JRC Work Towards Developing Low Carbon Society

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1 1 JRC - Romania Information Exchange Event 16 th June 2011, Bucharest JRC Work Towards Developing Low Carbon Society G.F. De Santi Director Institute for Energy

2 2 384 Staff (Petten & Ispra) JRC IE, Petten, The Netherlands JRC IE, Ispra, Italy

3 The evolution of the Policy Context (Lisbon Treaty, December 2009) 3 Commission flagship initiative Resource efficient Europe to decouple economic growth and resources use Towards an energy strategy for Europe (DG ENER) Towards a new Action Plan (spring Council 2011) Roadmap for low carbon energy system by 2050 (DG ENER) 80-95% CO 2 reduction (2050) Transport Whitepaper ( ) (DG MOVE) Decarbonisation of Transport as one main priority Beyond 20% CO 2 reduction by 2020 (DG CLIMA)

4 Low Carbon Society: 4 pillars 4 Policy Demand ENER, MOVE, CLIMA, ENV, ENTR, INFSO, RTD, Energy Transport Sustainable Production & Consumption Climate Change Mitigation (SET-Plan) (STT-Plan) (SPC & SIP Action Plan) (Energy & Climate package) JRC Response Energy Competence Centre Transport Competence Centre Env. Technologies Competence Centre Climate Change Competence Centre (Information System) (Information System) (Bureaus) (Modelling Platform)

5 Energy Competence Centre: developments 5 Other technologies (CCS, rd gen biomass) 3 rd E.E. Bureau: - Buildings - ICT - Transport - Industry Energy storage Electricity grids (EII) Socio Economic Energy Modelling Market System Analysis Technology Forecasting scenarios Renewables (solar, bioenergy) End-use Technologies Buildings Smart Cities Gas & Oil Networks & infrastructures Techno Economic Assessment Innovative Technologies (EIIs) Efficiency Security Sector Analysis/Modelling Already deployed Future expansion

6 Emission Scenarios DG ENER, CLIMA 60 6 Gt CO 2 -equivalent Residential & services Transport Industry Other conversion Power Sector Remaining emissions Impacts: Roadmap for low carbon energy system by 2050 DG ENER Limiting Global Climate Change to 2 degrees Celsius - The way ahead for 2020 and beyond DG CLIMA Find the niches for GHG emission cuts JRC competences in: Techno-economic analyses Market analyses Environmental analyses enable integrated economic assessment of energy-related issues and future energy scenarios Gt CO Identify the mitigation technologies avoided emissions Energy savings Fossil fuel switch Renewable energies Nuclear energy Carbon sequestration GHG reduction scenario

7 Smart Grids and Trans-European Networks for electricity DG ENER 7 Trans-European Networks for electricity: - costs and priorities for their development - challenges and vulnerabilities of their operation Smart Grids: Cost-benefits of Smart Grids projects Smart Grids experimental work JRC-IE for DG ENER JRC will provide risk assessment / reliability analysis of smart grids and technology integration (storage, ICT)

8 Biofuels: POLICY output / impact DG ENER 8 Biofuels Coordinated Action The JRC reports calculate extra lands necessary to reach the EU 10% biofuels target and associated extra GHG emissions The calculation has still high uncertainties! June 2010 (JRC-IPTS) July 2010 (JRC-IE) September 2010 (JRC-IES/IE) Impact: Commission s report to EP and Council on indirect land use change (ILUC)

9 Low energy and positive power buildings & energy-efficient industry DG ENTR/ENER 9 Long experience in energy efficiency analysis / policy support: Electricity consumption /end use efficiency Energy performance of buildings White Certificates and ESCOs Available technologies / barriers to implementation Covenant of Mayors initiative Technology competences Environmental and economic competences ICT Energy efficiency Bureau for energy efficiency policy support in products, buildings, industry and transport

10 SET-Plan Information system (SETIS) 10 Wind SMART Cities European Industrial Initiatives CCS Bioenergy Fission Technology and Capacities Maps Impact Assessment of governance Setup of SETIS PRIORITIES Solar Electricity Grid 2009 PLANNING IMPLEMENTATION Roadmaps Investment Gap SETIS Website TA2 and TA1 encompass sector-wise competences in techno-economic, market and environmental analyses enabling integrated Monitoring / Review and Impact Analysis The SETIS success as an indispensable tool for SET-Plan will become the model for information systems in other fields, starting with Transport (STTP)

11 Strategic collaborations 11 International Energy Agency (IEA) U.S. Department of Energy (U.S. DoE) U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) Energy Modelling Forum U. Stanford International Collaborations Argonne National Lab (ANL) International Partnership for Hydrogen and Fuel Cells in the Economy (IPHE) The Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum(CSLF) Tsinghua University - CN Limited number of collaboration agreements with peer institutions Position and role in new EU instruments / initiatives [Joint Technology Initiatives, European Industrial Initiatives, European Research and Innovation Partnerships] Link to ERA - experimental facilities included in the European Research Infrastructure JRC Thematic Area Platforms, Initiatives EU Member States (Networks) JTI Fuel Cell & Hydrogen (JTI HFC) Solar EII (PV TP) Grids EII ( Smart Grids TP) CCS EEI (ZEP TP) Smart Cities EII (Covenant of Mayors) Nuclear EII (SNE TP) ECN - NL BAM - DE INES - FR Clingendael NL KIK InnoEnergy ENEA - IT Chalmers University - SE Universidad Politécnicade Madrid ES LEPII-EPE Grenoble FR NTUA GR Corvinus University- HU

12 Outlook: main areas for expansion 12 Policy Analyses (Techno-Economic Modelling) Europe 2020 Strategy (March 2010) Smart/Sustainable/Inclusive Growth Flagship Initiatives Resource-efficient Europe and Innovation Union Energy Strategy for Europe (DG ENER) Towards a new Action Plan (spring Council 2011) Beyond 20% CO 2 reduction by 2020 (DG CLIMA) Roadmap for a low carbon energy system by 2050 (DG ENER) 80-95% CO 2 reduction (2050) Transport White Paper ( ) (DG MOVE) Decarbonisation of Transport as one main priority Energy Efficiency Energy Security Renewables Electrification, Storage, ITS Standardisation

13 13 Thank you for your attention. G.F. De Santi Institute for Energy Director