Buck Sutter Deputy Executive Director Gulf Coast Ecosystem Restoration Task Force. Contact:

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1 Buck Sutter Deputy Executive Director Gulf Coast Ecosystem Restoration Task Force Contact:

2 Background on Gulf of Mexico Challenges Overview Gulf of Mexico Ecosystem Restoration Task Force The Strategy : Restore and Conserve Habitat Restore Water Quality Replenish and Protect Living Coastal and Marine Resources Enhance Community Resilience Science-Based Adaptive Management What s Next? Outline 2

3 Gulf of Mexico More than 90% of the nation s offshore crude oil and natural gas Nearly 1/3 of continental U.S. seafood production Tens of billions of dollars to the U.S. economy through tourism and commercial and recreational fishing industries Dynamic, interconnected ecosystems spanning 600,000 square miles, with thousands of miles of shoreline, bayous, and bays across five U.S. states and six Mexican states

4 Chronic Stressors in the Gulf Sediment input (or lack thereof) Land/habitat loss Nutrient input and water quality Sea level rise/climate change Freshwater input (or lack thereof) Severe storms

5 Habitat Loss Long-term wetlands loss Northern Gulf of Mexico Related to: Sediment starvation Channelization (oil & gas) Subsidence SLR

6 Habitat Loss Mangrove Losses in Florida All Florida Tampa Bay Biscayne Bay Mangrove ecosystems are a major nursery area for a wide array of biota and a carbon sink Percent Loss Much of west Florida s mangroves have been lost, but can be restored using salt marsh restoration first as nurseries

7 Coastal Vulnerability Stronger storms and more people mean the Gulf Coast is more vulnerable and less resilient today than in the past.

8 Sea Level Rise Barataria Bay Maps of Lands Vulnerable to Sea Level Rise: Modeled Elevations along the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf Coasts James G. Titus Charlie Richman

9 Deepwater Horizon Impacts April 20 explosion - Total oil released: Apr. 22 July 15 (when flow suspended) million barrels, +/- 10% (FRTG) - Over 1.8 M gallons of dispersant (as of 8/23) - Over 80,000 square miles of Gulf closed to fishing (8/10) A catastrophic and debilitating event for the Gulf of Mexico but also the most recent in a series of significant acute and chronic stressors for the region

10 Gulf of Mexico-An Ecosystem View of Issues Challenge: Sorting out the effects of recovery actions given many simultaneous anthropogenic and natural factors, including: - Effects of the oil spill - Nutrient enrichment - Harmful algal blooms - Coastal development - Fishing (overfishing)

11 Gulf Coast Ecosystem Restoration Task Force - Overview Recommended by Navy Secretary Ray Mabus report America s Gulf Coast: A Long-term Recovery Plan after the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill Chair: Lisa Jackson (EPA) Co-Chair: Garrett Graves (LA) Executive Director: John Hankinson (EPA) Federal membership: Agriculture, Commerce, Interior, Justice, Transportation, EPA, USACE, OMB, CEQ, OSTP, and the Domestic Policy Council State membership: 5 governor-appointed state representatives Task Force established by Executive Order on October 5, 2010

12 Preliminary Strategy Release Released October 5, 2011 Out for public review and feedback for 3 weeks (10/26/11) Strategy and link to regs.gov at Historic effort involving federal and state agencies, local governments and thousands of interested citizens and organizations

13 GCERTF Science Coordination Team Gulf of Mexico Ecosystem Science Assessment and Needs 70+ State and Federal Scientists from Task Force agencies By Strategy Goal: Current Conditions Activities, Actions and Performance Indicators Cross-Cutting Monitoring, Modeling and Research Priorities Science Plan GULF COAST ECOSYSTEM RESTORATION TASK FORCE Gulf of Mexico Ecosystem Science Assessment and Recommendations October 2011

14 Strategy Goals Restore and Conserve Habitat Wetlands, coastal prairies and forests, estuaries, seagrass beds, natural beaches and dunes, and barrier islands Landscape-scale resource management, habitat conservation, and restoration Restore Water Quality Excess nutrients, altered sediment inputs, pathogens, and mercury and other pollutants Replenish and Protect Living Coastal and Marine Resources Depleted species populations Enhance Community Resilience Coastal improvement plans, analytical support tools and education

15 Habitats contribute to ecosystem and coastal human community resilience Coastal and marine habitats provide critical ecosystem services: Commercial fisheries Recreational fisheries Natural resource based tourism Storm buffers Climate change resiliency Recreational & educational opportunities 15

16 Challenge: Habitat Loss Losses: Lagoons Sea Grass beds Mangrove forests Cypress Tupelo Swamps Oyster reefs Beaches and barrier shorelines Marshes Wet prairies Barrier islands Causes: Wetland conversion Erosion Altered hydrology Altered sediment processes Sea level rise Subsidence Freshwater withdrawals/depletion Saltwater intrusion Tropical storms 16

17 Restore and Conserve Habitat Prioritize ecosystem restoration in the Gulf of Mexico by ensuring that social, environmental and economic outcomes are fully considered in all river management decisions, and by placing it on equal footing with other priorities such as navigation and flood damage risk reduction. Improve current sediment management practices to maximize to the extent practicable and ecologically acceptable the quantity and effective use of sediments by taking a strategic use approach to sediment management. Maximize Where Practicable Beneficial Use Increase Dedicated Dredging Implement River Reintroduction (Diversion) Projects Restore and preserve more natural river processes of sediment and freshwater distribution

18 Restore and Conserve Habitat Expand the network of state, federal and private conservation areas to ensure healthy landscapes that support the environment and culture of the region and the diverse services provided by the Gulf of Mexico ecosystem. Restore and conserve coastal and near-shore habitats, with a focus on marshes, mangroves, seagrasses, barrier islands, natural beaches and dunes, and coastal forests and prairies. Fresh, intermediate, brackish and salt marshes and mangroves Seagrasses Coastal forests and grasslands Barrier islands

19 Challenge: Water Quality Nutrient Input - freshwater discharge

20 Nutrient Loading Model: SPARROW (USGS) (A) Total Nitrogen (B) Total Phosphorus Alexander, et al, Environ. Sci. Tech.,

21 Northern Gulf of Mexico Hypoxic Zone (Summer 2010) 21

22 Northern Gulf of Mexico Hypoxic Zone

23 Restore Water Quality Decrease and manage excess nutrient levels in the Gulf through the development and implementation of state nutrient reduction frameworks. Focus restoration actions in priority watersheds to address excess nutrients in coastal waters and reduce hypoxic conditions. Reduce pollutants and pathogens from stormwater flows and other sources. Improve the quality and quantity of freshwater flow into priority estuaries to protect their health and resiliency. Coordinate and expand existing water quality monitoring efforts supporting adaptive management of programs and projects designed to improve water quality. Collaborate with Mexico to assess and reduce emissions from oceangoing vessels in the Gulf that degrade water quality.

24 Challenge: Depleted Living Coastal and Marine Resources

25 From: Heck et al LCMR - Habitat Linkages

26 Conserve and protect offshore environments

27 Replenish and Protect Living Coastal and Marine Resources Restore depleted populations of living coastal and marine resources. Conserve and protect offshore environments. Restore and protect oyster and coral reefs. Coordinate and expand existing Gulf monitoring efforts to track sentinel species and sites. Minimize, and eliminate where possible, invasive species that impact the Gulf of Mexico.

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30 Enhance Community Resilience Develop and implement comprehensive, scientifically based, and stakeholder-informed coastal improvement programs. Provide analytical support tools to enhance community planning, risk assessment and smart growth implementation. Promote environmental stewardship by expanding environmental education and outreach.

31 Challenge: The need for ecosystem restoration in the Gulf of Mexico is clear, but how can we know our restoration efforts are doing any good? And if they aren t, how can we make an informed change? If they are, how can we use that elsewhere? Issues: Restoration projects are being developed and implemented at an unprecedented scale but as the pace of restoration project development quickens, it becomes more difficult to assure that they are developed in a coordinated fashion. Restoration activities are often plagued by a fundamental lack of knowledge on the systems in question and how they will respond to restoration. Need for science to support restoration is apparent, however, the dire state of the Gulf ecosystem cannot wait for scientific certainty and demands immediate action.

32 Science-based Adaptive Management (SBAM) A process is required that allows for restoration efforts to move ahead while addressing the need to expand current knowledge of the state of the system and determine the efficacy of the restoration actions through a focused effort of monitoring, modeling, and research to support effective management and decision-making.

33 Critical Elements of SBAM Establishing an effective adaptive management framework Guide implementation of SBAM Incorporate evaluation and review of the effectiveness of adaptive management Establishing monitoring, modeling, and scientific research Developing a comprehensive watershed to Gulf monitoring program Establishing a Gulf of Mexico modeling network Investing in research and basic exploration Providing decision support Developing integrated decision-support tools and systems Developing decision-making visualization and data aids Expanding ecosystem services and benefits analysis tools and capabilities Establishing indicators of success Developing a Gulf-wide Progress Report

34 Process is important: Developing Indicators and Restoration Actions is an Exercise in Adaptive Management

35 Next Efforts for the Task Force Embrace and build upon existing efforts at the state and federal level Leveraging partnerships The Gulf of Mexico Alliance The Hypoxia Task Force Natural Resource Damage Assessment Trustee Council The National Ocean Council Promoting science-based decision-making Resolving policy and process obstacles impeding progress Implementation Plan 2012 Outcomes, performance measures, milestones, and the short-, mediumand long-term tasks S-1400; H.R RESTORE Act