EU: Preparing to Implement the Paris Agreement

Transcription

1 EU: Preparing to Implement the Paris Agreement Jake Werksman Principal Adviser, DG CLIMA European Commission March 2017

2 Celebrating Paris

3 The Paris Agreement: design and expectations (mitigation) Ambitious ("well-below" 2 C/pursue 1.5 C, peaking ASAP) Comprehensive (economy-wide absolute targets) Transparent and accountable (Articles 13 and 15) Dynamic (Five year stocktake and ambition cycle) Inclusive (nationally determined contributions) 3

4 Ambitious: target consistent with a mid-century roadmap 100% 100% 80% Power Sector Current policy 80% 60% Residential & Tertiary 60% 40% Industry 40% Transport 20% 20% Non CO 2 Agriculture 0% Non CO 2 Other Sectors 0%

5 Ambitious: Building on the Kyoto Protocol targets 5

6 Mt CO2 equivalent Ambitious: Significant departure from BAU Achievable: Consistent with economic growth GDP and GHG decoupling At least 40% reduction compared to Historic emissions -22% in 2015 * 20% reduction compared to 1990 Projections with existing measures -WEM- (based on MS submissions) *proxy 2015 EU 2020 target vs 1990 vs % -14% EU 2030 target vs % EU current situation 2015*/ */1990 0,7% -22% 1990 = 100% GDP GHG emissions Indicative Policy Trajectory 6 Source: EEA, Commission

7 Comprehensive: Economy wide, absolute domestic GHG emissions reductions of at least -40% by 2030 cp to 1990 ETS -43 % cp to 2005 Including: Power/Energy Sector and Industry, Aviation Max 100 MtCO2eq Non-ETS -30 % cp to 2005 ESR -30 % cp to 2005 Including: road transport, buildings, waste, agriculture non CO2 Full flexibility Max 280 MtCO2eq LULUCF "No-Debit"

8 Comprehensive: 28 binding ESR targets 8

9 Comprehensive: Includes Land use, land use change and forestry Brings the CO2 commitment for this sector into the EU climate and energy framework for the first time as a stand-alone policy pillar Ensures that accounted emissions from land use are entirely compensated by an equivalent removal of CO₂ from the atmosphere (no debit rule) Ensures that emissions of biomass will be recorded and counted; promoting bio-energy feed-stocks that are most sustainable Compatible with food security and biodiversity objectives 9

10 Comprehensive: Targets and policies on energy efficiency Energy Efficiency Directive Energy Performance of Buildings Ecodesign Work Plan Binding 30% energy efficiency target for 2030; Create 400,000 new jobs; Reduce gas imports by 12% and save 70 billion in fossil fuel imports. Clear vision for a decarbonised building stock by 2050; Smart & Efficient buildings (use of Information and Communication Technologies); Smart Finance for Smart Buildings initiative. List of new product groups; Outline on how ecodesign will contribute to circular economy objectives.

11 Comprehensive: Targets and policies on renewable energy Investment certainty Tapping into heating and cooling potential Promoting innovation in transport 27% by 2030 Cost-effective deployment Strengthening bioenergy sustainability Collective target achievement 11 #EnergyUnion

12 Transparent and Accountable: Streamlined and Integrated Planning and Reporting National Integrated Energy and Plans (2021 to 2030) (preparation well before 2020) TODAY MS planning MS ing EC monitoring / ing National progress s (from 2021, every two years) NEW GOVERNANCE Integrated national energy and climate plan Periodic progress s Periodic State of the Energy Union European Commission monitoring (State of the Energy Union) Synchronised with the Paris Agreement's review cycle 12 #EnergyUnion

13 Paris Transparent, Accountable and Dynamic: Paris-synchronized Planning and Reporting PROPOSED TIMELINE Final Plans ( ) Final update (of 2030 Plan) Final Plans ( ) Draft Plans ( ) Draft update (of 2030 Plan) Draft Plans ( ) Progress Progress Progress Progress Progress Facilitative dialogue NDCs Global NDCs Global NDCs stocktake stocktake Commission assessment and recommendations Measures to close gaps to 2030 targets Regional cooperation

14 An integrated whole: ENERGY UNION: MAKING ENERGY MORE SECURE, AFFORDALE AND SUSTAINABLE 2030 Energy and Framework European Energy Security Strategy

15 Draft laws under negotiation ETS ESR LULUCF E U R O P E A N P A R L I A M E N T ITRE opinion ENVI 13 Oct 8 Dec ENVI Draft 15 Dec 2016 ENV Council 19 Dec Public Hearing 30 Jan 2017 ENV Council 28 Feb Plenary vote Feb 2017 ENVI Draft European Council 9-10 March 20 March 2017 ENVI 29 May 2017 ENVI 22 June

16 Conclusions Ambitious climate policies can be effective, economically beneficial, and require time to design Integrated climate, energy, and innovation strategies are the EU's investment in a low carbon future Completing the design of climate policy for the EU NDC is a priority Maintaining the Paris momentum requires leadership globally and at home 16