World Solvents Industry Study with Forecasts to 2007 & 2012 Order Information About The Freedonia Group The Freedonia Group, Inc.
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1 World Solvents Industry Study with Forecasts to 2007 & 2012 for 14 Countries & Six Regions STUDY #1715 September 2003 $4800 The Freedonia Group The First Choice In Industry Research 767 Beta Drive Cleveland, OH USA Tel: (US) or Fax:
2 World Solvents Industry Study with Forecasts to 2007 & 2012 Study #1715 September 2003 $ Pages The vast majority of near-term capacity expansion plans announced by multinational solvent producers are slated for the Asia/Pacific region, particularly in China Oxygenated and green solvents to drive gains through 2007 World demand for environmentally friendly solvents (excluding hydrocarbon and chlorinated types) is projected to register gains of almost four percent per year through Overall demand for solvents, including hydrocarbon and chlorinated types, is forecast to grow at a less impressive 2.3 percent per year through 2007, approaching 20 million metric tons. Although modest, overall growth will represent a considerable improvement over the period. Demand for hydrocarbon and chlorinated solvents will continue its downward trend as a result of environmental regulations, with oxygenated and green solvents replacing them to a large extent. Asia/Pacific region to grow fastest The Asia/Pacific region holds the best prospects, with demand for solvents in the region projected to expand a brisk 4.8 percent per year through 2007 to almost seven million metric tons. A healthy economic and fixed investment outlook in the region will benefit demand for products that require solvents during their manufacture. Most of the actual production of these solvent-using products will also take place in the Asia/Pacific region due to low-cost labor and the benefits of producing goods near their final Solvents Demand by Region, 2007 (19.6 million metric tons) North America 25% Western Europe 23% Asia/Pacific 35% Rest of World 17% destination. Not surprisingly, the vast majority of near-term capacity expansion plans announced by multinational solvent producers are slated for the Asia/Pacific region, particularly in China. Solvent-based coatings remain dominant in Japan The Japanese market will grow at a much slower pace than the overall Asia/Pacific region's solvent market. Demand for solvents in Japan is projected to rise less than one percent per year through 2007, when it will reach 1.6 million metric tons. Nevertheless, this will mark an improvement over the country's recent performance. Unlike the US or Western Europe, sales of solvent-based paints and coatings still account for the majority (75 percent) of overall paint sales in Japan. In the US and Western Europe, environmental concerns have successfully boosted sales of water-based paints and coatings to grab an almost equal market share as solvent-based forms -- especially in the US. This is one of the key factors that led to declining solvent sales in the US and Western Europe during the period. Visit for complete text and table of contents
3 Table of Contents Letter From the CEO INTRODUCTION EXECUTIVE SUMMARY... 1 MARKET ENVIRONMENT General... 4 World Economic Outlook... 5 Recent Macroeconomic Performance... 5 Macroeconomic Outlook... 7 Capital Investment/Fixed Investment Trends... 9 World Population Overview Environmental & Regulatory Issues Air Quality & Ozone Issues Worker Safety Issues Solvent Recovery & Recycling. 17 Pricing Trends Solvent Markets Paints & Coatings Cleaning Products Pharmaceuticals Printing Inks PRODUCT & MARKET OVERVIEW General Demand by Region Production & International Trade Overview Product Overview Hydrocarbons Alcohols Ketones Esters Glycol Ethers Chlorinated Solvents Other Solvents Market Overview Dear Colleague: As the world economy emerges from its recent period of doldrums, businesses are planning how to benefit from the new opportunities that an upswing will bring. In making those plans, strategic planners like you require credible industry information on which to base decisions. At Freedonia, it is our mission to provide you with an unbiased, reliable outlook for each industry that we study. We carefully examine available sources, separate the wheat from the chaff, and distill an ocean of data into a concise presentation of where an industry stands today... and where it is going. At Freedonia, it is our mission to provide you with an unbiased, reliable outlook for each industry... Each Freedonia industry study provides you with the information and analysis you need to make important decisions. How large is your target market? Which product segments are growing fastest? Which markets are growing fastest? Our analysts review the relevant secondary sources and talk directly to participants in the industry to find the answers. Our World Solvents study is the culmination of several hundred hours of Freedonia analysts' time. The story here is the use of green solvents to replace the less environmentally friendly hydrocarbon and chlorinated types. Learn how this transition is taking place over varying time frames across a multitude of countries. I invite you to add the Freedonia Group to your team by acquiring our World Solvents study today. Very truly yours, Jeffrey Weiss, CEO NORTH AMERICA General... 43
4 Table of Contents (cont.) United States Canada Mexico WESTERN EUROPE General France Germany Italy Spain United Kingdom Other Western Europe ASIA/PACIFIC General China India Japan South Korea Other Asia/Pacific OTHER REGIONS General Latin America Brazil Other Latin America Eastern Europe Russia Other Eastern Europe Africa/Mideast Solvents Demand by Type, 2007 (19.6 million metric tons) Alcohols 31% Ketones 12% Chlorinated 6% Celanese AG Frankfurter Strasse Kronberg/Taunus Germany Esters 12% Celanese Chemicals 1601 West LBJ Freeway Dallas, TX Sales: $4.1 billion (2002) Employment: 10,700 (2002) Hy drocarbons 26% All Others 7% Glycol Esters 7% COMPANY PROFILES INDUSTRY STRUCTURE General Market Share Industry Restructuring Competitive Strategies Cooperative Agreements Low Cost Leadership Product Differentiation Research & Development Marketing & Distribution Company Profiles Key Products: ester, ketone, alcohol and glycol solvents; dimethyl formamide; and crotonaldehyde Celanese is a global industrial chemicals company involved in the processing of raw chemical materials and natural products into value-added chemicals and chemical-based products. The Company operates through five business segments: Acetyl Products, Acetate Products, Chemical Intermediates, Technical Polymers Ticona and Performance Products. The Company is active in the world solvents industry through the Acetyl Products and Chemical Intermediates
5 Freedonia Study # WORLD SOLVENTS World Solvents Demand by Region (000 metric tons) Item World GDP (bil 1998 US$) kg solvent/000 $GDP World Solvents Demand North America: US OVERVIEW Canada & Mexico The Product & Market Western Europe Overview Section analyzes Asia/Pacific: Japan 1870 trends 1765 and 1595 considers 1635 the1710 ASIA/PACIFIC China 675 threats 1150 and 1765 opportunities Other Asia/Pacific for 2110 solvents South Korea: Markets Other Regions: Latin America Paints and coatings accounted for 38 percent of South Eastern Europe Korea s solvent use in 2002, with demand having registered solid gains over the period. As is the case Africa/Mideast in Japan, South Korea s sizable export-oriented motor vehicle industry (sixth largest in the world in 2002 behind the US, Japan, Germany, France and China) accounts for an important share of the country s paints and coatings market. Motor vehicle SAMPLE coatings PAGE account for less than nine percent of overall Text paints sections and coatings support demand each at the global level. However, in South Korea, they account for 16 table s numbers & projections percent of aggregate paints and coatings demand. Overall demand for solvents in South Korea s paints and coatings sector is forecast to increase 2.7 percent per year through 2007 to 160,000 metric tons. Despite a healthy fixed investment environment, gains will slow down due to increased penetration of water-based paints and slowing motor vehicle output growth. Cleaning products are also an important component Brazil for - Solvents Demand by Type solvent end use in South Korea. Healthy economic (000 metric and tons) fixed investment gains during the early to mid-1990s created sizeable cleaning product markets in the Itemindustrial, commercial and household sectors. In addition, wiper fluid demand was positively impacted by the ability of South Gross Domestic Product (bil 98 US$) Korean consumers to purchase expensive durable goods kg solvents/000$ GDP such as motor vehicles. Although South Korea does not have a sizeable pharmaceutical or agricultural sector, the COUNTRIES/REGIONS Solvents Demand by Type These Sections provide Hydrocarbons Alcohols 135demand 160 for 200 historical 260years340 Ketones 60 and 75forecast 90growth 105to 130 Esters and for 155 Glycol Ethers countries 35 and 45 six 55 Chlorinated regions Other
6 Order Information About The Freedonia Group To order, fill out the coupon below and mail to The Freedonia Group, or place your order by phone toll free, (US) or , or by fax, , or Free Handling & Shipping There is NO charge for handling and UPS shipping in the US. Expect delivery in 3 to 5 business days. Outside the US, Freedonia provides free airmail service. If you require express delivery, Freedonia provides this to you at cost. Credit Card Orders You may charge your order to either American Express, MasterCard or Visa. Please include your credit card account number, expiration date, and your signature. Orders Outside of the US Checks must be made payable in US funds, drawn against a US bank and mailed directly to The Freedonia Group. Wire transfers should be sent to: Fifth Third Bank, Cincinnati, OH; SWIFT No. FTCUS3C; ABA # ; Account # (please include study number and/or invoice number with all wire transfers). Or you may use a credit card. Corporate Use License Now every decision maker in your organization can act on the key intelligence found in all Freedonia studies. For and additional $2000, you receive unlimited use of an electronic version (PDF) of the study. Place it on your intranet, it to coworkers around the world, or print it as many times as you like! Order it today. The Freedonia Group, Inc. The Freedonia Group is a leading international database business research company. Since 1985, Freedonia has published 2,000 multiclient industry studies that have proven to be outstanding aids to market and corporate analysis and strategic planning. Freedonia can save you time and money on research you would otherwise have to do yourself or contract out. Freedonia studies cover a broad range of industrial topics in many areas including the following: Chemicals Construction & Building Materials Energy & Power Equipment Industrial Components & Equipment Life Sciences: Biotech/Medical/Pharmaceutical Freedonia Methodology Packaging Plastics Security/Electronics/ Communications Automotive & Other Transportation Equipment World Studies Freedonia does not just collect and reprint data, Freedonia develops data. Our analysts thoroughly investigate an industry by interviewing key participants and analyzing information from sources such as associations, government and trade literature. Once this research is complete, Freedonia establishes one set of forecasts. All writing, editing and forecasting is done in-house to assure quality and Need analysis on a topic not covered by consistency. In cases where data Freedonia Industry studies? does not exist, Freedonia develops Call customer service for details on the data based on input/output Freedonia Custom Research ratios, bills of materials and flow charts. Order Form Title Name World Solvents...$4800 Title Company Corporate Use License (add to study price) +$2000 Additional Print $400 each Total (including selected option) $ Division Street City/State/Zip Country Enclosed is my check (5% discount) drawn on a US bank and payable to The Freedonia Group, Inc., in US funds (Ohio residents add 8% sales tax) Bill my company American Express MasterCard Visa Online Access: The complete text and tables from our studies and reports can be purchased at our website, and through major commercial online hosts. Phone Credit Card Number Fax Expiration Date Signature F-SM.1715 The Freedonia Group, Inc. 767 Beta Drive Cleveland, OH USA Web site: Tel: (US) or Fax: info@freedoniagroup.com
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