2012 Air Quality Management Plan

Transcription

1 2012 Air Quality Management Plan DR. ELAINE CHANG DEPUTY EXECUTIVE OFFICER LOS ANGELES CHAMBER OF COMMERCE ENERGY, WATER & ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY & TRANSPORTATION & GOODS MOVEMENT COUNCILS LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA MAY 9, 2012 Cleaning The Air That We Breathe

2 Clean Air Act Requirements U.S. EPA sets National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) Areas designated attainment or non-attainment If non-attainment, state submits State Implementation Plan (SIP) to demonstrate how and when NAAQS will be achieved, maintained and enforced 2

3 Air Quality Management Plan California Health & Safety Code requires AQMP since 1979 Blueprint for how to meet and maintain state and federal air quality standards SIP for South Coast 2012 AQMP will be SCAQMD s 10 th 3

4 SCAQMD Board Directive AQMP Design Principles Most Efficient Path to Clean Air Minimize Socioeconomic Impacts All Feasible Measures and Promote Fair Share Responsibility Maximize Private/Public Partnership Equitable and Expeditious Progress 4

5 Joint Vision Document Follow-up to Powering the Future SCAQMD, CARB and SJVAPCD Objectives: Integrated planning Consistency in strategy development Identify opportunities for synergy and co-benefits Multi-agency consensus on vision 5

6 Joint Vision Document Resource document for SIP (PM2.5 & Ozone) AB32 Scoping Plan Update CARB Freight Transport Plan Short, mid, and long term visioning to integrate multi-pollutant, multideadline air quality planning 6

7 2012 AQMP Development AQMD Stationary Source Inventory and Controls SCAG s Growth Projections Integrated Multi-Pollutant AQMP CARB Mobile Source and Consumer Products Inventory and Controls SCAG adopts Regional Transportation Plan (TCMs, SB375 SCS) Submit to CARB for Adequacy Review, Board Approval Submit to EPA for inclusion in State Implementation Plan (SIP) APPROVE Federally enforceable Citizen suit EPA s Completeness Finding DISAPPROVE Federal Implementation Plan (FIP) Sanction clock 7

8 Integrated AQMP Climate Change Air Quality Improvement Needs Global Warming Energy Air Quality Mobility Transportation Energy Reliability 8

9 Scope of 2012 AQMP 9

10 PM2.5 Attainment Demonstration Current Findings Attain 24-hr standard by 2019 from: current regulations fleet turnover slower economic growth change in EPA methodology 10

11 24-Hr PM2.5 Challenges Extension Request No sufficient controls to move up attainment by one year Contingency Measures Adopted at time of SIP submittal ~100 tons per day NOx equivalent reductions 11

12 PM2.5 Air Quality 100 PM hour 98th Percentile 35.0 PM2.5 Annual Average µg/m3 Fed Stnd 35 µg/m µg/m Fed Stnd. 15 µg/m 3 12

13 Sources of PM2.5* Paints, Solvents, Petroleum Products 4% Total Fuel Combustion 5% Total Miscellaneous Processes 21% Total Industrial Processes 3% Total Off-Road Sources 38% Total On-Road Motor Vehicles 29% *2008 emission inventory based on PM2.5 formation potential (incl. precursors) 13

14 11 % RECLAIM SOx Source Contribution (2014) 21 % 42 % Off-Road Other Stationary and Area Sources On-Road 26 % TOTAL SOx EMISSIONS = 19 tons/day 14

15 SOx Source Categories Emissions (tons/day) RECLAIM 7.99 Top 10 SOx Source Categories (2014) Ocean Going Vessels 3.40 Aircraft 1.53 Service and Commercial 0.92 Light Duty Passenger Auto (LDA) 0.81 Petroleum Refining 0.65 Manufacturing and Industrial 0.52 Residential Fuel Combustion 0.50 Waste Burning and Disposal 0.47 Light Duty Trucks 2 (T2) 0.39 Percent of Total (17/19) 90 15

16 12 % 12 % Stationary and Area Sources On-Road PM2.5 Source Contribution (2014) 18 % 58 % Off-Road Entrained Road Dust TOTAL PM2.5 EMISSIONS = 67 tons/day 16

17 Top 10 PM2.5 Source Categories (2014) PM2.5 Source Categories Emissions (tons/day) Cooking Paved Road Dust 7.39 Residential Fuel Combustion 7.08 Waste Burning and Disposal 4.66 Light Duty Passenger Auto (LDA) 4.43 Off Road Equipment 3.59 Mineral Processes 3.05 Wood and Paper 2.56 Construction and Demolition 1.94 Heavy Heavy Duty Diesel Trucks (HHD) 1.79 Percent of Total (47/67) 71 17

18 Preliminary PM2.5 & Ozone Carrying Capacities 3000 Baseline NOX Equivalent Emissions* (TPD) RFP (96 tpd per year) NOx Equivalent Carrying Capacity to Attain 24-Hr PM2.5 Standard (35 µg/m 3 ) NOx Carrying Capacity to Attain 8-hr Ozone Standard (80 ppb) } VOC PM2.5 SOX NOX Reductions needed for ozone All current rules implemented NOx Equivalency Emissions: VOC 0.4, NOx 1.0, PM2,5 10.0, SOx

19 Ozone 8-hr ozone standards (80 ppb by 2023; 75 ppb by 2032) NOx heavy strategy needed to meet standard Provide actions to be taken in next 2-3 years Mostly mobile source measures Vision document to maximize co-benefits 19

20 Emissions Reductions to Meet the Ozone Standards 20

21 Top NOx Source Categories (2023) (2012 AQMP Draft Inventory) Heavy-Duty Diesel Trucks Off-Road Equipment Ships & Commercial Boats* Light-Duty Vehicles RECLAIM Locomotives Aircraft Med-Duty Gasoline Vehicles Residential Fuel Combustion Heavy-Duty Gasoline Trucks + Draft 2012 AQMP as of May 4, 2012 (subject to change) * Oceangoing vessels = 33.8 tons/day **RECLAIM: 320 largest stationary sources, including all refineries and power plants 21 Source: 2007 South Coast Air Quality Management Plan

22 14 % Stationary and Other Area Sources VOC Source Contribution (2023) 22 % 37 % Consumer Products and Architectural Ctgs Off-Road On-Road 27 % TOTAL VOC EMISSIONS = 420 tons/day 22

23 Top 10 VOC Source Categories (2023) VOC Source Categories Emissions (tons/day) Consumer Products Off-Road Equipment Petroleum Marketing Architectural Coatings and Related Solvent Coatings and Related Processes Recreational Boats Light Duty Passenger Auto (LDA) Degreasing Landfills Medium Duty Trucks (T3) Percent of Total (296/420)

24 Outreach Key Agencies Meetings Local Stakeholders Meetings Focus Groups 24

25 The Road Ahead Summer 2012 release Draft AQMP Draft EIR Socioeconomic report Conduct Public Workshops Adoption in Fall 2012 Submit to CARB for approval SIP submittal to EPA December 2012 deadline 25