Leakage Protection options

Transcription

1 Seoul, South Korea, Leakage Protection options Karsten Neuhoff, DIW Berlin

2 Source: Carbon Control and Competitiveness post 2020: The Steel Report, Climate Strategies 1 Example: CO2 abatement opportunities in steel Illustration Fuel related emissions Process related emissions 168 Mio. t EAF EU Steel Production BF / BOF 1. Energy Efficiency of production Low-C Electricity 5.Higher recycling rates 2. Break through technologies (e.g. CCS) 3. Higher quality / lower weight steel DRI /EAF Scrap (recycling) Iron ore 4. Substitution/efficient steel use Emissions / t steel 1,88 tco2/t Steel

3 2 Modernisation and innovation opportunities: example cement Cement demand (EU 27) Process related emissions (65%) Carbon Capture & Sequestration New cement types Fuel related emissions (35%) Pre-treated waste Biomass waste Energy Efficiency Lower clinker content Substitution/efficient cement use Emissions / t cement 3

4 to 2050 Roadmap emission reduction potential Roadmaps proposed by industry, GOs, NGOs and academia converge, Large majority of the reduction potential still to be realized. 4

5 4 Low carbon cement and efficient use of cement Primary customer demands: 1. Proven long-term product quality, adapted to application; 2. Price. In the absence of CO2 cost pass through there is little market incentive for low CO2 construction materials. But the price signal alone is insufficient; other incentives are indispensible. 5 5

6 5 Efficient clinker production, Bio-mass.. Clinker substitution, Low-carbon cement, Efficient use (building practices, etc.), Long term perspective for break-through technologies like CCS 6 How can the carbon price work along the value chain? clinker cement Clinker Substitute price Price Building for cement, design wall Material efficiency Pass building through Price for building Full auctioning CCS Energy Ef. C02 cost Pass through Border adjustment At clinker benchmark for price difference For clinker within product Cement, wall etc. building Neuhoff, K., Keats, K. and Sato, M., 2006, Allocation, incentives and distortions: the impact of EU ETS emissions allowance allocations to the electricity sector, Climate Policy, 6 (1), p Region B, Auctioning, different P clinker

7 6 Efficient clinker production, Bio-mass.. How does free allocation for leakage protection impact effectiveness of carbon price? clinker Auction Global or BTA C02 cost Moving base line Opportu nity costos Free allocation Historic intensity dynamic Opportu nity cost BM dynamic C02 cost BM dynamic + IOC C02 cost Clinker substitution, Low-carbon cement, Efficient use (building practices, etc.), cement, wall etc. Pass through Pass through No incentive No incentive Consum. charge Long term perspective for break-through technologies like CCS building Pass through Uncer t ain Crosssubsidy Crosssubsidy Consum. charge 7

8 Seoul, South Korea, Leakage Protection options Karsten Neuhoff, DIW Berlin

9 2 Results from Steel Sector Study: Policy requirements for investment in modernization Unlocking efficiency potential Strengthening ETS Carbon price along value chain Engagement of all actors Funding of technology innovation Business case for break-through technologies like CCS x x x Higher value steel products and efficient use x x x x Increasing recycling rates x x 9 Source: Carbon Control and Competitiveness post 2020: The Steel Report, Climate Strategies

10 1 Policy requirements for modernization and innovation Biomass and fossil waste Unlocking efficiency potential Clinker substitution Strengthening ETS x x Carbon price along value chain Engagement of all actors & regulation x X x x Funding of technology innovation Business case for break-through technologies like CCS x x x Low-carbon cement and efficient use (building practices, etc.) x x X x 10 10