smartgrowthsmartenergycities: convenientopportunity

Transcription

1 smartgrowthsmartenergycities: convenientopportunity

2 Solutions Focused Dialogue Education + Outreach Collaborative Research

3 ITINERARY 1. Mind the Gap Urban Land Use 2. 21st Century 3Rs Retrofit, Re-imagine, Renovate 3. Junk to Joules Renewable Natural Gas

4 North American Community Climate Action Visionary q q Climate Action Charter: q creating complete, compact, energy efficient urban and rural communities q removing barriers + implement actions within their respective jurisdictions q encouraging infrastructure and a built environment that supports the economic and social needs of the community while minimizing environmental impact Green Communities Act q establish targets for the reduction of GHGs, and policies and actions to meet them

5 BC Communities: Climate Action Innovation Labs Surrey Organics to Renewable Natural Gas Facility Vancouver Zero Emission Building Plan Prince George-Lakeland Mill Wood Biomass District Energy City of North Van: Moodyville Passive Missing Middle Neighbourhood Rezoning Nanaimo Zero Waste Plan (current diversion rate: >75%) Nelson EcoSave Residential Energy Retrofit Program Dawson Creek: Bear Mountain Community Wind Park Richmond New Building EV Charging Infrastructure Victoria: Active Transportation Network

6 BC GHG TARGET + PERFORMANCE 2015 Performance -5% 2020 Target -33%

7 Low Carbon Land Use

8 HOUSEHOLD GHGS BY NEIGHBOURHOOD Goldstream: 12 tco 2 e/yr/hh Harris Green: 3 tco 2 e/yr/hh Gonazales: 9 tco 2 e/yr/hh Langford Centre: 7 tco 2 e/yr/hh carbon analysis by Boston, Licker et al 17 km 14 km Proximity to Central Business District ¼ km 3 km

9 ALL COMMUNITIES HAVE HIGH + LOW GHG NEIGHBOURHOODS West Vancouver City of N Vancouver Combined Household GHGs by Neighbourhood Surrey Low GHG High GHG (community carbon + energy planning projects led by Alex Boston, maps by Aaron Licker, Golder)

10 ALL COMMUNITIES HAVE HIGH + LOW GHG NEIGHBOURHOODS Campbell River Low GHG High GHG Nelson N.B. Building emissions only. (community carbon + energy planning projects led by Alex Boston, maps by Aaron Licker, Golder)

11 GHGS PER NEW HOUSEHOLD GREATER GOLDEN HORSESHOE TOP HH COMMUNITY GHG DETERMINANTS Proximity to employment hub Neighbourhood + housing type Proximity to good transit Map: Renewable Cities + Licker Geo, 2018

12 SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORTATION PILLARS Technologies Sr Government Led 1. Vehicle Efficiency 2. Renewable Fuels Integrated Land Use + Transportation Local Government Led 3. Travel Distance Management 4. Modal Shifts

13 HIGH CARBON, HIGH COST URBAN CANADA Low-Density, Outer Ring vs Smart Growth Households Two to three-fold higher GHGs (Boston Consulting meta analysis) Two-fold higher civic infrastructure burden (BC Ministry of Community Development, 2014) Provincial + local government debt is unsustainable (Parliamentary Budget Officer, 2016) Two-fold higher transport costs, driving distances, travel times (Metro Van, 2015) Majority are overweight (Coastal and Fraser Heath Authorities, 2015) #1 driver of farm land loss 3% per decade (Statistics Canada, 2014, 2017) ~70% of current of pop, ~90% of current growth! (David Gordon, 2011)

14 Policy: Boston Illustrations: UBC CALP 21 ST CENTURY 3 RS: RETROFIT REIMAGINE RENOVATE

15 Fast Growth Community >3% Growth Per Yr Tonnes CO2e 1,200,000 1,000, , , , ,000 Surrey Building GHG Emissions: Existing vs New 70% 30% Pre-2010 Buildings Post-2010 Buildings BUILDINGS STANDING TODAY WILL DOMINATE BUILDING GHGS IN MID CENTURY Slow Growth Community <1% Growth Per Yr 160, , , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 - WV Buildings GHG Emmissions: New vs Existing 20% 80% Existing Buildings (up to 2010) New Buildings (post 2010)

16 ON BILL FINANCING RETROFIT STRATEGY 1981 to to to 2006 Before to to to 1960 Nelson Building Stock by Era

17 Statistics Canada, 2017

18

19 Single Family Home Occupancy 2016

20 Social Isolation 1 person households higher rates of social isolation + health risks: Physical inactivity Heart disease Depression Suicide High risk cohorts: srs + millennials Affordability 25% of households spend >30% of income on housing. 50% of millennials and 50% of seniors.

21 High Pop Abbotsford Growth - Miss Pop Loss Population change from 20 by census tract ( Mission Abbotsford-Mission Population Change by census tract Number of CTs Matsqui Main % 5.0% to < 10.0% 0.0% to < 5.0% < 0.0% (8) (12) (14) (6) Abbotsford Not available (0) Upper Sumas 6 Mission Census subdivision Statistics Canada, 2017

22 Vancouver CMA 3RSuODWLRQFKDQJHIURPWR EyFHQVuVWUDFW&7 0DSRI Lions Bay Greater Vancouver A Bowen Island West Vancouver North Vancouver, DM Coquitlam See map 2 Pitt Meadows Maple Ridge High Pop Growth Pop Loss 1uPEHURI&7V Greater Vancouver A Katzie 1 Barnston Island 3 Katzie 2 Whonnock 1 Langley 5 McMillan Island 6 Langley, DM WR WR 1RWDvDLODEOH Tsawwassen Delta Surrey Langley, CY Delta &HQVuVVuEGLvLVLRQ White Rock Semiahmoo Matsqui 4 Statistics Canada, RuUFH6WDWLVWLFV&DQDGD&HQVuVRI3RSuODWLRQDQG

23 High Pop Growth Pop Loss Statistics Canada, 2017

24 Chippewas of Georgina Island First Nation Toronto CMA 3RSXODWLRQ FKDQJH IURP WR E\ FHQVXV WUDFW &7 0DS RI Georgina Bradford West Gwillimbury New Tecumseth Mono East Gwillimbury Orangeville Newmarket Uxbridge King Caledon 1XPEHU RI &7V Halton Hills Milton WR 1RW DYDLODEOH Hamilton CMA Population change from 2011 to 2016, by census tract (CT) King &HQVXV VXEGLYLVLRQ Hamilton CMA Population change from 2011 to 2016, by census tract (CT) See map 2 Number of CTs 6RXUFH 6WDWLVWLFV &DQDGD &HQVXV RI 3RSXODWLRQ DQG 10.0% (22) 5.0% to < 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% to < 5.0% Burlington < 0.0% Burlington Grimsby Hamilton Statistics Canada, 2017 (62) (22) (18) (62) < 0.0% (89) (89) (0) Census Not subdivision available (0) Census subdivision Grimsby Hamilton Source: Statistics Canada, Census of Population, 2011 and (18) 0.0% to < 5.0% Grimsby Source: Statistics Canada, Census of Population, 2011 and Number of CTs 5.0% to < 10.0% Not available Grimsby WR High Pop Growth Pop Loss

25 Alexander 134 Gibbons Edmonton CMA Legal Morinville Population change from 2011 to 2016, by census tract (CT) Redwater Sturgeon County High Pop Growth Pop Loss Alexander 134 St. Albert Fort Saskatchewan Edmonton Edmonton Lakeview Seba Beach Wabamun 133B Kapasiwin Strathcona County Spruce Grove Wabamun 133B Spring Lake Betula Beach Point Alison Spring Lake Spruce Grove Stony Plain Wabamun 133A Parkland County Stony Plain Number of CTs 10.0% (58) 5.0% to < 10.0% (42) 0.0% to < 5.0% (101) < 0.0% Fort Morinville view Wabamun Bruderheim Gibbons St. Albert pasiwin Bon Accord Stony Plain 135 Stony Plain 135 Beaumont Devon Thorsby Calmar Leduc Warburg Leduc County (71) Sundance Beach Not available Devon (0) Census subdivision Statistics Canada, 2017 Source: Statistics Canada, Census of Population, 2011 and Itaska Beach Devon Golden Days Beaumont Strathcon

26 St. John's CMA Population change from 2011 to 2016, by census tract (CT) Pouch Cove Flatrock Bauline Torbay Logy Bay- Middle Cove- Outer Cove Portugal Cove- St. Philip's St. John's Petty Harbour-Maddox Cove Mount Pearl High Pop Growth Pop Loss Paradise 10.0% Number of CTs (9) Conception Bay South 5.0% to < 10.0% 0.0% to < 5.0% < 0.0% Not available (9) (3) (26) (0) Bay Bulls Torbay Census subdivision Statistics Canada, 2017 Witless Bay

27 3 Rs for Single Detached Homes: Re-imagine, Retrofit, Renovate, Rebuild! 1960 s Home Classic Energy Retrofit Classic Retrofit + Suite/Strata Coach Retrofit, Secondary Suite/Strata + Coach New Single Detached Home or Homeplex Occupancy GHG Tonnes/ Person / Year** Affordability / Person or 1.2 **Canadian national average existing building Boston Consulting: Policy Design Illustrations by UBC CALP

28 Objective Existing Single Family: Secondary Suites + Stratas New Secondary-suiteready homes, coach homes, homeplexes Senior Governments + Utilities Conservation Incentives Local Government Act Updates Tax Reforms Building Code Revisions Social Service Agency Capacity Building Local Governments Zoning Renewal Accelerated Permitting Incentives

29 10% New Secondary Suites in BC s Single Family Stock = 250,000 tonne reduction 10,000 single family homes 85,000 new housing units + 85,000 single family households w more revenue 10 s of 1000s solos w less social isolation

30 JUNK TO JOULES: RENEWABLE NATURAL GAS

31 Solid Organic Waste Landfills Sewage Sludge SSO AD (e.g. Surrey) LFG Capture (e.g. Kelowna) Sludge AD (e.g. Nanaimo) Renewable Natural Gas 3 9 PJ / Year GHG Reduction.5 1 Mt / Year

32 Facilitating the transition to renewable, resilient cities