IEEJ:August 2018 IEEJ2018 JICA- ENERGY POLICY-2018 INDIA Ammi Ruhama Toppo Director Central Electricity Authority DATA TAKEN FROM CENTRAL ELECTRICITY

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1 JICA- ENERGY POLICY-2018 INDIA Ammi Ruhama Toppo Director Central Electricity Authority DATA TAKEN FROM CENTRAL ELECTRICITY AUTHORITY S WEBSITE AND NATIONAL ELECTRCITY PLAN 2018

2 KEY OBJECTIVE OF ENERGY POLICY Access at affordable prices Improved security and Independence Greater Sustainability Economic Growth.

3 Energy Resource Map Hydro potential in NER and upper part of NR Coal reserves mainly in ER

4 WIND AND SOLAR ENERGY RESOURCE MAP OF INDIA (Source CWET, Chennai)

5 INSTALLED CAPACITY Fuel-wise Total All India Installed Capacity (MW) As on Nuclear, 6780, 2% Gas, 24897, 7.2% Diesel, 838, 0.2% Hydro, 45403,13.2% R.E.S, % Coal, % Diesel Hydro Coal R.E.S Gas Nuclear TOTAL: MW

6 GENERATION( ) Hydro, , 10% Bhutan import, , 0% RES, , 8% Nuclear, , 3% Thermal, , 79% Thermal Nuclear Hydro Bhutan import RES TOTAL GWh ALL FIGURES IN GWh

7 CAPACITY ADDITION FROM CONVENTIONAL SOURCES 120, ,000 88, ,000 MW 60,000 40,000 40,245 41,110 62,374 54,964 20,000 19,119 21, TARGET ACHIEVED

8 CAPACITY MIX (SINCE MARCH,1981) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Coal+Lignite Gas+Diesel Hydro Nuclear RES

9 GENERATION MIX (SINCE MARCH,2007) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Thermal Hydro Nuclear RES

10 Nepal 440MW, 200MU( ) 14 Links [11kV (4), 33kV (5), 132kV(5)] EXPORT Cross Border Trade of Electricity Bhutan 1500MW, 1000MU ( ) 6 Links [132kV(1), 220kV(2), 400kV(3)] IMPORT Total Export & Import ( ) ( ) Export 1100MW 2260MW Import 1500MW 5100MW Net 400MW 2840MW Transmission links have been established between border states in Indian territory (Bihar, UP, Uttarakhand, Tripura, Manipur, West Bengal, and Assam) with neighbouring countries (synchronous/asynchronous /radial links). Myanmar <1MW, 0.35 MU( ) One Link [11kV] EXPORT Bangladesh 660MW, 400MU( ) 2 Links [400kV with HVDC back to back, 132kV] EXPORT

11 Power Supply Position in the country 200 Power Supply Position in terms of Peak Power Supply Postion in terms of Energy Peak Demand (GW) Peak Demand Met(GW) Demand Not Met (%) Energy Requiremnet (MU) Energy Availability (MU) Energy Not Met (%) 1. At present, demand supply gap at an all time low of less than 1%. This gap is on account of factors other than nonavailability of power. 2. Adequate power available in the country.

12 ALL INDIA THERMAL PLF T&D AND AT&C LOSSES Coal based capacity under reserved shut down during the current year is MW. T&D losses (Source: PDM CEA) AT&C Losses (Source: PFC)

13 ALL INDIA ANNUAL PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF ELECTRICITY (KWH) in DEC,1947

14 PROJECTIONS OF ELECTRICITY DEMAND-19 TH ELECTRIC POWER SURVEY ENERGY REQUIREMENT BU 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, , ,047 2,531 3, PEAK DEMAND Growth Rate (%) to CAGR of Electrical Energy Requirement CAGR of Peak Electricity Demand YEAR ENERGY REQUIREMENT to Year PEAK DEMAND GW Energy Requirement (BU) Peak Requirement (GW)

15 Renewable Installed Capacity Target by 2022 Biomass 6% Wind 34% Small hydro 3% Solar 57% 190, ,000 90,000 MW 40,000-10,000 57,260 12,289 Projected Growth of RES Installed Generating Capacity (MW) 71,768 32,280 33, , ,319 43, ,772 61,693 39,078 45, YEAR ,541 80, , ,000 52,258 60, TOTAL SOLAR WIND

16 Estimated Electricity Generation from RES in years and Year Installed capacity of RES (GW) Solar Expected Generation in (BU) Wind Biomas s SHP Total Total Energy Requiremen t (BU) Contributio n of RES to Total Energy Demand(%) , % , % PROJECTED ELECTRICITY GENERATION FROM RES BY Wind 34% Solar 50% Biomass SHP 11% 5%

17 BASE CASE( ) ASSUMPTIONS Capacity addition considered Years Committed Capacity (MW) Hydro Nuclear Gas Coal based Capacity under construction (MW) RES Capacity by March, 2022 (MW) Retirement of Coal Based Plants ( ) (MW) ,823 3, , ,000 22,716 BASE CASE( ) RESULT Additional Coal based capacity Requirement during (MW)* Coal Based Generation (Gross) (GWh) Expected PLF% during During * % *Actual coal based capacity addition required during is 6,445 as per study even though 47,855 MW are expected to come between However, this addition of 47,855 MW of coal based capacity during would bring down the PLF as indicated in

18 PROJECTED INSTALLED CAPACITY (MARCH, 2022) Renewables 175,000 37% Coal+Lignite 217,302 45% Hydro 155, % Coal+Lignite 1,071, % RES 327, % Nuclear 10,080 2% Hydro 51,301 11% Gas 25,736 5% TOTAL 4,79,419 MW Nuclear 62, % Gas+Diesel 82, % TOTAL 16,99,812 GWh ALL FIGURES IN MW ALL FIGURES IN GWh

19 BASE CASE( ) ASSUMPTIONS Capacity addition considered Years Committed Capacity (MW) Hydro Nuclear Gas Coal based Capacity under construction during (MW) RES Capacity by March, 2027 (MW) Retirement of Coal Based Plants ( ) (MW) ,000 6, , ,000 25,572 BASE CASE( ) RESULT Additional Coal based capacity Requirement during (MW) Coal Based Generation (Gross) (GWh) Expected PLF% during , %

20 PROJECTED INSTALLED CAPACITY (MARCH, 2027) Renewables 275,000 44% Coal+Lignite 238,150 39% Hydro 268, % Coal+Lignite 1,238, % RES 518, % Nuclear 16,880 3% TOTAL 6,19,066 MW Hydro 63,301 10% Gas 25,735 4% Nuclear 110, % Gas+Diesel 86, % TOTAL 22,22,643 GWh ALL FIGURES IN MW ALL FIGURES IN GWh

21 India s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) 40 % cumulative power installed capacity from non-fossil fuels by 2030 Year Likely IC (GW) Likely IC of Fossil Fuel (GW) Likely IC of Non-Fossil Fuel (GW) % of Non-Fossil Fuel in IC March 2022 March % % * Generation from RES also included.

22 PROJECTED CO2 EMISSIONS FROM GRID CONNECTED POWER STATIONS YEAR Projected Total Carbon Emissions from Coal and Gas Based Plants (Million Tones) Emission Rate* (KgCO 2 /kwh) * Generation from RES also included.

23 ` NAMASTE Contact