ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDINGS: GLOBAL MARKETS

Transcription

1 ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDINGS: GLOBAL MARKETS ENV023A October 2014 Michael Sullivan-Trainor Project Analyst ISBN: BCC Research 49 Walnut Park, Building 2 Wellesley, MA USA (toll-free within the USA), or (+1) information@bccresearch.com

2 TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 2 STUDY GOALS AND OBJECTIVES 2 REASONS FOR DOING THE STUDY 2 SCOPE OF REPORT 2 INTENDED AUDIENCE 3 INFORMATION SOURCES 3 ANALYST'S CREDENTIALS 3 RELATED BCC RESEARCH REPORTS 3 BCC RESEARCH WEBSITE 4 DISCLAIMER 4 CHAPTER 2 SUMMARY 6 SUMMARY TABLE GLOBAL MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY REGION, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) SUMMARY FIGURE ESTIMATED GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF ZNE REVENUE FOR PRODUCTS AND SERVICES BY REGION, 2018* (%) U.S. SLOW BUT STEADY 8 EUROPEAN UNION 2020 GOALS 8 CHINA'S BUILDING BOOM CHAPTER 3 OVERVIEW 11 DEFINITION 11 RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS 11 COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS 12 ENERGY USE 12 FIGURE 1 U.S. AVERAGE HOME ENERGY USAGE, 2014 (%) 12 BENEFITS AND INCENTIVES FOR THE ZERO NET ENERGY HOME 14 STRATEGIES FOR ACHIEVING ZERO NET ENERGY HOMES 16 DESIGN CHALLENGES FOR COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS 17 CHARACTERIZING COSTS 19 CHAPTER 4 ENERGY CONSERVATION MEASURES 21 OVERVIEW 21 CHAPTER 5 LESSONS LEARNED FROM EARLY ADOPTERS 26 INTRODUCTION 26 FIGURE 2 KEY ENABLERS OF ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDINGS 26 NEW COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION 27 RETROFITTING COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS 28 CHAPTER 6 RENEWABLE ENERGY STATUS 34 OVERVIEW 34 CHAPTER 7 GOVERNMENT REGULATION 38 INTRODUCTION 38 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY REFERENCE MODEL 38

3 CALIFORNIA'S TITLE 24 EXAMPLE 45 U.S. GOVERNMENT INCENTIVES 46 INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION POSITIONS 47 ZERO NET ENERGY VERIFICATION 48 EUROPEAN UNION'S ENERGY PERFORMANCE OF BUILDINGS DIRECTIVE 48 ASIA-PACIFIC RATING SYSTEMS 51 AUSTRALIA 51 BANGLADESH 52 CHINA 52 INDIA 53 JAPAN 55 NEW ZEALAND 55 SOUTH KOREA 55 SINGAPORE'S GREEN MARK 57 CHAPTER 8 BUILDINGS INDUSTRY OPPORTUNITIES 59 STRATEGIES FOR INDUSTRY PARTICIPANTS 59 HIGHLIGHTING SAVINGS ACROSS WIDER MARKET 59 SMALL BUILDINGS PROVIDE BIG OPPORTUNITIES 59 GENERATING SCALE TO ENCOURAGE INVESTMENT 59 LEVERAGING CITY GROUPS 59 EASING ENERGY SERVICE DELIVERY 60 FINANCING CONSIDERATIONS 60 IMPROVING ZERO NET ENERGY POLICY TEST VALUE 60 ALIGNING PROJECTS TO BUILDING INVESTMENT TRIGGERS 60 PARTNERING WITH MEMBERS OF THE ECOSYSTEM 61 TENANTS' POWER TO INFLUENCE ZERO NET ENERGY 61 LEARNING FROM LEADERS 61 ZERO NET ENERGY JOB CREATION 61 ECONOMICS AND RENEWABLE OPTIONS 63 OFF-GRID ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDINGS 68 ZERO ENERGY BEYOND A SINGLE BUILDING 68 EARLY RESULTS OF ZERO NET ENERGY MEASURES 69 ACCOUNTING FOR ZERO NET ENERGY: COUNTRY EXAMPLES 69 GERMANY 71 U.K. 73 THE NETHERLANDS 73 NORWAY 74 AUSTRIA 74 SWITZERLAND 74 DENMARK 74 SWEDEN 74 CHAPTER 9 ZERO NET ENERGY STATUS BY COUNTRY 76 FIGURE 3 MARKET SHARE FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY REGION, 2014* (%) FIGURE 4 MARKET SHARE FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY REGION, 2018* (%) 76 76

4 U.S. 77 ZERO NET ENERGY EXAMPLES 79 STATE ACTIONS 80 EUROPE, THE MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA 80 FIGURE 5 INVESTMENT SHARE IN COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING IN EUROPE, THE MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA, 2014* (%) AUSTRIA 81 CZECH REPUBLIC 84 FRANCE 87 GERMANY 90 GREECE 92 HUNGARY 94 ITALY 97 THE NETHERLANDS 99 NORWAY 101 POLAND 104 SPAIN 106 SWEDEN 108 SWITZERLAND 111 U.K. 112 England and Wales 112 Northern Ireland 113 Scotland 116 SUMMARY OF EUROPE 116 NEW BUILDINGS 117 EXISTING BUILDINGS 118 ASIA-PACIFIC 120 FIGURE 6 ASIA-PACIFIC MARKET SHARE OF COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING BY COUNTRY, 2014* (%) AUSTRALIA 122 INDIA 123 RUSSIA 124 SINGAPORE 125 Mirror Ducts 127 Light Shelves 127 Light Pipes 128 Shading Devices 128 Glazing Testing Chambers 128 Solar Chimneys CHAPTER 10 ZERO NET ENERGY MARKET FORECASTS 131 TABLE 1 GLOBAL COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDINGS BY REGION, THROUGH 2018 (NUMBER OF BUILDINGS) TABLE 2 GLOBAL MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY BUILDING TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 3 GLOBAL MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY PRODUCT AND SERVICE TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS)

5 TABLE 4 U.S. MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY BUILDING TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 5 U.S. MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY PRODUCT OR SERVICE TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 6 U.S. ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING EXAMPLES 133 TABLE 7 EMEA MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY BUILDING TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 8 EMEA MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY PRODUCT AND SERVICE TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 9 EMEA ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING EXAMPLES 135 TABLE 10 ASIA-PACIFIC MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY BUILDING TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 11 ASIA-PACIFIC MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY PRODUCT AND SERVICE TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 12 ASIA-PACIFIC ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING EXAMPLES 136 TABLE 13 GLOBAL TOP 10 ZERO NET ENERGY ARCHITECTURAL COMPANIES BY REVENUE, 2013 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 14 GLOBAL TOP 10 ZERO NET ENERGY CONSTRUCTION COMPANIES BY REVENUE, 2013 ($ BILLIONS) TABLE 15 GLOBAL TOP SIX ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING SYSTEM COMPANIES BY REVENUE, 2013 ($ BILLIONS) CHAPTER 11 COMPANY PROFILES 140 ARCHITECTURAL FIRMS 140 AECOM 140 AEDAS 140 DP ARCHITECTS 141 FOSTER & PARTNERS 141 GENSLER 142 HOK GROUP 142 IBI GROUP 143 NIKKEN SEKKEI 144 PERKINS & WILL 144 SAMOO ARCHITECTS & ENGINEERS 145 CONSTRUCTION FIRMS 145 ACS GROUP 145 BECHTEL 146 BOUYGUES 146 CHINA COMMUNICATIOSN CONSTRUCTION 147 FLUOR 147 HOCHTIEF 148 SAIPEM 148 SKANSKA 148 STRABAG 149 VINCI 149 APPENDIX ONE: BUILDING SYSTEMS FIRMS 150 ABB 150 GENERAL ELECTRIC 150

6 HONEYWELL 151 JOHNSON CONTROLS 151 SCHNEIDER-ELECTRIC 151 SIEMENS 152 CHAPTER 12 APPENDIX ONE: LEADING ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDINGS 154 NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY IN GOLDEN, COLORADO 154 PEARL RIVER TOWER 154 WWF COMPLEX IN ZEIST, THE NETHERLANDS 154 CORNELL NEW YORK CITY TECHNOLOGY CAMPUS 154 PUSAT TENAGA MALAYSIA'S ZERO ENERGY OFFICE 155 DARLA MOORE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS 155 OMEGA CENTER FOR SUSTAINABLE LIVING 155 SUZLON'S ONE EARTH HEADQUARTERS IN INDIA 155 BEDDINGTON ZERO ENERGY DEVELOPMENT 155 CHAPTER 13 APPENDIX TWO: RESOURCES 157

7 LIST OF TABLES TABLE HEADING SUMMARY TABLE GLOBAL MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY REGION, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 1 GLOBAL COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDINGS BY REGION, THROUGH 2018 (NUMBER OF BUILDINGS) TABLE 2 GLOBAL MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY BUILDING TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 3 GLOBAL MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY PRODUCT AND SERVICE TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 4 U.S. MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY BUILDING TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 5 U.S. MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY PRODUCT OR SERVICE TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 6 U.S. ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING EXAMPLES 133 TABLE 7 EMEA MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY BUILDING TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 8 EMEA MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY PRODUCT AND SERVICE TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 9 EMEA ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING EXAMPLES 135 TABLE 10 ASIA-PACIFIC MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY BUILDING TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 11 ASIA-PACIFIC MARKET FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY PRODUCT AND SERVICE TYPE, THROUGH 2018 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 12 ASIA-PACIFIC ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING EXAMPLES 136 TABLE 13 GLOBAL TOP 10 ZERO NET ENERGY ARCHITECTURAL COMPANIES BY REVENUE, 2013 ($ MILLIONS) TABLE 14 GLOBAL TOP 10 ZERO NET ENERGY CONSTRUCTION COMPANIES BY REVENUE, 2013 ($ BILLIONS) TABLE 15 GLOBAL TOP SIX ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING SYSTEM COMPANIES BY REVENUE, 2013 ($ BILLIONS)

8 LIST OF FIGURES FIGURE TITLE SUMMARY FIGURE ESTIMATED GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF ZNE REVENUE FOR PRODUCTS AND SERVICES BY REGION, 2018* (%) FIGURE 1 U.S. AVERAGE HOME ENERGY USAGE, 2014 (%) 12 FIGURE 2 KEY ENABLERS OF ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDINGS 26 FIGURE 3 MARKET SHARE FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY REGION, 2014* (%) FIGURE 4 MARKET SHARE FOR COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING PRODUCT AND SERVICE BY REGION, 2018* (%) FIGURE 5 INVESTMENT SHARE IN COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING IN EUROPE, THE MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA, 2014* (%) FIGURE 6 ASIA-PACIFIC MARKET SHARE OF COMMERCIAL ZERO NET ENERGY BUILDING BY COUNTRY, 2014* (%)