4. Panel: ESS Sciencestakeholders dialogue Posters (for experts) with drinks Venue: CTICC Evening: at leisure WorkingGroup Sessions III (5-6) WorkingGroup Sessions IV (5-6) Venue: CTICC Congress dinner Free Afternoon: sightseeing and science tours Continue SSC Meetings (optional) Evening: at leisure 2 day IGBP-SC meeting

31 NEESPI Connections

32 Connections See you at the Congress Thanks for the many abstracts Interactions with IGBP projects You ll hear more later from the projects themselves Encourage contact with ESSP partners

33 Thanks for your attention!