CHALLENGES OF CCS DEPLOYMENT SOUTH AFRICA

Transcription

1 CHALLENGES OF CCS DEPLOYMENT SOUTH AFRICA

2 SOUTH AFRICA S COAL CHAIN Mt Local Use 24.5 Mt Stocks Mt Washing 67.1 Mt 38.7 Mt 47.5 Mt Export 68.8 Mt Discards 70.2 Mt Synfuels 43.7 Mt Electricity Mt Run-of-Mine Production Mt Screening 69.3 Mt 3.1 Mt 5.0 Mt 61.2 Mt 2

3 COST OF ELECTRICITY WORLDWIDE South Af rica Australia Norw ay Korea Chinese Taipei US Czech Turkey Poland Mexico Greece Spain Slovakia Finland Hungary UK Germany Sw itzerland France Ireland Japan Portugal Austria Italy Denmark US c/kwh Households Industry The extremely low cost of electricity in South Africa gives the country a significant competitive advantage in terms of energy intensive industries 3

4 HIGHEST CO 2 EMITTING POWER PLANTS IN THE WORLD (>20 MTONNES OF CO 2 ) 5 of the highest CO 2 Emitting Power plants in the World are located in South Africa 4

5 Matimba Lethabo Kendal Duvha Kriel Matla Matla Tutuka Majuba 5

6 NIRP2 Stage 2 Capacityoutlook 2004to2022 Capacity (MW) Greenfield PF(Base) - Earliest end 2015 Greenfield PBMR(Base)- Earliest end 2013 Greenfield Pumped Storage- Earliest 2013 FBC(Base)- Earliest 2010 Fast track- Earliest end2009 CCGT(Base) - Earliest 2009 Komati PF- Earliest 2008 Grootvlei PF OCGT Camden EskomExistingCapacitywithDecommissioning Non-EskomExisting Capacitywith Decommissioning Imports-CahoraBassa Hydro SimunyeEskommothballed plants Pumped Storage capacity Peaking capacity Base load capacity ExpectedAnnual Peak Demand(before DSM) Expected Peak Demandafter expecteddsm Requiredcapacity(Plan14 =RM14.4%LT) Required capacity(plan01 =RM5.6%LT) Requiredcapacity(Plan02 =RM20%LT)

7 EXISTING PLANT AGE Eskom's Installed profile Now Dashed line = Approved peak demand + 20% Reserve Margin Grootvlei Komati Majuba 4-6 Camden Cahora Bassa Zesco Majuba 1-3 Megawatt Installed Vanderkloof Port Rex Acacia Komati Highveld Salt River Taaibos Wilge Arnot Grootvlei Camden Ingagane Palmiet Lethabo Tutuka Koeberg Drakensberg Hendrina Kendal Matimba Duvha Matla Kriel HF Verwoerd Year Most stations at mid life refurbishment point. 7

8 RELATIVE tco 2 EMISSIONS BY POWER PLANTS t CO 2 in m illions USA China India Russia Japan Germany Australia UK RSA t CO MGWh Energy CO2 per MGWh

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12 CHALLENGES Location of the powers plants relative to CO2 geological storage sites Transport infrastructural cost 12

13 13 Location of the powers plants relative to CO2 geological sites-

14 PRELIMINARY WORK Study commissioned in 2004: Yes CO2 STORAGE POTENTIAL SA CCS Atlas Project to identify the Storage sites, Capacity and characterization in progress Public Outreach Media Workshops Capacity building Membership planned: IEA Greenhouse Gas Research and Development Program Capacity building in school: students send for training (Supported by CSLF and IEA), sustainability through tertiary education training USA supported CCS capacity building CSLF (SASOL,AngloCoal,Eskom,PetroSA,Council for GeoSciences, DME) System of Innovation: Establishment of chairs (SANERI) Clean Coal Technologies Hydrogen Economy Carbon Capture and Storage (next) 14

15 CHALLENGES REGULATORY GAPS ANALYSIS AND LINKAGE TO INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS CAPACITY BUILDING: CO2 GEOLOGICAL STORAGE CAPACITY AND CHARACTERISATION- COLLABORATION SUPPORT COST OF CO2 SEQUESTRATION PUBLIC OUTREACH CCS DEMO PLANT IN ONE OF THE EMERGING ECONOMIES PRIORITIES ENERGY SECURITY SOCIAL OBLIGATION 15