Upstream /15/2009. Industry Outlook - Oil & Gas Demand/Supply. Required New Production. Production MOEBD. Frédéric Guinot.
|
|
- Ezra Holland
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Oil and Gas Industry Upstream 29 Frédéric Guinot Swiss Section The Challenge MOEBD Industry Outlook - Oil & Gas Demand/Supply 2 World Demand Required New Production Equal to Today s Production Or Equivalent to 12 Saudi Arabias 4 Existing Field Decline ~ 4-6% Existing Production
2 World oil & gas reserves and production by company, 27 Proven reserves Production 3% 25% 25% 22% 12% Total NOCs 72% 9% 5% 6% 1% 13% 13% 9% 2% 2% 3% 5% 9% 36% Super majors Other private companies Saudi Aramco National Iranian Oil Company Pemex (Mexico) Iraqi oil companies Kuwait Petroleum Corporation Russian state controlled companies Other NOCs The national oil companies hold close to 3/4 of world proven reserves but only half of production, suggesting that their dominance will grow in the long term Foreign company access to proven oil reserves, end 27 Saudi Arabia Canada Iran Iraq Kuwait UAE Venezuela Russia Libya Nigeria Kazakhstan United States China Qatar Algeria Brazil Mexico Angola Azerbaijan Norway Billion barrels Inaccessible Restricted Accessible Access to reserves is either restricted or impossible in most of the leading reserves holders worldwide 2
3 World top 1 oil producers Impact of unconventional oil Venezuela BBO unconventional World top 1 oil producers Impact of unconventional oil Venezuela BBO unconventional 3
4 Total economically recoverable resources oil and gas Billio on Barrels Oil Equivalent Estimated Ultimate Recoverable World Liquid and Gas Resources 4,5 559 Estimated Remaining Recoverable Unconventional 4, R/P 1 y Yet-to-Find Resource Growth 3,5 Remaining Discovered Conventional Cumulative End-27 3, R/P 138 y 2, , 1, ,5 1,181 1, 5 1,128 Liquids 549 Natural Gas Source: K. Chew, IHS Challenge: Falling exploration discovery volumes Does not include reserve growth in fields and unconventionals Courtesy: Ken Chew IHS 4
5 Year on on year increase in oil production by type of company mb/d NOCs Other IOCs and E&P companies Super majors The super majors & other IOCs face increasing difficulties in acquiring new upstream assets & expanding production, with most new output coming from NOCs Replacement of production through Exploration and higher recovery rates (without unconventionals) 5
6 Reality...?..? Cumula ative Discovery, G b 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 Inflexion due to falling Discovery Reality? Illusion? OPEC quota war Courtesy of ASPO Where is the truth? ²/ ³ to ¾ of world oil reserves are unaudited OPEC oil quota could prompt OPEC countries cheat on numbers Producing country budget set on oil price estimates x production forecast of a non- renewable resource could make Oil rich countries cheat on numbers 6
7 Long term oil supply cost curve The total recoverable oil resource base is estimated at 9 trillion barrels (including 2.5 trillion barrel of GTL/CTL) of which we have so far produced 1.1 Tb Peak Oil Production hydrocarbure MMbpd 14 Peak? End? 2 Homo Sapiens Homo Sapiens Oil Age Année 7
8 World primary energy demand in the Reference Scenario: this is unsustainable! Mtoe 18 Other renewables 16 Hydro Nuclear 1 Biomass 8 Gas 6 Coal 4 Oil World energy demand expands by 45% between now and 23 an average rate of increase of 1.6% per year with coal accounting for more than a third of the overall rise Energy related related CO 2 emissions in the Reference Scenario gatonnes Gig International marine bunkers and aviation Non OECD gas Non OECD oil Non OECD coal OECD gas OECD oil OECD coal 97% of the projected increase in emissions between now & 23 comes from non OECD countries three quarters from China, India & the Middle East alone 8
9 International oil company oil & gas reserves replacement ratio 3% Super majors Next 21 largest IOCs 25% Average (26 IOCs) 2% 15% 1% 5% % Note: For the 5 super majors & 15 other leading IOCs The super majors have been struggling to replace their proven reserves in recent years despite sharply increased spending on exploration Reserve replacement: financial limitations Coutesy of IHS 9
10 Financial limitations: Cost are rising Coutesy of IHS International oil company outlays from operating cash flow lars Billion dol Acquisitions Dividends Buyback of equity Exploration Development Note: For the 5 super majors & 15 other leading IOCs Half of the increase in cash flow in 2 27 was returned to shareholders in the form of equity buybacks & dividends exceeding the increase in E&P spending 1
11 Technology Finding Reserves Finding new reservoirs Improving the recovery factor (currently 35% average for conventional oil) Improve economics on unconventional Technology Improved seismic, DHI Low Fraquency Passive Seismic EOR: Flooding, SAGD, ES-SAGD, Bacterial Improved drilling Multilateral Greener drilling and production 11
12 Recovery factors 3 trillion recoverable means 9 trillion OIP Improving RF from.35 to.5 means 4.5 trillion recoverable i.e. more than produced today... Who will go back to abandoned fields? All fields are not candidate Currently EOR accounts for about 2% of the oil produced... Still, we can improve through research and development Unconventional: Tar sand Energy Efficiency is currently around 2% Environmental impact Air Water Land 12
13 En augmentant l exploitation domestique, les États-Unis ont diminué leurs importations de gaz naturel. trillion de pieds cubiques 3 Historique Prévisions 25 Consommation 3% 2 16% Importations nettes 14% 15 Production intérieure Cas type AEO29 Cas type AEO Source : EIA, Présentation du cas type Annual Energy Outlook 29, 17 décembre 28 Aging workforce 13
14 28 SPE membership by region 1.21% 3.32% 1.58% 3.72% 1.57% North America Middle East Europe Asia pacific Africa 14.8% 52.78% Russia and Caspian 12.1% South America Unknown SPE Membership 28 Average SPE age by region North America Middle East Europe Asia pacific Africa Russia and Caspian South America 14
15 Average Age By Region SOUTHWESTERN N AMERICA REGION GO CENTRAL & SE N AMERICA REGION WESTERN N AMERICA REGION MID-CONTINENT N AMERICA REGION NORTHEASTERN N AMERICA REGION UNKNOWN REGION GULF COAST N AMERICA REGION ROCKY MOUNTAIN N AMERICA REGION ALL REGIONS S CENTRAL & E EUROPE REGION NORTH SEA REGION S AMERICA & CARIBBEAN REGION MIDDLE EAST REGION 15
OECD/IEA World Energy Outlook 2011 focus on oil, gas and coal
World Energy Outlook 2011 focus on oil, gas and coal The context: fresh challenges add to already worrying trends Economic concerns have diverted attention from energy policy and limited the means of intervention
More informationWorld primary energy demand in the Reference Scenario: an unsustainable path
OECD/IEA OECD/IEA - 2008-2008 The context Soaring energy prices to mid-2008, followed by a drop what will it mean for demand? How will the financial crisis & economic slowdown affect energy demand & investment?
More informationShort-Term and Long-Term Outlook for Energy Markets
Short-Term and Long-Term Outlook for Energy Markets Guy Caruso Administrator, Energy Information Administration guy.caruso@eia.doe.gov Fueling the Future: Energy Policy in New England December 2, 25 Boston,
More informationBlack Gold: America and Oil 9/23/08 NOTES 9/18/08 POSTED & ASSIGNMENT #4 INTER/EXTRAPOLATION & EXP. GROWTH?
Black Gold: America and Oil 9/23/08 NOTES 9/18/08 POSTED & ASSIGNMENT #4 INTER/EXTRAPOLATION & EXP. GROWTH? Questions Is America / world running out of oil? Can the US be energy-independent? U.S. Energy
More informationWorld Energy Outlook 2010
World Energy Outlook 2010 Nobuo Tanaka Executive Director International Energy Agency Cancun, 7 December 2010, IEA day The context: A time of unprecedented uncertainty The worst of the global economic
More informationWorld Energy Outlook Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist 24 November 2010
World Energy Outlook 2010 Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist 24 November 2010 The context: a time of unprecedented uncertainty The worst of the global economic crisis appears to be over but is the recovery
More informationThe Market in The International Oil Market. The Market in The Market today. A paradigm shift
The Market in 2004 The International Oil Market A paradigm shift Presentation by Anthony D Owen Reserve Bank of Australia, 10 May 2006 Surplus production capacity dropped sharply as a result of a sharp
More informationThe Future of Oil. It s a Fossil-Fueled World
The Future of Oil Roland N. Horne Energy Resources Engineering Stanford University 1 It s a Fossil-Fueled World 6% 6% 29% 35% Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Hydroelectric 24% BP Statistical Review 2008 2
More informationInternational Energy Outlook 2011
International Energy Outlook 211 Center for Strategic and International Studies, Acting Administrator September 19, 211 Washington, DC U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis
More informationINTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY WORLD ENERGY INVESTMENT OUTLOOK 2003 INSIGHTS
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY WORLD ENERGY INVESTMENT OUTLOOK 2003 INSIGHTS Global Strategic Challenges Security of energy supplies Threat of environmental damage caused by energy use Uneven access of the
More informationWORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK 2005 Middle East & North Africa Insights
WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK 2005 Middle East & North Africa Insights Nicola Pochettino Senior Energy Analyst Global Energy Trends: Reference Scenario International Energy Price Assumptions The assumed oil-price
More informationProduction: Industry view. World Oil Reserves and. World Oil Reserves and. Kuwait Energy Company. Ray Leonard. ASPO 2007 Cork Ireland
World Oil Reserves and World Oil Reserves and Production: Industry view ASPO 2007 Cork Ireland Ray Leonard Kuwait Energy Company November 2006 Hedberg Conference November 2006 Hedberg Conference Gathering
More informationWorld Oil Demand: Key Trends and Uncertainties
World Oil Demand: Key Trends and Uncertainties Nicola Pochettino Senior Energy Analyst International Energy Agency World Primary Energy Demand 7 000 6 000 Oil Mtoe 5 000 4 000 3 000 Natural gas Coal 2
More informationLet's get non-technical: An economist's take on the past, the present, and the future of the industry
Let's get non-technical: An economist's take on the past, the present, and the future of the industry Erkal Ersoy e.ersoy@hw.ac.uk www.erkalersoy.co.uk Agenda» The market > The petroleum industry > Supply
More informationWorld Energy Outlook 2009 Key results and messages of the 450 Scenario
World Energy Outlook 29 Key results and messages of the 45 Scenario Marco Baroni Office of the Chief Economist International Energy Workshop Stockholm, 22 June 21 Mtoe World primary energy demand by fuel
More informationInternational Oil Prices
International Oil Prices Drivers and Outlook Presentation by Anthony D Owen Inaugural CEEM Annual Conference, 18 November 2005 Crying wolf (again!) or has the wolf arrived at the door? Oil is far too cheap
More informationOverview of global crude oil reserve estimates and supply patterns. Professor Wumi Iledare LSU Center for Energy studies Baton Rouge, LA 70803
Overview of global crude oil reserve estimates and supply patterns Professor Wumi Iledare LSU Center for Energy studies Baton Rouge, LA 70803 Presentation at Audubon Kiwanis Weekly Meeting Baton Rouge,
More informationWorld Energy Outlook 2010 Renewables in MENA. Maria Argiri Office of the Chief Economist 15 December 2010
World Energy Outlook 2010 Renewables in MENA Maria Argiri Office of the Chief Economist 15 December 2010 The context: a time of unprecedented uncertainty The worst of the global economic crisis appears
More informationOVERVIEW OF TRENDS IN WORLD GAS DEVELOPMENT AND USE
OVERVIEW OF TRENDS IN WORLD GAS DEVELOPMENT AND USE International Symposium on Natural Gas and Sustainable Development Doha, Qatar 6-8 February 2006 Ian Cronshaw Head, Energy Diversification Division World
More informationEnergy Challenges of Our Time. Dr. Fatih BIROL IEA Chief Economist
Energy Challenges of Our Time Dr. Fatih BIROL IEA Chief Economist The context: fresh challenges add to already worrying trends Economic concerns have diverted attention from energy policy and limited the
More informationWorld primary energy demand in the t Reference Scenario: this is unsustainable!
OECD/IEA OECD/IEA -29-29 World primary energy demand in the t Reference Scenario: this is unsustainable! Mtoe 18 Other renewables 16 Hydro 14 12 Nuclear 1 Biomass 8 Gas 6 Coal 4 Oil 2 198 199 2 21 22 23
More informationImpact of American Unconventional Oil and Gas Revolution
National University of Singapore Energy Studies Institute 18 May 215 Impact of American Unconventional Oil and Gas Revolution Edward C. Chow Senior Fellow Revenge of the Oil Price Cycle American Innovation:
More informationWORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK Dr. Fatih Birol Chief Economist Head, Economic Analysis Division
WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK 2002 Dr. Fatih Birol Chief Economist Head, Economic Analysis Division World Energy Outlook Series World Energy Outlook 1998 World Energy Outlook - 1999 Insights: Looking at Energy
More informationThe Outlook for Global Oil and Natural Gas Resources
The Outlook for Global Oil and Natural Gas Resources James Slutz Deputy Assistant Secretary Office of Fossil Energy U.S. Department of Energy Seventh Oil and Gas Industry Forum Hangzhou,, China Monday,
More informationChallenges and opportunities for an integrated oil and gas company
OMV Aktiengesellschaft Challenges and opportunities for an integrated oil and gas company ÖGEW Herbsttagung Vienna, 12 November 2010 Wolfgang Ruttenstorfer CEO and Chairman of the Executive Board OMV Aktiengesellschaft
More informationDr. Laura Nelson, VP Energy and Environment! April 28, 2010! Unconventional Fuels Conference! Update and Policy Considerations for Development!
Dr. Laura Nelson, VP Energy and Environment! April 28, 2010! Unconventional Fuels Conference! Update and Policy Considerations for Development! World Marketed Energy Consumption! 678.3 Quadrillion Btu!
More informationJanuary Christof Rühl, Group Chief Economist
January 213 Christof Rühl, Group Chief Economist Contents Introduction Global energy trends Outlook 23: Fuel by fuel Implications Energy Outlook 23 BP 213 Introduction Global energy trends Outlook 23:
More informationEnergy Statistics: Making the Numbers Count
Energy Statistics: Making the Numbers Count IFEG Autumn Seminar, 5 th November 29 Paul Appleby, BP Group Economics Team Working with Energy Statistics The key challenges. Finding relevant & reliable data
More informationChallenges of Fracking for the MENA Region Martin Bachmann, Member of the Board
Challenges of Fracking for the MENA Region Martin Bachmann, Member of the Board NUMOV German MENA Conference Berlin, 26 January 2017 Simplified Model of Hydrocarbon Deposits Conventional versus Unconventional
More informationReality Math Dot Sulock, University of North Carolina at Asheville
Reality Math Dot Sulock, University of North Carolina at Asheville World Oil II 1. US Oil Imports At the time of this graph, the US imported about 60% of its oil. Where we import this oil from is shown
More informationThe Changing Geopolitics of Energy Part II
CSIS Center for Strategic and International Studies 18 K Street N.W. Washington, DC 26 (22) 775-327 The Changing Geopolitics of Energy Part II Global Oil and Gas Production and Reserves Anthony H. Cordesman
More informationBP Energy Outlook 2017 edition
BP Energy Outlook 217 edition Margaret Chen Head of China Economist bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats Economic backdrop Contributions to GDP growth by factor Contributions to GDP growth by region % per annum
More informationTABLE OF CONTENTS OECD/IEA, 2018 OIL MARKET REPORT
TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary... 11 1. Demand... 15 Highlights... 15 Global Overview... 16 Macroeconomic environment and prices... 18 Coming changes in bunker fuel specifications... 19 Booming demand
More informationFuels Gaseous Liquid Solid. Nuclear. Electricity, Heating, and Cooling? Cheryl Gomez, PE, MBA, LEED AP BD+C
Cheryl Gomez, PE, MBA, LEED AP BD+C Fuels Gaseous Liquid Solid Nuclear Electricity, Heating, and Cooling? Source: US Energy Information Administration Solar, 0.2% Geothermal, 0.4% Petroleum, 1% Other Gases,
More informationNatural Gas Facts & Figures. New Approach & Proposal
Natural Gas Facts & Figures New Approach & Proposal 1. Production and reserves Sources : Total G&P, WOC1, IEA, IHS Cera, Resources- Reserves o Conventional o Unconventional : types and reserves Countries,
More informationHUBBERT REVISTED---1: Imbalances Among Oil Demand, Reserves, Alternatives Define Energy Dilemma Today
Oil & Gas Journal Volume 102.26 (July 12, 2004) HUBBERT REVISTED---1: Imbalances Among Oil Demand, Reserves, Alternatives Define Energy Dilemma Today Rafael Sandrea, PhD Background A sizzling world economy
More informationOECD/IEA World Energy Outlook 2011
World Energy Outlook 211 The context: fresh challenges add to already worrying trends Economic concerns have diverted attention from energy policy and limited the means of intervention Post-Fukushima,
More informationAmerican Strategy and US Energy Independence
Cordesman: Strategy and Energy Independence 10/21/13 1 American Strategy and US Energy Independence By Anthony H. Cordesman October 21, 2013 Changes in energy technology, and in the way oil and gas reserves
More informationGlobal Energy Dilemmas: A Geographical Perspective
Global Energy Dilemmas: A Geographical Perspective Professor Mike Bradshaw Geographical Association Annual Conference and Exhibition www.le.ac.uk http://www2.le.ac.uk/departments/geography/people/mjb41
More informationEnergy in Perspective
Energy in Perspective BP Statistical Review of World Energy 27 Christof Rühl Deputy Chief Economist London, 12 June 27 Outline Introduction What has changed? The medium term What is new? 26 in review Conclusion
More informationBP Energy Outlook 2016 edition
BP Energy Outlook 216 edition Mark Finley 14th February 216 Outlook to 235 bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats Economic backdrop Trillion, $21 25 Other 2 India Africa 15 China 1 OECD 5 OECD 1965 2 235 GDP 2
More informationENERGY OPEC ECONOMIC REPORT AND BALANCE SHEET 1391 CHAPTER
ECONOMIC REPORT AND BALANCE SHEET 39 CHAPTER 3 I n 202 and the first quarter of 203, international crude oil prices followed a fluctuating trend. A host of factors were responsible for the fluctuations
More informationAssessing Today's Supplies to Fuel Tomorrow's Growth
WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK - INSIGHTS Assessing Today's Supplies to Fuel Tomorrow's Growth Dr. Fatih Birol Head, Economic Analysis Division International Agency / OECD World Series World 1998 World 1999 Looking
More informationFossil Fuels. years. Marco Antonellini. CIRSA Environmental Sciences JMA JMA
Fossil Fuels By Marco Antonellini CIRSA Environmental Sciences What are Fossil Fuels? Fossil fuel" is a term for buried combustible geologic deposits of organic materials, formed from decayed plants and
More informationRisk Mitigation within the Current Drilling Services Market. The Challenges The Current and Future Environment
Risk Mitigation within the Current Drilling Services Market The Challenges The Current and Future Environment Asia Offshore Energy Conference Denpasar, Indonesia 30 September 02 October 2015 The Challenges
More informationENERGY OPEC ECONOMIC REPORT AND BALANCE SHEET 1395 CHAPTER
ECONOMIC REPORT AND BALANCE SHEET 395 CHAPTER 3 C rude oil prices followed a fluctuating trend in the international market in 206, bringing the total average price of each barrel to less than 205 levels.
More informationASIA IN THE WORLD ECONOMY
ASIA IN THE WORLD ECONOMY Section II: Energy Classes & Topics 6. Energy Demand 7. Energy Supply 8. Case Study: China Where Supply & Demand Meet 9. Energy & The Environment ASIA IN THE WORLD ECONOMY Class
More informationMedium Term Energy Market Outlook IEEJ Energy Seminar October 213 Keisuke Sadamori, Director, Energy Markets & Security, IEA Primary Energy Supply from Fossil Fuels Mtoe 5 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 2 21 22
More informationThomas A. Petrie, CFA Petrie Partners, Chairman
Spring Symposium Austin, TX February 10, 2017 The Future of the Oil and Gas Industry: Peak Oil or Peak Demand What s on the Horizon? Thriving in the New Commodity Price Dynamic Thomas A. Petrie, CFA Petrie
More informationOECD/IEA October, London
9 October, London Iraq: the energy context Oil & natural gas resources are immense & the costs of production are among the lowest in the world Already the world s 3 rd largest oil exporter, with plans
More informationThe Outlook for Energy:
The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040 Bill Colton December 9, 2014 This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy
More informationDenie S Tampubolon Senior VP Upstream Business Development
Denie S Tampubolon Senior VP Upstream Business Development Pertamina : Scope of Business PT Pertamina EP PT Pertamina EP Cepu PT Pertamina Hulu Indonesia PT Pertamina EP Cepu ADK PT Elnusa Tbk. PT Pertamina
More informationUS Oil and Gas Import Dependence: Department of Energy Projections in 2011
1800 K Street, NW Suite 400 Washington, DC 20006 Phone: 1.202.775.3270 Fax: 1.202.775.3199 Email: acordesman@gmail.com Web: www.csis.org/burke/reports US Oil and Gas Import Dependence: Department of Energy
More informationLunch Session. Oil and Gas Security. Aad van Bohemen, IEA/Energy Policy and Security Division 6 March 2018 (APEC-OGSNF) IEA OECD/IEA 2017
Lunch Session Oil and Gas Security Aad van Bohemen, IEA/Energy Policy and Security Division 6 March 2018 (APEC-OGSNF) IEA Long-term Energy Markets Outlook Key takeaways from WEO 2017 India takes the lead,
More informationInternational Conference Global Security in the 21st Century Perspectives from China and Europe
International Conference Perspectives from China and Europe Jointly organized by KAS and Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP), Beijing September 18-19, 27, Beijing Energy Supply Security: Demands
More informationThe Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040
The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040 Todd Onderdonk USAEE -- Houston February 2014 This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy
More informationOil outlook: challenges & opportunities
1 Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Oil outlook: challenges & opportunities Dr. Adnan Shihab-Eldin Acting Secretary General National Academies Workshop Washington, D.C October 2, 25 Outline
More informationEnergy Market Update. Mark Finley Meet Alaska, January 21, 2011
Energy Market Update Mark Finley Meet Alaska, January 21, 211 Agenda Where we ve been Trends in global energy Where we are: The short-term outlook Why has oil been different? Where we are going (or might
More informationPowering Asia: The Role of Gas Address to the Melbourne Mining Club David Knox, Chief Executive, Santos. 4 February 2010
1 Powering Asia: The Role of Gas Address to the Melbourne Mining Club David Knox, Chief Executive, Santos 2 4 February 21 Asia is the Engine of Energy Growth Billions of People 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 World
More informationThe Unconventional Oil and Gas Market Outlook
The Unconventional Oil and Gas Market Outlook The future of oil sands, shale gas, oil shale and coalbed methane Report Price: $2875 Publication Date: July 2010 E N E R G Y The Unconventional Oil and Gas
More informationEnergy and poverty. IEF Seminar December, 8 and 9
Energy and poverty IEF Seminar December, 8 and 9 Jean-Pierre FAVENNEC President Association for the Development of Energy in Africa World energy consumption (toe/capita) North America Europ & F.S.U 4.1
More informationTHE MEDIUM TERM SURGE IN US OIL SUPPLY: A GAME CHANGER
THE MEDIUM TERM SURGE IN OIL SUPPLY: A GAME CHANGER 9 THE WORLD IS EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE AN OIL SUPPLY GLUT UNTIL, with the largest suppliers being and the In its short term outlook, the Energy Information
More informationThe Outlook for Energy:
The Outlook for Energy: A View to 24 Rob Gardner October, 216 The Outlook for Energy includes Exxon Mobil Corporation s internal estimates and forecasts of energy demand, supply, and trends through 24
More informationThe Future Role of Gas
The Future Role of Gas GECF Global Gas Outlook 24 Insights Presentation for the 3rd IEA-IEF-OPEC Symposium on Gas and Coal Market Outlooks Dmitry Sokolov Head of Energy Economics and Forecasting Department
More informationWHAT EVER HAPPENED TO PEAK OIL? Benedikt Unger, February 2015
WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO PEAK OIL? Benedikt Unger, February 2015 WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO PEAK OIL 2 PART 1 OIL FUNDAMENTALS WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO PEAK OIL 3 WHAT ABOUT PEAK OIL? The discussion about oil running
More informationPower & Politics Navigating the Changing Vision of Our Energy Future. Rayola Dougher, API Senior Economic Advisor,
Power & Politics Navigating the Changing Vision of Our Energy Future Rayola Dougher, API Senior Economic Advisor, dougherr@api.org U.S. oil and natural gas production is increasing as a result of technological
More informationThe World Energy Outlook after the Financial Crisis
The World Energy Outlook after the Financial Crisis Presentation to the UNECE Committee on Sustainable Energy Geneva, 19 November 2009 Trevor Morgan Senior Economist International Energy Agency The context
More information387th IEEJ Research Report Meeting Summary June 15, 2004
387th IEEJ Research Report Meeting Summary June 15, 2004 Recent International Political/Economic Situation and Oil Price Trends - Keynote Speech: Background Factors of the Recent Steep Rise in Oil Price
More informationThomas A. Petrie, CFA Petrie Partners, Chairman
Dallas, TX March 1, 2017 Scoping 21 st Century Energy Geopolitics Thomas A. Petrie, CFA Petrie Partners, Chairman Topics Today s Realities Global Perspective on New Production Sources Opportunities vs
More informationY669 IPE: Oil Politics. October 5, 2010
Y669 IPE: Oil Politics October 5, 2010 World Energy Consumption, 1965-2005, in Terawatts (TW) Top Consuming Countries, 1960-2005, in Million Barrels per Day Figure 9-5. World Consumption of Petroleum,
More informationA HISTORIC SHIFT TO GOOD TIMES?
RICE GLOBAL E&C FORUM A HISTORIC SHIFT TO GOOD TIMES? Oil Pricing Outlook Alessandro Lanza, PhD Chief Economist, Eni 1 Houston, October 11, 2005 Summary Key factors in oil price dynamics Supply Refining
More informationContents. Introduction Global energy trends Outlook 2030: Fuel by fuel Implications. Energy Outlook 2030 BP 2013
January 213 Contents Introduction Global energy trends Outlook 23: Fuel by fuel Implications Energy Outlook 23 BP 213 Introduction Global energy trends Outlook 23: Fuel by fuel Implications Energy Outlook
More informationInternational Energy Forum Global Energy Dialogue
Noé van Hulst Secretary General International Energy Forum Outline Main Global Energy Trends Key Global Energy Challenges IEF Role in Energy Dialogue Main Global Energy Trends World Energy Demand Grows
More informationGlobal Energy Challenges and Opportuni6es Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy
Global Energy Challenges and Opportuni6es Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy Carlos Pascual Special Envoy and Coordinator for Interna7onal Energy Affairs U.S. Department of State September
More informationUnconventional Oil & Gas: Reshaping Energy Markets
Unconventional Oil & Gas: Reshaping Energy Markets Guy Caruso Senior Advisor JOGMEC Seminar 7 February 2013 Landscape is Changing Even as We Sit Here Today - US Projected to reach 90% Energy Self-Sufficiency
More informationThe Middle East Power Grab: For Export Only. Rebuilding Trust: Effective Board Governance in Time of Public Scrutiny 29 July 2015 Aspen, CO
The Middle East Power Grab: For Export Only Rebuilding Trust: Effective Board Governance in Time of Public Scrutiny 29 July 2015 Aspen, CO The Global Energy Landscape is Changing A producer/consumer flip
More informationWorld Energy Outlook Bo Diczfalusy, Näringsdepartementet
World Energy Outlook 2013 Bo Diczfalusy, Näringsdepartementet Energy demand & GDP Trillion dollars (2012) 50 40 30 20 10 000 Mtoe 8 000 6 000 4 000 GDP: OECD Non-OECD TPED (right axis): OECD Non-OECD 10
More information17 th February 2015 BP Energy Outlook bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats BP p.l.c. 2015
17 th February 215 BP bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats Economic backdrop GDP Trillion, $211 PPP 24 Other Non-OECD Asia 18 OECD Contribution to GDP growth Trillion $211 PPP, 213-35 9 Population Income per
More informationThe Outlook for Energy:
The Outlook for Energy: A View to 24 Somnath Sinha May 12, 216 The Outlook for Energy includes Exxon Mobil Corporation s internal estimates and forecasts of energy demand, supply, and trends through 24
More informationOutline
The 31 st USAEE / IAEE North American Conference Transition to a Sustainable Energy Era: Opportunities & Challenges November 4-7, 2012, Austin Texas, USA -----------------------------------------------------------------------
More informationStrategic Issues Facing the Natural Gas Industry
FINANCE COMMITTEE MEETING Denver, Colorado March 15, 2016 Strategic Issues Facing the Natural Gas Industry Thomas A. Petrie, CFA Chairman, Petrie Partners Topics Oil Price Recovery Prospects / Implications
More informationEuropean Shale Gas Potential
European Shale Gas Potential (from WEO2010 and Golden Age of Gas report) Chris Besson International Energy Agency October 2011 OECD/IEA 2010 Shale gas: a working definition Gas found in rock formations
More informationGlobal Strategic Energy Challenges
WORLD ENERGY INVESTMENT OUTLOOK Global Strategic Energy Challenges Dr. Fatih Birol Chief Economist Head, Economic Analysis Division International Energy Agency INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY US DOE US DOE
More informationOne Year Later. An update presented to the National Petroleum Council. September 17, 2008 NPC. Global Oil and Gas Study
One Year Later An update presented to the National Petroleum Council September 17, 2008 1 The 2007 Study Questions What does the future hold for global oil and natural gas supply? Can incremental oil and
More information2018 oil price forecast: who predicts best? Information document
2018 oil price forecast: who predicts best? Information document Amsterdam, March 2018 Since 2007, Roland Berger has published an annual review of available oil price forecasts Roland Berger study of oil
More informationTHE OUTLOOK FOR UNCONVENTIONAL FUELS
THE OUTLOOK FOR UNCONVENTIONAL FUELS Roger H. Bezdek, Ph.D. Management Information Services, Inc. rbezdek@misi-net.com Presented at the Conference Integrating Energy Policy and Climate Policy Sponsored
More informationWater for Onshore Oil & Gas
TABLE OF CONTENTS Water for Onshore Oil & Gas Publication information ii Executive summary Global oil and gas water management market, 2014 Services US water management services, 2011 2020 Global drivers
More informationOIL PRICES Developments and Effects. Mag. Johannes Benigni, January 2001 PVM Oil Associates - Vienna Strategic Energy Services
OIL PRICES Developments and Effects Mag. Johannes Benigni, January 2001 PVM Oil Associates - Vienna Strategic Energy Services PRICE MOVERS Gasoil 0.2 FOB Barges [USD/mt mt] 350 320 290 Rigid Emission Controls
More informationPlenary Session 1: Global Shifts: The Future of Energy Security: Finding New Balances. Background Paper
India New Delhi Plenary Session 1: Global Shifts: The Future of Energy Security: Finding New Balances Background Paper Disclaimer The observations presented herein are meant as background for the dialogue
More information2017 Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040
217 Outlook for Energy: A View to 24 Todd Onderdonk October 16, 217 The Outlook for Energy includes Exxon Mobil Corporation s internal estimates and forecasts of energy demand, supply, and trends through
More informationWorld Energy Outlook Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist Riyadh, 12 January 2010
World Energy Outlook 29 Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist Riyadh, 12 January 21 Change in primary energy demand in the Reference Scenario, 27-23 Coal Oil Gas Nuclear OECD Non-OECD Hydro Biomass Other
More informationThe Outlook for Energy:
The Outlook for Energy: A View to 24 Todd Onderdonk FPA DFW Symposium May 216 The Outlook for Energy includes Exxon Mobil Corporation s internal estimates and forecasts of energy demand, supply, and trends
More informationU.S. EIA s Liquid Fuels Outlook
U.S. EIA s Liquid Fuels Outlook NCSL 2011 Energy Policy Summit: Fueling Tomorrow s Transportation John Staub, Team Lead August 8, 2011 San Antonio, Texas U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent
More informationCanada s Oil Sands. Energy Security. Environmental Sustainability. Economic Growth and Jobs. Shifting Supply and Demand
Canada s Oil Sands Canada s Oil Sands Energy Security Shifting Supply and Demand the world is counting on Canada s oil Access to existing and new markets Environmental Sustainability Greenhouse gas emissions
More informationJohn Harris President Reservoir Development Services. Houston, Texas March 9-10, 2011
John Harris President Reservoir Development Services Houston, Texas March 9-10, 2011 Reservoir Development Services From the wellbore to the boardroom Changing the way we work Working from the top of our
More informationThe Outlook for Energy:
The Outlook for Energy: A View to 24 The Outlook for Energy includes Exxon Mobil Corporation s internal estimates and forecasts of energy demand, supply, and trends through 24 based upon internal data
More informationChevron: A Focused Leader in Heavy Oil
Chevron: A Focused Leader in Heavy Oil Gary Luquette President, North America Exploration and Production May 5, 2008 JPMorgan Annual Energy Symposium: Heavy Oil Cautionary Statement CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS
More informationEnergy Supply Setting
2002 AAPG Briefing Energy and Environment: A Partnership that Works Energy Supply Setting Pete Stark IHS Energy Group Washington, D.C. 23 September, 2002 Thesis: Public desires secure, reliable, clean,
More informationIEA analysis of fossil-fuel subsidies for APEC
IEA analysis of fossil-fuel subsidies for APEC Marco Baroni Office of the Chief Economist International Energy Agency Kaohsiung, Chinese Taipei, 18 October 2011 Mtoe Policies could dramatically alter the
More informationThe Changing Geopolitics of Energy - Part IV
CSIS Center for Strategic and International Studies 18 K Street N.W. Washington, DC 26 (22) 775-327 The Changing Geopolitics of Energy - Part IV Regional Developments in the Gulf and Energy Issues Affecting
More information