Carbon Management through Innovative Transportation in Lagos State. Prof Olukayode Taiwo Deputy Director (Safeguards) LAMATA.

Transcription

1 Carbon Management through Innovative Transportation in Lagos State. By Prof Olukayode Taiwo Deputy Director (Safeguards) LAMATA.

2 Introduction Around the planet there is growing awareness of transportation s implication in atmospheric pollution and Green House Gas (GHG) accumulation There is also growing concern about the various social and environmental problems associated with the globalization of commerce Efforts to address these matters have yielded mixed results

3 Contemporary issues fuelling sustainable transportation How best to contain or interrupt growth, and promote improvement and use of transit, walking, cycling and railways How best to curtail transportation emissions How to break out of conventional approaches to transportation planning in order to attain sustainability

4 Lagos State Facts about Lagos Transport Metropolitan Lagos generates about 22million trips per day Average trip length by Public Transport is 9km Average trip length by car is 12km Proportion of Vehicles with Petrol engine is 85% Car ownership is growing at an annual rate of 5% The urban transport sector is a major source of air and noise pollution in Metropolitan Lagos

5 Metropolitan Lagos Transport Challenges Pattern of urban growth with the less privileged often commuting long distances Severe congestion - impacting social and economic activities Key Concerns Increasing air pollution impacting health and quality of life No regulatory public transport framework with the poor often vulnerable to high cost of transportation 5 The poor are worst affected!

6 LAMATA Approach Measures taken to monitor and reduce GHG emissions LAMATA commissioned the following studies in a bid to monitor and reduce GHG emissions within the metropolis : i. Data gathering to implement GHG emissions reduction Assessment Methodology for LUTP2 BRT corridors in 2013 To estimate, post-implementation, the net change in GHG (CO 2 ) emissions that is associated with the LUTP2 investments ii. The Lagos Air Quality Monitoring Study (LAQMS) in 2007 To monitor and measure air pollution in Lagos iii. The assessment of emissions from road transport (Oshodi Obalende via Mile 2 and CMS BRT corridor) To assess the impact of the coming BRT on GHG emission iv. Development of the Lagos Green House Gas emissions assessment manual to measure the impact of new transport initiatives on GHG

7 Findings LAMATA Approach The Lagos Air Quality Monitoring Study ( ) revealed that vehicles contribute approximately 43% to the total level of air pollution in Lagos. Over a quarter of the transport sector contribution to GHG emission in Nigeria comes from Lagos alone. The emission factors for the Nigerian vehicles are close to the Euro 2 Standards which is 3 to 4 times of the European values.

8 Some images of Public Transport in the past

9 Cannot build our way out of congestion but we can minimize the impact through improved public transport 9

10 Observed travel demand patterns in Metropolitan Lagos in 2012 The demand for trips in Lagos Metropolitan Area by all modes (including walking) was ~20 M/day. Walk trips accounted for 40% of total trips in Metropolitan Lagos Observed mode share of motorized trips 9% 1% Bus BRT Car Motorcycle (Okada) Water 3% 19% 68% The rapid increase in population and standard of living will bring the daily demand for trips to ~40M/day by 2030

11 Vehicle Ownership Total no of vehicle fleet in Lagos State in 2010 was 1,037,191 Source : Extracted from Motor Vehicles Statistics 2011, Lagos Bureau of Statistics

12 Environmental Impact of Traffic Congestion Vehicular traffic is one of the greatest causes of environmental harm in Lagos. Traffic consumes energy, and generates noise and harmful emissions. Carbon dioxide emissions from traffic are a worldwide problem. The quality of the air we breathe is diminished mainly by traffic emissions, because the exhaust emissions are released at a low level. Vehicular traffic is the main source of disturbing environmental noise. With the increase in the amount of traffic the noise carries increasingly greater distances.

13 Health consequences of pollution and congestion More people now die from respiratory diseases in Lagos Number of deaths against total numbers of cases from respiratory diseases/ailments from the General Hospital, Marina in 2008 was over 10% and is increasing every year Exposure to air pollution such as vehicular emission considerably triggers asthma symptoms and attack which accounts for more than 50% of the respiratory cases recorded from 2001 to 2006 All these happens in an unplanned urban setup (especially where the population is growing at a rapid rate) where infrastructural facilities are decaying and proper transport planning is lacking

14 Vision for Lagos State 2032 To provide a modern integrated multimodal public transport system that will make Lagos State a world class city.

15 The location of the 28 activity centers already Identified

16 16 Proposed BRT Network

17 Proposed BRT lines BRT Routes Length (Km) Passenger trips/day Oshodi to Obalende via Mile 2 (Semi circular BRT) ,000 Berger to TBS ,000 Ikorodu to Mile ,000 Otta to Maryland ,000 Oworonshoki to Apapa ,000 Berger to LASU ,000 Berger to Iyana Isolo ,000 Berger to Local Airport 8 95,000 17

18 Achievement : First BRT in Africa implemented by LAMATA in March 2008

19 BRT EXTENSION: IKORODU - Mile12 Artistic Impression

20 20 Proposed Lagos Rail Network

21 Proposed Rail Network for Lagos State Rail corridors Length (Km) Forecasted passenger trips/ day Blue Line (Okokomaiko to Marina) already commissioned ,000 Red Line (Agbado to Marina) under negotiation ,000 Green Line (Marina to Lekki free zone) ,000 Yellow Line (Otta\MMA to Iddo) ,000 Purple Line (Redemption Camp to LASU (Ojo) Orange Line (Redemption Camp to Marina) , ,000 Brown Line (Mile 12 to Marina) ,000 Monorail (Ikoyi/VI) ,000 21

22 The two rail lines already at an advanced stage of construction or negotiation

23 The elevated section of the Blue line under construction

24 Iganmu Station with rail track already laid STATIONS: Okokomaiko, LASU, Volkswagen, Trade Fair, Alakija, FESTAC, Mile 2, Alaba, Iganmu, National Theatre, Iddo, Ebutte Ero, Marina

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26 Interior of Iganmu Station

27 Key Statistics in Lagos State Average trip length by Public Transport is 9km Average trip length by car is 12km Proportion of Vehicles with Petrol engine is 85% Calculation of GHG Emission for rail assumes heavy urban rail technology ( Metro ) powered by electricity generated from a mix of coal, natural gas, and hydropower, with high passenger use (75 percent of seats filled on average).

28 The Big Moves in Lagos towards a Sustainable Urban Transport System Develop a fully integrated mass rapid transit system to cover activity centers identified in the mega city region Six Rail Lines One Monorail Line 16 BRT Routes Over 20 water routes Key road projects Introduce a common ticketing system to aid integration of public transport modes. Develop the waterways transport network to integrate with Rail and BRT. Develop a ring road around Metropolitan Lagos to take pressure away from the mainland. Introduce traffic control centers to optimize the use of the existing transport network.

29 LAMATA IS INTEGRATING THE TRANSPORT MODES Lagos Connect is now operated on BRT and BFS

30 Impact of the Strategic Transport Master Plan Summary of CO 2 Emissions by Vehicle Type, after implementation of STMP CO 2 emission is reduced by 50% under the 2032 STMP condition, compared with the condition in 2032 BAU. Vehicle Type CO 2 Emissions (in Tons) % increase in CO 2 Emissions BAU 2032 STMP BAU STMP Passenger Car (P&D) 3, , , % 36% Danfo 2, , % HD Trucks 2, , % -76% Motorcycle % BRT % 906% Regulated Buses , % 3956% Water % 277% Rail , Total Daily Emission 8, , , % -8% Total Yearly Emission 3,010, ,602, ,778, % -8% *BAU Business As Usual; STMP Strategic Transport Master Plan* Source: LAMATA GHG Emissions

31 Conclusion The Strategic Transport Master Plan is set to reduce GHG Emission in Lagos by 50% in the year 2032 Without the master plan, GHG Emission is set to increase by 86% in 2032 compared to the current 2013 GHG emission With the master plan in place, GHG Emission will reduce by 8% in 2032 compared to the current GHG Emission despite the population of Lagos increasing from 22m to almost 40m

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