Integrated Research on Disaster Risk

Transcription

1 Integrated Research on Disaster Risk addressing the challenge of natural and human induced environmental hazards Dr. Jane Rovins, CEM Executive Director 1

2 Issues Globalization Population growth Widespread poverty Changing climate Urban areas Complex infrastructure Concentration and centralization of economic and political functions Social segregation and Complex spatial and functional interrelationships Key question: Why, despite advances in the natural and social science of hazards and disasters, do losses continue to increase?

3

4 The Science Plan Addressing the challenge of natural and human induced environmental hazards An integrated approach to research on disaster risk through: an international, multidisciplinary (natural, health, engineering and social sciences, including socioeconomic analysis) collaborative research programme. IRDR Science Plan at: E_Hazard_report.pdf 4

5 Scope of IRDR Geophysical and hydro meteorological trigger events Earthquakes tsunamis volcanoes floods storms (hurricanes, cyclones, typhoons) heat waves droughts wildfires landslides coastal erosion climate change Space weather and impact by near Earth objects Effects of human activities on creating or enhancing disasters, including land use practices NOT technological disasters, warfare 5

6 Partners National and international science institutions National and international development assistance agencies and funding bodies Initiatives IRDR National Committees Canada China Japan New Zealand IRDR International Centers of Excellence 6

7 Objective 1: Characterization of hazard, vulnerability and risk 1.1: Identifying hazards and vulnerabilities leading to risks 1.2: Forecasting hazards and assessing risks 1.3: Dynamic modelling of risk FORIN IRDR forensic investigations Series of case studies Common template Successes and failures 7

8 Objective 2: Effective Decision Making in Complex and Changing Risk Contexts 2.1: Identifying relevant decision making systems and their interactions 2.2: Understanding decision making in the context of environmental hazards 2.3: Improving the quality of decision making practice RIA Risk Interpretation and Action What do people (especially those at risk) think is likely to happen? & What will they do about it? estimation of the likelihood and magnitude evaluation of the vulnerability/resilience of the physical infrastructure consideration of social and behavioral factors that place the local population at greater or lesser risk 8

9 Objective 3: Reducing Risk and Curbing Losses Through Knowledge Based Actions 3.1: Vulnerability assessments 3.2: Effective approaches to risk reduction Long term database, monitoring systems and tools 9

10 Cross Cutting Themes Capacity building Case studies and demonstration projects Assessment, data management and monitoring

11 Collaborating Organizations: UNESCO WMO Sponsors: ICSU, ISSC, UN ISDR Consultative Forum Scientific Committee Partners in research: Unions and National Members of ICSU, Unions of ISSC GeoRisk IYPE WWRP THORPEX WCRP Extremes IHDP IRG ICL Int. Floods Initiative IOC tsunami prog. Regional Programmes Capacity building Working Group Task Teams: Case studies and demonstration projects, scenarios and forensic investigations Decision making, planning resilience Vulnerability and risk quantification and modelling Long term database and monitoring systems and tools Integration with Regional Programmes Socio economic research activity Working Groups Scientific Steering Groups 11

12 IRDR Legacy An enhanced capacity around the world to address hazards and make informed decisions on actions to reduce their impacts. Societies to shift focus from responserecovery towards prevention mitigation, building resilience and reducing risks, learning from experience and avoiding past mistakes.

13 IRDR Scientific Committee CARDONA, Omar Darío, National University of Colombia, Manizales, Colombia earthquake engineering and risk mitigation CHAN Kin Sek, Raymond, Civil Engineering and Development Department of Hong Kong, China civil engineering, landslide mitigation CUTTER, Susan, University of South Carolina, USA hazards & vulnerability EISER, Richard, University of Sheffield, UK psychology, perception of risk JOHNSTON, David, Massey University, New Zealand earth sciences, disaster management LAVELL, Allan, FLACSO, Costa Rica social and developmental aspects of risk and disasters McBEAN, Gordon, Inst. for Catastrophic Loss Reduction, University of Western Ontario, Canada CHAIR MODARESSI, Hormoz, BRGM, Orléans, France geohazards, remote sensing PATEK, Maria, Vienna, Austria avalanches, torrents RENN, Ortwin, University of Stuttgart, Germany environmental sociology TAKEUCHI, Kuniyoshi, ICHARM, Japan hydrology, civil engineering VOGEL, Coleen, University of the Witswatersrand, South Africa geography, environmental studies WIRTZ, Angelika, Geo Risks Research, Munich Re, Germany economic data on disasters EX Officio: GUO, Huadong, Center for Earth Observation and Digital Earth(CEODE), CAS, Beijing HACKMANN, Heide, International Social Science Council (ISSC) MASKREY, Andrew, UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR) MOORE, Howard, International Council for Science (ICSU)

14 Integrated Research on Disaster Risk Thank you 14