The Science of Climate Change: The Global Picture

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "The Science of Climate Change: The Global Picture"

Transcription

1 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 1/24 The Science of Climate Change: The Global Picture Adam Monahan School of Earth and Ocean Sciences University of Victoria

2 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 2/24 Outline Why do we think the climate is changing?

3 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 2/24 Outline Why do we think the climate is changing? How can we predict future climate changes?

4 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 2/24 Outline Why do we think the climate is changing? How can we predict future climate changes? Where do we think the climate is going?

5 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 3/24 The Greenhouse Effect Figure source: UCAR

6 Past Climate Changes The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 4/24

7 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 5/24 The Last Millennium: Temperature Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report

8 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 6/24 The Last Millennium: CO 2 Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report

9 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 7/24 The Recent Past: Temperature Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report

10 The Recent Past: CO 2 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 8/24

11 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 9/24 Recent Wintertime Temperature Trends Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report Warmest Years on Record

12 What Causes Sea Level Changes? The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 10/24

13 Past Sea Level Changes The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 11/24

14 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 12/24 What is the Climate System? Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report

15 Modelling the Climate System: What is a GCM? The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 13/24

16 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 14/24 Modelling the Climate System: Model Evolution Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report

17 Modelling the Climate System: Past Changes The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 15/24

18 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 16/24 Radiative Forcing: Estimates and Uncertainties Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report

19 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 17/24 The Scientific Consensus There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2001

20 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 18/24 Climate Change Scenarios Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report

21 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 19/24 Temperature Changes: Today vs Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report

22 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 20/24 Climate Change: Precipitation Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report

23 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 21/24 Climate Change: Sea Level Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report

24 Climate Change: Extreme Events The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 22/24

25 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 23/24 Climate Change: Extreme Events Confidence in observed changes (latter half of the 20th century) Likely Very likely Very likely Likely, over many areas Likely, over many Northern Hemisphere mid- to high latitude land areas Likely, in a few areas Not observed in the few analyses available Insufficient data for assessment Changes in Phenomenon Higher maximum temperatures and more hot days over nearly all land areas Higher minimum temperatures, fewer cold days and frost days over nearly all land areas Reduced diurnal temperature range over most land areas Increase of heat index 8 over land areas More intense precipitation events b Increased summer continental drying and associated risk of drought Increase in tropical cyclone peak wind intensities c Increase in tropical cyclone mean and peak precipitation intensities c Confidence in projected changes (during the 21st century) Very likely Very likely Very likely Very likely, over most areas Very likely, over many areas Likely, over most mid-latitude continental interiors (Lack of consistent projections in other areas) Likely, over some areas Likely, over some areas

26 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 24/24 The Big Picture To our best understanding, human activity is having a measurable impact on Earth s climate system

27 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 24/24 The Big Picture To our best understanding, human activity is having a measurable impact on Earth s climate system These changes will persist for at least 100 years, even if we act now

28 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 24/24 The Big Picture To our best understanding, human activity is having a measurable impact on Earth s climate system These changes will persist for at least 100 years, even if we act now Changes in climate will impact

29 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 24/24 The Big Picture To our best understanding, human activity is having a measurable impact on Earth s climate system These changes will persist for at least 100 years, even if we act now Changes in climate will impact disease geography

30 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 24/24 The Big Picture To our best understanding, human activity is having a measurable impact on Earth s climate system These changes will persist for at least 100 years, even if we act now Changes in climate will impact disease geography economic/social structures

31 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 24/24 The Big Picture To our best understanding, human activity is having a measurable impact on Earth s climate system These changes will persist for at least 100 years, even if we act now Changes in climate will impact disease geography economic/social structures Kyoto Protocol: small reduction in warming, but enormous symbolic importance

32 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 24/24 The Big Picture To our best understanding, human activity is having a measurable impact on Earth s climate system These changes will persist for at least 100 years, even if we act now Changes in climate will impact disease geography economic/social structures Kyoto Protocol: small reduction in warming, but enormous symbolic importance Adaptation & mitigation will involve both social and technological changes

33 The Science of Climate Change:The Global Picture p. 24/24 The Big Picture To our best understanding, human activity is having a measurable impact on Earth s climate system These changes will persist for at least 100 years, even if we act now Changes in climate will impact disease geography economic/social structures Kyoto Protocol: small reduction in warming, but enormous symbolic importance Adaptation & mitigation will involve both social and technological changes

Causes of past climate change and projections of future changes in climate. Peter Stott Met Office Hadley Centre, UK

Causes of past climate change and projections of future changes in climate. Peter Stott Met Office Hadley Centre, UK Causes of past climate change and projections of future changes in climate Peter Stott Met Office Hadley Centre, UK Overview 1.The causes of observed climate change 2.Global and regional climate projections

More information

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report Andrea J. Ray, Ph.D. NOAA Earth Systems Research Lab & NOAA-CIRES Western Water Assessment Boulder, CO Andrea.Ray@noaa.gov http:/www.cdc.noaa.gov

More information

Climate Change Detection and Scenarios: Re-examining the Evidence

Climate Change Detection and Scenarios: Re-examining the Evidence WMO O Climate Change Detection and Scenarios: Re-examining the Evidence UNEP By Dr. R.K. Pachauri Director General, TERI and Chairman, IPCC At Yale Center for the Study of Globalization 21 st October 2005

More information

Scientific Facts on. Climate Change Assessment

Scientific Facts on. Climate Change Assessment page 1/8 Scientific Facts on Climate Change 2001 Assessment Source document: IPCC (2001) Summary & Details: GreenFacts Context - The Earth's climate has changed over the last century and by 2001 there

More information

The IPCC Working Group I Assessment of Physical Climate Change

The IPCC Working Group I Assessment of Physical Climate Change The IPCC Working Group I Assessment of Physical Climate Change Martin Manning Director, IPCC Working Group I Support Unit 1. Observed climate change 2. Drivers of climate change 3. Attribution of cause

More information

Scientific Foundation of Climate Change. Human Responsibility for Climate Change

Scientific Foundation of Climate Change. Human Responsibility for Climate Change Scientific Foundation of Climate Change EOH 468 CSU Northridge Spring 2010 Peter Bellin, CIH, Ph.D. 1 Human Responsibility for Climate Change The IPCC finds that it is very likely that emissions of heat-trapping

More information

Dr. Buruhani Nyenzi Managing Director Climate Consult (T) Ltd

Dr. Buruhani Nyenzi Managing Director Climate Consult (T) Ltd Climate Change and Its Impacts Zanzibar, Tanzania 17 May 2011 Dr. Buruhani Nyenzi Managing Director Climate Consult (T) Ltd Email: bnyenzi@yahoo.co.uk bnyenzi@gmail.com Climate Variability and Change

More information

ALI-ABA Course of Study Global Warming: Climate Change and the Law. Cosponsored by the Environmental Law Institute March 4-5, 2010 Washington, D.C.

ALI-ABA Course of Study Global Warming: Climate Change and the Law. Cosponsored by the Environmental Law Institute March 4-5, 2010 Washington, D.C. 397 ALI-ABA Course of Study Global Warming: Climate Change and the Law Cosponsored by the Environmental Law Institute March 4-5, 2010 Washington, D.C. Global Climate Change: Legal Summary By Professor

More information

Local and Global Impacts of Climate Change: Predictions of the 5th IPCC Report

Local and Global Impacts of Climate Change: Predictions of the 5th IPCC Report Local and Global Impacts of Climate Change: Predictions of the 5th IPCC Report Peter Schlosser Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering The Earth

More information

Climate Change from the WMO perspective

Climate Change from the WMO perspective World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water Climate Change from the WMO perspective T. Abrate Scientific officer Climate and Water Division World Meteorological Organization

More information

The Impacts of Climatic Variability and Climate Change on Water Resources in Western Canada

The Impacts of Climatic Variability and Climate Change on Water Resources in Western Canada Alberta Irrigation Projects Association Conference 2001 Water Strategy. Because every drop counts November 19, 2001- Lethbridge, Alberta The Impacts of Climatic Variability and Climate Change on Water

More information

The Science of Climate Change and IPCC

The Science of Climate Change and IPCC The Science of Climate Change and IPCC Evolution of climate science 1979: First World Climate Conference organized by WMO 1988: NASA scientist James Hansen tells U.S. Congress global warming "is already

More information

Def: Climate is the average weather. Averages all the local, regional and global extremes in weather. - Occurs on long time scales

Def: Climate is the average weather. Averages all the local, regional and global extremes in weather. - Occurs on long time scales Climate Change Def: Climate is the average weather. Averages all the local, regional and global extremes in weather. - Occurs on long time scales Most important factor in climate is how the Earth responds

More information

CHANGE. Jean PLA, Frequency Management. Rapporteur ITU-D Question 24/2 ICT and Climate Change. CNES, Toulouse, FRANCE

CHANGE. Jean PLA, Frequency Management. Rapporteur ITU-D Question 24/2 ICT and Climate Change. CNES, Toulouse, FRANCE ITU climate change event, TURIN 6-7 May 2013 ICT AND CLIMATE CHANGE Jean PLA, Frequency Management Rapporteur ITU-D Question 24/2 ICT and Climate Change CNES, Toulouse, FRANCE jean.pla@cnes.fr Jean PLA

More information

Comments on Human and Natural Forcings. Climate changes (1900 to 2000) due to human activity. Climate Variability and Climate Change

Comments on Human and Natural Forcings. Climate changes (1900 to 2000) due to human activity. Climate Variability and Climate Change Comments on Human and Natural Forcings Human input of GH gases (carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, ozone, CFCs ) has warmed the planet: net RF = +2.9 W/m 2 The largest single warming factor is increased

More information

SOME QUICKIE CLICKER REVIEW QUESTIONS

SOME QUICKIE CLICKER REVIEW QUESTIONS SOME QUICKIE CLICKER REVIEW QUESTIONS ATTENTION!! THESE ARE UNREGISTERED CLICKERS WITH POINTS BUT NO NAME ATTACHED CHECK YOUR CLICKER DEVICE ID ON THE BACK DOES IT MATCH ANY OF THESE NUMBERS WHICH HAVE

More information

Chapter outline. introduction. Reference. Chapter 6: Climate Change Projections EST 5103 Climate Change Science

Chapter outline. introduction. Reference. Chapter 6: Climate Change Projections EST 5103 Climate Change Science Chapter 6: Climate Change Projections EST 5103 Climate Change Science Rezaul Karim Environmental Science & Technology Jessore University of Science & Technology Chapter outline Future Forcing and Scenarios,

More information

Implications of Climate Change on Fish Passage and Reintroduction. Future of Our Salmon Conference. April 23, Bob Heinith Heinith Consulting

Implications of Climate Change on Fish Passage and Reintroduction. Future of Our Salmon Conference. April 23, Bob Heinith Heinith Consulting Implications of Climate Change on Fish Passage and Reintroduction Future of Our Salmon Conference April 23, 2014 Bob Heinith Heinith Consulting Outline Understanding Climate Change Defining Fish Vulnerability

More information

Global Climate Change 4

Global Climate Change 4 Global Climate Change 4 Climate Change Consequences Climate Change Mitigation Climate Change Politics Tipping points GAT: we re heating up Hockey stick graph past 1000 years 2001 Data from thermometers

More information

TOPIC #16 THE IPCC FINDINGS

TOPIC #16 THE IPCC FINDINGS TOPIC #16 THE IPCC FINDINGS About the IPCC, the Projections, & Impacts pp 87-92 Eden by Gregory Kitterle "A world civilization able to envision God and the afterlife, to embark on the colonization of space,

More information

IPCC WGI AR6 Needs for climate system observation data. Panmao Zhai. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China

IPCC WGI AR6 Needs for climate system observation data. Panmao Zhai. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China IPCC WGI AR6 Needs for climate system observation data Panmao Zhai Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China 25 September 2017 AR5 WGI Outline 1: Introduction 2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface

More information

Climate change in the Asia-Pacific Region: What s the Evidence?

Climate change in the Asia-Pacific Region: What s the Evidence? Climate change in the Asia-Pacific Region: What s the Evidence? Ching-Cheng Chang The Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica Chinese Taipei Presentation at The Pacific Food System Outlook WHERE CLIMATE

More information

Climate Change. The Scale & Urgency of the Challenge

Climate Change. The Scale & Urgency of the Challenge Climate Change The Scale & Urgency of the Challenge Brian Hoskins UK Climate Change Committee Director, Grantham Institute for Climate Change Imperial College, UK Royal Society Research Professor, University

More information

IPCC 5 th Assessment Report

IPCC 5 th Assessment Report The WGI Contribution to the IPCC 5 th Assessment Report Thomas Stocker & Qin Dahe 259 Authors from 39 Countries WGI Technical Support Unit Team Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Key SPM Messages 19 Headlines

More information

20 Global Climate Change

20 Global Climate Change 20 Global Climate Change Overview of Chapter 20 Introduction to Climate Change Causes of Global Climate Change Effects of Climate Change Melting Ice and Rising Sea Level Changes in Precipitation Patterns

More information

How Bad is it??? Nancy Marley University of Arkansas at Little Rock. June 9, 2008

How Bad is it??? Nancy Marley University of Arkansas at Little Rock. June 9, 2008 How Bad is it??? Nancy Marley University of Arkansas at Little Rock June 9, 2008 World Meteorological Organization IPCC United Nations Environment Programme Established IPCC in 1998 Includes over 2,000

More information

Global Warming: The known, the unknown, and the unknowable

Global Warming: The known, the unknown, and the unknowable Global Warming: The known, the unknown, and the unknowable Jagadish Shukla George Mason University (GMU) Institute of Global Environment and Society (IGES) 6 Nov 2007, GMU Changes in Greenhouse Gases From

More information

ENSC425/625 Climate Change and Global Warming

ENSC425/625 Climate Change and Global Warming ENSC425/625 Climate Change and Global Warming 1 Emission scenarios of greenhouse gases Projections of climate change Regional climate change (North America) Observed Changes and their Uncertainty 2 Figure

More information

Climate Change: Update on Recycling s Impact on Greenhouse Gas Reduction

Climate Change: Update on Recycling s Impact on Greenhouse Gas Reduction Climate Change: Update on Recycling s Impact on Greenhouse Gas Reduction Anthony J. Broccoli Co-Director, Rutgers Climate Institute Department t of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University New Jersey

More information

Current understanding of global climate change and of its possible impacts on agriculture. Maurizio Sciortino.

Current understanding of global climate change and of its possible impacts on agriculture. Maurizio Sciortino. Current understanding of global climate change and of its possible impacts on agriculture Maurizio Sciortino maurizio.sciortino@enea.it Outline 1. Scientific understanding of climate change The greenhouse

More information

Climate Change and Agriculture

Climate Change and Agriculture Climate Change and Agriculture Congressional Briefing on Climate Change and Agriculture: Food and Farming in a Changing Climate June 16, 2010 Cynthia Rosenzweig NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies

More information

Climate impacts. Main Impacts of Climate Change CO2 fertilization effect Heat stress Water availability sea-level rise. Climate impacts.

Climate impacts. Main Impacts of Climate Change CO2 fertilization effect Heat stress Water availability sea-level rise. Climate impacts. By Sokuntheary Ath Precipitation Human Activity Food Shortage Main Impacts of Climate Change CO2 fertilization effect Heat stress Water availability sea-level rise The Poor s Summary Projected Annual Average

More information

Outline. should believe in global warming. prediction of climate change Is it us and what will it mean? extreme weather Barriers to progress?

Outline. should believe in global warming. prediction of climate change Is it us and what will it mean? extreme weather Barriers to progress? Outline What s happening to our climate and why we should believe in global warming Climate modelling and the attribution and prediction of climate change Is it us and what will it mean? Big issues and

More information

Global Perspective on Climate Change

Global Perspective on Climate Change Global Perspective on Climate Change Dr. Barrie Pittock, PSM Former Leader of Climate Impact Group, CSIRO Lead Author IPCC Reports, 1995, 1998, 2001 Editor, AGO Climate Change Guide 2003 Author, Climate

More information

Climate Change: A Challenge for Fruit Growers Worldwide

Climate Change: A Challenge for Fruit Growers Worldwide Climate Change: A Challenge for Fruit Growers Worldwide Jeffrey A. Andresen Dept. of Geography Michigan State University Interpoma 2014 Bozen/Bolzano, Italy Outline Historical Trends Future Projections

More information

What does IPCC AR5 say? IPCC as a radical inside the closet

What does IPCC AR5 say? IPCC as a radical inside the closet What does IPCC AR5 say? IPCC as a radical inside the closet What does IPCC AR5 say? Plan: * What is IPCC? * The Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) - WR1: The physical basis - WR2: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability

More information

Introduction. Introduction. Introduction. Outline Last IPCC report : 2001 Last IPCC report :

Introduction. Introduction. Introduction. Outline Last IPCC report : 2001 Last IPCC report : Introduction Greenhouse Gases & Climate Change Laurent Bopp LSCE, Paris When did the story start? ¾1827 Fourier hypothesizes greenhouse effect ¾1860 Tyndal identifies CO2 and water vapor as heat trapping

More information

It is a unique privilege for me to speak before this august gathering at time when

It is a unique privilege for me to speak before this august gathering at time when Distinguished Ladies & Gentlemen! It is a unique privilege for me to speak before this august gathering at time when the world needs to identify and address some formidable new challenges that face us.

More information

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) IPCC and Climate Change. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) IPCC and Climate Change. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) IPCC and Climate Change Özgür ZEYDAN (PhD) http://cevre.beun.edu.tr/zeydan/ IPCC was established by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and

More information

2.4.0 CLIMATE CHANGE, EXPOSURE & RISK. Contents of Set : Guide 2.4.1: Activity : Activity : Activity 3 IN THIS SET YOU WILL:

2.4.0 CLIMATE CHANGE, EXPOSURE & RISK. Contents of Set : Guide 2.4.1: Activity : Activity : Activity 3 IN THIS SET YOU WILL: 2.4.0 SERIES 2 Understanding Vulnerability & Risk CLIMATE CHANGE, EXPOSURE & RISK Contents of Set 2.4.0: Guide 2.4.1: Activity 1 2.4.2: Activity 2 2.4.3: Activity 3 One component of vulnerability to climate

More information

Agenda. IPCC 4 th Assessment Report. Projected Surface Warming 5/14/2012. Climate Change Infrastructure Adaptation

Agenda. IPCC 4 th Assessment Report. Projected Surface Warming 5/14/2012. Climate Change Infrastructure Adaptation Climate Change Infrastructure Adaptation Presented at NJWEA Annual Conference Atlantic City, NJ by B. Tod Delaney, Ph.D., P.E. President, First Environment, Inc. Agenda 1. What science tells us 2. How

More information

Global Ocean and Atmosphere Temperature Trends Compared

Global Ocean and Atmosphere Temperature Trends Compared Warmer Oceans result in coral bleaching and the death of coral reefs support more powerful hurricanes 32 Global Ocean and Atmosphere Temperature Trends Compared 33 Warmer Oceans and Coral Bleaching 1997-1998

More information

Dr David Karoly School of Meteorology

Dr David Karoly School of Meteorology Global warming: Is it real? Does it matter for a chemical engineer? Dr David Karoly School of Meteorology Email: dkaroly@ou.edu Recent global warming quotes Senator James Inhofe (R, Oklahoma), Chair, Senate

More information

ATM S 111: Global Warming Global Warming Primer. Jennifer Fletcher Day 2: June

ATM S 111: Global Warming Global Warming Primer. Jennifer Fletcher Day 2: June ATM S 111: Global Warming Global Warming Primer Jennifer Fletcher Day 2: June 22 2010 Class Website! http://www.atmos.washington.edu/academics/classes/ 2010Q3/111/ (hopefully linked from your myuw page)

More information

2. Climate Change: Projections of Climate Change: 2100 and beyond

2. Climate Change: Projections of Climate Change: 2100 and beyond Global Warming: Science, Projections and Uncertainties Global Warming: Science, Projections and Uncertainties An overview of the basic science An overview of the basic science 1. A Brief History of Global

More information

Climate Change Science: What We Know

Climate Change Science: What We Know Climate Change Science: What We Know by Lydia Olander, Rob Jackson, Gabi Hegerl, and Nicole St.Clair March 2007 What We Know 1. Scientists first described how accumulating carbon dioxide levels would raise

More information

20 Global Climate Change

20 Global Climate Change 20 Global Climate Change Overview of Chapter 20 Introduction to Climate Change Causes of Global Climate Change Effects of Climate Change Melting Ice and Rising Sea Level Changes in Precipitation Patterns

More information

Observed Changes and their Causes. Vicente Barros, Co-Chair WGII Gian-Kasper Plattner, Head WGI TSU for the SYR Core Writing Team

Observed Changes and their Causes. Vicente Barros, Co-Chair WGII Gian-Kasper Plattner, Head WGI TSU for the SYR Core Writing Team Observed Changes and their Causes Vicente Barros, Co-Chair WGII Gian-Kasper Plattner, Head WGI TSU for the SYR Core Writing Team Human influence on the climate system is clear. Recent climate changes have

More information

9. Climate change. Climate change, and avoiding its potential consequences, is addressed by. Environmental signals 2002

9. Climate change. Climate change, and avoiding its potential consequences, is addressed by. Environmental signals 2002 66 9. Climate change policy issue indicator assessment achieving the Kyoto Protocol targets controlling emission reduction - contributions across sectors maintaining average temperatures below provisional

More information

Climate Change : Facts and Future Scenarios

Climate Change : Facts and Future Scenarios Climate Change : Facts and Future Scenarios Dr Jim Salinger National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research, Auckland, NZ FOA/MAF 6 th Annual Forest Biosecurity Workshop 8-9 th March 2007 Outline Facts

More information

Understanding the Causes of Global Climate Change

Understanding the Causes of Global Climate Change FACT SHEET I: Attribution Environment Understanding the Causes of Global Climate Change Average air temperatures at the Earth s surface have increased by approximately 0.6 o C (1 o F) over the 20 th century.

More information

Summary for Policymakers Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis

Summary for Policymakers Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Summary for Policymakers Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Robert Sausen DLR-Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Oberpfaffenhofen Guidance Notes for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fourth Assessment

More information

All the countries should join efforts in fighting greenhouse effect the expert

All the countries should join efforts in fighting greenhouse effect the expert All the countries should join efforts in fighting greenhouse effect the expert 25.04.2012, 12:26Copy text Print E-mail Climate change is probably the most serious problem in the history of human science

More information

Lectures by ElenaYulaeva

Lectures by ElenaYulaeva Lectures by ElenaYulaeva eyulaeva@ucsd.edu;858-534-6278 1. 07-13: Overview of Climate Change 2. 07-15:Climate change modeling (topic for research project) 3. 07-18:Forecasting climate (topic for research

More information

CONTENTS. Introduction x

CONTENTS. Introduction x CONTENTS Introduction x Chapter 1: Climate 1 Solar Radiation and Temperature 2 The Distribution of Radiant Energy from the Sun 2 The Effects of the Atmosphere 3 Average Radiation Budgets 6 Surface-Energy

More information

LIST OF POSSIBLE APPLICATIONS OF DECADAL PREDICTION

LIST OF POSSIBLE APPLICATIONS OF DECADAL PREDICTION LIST OF POSSIBLE APPLICATIONS OF DECADAL PREDICTION Document prepared for CLIVAR Pacific Panel by: William Crawford, Rodney Martinez and Toshio Suga. October 2006 The decadal time period falls between

More information

Assessing Vulnerability and Adaptation Potential of Northeast Agriculture to Climate Change

Assessing Vulnerability and Adaptation Potential of Northeast Agriculture to Climate Change Assessing Vulnerability and Adaptation Potential of Northeast Agriculture to Climate Change David H. Fleisher 1 and Jonathan P. Resop 2 1 USDA-ARS Crop Systems and Global Change, Beltsville, MD 2 Dept.

More information

IWRM as a Tool for Adaptation to Climate Change. Drivers and Impacts of Climate Change

IWRM as a Tool for Adaptation to Climate Change. Drivers and Impacts of Climate Change IWRM as a Tool for Adaptation to Climate Change Drivers and Impacts of Climate Change Outline presentation This session will address: The drivers/physical science basis of climate change The observed and

More information

Forests and Climate. Changing Forests. Carbon, Climate over Time. Current Forest Change. Why Should We Care? Forest Carbon Cycle

Forests and Climate. Changing Forests. Carbon, Climate over Time. Current Forest Change. Why Should We Care? Forest Carbon Cycle Forests and Climate Continual Change, Many Possibilities Dean Hal Salwasser Why Should We Care? Forests: Keystone ecosystem for a livable earth Water, fish, wildlife, wood, jobs, wealth, air 50% global

More information

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) report:

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) report: We started out by reviewing the various indicators of a warming world which we have already discussed this diagram... but now a report has summarized even more for the United States specifically (next

More information

NSTA Web Seminar: Earth Then, Earth Now: Our Changing Climate Climate Change Jeopardy

NSTA Web Seminar: Earth Then, Earth Now: Our Changing Climate Climate Change Jeopardy LIVE INTERACTIVE LEARNING @ YOUR DESKTOP NSTA Web Seminar: Earth Then, Earth Now: Our Changing Climate Climate Change Jeopardy Presented by Dr. Mike Winton, NOAA Tuesday, March 31, 2009 Climate Change

More information

ICCG Think Tank Map: a worldwide observatory on climate think tanks Arctic, Energy Poverty and Health in the Second Volume of IPCC s AR 5

ICCG Think Tank Map: a worldwide observatory on climate think tanks Arctic, Energy Poverty and Health in the Second Volume of IPCC s AR 5 ICCG Think Tank Map: a worldwide observatory on climate think tanks Arctic, Energy Poverty and Health in the Second Volume of IPCC s AR 5 Alice Favero, ICCG Arctic, Energy Poverty and Health Alice Favero

More information

Climate Change. (Adopted by AMS Council on 1 February 2007) Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 88

Climate Change. (Adopted by AMS Council on 1 February 2007) Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 88 Climate Change An Information Statement of the American Meteorological Society (Adopted by AMS Council on 1 February 2007) Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 88 The following is an Information Statement intended to

More information

Implications of Climate Variability and Human-Induced Climate Change for Water Resource Management

Implications of Climate Variability and Human-Induced Climate Change for Water Resource Management Implications of Climate Variability and Human-Induced Climate Change for Water Resource Management Robert T. Watson Chief Scientist and Senior Scientific Advisor ESSD, World Bank Former Chair, Intergovernmental

More information

ATM S 211 Final Examination June 4, 2007

ATM S 211 Final Examination June 4, 2007 ATM S 211 Final Examination June 4, 2007 Name This examination consists of a total of 100 points. In each of the first two sections, you have a choice of which questions to answer. Please note that you

More information

Public Bodies Duties Reporting Adapting to Climate Change. Anna Beswick Programme Manager SSN reporting training day 22 June 2017

Public Bodies Duties Reporting Adapting to Climate Change. Anna Beswick Programme Manager SSN reporting training day 22 June 2017 Public Bodies Duties Reporting Adapting to Climate Change Anna Beswick Programme Manager SSN reporting training day 22 June 2017 Enabling organisations, businesses and communities to adapt to the impacts

More information

Global Climate Change

Global Climate Change Global Climate Change Why Does it Matter for the CGIAR? Robert T. Watson Chairman, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Chief Scientist and Director, ESSD, World Bank May 24, 2001 CGAIR Meeting Durban,

More information

Critical thinking question for you:

Critical thinking question for you: Critical thinking question for you: http://www.cnn.com/2017/07/12/us/weather-cities-inundated-climatechange/index.html ATOC 4800 Policy Implications of Climate ATOC 5000/ENVS 5830 Critical Issues in Climate

More information

Climate Change and Human Rights. Daniel Bodansky University of Georgia School of Law February 12, 2010

Climate Change and Human Rights. Daniel Bodansky University of Georgia School of Law February 12, 2010 Climate Change and Human Rights Daniel Bodansky University of Georgia School of Law February 12, 2010 Greenhouse Effect Svante Arrhenius (1859-1927) 1927) GHG Concentrations ti Increasing Atmospheric concentrations

More information

Global Warming. By William K. Tong. Adjunct Faculty, Earth Science Oakton Community College

Global Warming. By William K. Tong. Adjunct Faculty, Earth Science Oakton Community College Global Warming By William K. Tong Adjunct Faculty, Earth Science Oakton Community College What Is Global Warming? According to the National Academy of Sciences, the Earth's surface temperature has risen

More information

Global CO 2 and Climate Change

Global CO 2 and Climate Change Global CO 2 and Climate Change A deeper look at the carbon dioxide cycle, greenhouse gases, and oceanic processes over the last 200 years OCN 623 Chemical Oceanography 17 April 2018 Reading: Libes, Chapter

More information

Climate Adaptation National Research Flagship Andrew Ash Flagship Director September 2008

Climate Adaptation National Research Flagship Andrew Ash Flagship Director September 2008 Climate change, rivers and water resources Climate Adaptation National Research Flagship Andrew Ash Flagship Director September 2008 Talk Outline Evidence for climate change Projections for the 21st century

More information

Chapter 2. Climate Change: Scientific Basis

Chapter 2. Climate Change: Scientific Basis a. The Greenhouse Effect Chapter 2 Climate Change: Scientific Basis Climate scientists have clearly established that: The Earth s atmosphere is like a greenhouse, reflecting some of the sun s harmful rays

More information

Global Warming. Causes

Global Warming. Causes potential in a specific region, or determining the best location for remediation treatment systems for contaminated groundwater plumes. GIS is frequently used by environmental engineers and other professionals

More information

Summary for Policymakers

Summary for Policymakers 0 0 Working Group I Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report Climate Change 00: The Physical Science Basis Summary for Policymakers Draft Coordinating Lead

More information

PHY392S Physics of Climate. Lecture 1. Introduction

PHY392S Physics of Climate. Lecture 1. Introduction PHY392S Physics of Climate Lecture 1 Introduction Slides based on material from Prof. K. Strong PHY392S - Physics of Climate Lecture 1, Page 1 Some Definitions Weather the fluctuating state of the atmosphere

More information

Climate Change state of the science

Climate Change state of the science Climate Change state of the science Henley in Transition December 14 th 2015 Prof. Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology University of Reading Earth s Climate has always been changing The planet is

More information

The Chemistry of Climate Change. Reading: Chapter 8 Environmental Chemistry, G. W. vanloon. S. J. Duffy

The Chemistry of Climate Change. Reading: Chapter 8 Environmental Chemistry, G. W. vanloon. S. J. Duffy The Chemistry of Climate Change Reading: Chapter 8 Environmental Chemistry, G. W. vanloon. S. J. Duffy The Science of Global Climate There's a lot of differing data, but as far as I can gather, over the

More information

What next after Copenhagen?

What next after Copenhagen? What next after Copenhagen? Foundation for Science and Technology Professor John Beddington Chief Scientific Adviser to HM Government and Head of the Government Office for Science 2 June 2010 The Royal

More information

FOLLOW: Green House on Twitter

FOLLOW: Green House on Twitter Jan 31, 2012 Recommend 773 208 By Wendy Koch, USA TODAY Updated 1d 13h ago CAPTION By William Fernando Martinez, AP A new NASA study tries to lay to rest the skepticism about climate change, especially

More information

The International Climate Change Regime: UNFCCC. International Climate Change and Energy Law Spring semester 2014 Dr.

The International Climate Change Regime: UNFCCC. International Climate Change and Energy Law Spring semester 2014 Dr. The International Climate Change Regime: UNFCCC International Climate Change and Energy Law Spring semester 2014 Dr. Christina Voigt 1. The Legal Status of the Atmosphere 2. 1992 UNFCCC 3. 1997 Kyoto Protocol

More information

Weather has always been a hot topic of conversation. We talk about whether it is hot or cold, windy or calm, snowy or dry. We listen to the radio to

Weather has always been a hot topic of conversation. We talk about whether it is hot or cold, windy or calm, snowy or dry. We listen to the radio to Weather has always been a hot topic of conversation. We talk about whether it is hot or cold, windy or calm, snowy or dry. We listen to the radio to figure out if the weather will be different tomorrow.

More information

Conclusions of the IPCC Working Group I Fifth Assessment Report, AR4, SREX and SRREN

Conclusions of the IPCC Working Group I Fifth Assessment Report, AR4, SREX and SRREN Conclusions of the IPCC Working Group I Fifth Assessment Report, AR4, SREX and SRREN R. K. Pachauri 11 November 2013 Warsaw, Poland Chairman, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 1 Problems cannot

More information

GLOBAL WARMING. GEOG/ENST 3331 Lecture 21 Ahrens: Chapter 16; Turco: Chapter 12

GLOBAL WARMING. GEOG/ENST 3331 Lecture 21 Ahrens: Chapter 16; Turco: Chapter 12 GLOBAL WARMING GEOG/ENST 3331 Lecture 21 Ahrens: Chapter 16; Turco: Chapter 12 Previous lecture Radiation budget review Driving factors Albedo Solar forcing Greenhouse gases Feedbacks The climate machine

More information

CLIMATE CHANGE CAUSED BY HUMAN ACTIVITY - II

CLIMATE CHANGE CAUSED BY HUMAN ACTIVITY - II CLIMATE CHANGE CAUSED BY HUMAN ACTIVITY - II Do Mathematical Models Replicate Recent Observations? Thanks to mathematical climate simulation models, it is possible to assess whether or not the warming

More information

Climate Change and How it Affects Alberta

Climate Change and How it Affects Alberta Climate Change and How it Affects Alberta Dave Sauchyn, Prairie Adaptation Research Collaborative University of Regina May 13, 2002, Banff, Alberta Climate is Always Changing From GSC Misc. Report 71 (2001)

More information

NATIONAL AND REGIONAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE INDIAN ECONOMY

NATIONAL AND REGIONAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE INDIAN ECONOMY NATIONAL AND REGIONAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE INDIAN ECONOMY PARTHA SEN and SHREEKANT GUPTA Delhi School of Economics University of Delhi sgupta@econdse.org Climate Change and Developing Countries

More information

Global warming and its implications for conservation.

Global warming and its implications for conservation. Global warming and its implications for conservation. 1. Overview. The IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) consensus forecast for climate is an increase in global temperature by 2-5 o C (3.8-9.5

More information

Global ClimateChange. Pedro M.M. Soares. Instituto Dom Luiz University of Lisbon

Global ClimateChange. Pedro M.M. Soares. Instituto Dom Luiz University of Lisbon Global ClimateChange Pedro M.M. Soares Instituto Dom Luiz University of Lisbon pmsoares@fc.ul.pt IPCC 5th AssessmentReportfor ClimateChange2013: The Physical Basis Observed Changes in the Climate System

More information

Changes to the Underlying Scientific-Technical Assessment to ensure consistency with the approved Summary for Policymakers

Changes to the Underlying Scientific-Technical Assessment to ensure consistency with the approved Summary for Policymakers THIRTY-SIXTH SESSION OF THE IPCC Stockholm, 26 September 2013 IPCC-XXXVI/Doc. 4 (27.IX.2013) Agenda Item: 3 ENGLISH ONLY ACCEPTANCE OF THE ACTIONS TAKEN AT THE TWELFTH SESSION OF WORKING GROUP I Working

More information

Analysis. Document of WARMING 5TH IPCC REPORT. THE CERTAINTY OF AN INHERITANCE, GLOBAL WARMING. Document of Analysis 51/2013 1

Analysis. Document of WARMING 5TH IPCC REPORT. THE CERTAINTY OF AN INHERITANCE, GLOBAL WARMING. Document of Analysis 51/2013 1 Document of Analysis 51/2013 30 September 2013 Enter the WEB Sign up for our NEWSLETTER 5TH IPCC REPORT. THE CERTAINTY OF AN INHERITANCE, GLOBAL WARMING This document has been translated by a Translation

More information

Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? 12/13/2016. Yes!

Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? 12/13/2016. Yes! 1 2 3 Yes! 4 Yes! But Earth's climate is always changing! 5 Yes! But Earth's climate is always changing! 6 Throughout its 4.5 billion year history, Earth's climate has alternated between periods of warmth

More information

The Climate Change Challenge

The Climate Change Challenge The Climate Change Challenge Otto C. Doering, III Director, Purdue Climate Change Research Center Professor, Agricultural Economics PURDUE CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CENTER The PCCRC is a faculty-led, university-based

More information

Climate system dynamics and modelling

Climate system dynamics and modelling Climate system dynamics and modelling Hugues Goosse Chapter 6 Future climate changes Outline Methods used to estimate future climate changes. Description of the main results at different timescales. Interpretation

More information

Understanding and attributing recent climate change

Understanding and attributing recent climate change Understanding and attributing recent climate change Peter Stott, Nathan Bindoff, John Church, Peter Clark, Greg Flato, Piers Forster, Nathan Gillett, Gabi Hegerl, Reto Knutti, Jochem Marotzke, Rowan Sutton,

More information

15.023J / J / ESD.128J Global Climate Change: Economics, Science, and Policy Spring 2008

15.023J / J / ESD.128J Global Climate Change: Economics, Science, and Policy Spring 2008 MIT OpenCourseWare http://ocw.mit.edu 15.023J / 12.848J / ESD.128J Global Climate Change: Economics, Science, and Policy Spring 2008 For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use, visit:

More information

The Science of Global Warming

The Science of Global Warming The Science of Global Warming Global Warming can be understood qualitatively using the two concepts: Energy Balance Feedback Loops Two important Definitions Greenhouse effect: natural, beneficial consequence

More information

Climate Change: Current State of the Science and Impacts

Climate Change: Current State of the Science and Impacts Climate Change: Current State of the Science and Impacts Lloyd A. Treinish IBM Distinguished Engineer Chief Scientist, Environmental Modelling, Climate and Weather IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center

More information

Climate Science from a Climate Scientist

Climate Science from a Climate Scientist Climate Science from a Climate Scientist Professor Richard Allan, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading John Hall Venice Course, National Gallery, 25 th January 2017 Earth s Climate has always

More information

Committee: United Nations Environment Programme Agenda : Discussing challenges faced while implementing measures to combat climate change with

Committee: United Nations Environment Programme Agenda : Discussing challenges faced while implementing measures to combat climate change with Committee: United Nations Environment Programme Agenda : Discussing challenges faced while implementing measures to combat climate change with special emphasis on the economy of the member states. INTRODUCTION

More information