Colorado Climate Plan

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1 Colorado Climate Plan Colorado Parks and Wildlife Commission Mtg. March 9, 2016 Taryn Finnessey Climate Change Risk Management Specialist Colorado Water Conservation Board

2 Released in Sept by Governor Hickenlooper Mutli-sectoral state level policies and recommendations Water Public Health Energy Agriculture Transportation Tourism & Recreation Ecosystems Includes mitigation and adaptation Collaborative effort by state agencies

3 Climate Change in Colorado A Synthesis to Support Water Resources Management and Adaptation A synthesis of climate change science important for Colorado s water supply. Observed trends, modeling, and projections of temperature, precipitation, snowmelt, and runoff. Colorado-specific findings from peer-reviewed regional studies. Presents new graphics derived from existing datasets. Released August 2014

4 Climate Change Vulnerability Study Lead Agency: CEO Project Goal: To provide an assessment of the key climate change vulnerabilities facing Colorado s economy and resources. Qualitatively assesses vulnerabilities in the following sectors: Water Energy Public Health Transportation Ecosystems Agriculture Tourism Conducted by researchers at CU & CSU Released February, 2015

5 Observed temperature departures for Colorado, the US, and globally, smoothed with a 10-year running mean Climate variability is relatively larger at smaller scales, as seen in the US and Colorado time-series. You shouldn t judge the global trends from what is going on in Colorado. But all three records have followed a similar trajectory since 1900.

6 Observed & Projected Annual Temperatures

7 2050 Temperature Projections in Context 2 F: Denver s seasonal temperature cycle will become more like Pueblo today 4 F: Denver s seasonal temperature cycle will become more like Lamar today 6 F: Denver s seasonal temperature cycle will become more like Albuquerque today

8 Water Vulnerabilities: Changes in streamflow, peak runoff and crop demands. Decreases in Snowpack. Increases in drought. Increased water temperatures. Decreased water quality.

9 Projected climate and hydrology changes Annual streamflow Peak runoff timing Crop water use April 1 snowpack Palmer Drought Index Heat waves Cold waves Frost-free season Wildfires decreases in majority of projections earlier in all projections increases decreases in most projections more drought more frequent less frequent longer more frequent Projected

10 Projected change in municipal water diversions(af) with range of climate change increases

11 Projected agricultural water demands(af) with range of climate change increases

12 Tree-ring reconstructed streamflows for four major Colorado river basins

13 STRATEGIES AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS Promote and encourage water efficiency and/or conservation at the local and state agency level. Encourage water providers to do comprehensive integrated water resource planning, geared toward implementing the best practices at the higher customer participation levels to achieve state endorsement of projects and financial assistance. Support water sharing agreements where feasible and cost effective. Explore options to increase reuse of fully consumable water. Encourage opportunities for reservoir enlargement statewide (where feasible and cost effective) that could be used for municipal, agricultural, recreational and environmental purposes. Support improvements in Colorado s water infrastructure system by providing low-interest loans and grants, and encourage partnerships and resource-sharing with federal agencies. Promote and encourage drought preparedness through comprehensive drought planning and mitigation implementation. Identify climate change risks related to integrated water quality and water quantity management. Incorporate climate variability and change into long-term, statewide water planning efforts. Work with regulators to modify existing water quality standards to factor in climatic change into regulations. Work with utilities and federal agencies to identify and address regulatory barriers to climate preparedness and adaptation. Assist local communities in building resilience through the development and implementation of regional and local resiliency plans. Collaborate across jurisdictions to protect and restore ecosystems associated with healthy watersheds Fund and enhance existing weather monitoring systems. Fund and enhance stream and lake quantity and quality monitoring.

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15 Ecosystems Vulnerabilities: increased susceptibility to insect and pathogen invasions, phenology shifts, wildfire, decline in habitat suitability, drought stress

16 State Assets State Owned Aquatic Habitat Inventory and Impact Scores

17 State Assets State Parks Inventory and Impact Scores

18 STRATEGIES AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS Continue to support funding and technical support for homeowners who live in areas with high risk of wildfire. Focus efforts on mitigation and the reduction of hazardous fuels around homes. Develop and improve incentives for homeowners to encourage personal responsibility for risk reduction. Combine incentives with robust outreach and education. Enhance the availability of parcel-level data, so that homeowners and potential home-buyers can accurately assess the level of risk associated with a given property. Make data available to insurance companies, emergency personnel, and local governments. Submit a State Wildlife Action Plan to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service by the end of September 2015 that includes a vulnerability assessment of 13 priority habitats based on projected climate change. Update the SWAP, including climate-related elements, no less frequently than every 10 years. Work with state, federal, and non-governmental partners to model projected distribution of species, to the extent that available data supports analyses. Coordinate among CPW, the CWCB, the private sector, and municipalities to consider how future water-supply projections will impact aquatic habitat. Continue to investigate ways to reduce impacts of climate change in aquatic systems through stream-habitat improvement and connectivity.

19 Questions? Taryn Finnessey Colorado Water Conservation Board X3231