International Collaborative Research for Innovative Modelling and Monitoring for Low Carbon Society and Eco-Cities in Indonesia

Transcription

1 ISAP(International Forum for Sustainable Asia and the Pacific) 2014 International Climate Regime in 2020 and Initiatives in Asia: International Collaborative Research for Innovative Modelling and Monitoring for Low Carbon Society and Eco-Cities in Indonesia Professor FUJITA, Tsuyoshi, Director of Social Research Center National Institute for Environmental Studies, JAPAN 1 Structure of AIM model Dr. Mikiko Kainuma, NIES, 2013 Presentations Mitigation Target, Climate Policy, Capacity building,... What are assessed and how? carbon tax IPCC/WG3 GHG emissions Emission Model Simple Climate Model Account model Global long-term vision Enduse model Country AIM/Impact temperature Economic model Local/City [Policy] Impact/Adaptation sequential dynamic mid-term target Model dynamics optimization feedback low carbon scenario IPCC/integrated scenario Agriculture future society Modeling Water Other Models Human health Population Transportation Residential Burden share Stock-flow Accounting IPCC/WG2 Global National/Local adaptation 2 1

2 Scenario Approach to Low Carbon Society in Asia GHG emissions per capita High Carbon Locked in Society Low Carbon Locked in Society Leapfrog Development Backcasting High Carbon Locked in type Development Policy Packages for Asia LCS Low Carbon Society Development of Asia LCS Scenarios Time (1) Depicting narrative scenarios for LCS (2) Quantifying future LCS visions (3) Developing robust roadmaps by backcasting Climate catastrophe: Significant Damage to Economy and Eco System Funded by Ministry 3 of Environment, Japan (GERF, S-6) and NIES 3 Emission Low Carbon Challenges in Asian Regions L o ng T er (2)Innovative Solutions/ Technologies and Social Schems (3)Innovative Monitoring Verification System m T ar g e ts (1)Future Targets for Global Goal

3 Development of Innovative MRV System for Eco Industrial Parks and Eco Cities FY Smart monitoring system for energy and material flow will provide the fundamental low carbon management information and provide innovative industrial network management solutions Policy Outcome Smart Reporting/ monitoring/ verification system to realize Innovative production and consumption system through energy and material network management thorough industrial and energy symbiosis Collaboration partner system innovative Japanese eco towns, future cities and eco model cities Demonstration eco industrial districts and cities for innovative centers of green production and consumption Research Targets Green Consumption and Production Synergy Network monitoring system for energy/ carbon flow and material flow monitoring network system Low carbon data knowledge hub Green production consumption design with value chains through low carbon and circularization Low carbon Eco Energy Industrial Park monitoring, indicators and verification model Steam Pipeline Low carbon EIPs Smart Eco- Industrial Parks Electricity Steam Line Information Eco- cities Local Energy Center Smart Recycle Center Area Energy Management System AEMS Smart Districts/ Campus/Cities 5 AGENDA (1) Integrative modelling research for low carbon society (2) Urban and regional eco-city design model and simulation research (3) Innovative monitoring and regional evaluation system research 6 3

4 (1) Integrative modelling research for low carbon society Assessment of mitigation technologies and financial policies for low carbon development are jointly developed particularly focusing in the fields of agriculture, forestry, energy and land use sectors in Indonesia 7 GHG Emissions in Low Carbon Asia GHG GHG emissions 排出量 [GtCO2eq/ [GtCO2eq/yr] 年 ] 方策 Reduction 1 都市内交通 による削減 due to Action 1 (urban transport) 方策 Reduction 2 地域間交通 による削減 due to Action 2 (interregional transport) 方策 3 資源利用 による削減 Reduction due to Action 3 方策 (resources 4 建築物 による削減 & materials) 方策 Reduction 5 バイオマス による削減 due to Action 4 (buildings) Reduction due to Action 5 (biomass) 方策 6 エネルギーシステム による削減 Reduction due to Action 6 (energy system) 方策 Reduction 7 農業 畜産 による削減 due to Action 7 (agriculture & livestock) 方策 8 森林 土地利用 による削減 Reduction due to Action 8 方策以外の削減 (forestry & land use) Other reduction アジアの排出量 ( 低炭素社会 ) Emission in Asia (LCS) 世界の排出量 Global Emission ( 低炭素社会 (LCS) ) 世界の排出量 Global Emission ( なりゆき社会 (BaU) ) By Dr. S. Fujimori (NIES) 8 8 4

5 AGENDA (1) Integrative modelling research for low carbon society (2) Urban and regional eco-city design model and simulation research (3) Innovative monitoring and regional evaluation system research 9 (2)Urban and regional eco-city design model and simulation research Development of regional scale integrated assessment model for designing low car-bon society in Indonesia, which covers energy sectors as well as non-energy sectors such as forest management and material recycling system will be collaborated. 10 5

6 Eco-town Projects from Eco Model Cities from BaU Land Use Scenario in Fukushima Coastal Region Population Forecast by Cohort Method Power Station Power Station Population decrease in case of Japan Index Forestory Farm Vege.Plants Urban Industry km

7 Energy location analysis for demand and supply Distribution of heat energy demand Distribution of heat energy supply Land use scenarios Business as Usual 熱需要 [TJ] 熱供給 [TJ] EIP technology Scenrio Compact land use scenario 13 Compact land use scenario for Urban Symbiosis Symbiotic land use among Industries d Urban Sectors and Agriculture Low carbon Agriculture Low Carbon Housing with DHC Low carbon Agriculture Low Carbon Housing with DHC Power Plant Compact Land Use Adaptive for Dispersed Regional Energy System Energy Garden City Index Forestory Farm Vege.Plants Urban Industry Low carbon Agriculture Low Carbon Housing with DHC Power Plant km

8 Low carbon effects for land use control [Mt-CO [Mt CO 2 2 /year] Takuya Togawa et. al.(2014), J. of Cleaner Production (in press) 40% 減 82% 減 Base Line Scenario (BAU; ベースライン ) 民生産業植物工場 Eco-industry development Scenario Low Carbon Garden City Scenario (3) Innovative monitoring and regional evaluation system research Innovative social monitoring system which includes smart monitoring system for eco-city districts and eco-industrial parks will be developed under the comprehensive collaboration between Indonesia and Japan. The following academic and policy outcome are expected such as strategic technology assessment and coordination for sustainable low fossil carbon society strategy planning, innovative monitoring system. 16 8

9 Smart Symbiosis Initiatives for Eco town Innovation Initiatives Smart ICT network will promote and complement the synergetic network functions among stakeholders Energy and consumption demand control system for urban sectors 気象情報 Smart community Energy demand 発電 熱量 information Waste and material Energy 発電量予測 Information support for optimizing local and regional material and energy circularization Urban Waste Energy demand response Local Data Collection Center Renewable energy Smart Recycle substitutive Center By product information incineration methane Operation information Smart industrial complex supported by synergetic information network among industries Local energy supply and demand Smart industrial complex High value Local symbiosis Demand Urban and Regional symbiosis Power plant Steel Cement Chemical 17 Role of monitoring CO 2 Function Device Ex. air conditioning Energy Use of consumption function Need for User function Monitoring Find room for improvement in device toward LC Real-time optimum control Analysis Find room for improvement in user activity toward LC Real-time demand control Prediction of CO 2 reduction per cost, Report of CO 2 reduction etc

10 Monitoring in a factory Cloud FEMS Measurements summary Demand monitoring and alarm Energy consumption rate management Event monitoring Energy data collection router Measurement points approximate Receiving power Utility Production equipment 5-poiint measurement poiint measurement poiint measurement poiint measurement poiint measurement Demand control Network connection point Collection device EMS Client Alarm Visualization Inverter Distribution board Energy measurement Distribution board Chiller pump Cooling tower Utility Lighting Air conditioning Production equipment Production 1/2 補助対象でも工事費補助は Production 1/3Production equipment equipment equipment Copyright 2014 FUJITSU LIMITED 19 Overview of Monitoring System IPB campus (residence) Collect data of power house power sensor Data capture data recovery It reload data from data captures in campus when network and data error occurs network router FTP Fujitsu data center in Japan Cloud Service Environmental Management Dashboard 警告灯 regular data backup DWH data pool security Access credentials by log-in ID and password Users in IPB campus Researchers Check and analyze energy usage Facility management Monitor energy usage Maintain infrastructure Control system others Observe energy usage from Univ. website IPB campus (office) Distribution board FTP BI analysis evaluation WEB/AP dashboard security Access credentials by log-in ID and password Users(collaborators) researcher Monitor and analyze energy usage 20 Copyright 2014 FUJITSU LIMITED Copyright 2014 FUJITSU LIMITED 20 10

11 1District energy behavior support network project You are the in the district in the power saving rankings We accomplished energy conservation equivalent to CO2 amount. Let's tell friends how to do this. Let's go to the library since I have 5 fellows waiting to play Go. We conserved a lot of power today. 2Aging community living support network project Housing reconstruction, etc. Energy consumption monitoring system Two way communication tablet Installation in 50 to 100 homes Housing reconstructi on, etc. Housing reconstruction, etc. information of power saving Information of welfare Energy consumption data The actual situatio n of the use School Public facility Solar panels of the existing Production of electricity from solar panel Mass transit system Service performan ce Data accumulation 4Smart hybrid center project Plant factory Heat supply facility GPS Public transportation system operation plan responding to the super-aging society Thermal power plant LNG terminal 3Local transportation behavior support network project Utilize basic information for creating the future town Energy plan to utilize local industry stock being deployed in the future Solar thermal Factori es Innovative Monitoring and Reporting, Verification System in Asian Countries Greenhouse gas Observing SATellite GOSAT Ground Monitoring System of GHG Validation Joint carbon Credit Mechanism Projects Verification Smart Monitoring Network System for Eco Cities International Financial System for Low Carbon City Development Two way information network using the internet CO2 and heat Eco-city Evaluation and Validation Emission Low Carbon Challenges in Asian Regions L o ng T er (2)Innovative Solutions/ Technologies and Social Schems (3)Innovative Monitoring Verification System m T ar g e ts (1)Future Targets for Global Goal

12 Related Publication Xudong Chen, Tsuyoshi Fujita, Satoshi Ohnishi, Minoru Fujii, Yong Geng;The Impact of Scale, Recycling Boundary, and Type of Waste on Symbiosis and Recycling: An Empirical Study of Japanese Eco-Towns, Journal of Industrial Ecology, Vol.16(1), pp , February, 2012 Minoru Fujii, Tsuyoshi Fujita, Xudong Chen, Satoshi Ohnishi, Naohisa Yamaguchi;Smart Recycling of Organic Solid Wastes in an Environmentally Sustainable Society, Resources, Conservation and Recycling, Vol.63, pp.1-8, June, 2012 Xudong Chen, Tsuyoshi Fujita, Yong Geng, Kebin Liu, Minoru Fujii, Junyi Wang, Bing Xue;Effects of Environmental Education on Waste Separation Performance: Experimental Study in Shenyang University, China, Journal of Cleaner Productions, submitted March 28th, 2012 Yujiro Hirano, Tsuyoshi Fujita;Evaluation of the impact of the urban heat island on residential and commercial energy consumption in Tokyo, Journal of Energy, Vol.37(1), pp ,01,2012 Satoshi Ohnishi, Tsuyoshi Fujita, Xudong Chen, Minoru Fujii;Econometric Analysis of the Performance of Recycling Projects in Japanese Eco-Towns, Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol.33(1), pp , September, 2012 Xudong Chen, Fengming Xi, Yong Geng, Tsuyoshi Fujita ; The Potential Environmental Gains from Recycling Waste Plastics: Simulation of Transferring Recycling and Recovery Technologies to Shenyang, China, Journal of Waste Management, Vol.31(1) pp , January 2011 Yong Geng, Tsuyoshi Fujita,Xudong Chen; Evaluation of Innovative Municipal Solid Waste Management through Urban Symbiosis: A Case Study of Kawasaki, Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol.18, pp , 07,2010 Shizuka Hashimoto, Tsuyoshi Fujita, Yong Geng, Emiri Nagasawa;Realizing CO2 Emission Reduction through Industrial Symbiosis: A Cement Production Case Study for Kawasaki, Journal of Conservation and Recycling, Vol.54(10), pp , 08,2010 Rene Van Berkel, Tsuyoshi Fujita, Shizuka Hashimoto, Minoru Fujii;Quantitative Assessment of Urban and Industrial Symbiosis in Kawasaki, Japan, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol.43, No.5, 2009,pp , Rene van Berkel, Tsuyoshi Fujita, Shizuka Hashimoto, Yong Geng;Industrial and Urban Symbiosis in Japan : Analysis of the Eco-Town Program ;Journal of Environmental Management, vol.90,pp ,2009 Thank you for attention 23 12