WELCOME to the Covenant of Mayors webinar on PLANNING A SUSTAINABLE CITY THROUGH CARBON BUDGETS

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1 25 September 2018, 16:00-17:00 CET WELCOME to the Covenant of Mayors webinar on PLANNING A SUSTAINABLE CITY THROUGH CARBON BUDGETS The webinar will start in a few minutes. You will be able to hear the speakers, but you will not be able to speak. In order to ask questions, use the chat in the bottom right corner. If something is wrong with your audio, you can try to exit and enter again. You can also write to us in the chat.

2 Speakers Oslo s pioneering climate budget to halve CO 2 emissions Morten Nordskag, Special Adviser on International Climate Cooperation, Department of Environment and Transport, City of Oslo, Norway Climate recovery ordinance and carbon budgeting work Ethan Nelson, Intergovernmental Relations, City of Eugene, Oregon, USA On the way towards a carbon budget Matthew Thomas, Principal Policy and Programmes Officer, Zero Carbon Policy Team, Greater London Authority, UK & Clare Silcock, Senior Policy and Programmes Officer, Zero Carbon Policy Team, Greater London Authority, UK

3 To keep in mind Website: Contact:

4 OSLO S CLIMATE BUDGET INNOVATION IN CLIMATE CHANGE GOVERNANCE Morten Nordskag, Special Adviser Climate Unit City of Oslo, Department of Environment and Transport

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6 Oslo s climate targets 2020 & 2030 E m i s s i o n s 36% E m i s s i o n s 50% E m i s s i o n s 95% 2020 As soon as possible after

7 How did it come about? Introduced in city government platform Politically motivated Incorporated in the Climate and Energy Strategy 1st Climate Budget presented in 2016

8 In a nut shell Direct emissions (scope 1) Indirect emissions not included no consumption based analyses Geographical area not only the city administration Includes all emission sectors in available statistics Combination of national, regional and local measures Combination of quantified and non-quantified measures

9 Innovation in governance Integrated in the ordinary municipal budget Identifies emission reduction measures Identifies costs and responsible zunit for implementation Reporting as part of the ordinary budget cycle

10 Organisation of the climate work in Oslo

11 Budget process (year 1) Budget resolution Letter with budget instructions Strategic conference Budget proposition from The City Council Budget proposition from the agencies Final Budget Conference Assembling conference

12 Budget process (year 2) Report 3 (By newyear) Report 1 (March/Apr) Report 2 (Aug/Sept)

13 CO2-eq Oslo s GHG-emissions, Other mobile combustion Waste and waste water Energy combustion Industrial processes, oil and gas Agriculture Civil Aviation Stationary energy Sea transportation Road transportation

14 Methodology For the 2018 version: More than 40 measures 12 quantified measures in 2018 High number of measures notquantified Uncertainty and transparency

15 THE CLIMATE BAROMETER 14 indicators Updated 3 times a year Results are published online

16 MEASURES IN THE CLIMATE BUDGET

17 The way forward Climate budget 2019 ready for adoption Improve statistics Analyse the need for new measures Improve system for MRV Evaluate the climate barometer Develop a new climate strategy

18 Thank you!

19 London s 1.5 Action Plan PLANNING A SUSTAINABLE CITY THROUGH CARBON BUDGETS Clare Silcock and Matthew Thomas Zero Carbon Policy Team, Greater London Authority

20 London Government City Hall is home to the Greater London Authority (GLA) Established in 1999 and now led by Mayor Sadiq Khan Responsible for strategic planning and sets budget for: Transport for London Metropolitan Police Authority London Fire and Emergency Planning Authority Development Corporations

21 33 local authorities

22 London s first integrated environment strategy Forms London s Paris compliant climate action plan Ambition includes: Zero carbon city Zero waste city LONDON ENVIRONMENT STRATEGY World Health Organisation PM 2.5 targets for air quality Increase green cover to 50% Action plans for fuel poverty and solar New businesses cases for energy efficiency and green infrastructure

23 How we planned for 1.5 degrees London has had an ambitious carbon reduction target and programmes for over 10 years. Mayor Sadiq Khan was elected with a commitment to extend this to a zero carbon target by Significant carbon reductions have and will be achieved by electricity sector decarbonisation but greater local action will be needed

24 Where we are now: Energy Efficiency National Gov support particularly for energy efficiency and small scale renewable energy have been cut drastically London has struggled to access national energy efficiency and renewable subsidy programs 65 per cent of homes remain below accepted minimum performance (Energy Performance Certificate Level C) Many of these will still be in use in 2050

25 NUMBER OF HOMES RETROFITTED PER YEAR Where we need to get to: Energy Efficiency It is possible to reverse this trend through a concerted policy effort, the graph below shows homes that could be retrofitted under our Central scenario Minimum energy efficiency standards are particularly important, reaching all tenure and housing types Extended Mayoral Programs Tax Mechanisms Renovation Regulations Minimum Energy Efficiency

26 How we could get to zero carbon energy systems We looked at four different ways to supply energy needed Decentralised Energy High Electrification Policy focus on heat networks to deliver low carbon heat High uptake of solar PV and electric vehicles Decarbonised Gas Policy focus on delivering low carbon hydrogen produced with carbon capture and storage to completely replace gas boilers Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles much more common Heat pumps are dominant technology Direct electric heating using low carbon electricity replaces gas where heat pumps are not feasible Electric vehicles dominate transport with a small amount of hydrogen fuel cells Patchwork High uptake of heat pumps, but with some residual gas boilers Electric vehicles dominate Hydrogen backbone developed to supply district heat, industry and heavy transport

27 Where we need to be: Energy Systems There are a range of ways that significant decarbonisation can be achieved: decentralised energy (i.e. district heat) electrification of heat and transport, development of decarbonised gas (hydrogen) or a patchwork solution of these Decentralised energy cannot provide as deep carbon reductions after 2035, and the decarbonised gas scenario implies higher emissions through the 2030s. The costs are also comparable: there are economic advantages to low carbon technologies, particularly lower fuel costs for vehicles the Baseline scenario is not the cheapest

28 How we get there: Carbon Budgets London s previous target: 60 per cent reduction on 1990 emission by 2025 was long term (set in 2008) and aspirational We did not have a clear path to get there, and are not on track due to slow emissions reductions in all UK sectors except power. We moved to a carbon budgets approach to provide a shorter term, but also more flexible path towards zero carbon, based on our much more detailed modelling. This approach is also in line with the UK s carbon budgeting system, but our budgets are more ambitious Emissions from UK sectors Committee on Climate Change (2018)

29 The Carbon Budgets Budget midpoints correspond to emissions reductions on 1990 levels (40, 50 and 60 per cent) Meeting this requires rapid grid decarbonisation and early retrofit action, particularly in the first carbon budget, followed by significant electrification of heat and transport. The policy and market for infrastructure change to deliver emissions reductions beyond the carbon budget period must be established in the 2020s

30 What we should do: Low Regret Actions Now Mid 2020s Heat Networks: supply estimated 30,000 homes reach 100,000 by 2025 Heat Pumps: less than 500 installed reach 300,000 by 2025 Electric Vehicles Less than 1% of trips 50% of trips by 2030 Solar PV 100 MW of solar installed an extra 100 MW by 2030

31 What we are already doing Cleaner Heat Cashback: first commercial boiler scrappage scheme with increased incentives for heat pumps Warmer Homes Fund: providing funding for energy efficiency to fuel poor households Solar Together London: collective purchase program which has allowed nearly 1,000 London households to install cheaper solar PV London Community Energy Fund: supporting community groups to assess feasibility of sites for 300kWp solar Electric Van Trial: gathering real world data on success of electric van deliveries in central London Electric Vehicles Taskforce: convening stakeholders to develop action plan for deployment of EV infrastructure in cohesive way to 2025 Lobbying central government to improve energy efficiency offering, continue support for renewable energy and accelerate transition to zero emissions vehicles

32 London.gov.uk/environment-newsletter @LDN_environment