Summary of the socio-economic impact of Copernicus in the EU

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Oswald Jackson
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Summary of the socio-economic impact of Copernicus in the EU ESA Since the entry into service of Copernicus first satellite, Sentinel-1A, in 2014, the impacts of the programme are witnessed beyond

1 Summary of the socio-economic impact of Copernicus in the EU ESA Since the entry into service of Copernicus first satellite, Sentinel-1A, in 2014, the impacts of the programme are witnessed beyond the upstream industry, and bring economic, social, environmental and strategic benefits to the European EO downstream sector as well as to the wider community of final users. Tangible examples of cost reductions, additional revenues or environmental improvements are great illustrations of the types of contribution Copernicus can generate for both EO applications developers and non space markets. Overall impacts over EUR 7.4 billion Overall investment in the programme EUR billion Cumulated economic value generated 15,580 jobs years supported across the European industry over ,050 to 12,450 jobs years supported across the EO downstream and end users markets* over SUPPORT TO EMPLOYMENT IN EUROPE EUR billion Total economic value Downstream EO market and end users* Cumulated impacts over EUR billion EO downstream market (Geo-service providers) EUR billion Final users 10 % 66 % 31% Average penetration of Copernicus data among the overall EO data used by geo-service providers (2015) Proportion of the European EO applications developers which use Copernicus data (2015) Expected annual growth rate of Copernicus economic value on the EO downstream market on * Calculated on 8 value chains: Agriculture, Forestry, Urban Monitoring, Insurance, Ocean Monitoring, Oil & Gas, Renewable Energies and Air Quality. The final users benefits only include Urban Monitoring, Insurance and Oil & Gas value chains. Source: European Commission, Study to examine the socio-economic impact of Copernicus in the EU Report on the Copernicus downstream sector and user benefits, prepared by PwC October 2016

2 Socio-economic impact of Copernicus in the EU by sector AGRICULTURE Mostly used for precision farming, Copernicus data already represents 13% of the total EO data used Applications: seasonal mapping of cultivated areas, water management, support to subsidy control FORESTRY UN s REDD Programme compels its 26 country members to obtain highly accurate and precise EO data on Forests Applications: cartographies of forest, change mapping, detecting and monitoring forest fires 26 % Cost reduction for an irrigation management service in Austria URBAN MONITORING EO data has a key role to play in the smart cities growing market Applications: monitoring of urban growth and ground motion, 3D modelling construction, transportation route mapping Sentinel-2 data will improve significantly the quality of forest mappings INSURANCE EO enables the development of index products, hence to address new markets Applications: forecasting of cyclones and hurricanes routes, floods early warning, index insurance policies 6 K Yearly savings for construction companies using a work progress monitoring app OCEAN MONITORING EO data addresses well the rapidly changing parameters as it provides precise and frequently updated data Applications: measuring water quality, monitoring algal blooms and coastal areas, mapping fishing zones and marine protected areas 172 M Forecasted European market for pastures insurance against natural hazards (from 2025) OIL AND GAS EO data is combined with other sources (UAVs, in-situ, internal data ) to deliver GIS products and services Applications: supporting exploration, drilling, transport, logistics or safety through maps and measurements 5 % Increased productivity of fish farmers by monitoring toxic algal blooms RENEWABLE ENERGY EO data is particularly useful for biomass and solar energy Applications: site selection, plants and facilities design, solar and wind farm maintenance, production forecasting 18 M Yearly cost saving in the Netherlands through pipeline management Source: EARSC AIR QUALITY EO data were only recently inserted in Air Quality monitoring compared to other data sources Applications: air quality nowcasting and forecasting, pollutant fluxes tracking, hotspots detection 2 % Increased revenues of photovoltaic electricity producers by improving production forecasts 60 % Improved precision of the analysis of pollutants coming from trans-boundary movements

3 Agriculture EUR % Enabled revenues for geo-service providers in 2015 Expected average annual growth up to 2020 Claas The precision farming market (90 % of the EO applications related to agriculture) is highly promising Copernicus data already represents 13 % of the overall EO data used in agriculture Copernicus will contribute to address food security issues in developing countries EO data is used mainly by agricultural cooperatives and governmental authorities Copernicus Land Monitoring Service Land Surface Temperature maps Soil Water Index maps Normalized Vegetation Index (quantity and lushness of vegetation) Precision farming (yield mapping, input management, farm management recording) Seasonal mapping of cultivated areas Water management and drought monitoring Support to subsidy controls Improving irrigation management in Austria with the University of Natural Resources and Life Science of Vienna Improvement of irrigation management techniques thanks to Copernicus data 54 % of farmers willing to pay for such a service 26 % reduction of service cost thanks to Copernicus (18 k per growing season)

4 Forestry EUR % Enabled revenues for geo-service providers in 2015 Expected average annual growth up to 2020 UN s REDD Programme (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation) compels 26 country members to obtain highly accurate and precise EO data on forests Public bodies account for 90 % of final users Copernicus data represents 12 % of the overall EO data used in Forestry Copernicus Land Monitoring Service Tree Cover Density Forest Type (leaf type product and support layer which maps trees) Forest resources and change mapping Map of forest fires (detection and monitoring) Forest cartographies (tree species, biophysical variables etc.) Applications developed in the context of the REDD programme (measures of forest biomass) Mapping forests in Mexico for the REDD Programme Use of Sentinel-1 and 2 data to map forest cover 200,000 km 2 area monitored for forest mapping Sentinel-2 data will improve significantly the quality of forest mappings, with regards to the identification of tree species.

Urban Monitoring EUR 4.6-6.7 + 14 % + 19 % EUR 1.1-1.

5 Urban Monitoring EUR % + 19 % EUR Enabled revenues for geo-service providers in 2015 and expected average annual growth up to 2020 Enabled revenues for final users in 2015 and expected average annual growth up to 2020 EO data has a key role in the smart cities growing market Strong synergies exist with other data sources to create new apps and to analyse socio-economic behaviours The majority of final users are local public authorities Copernicus Land Monitoring Service CORINE Land Cover (inventory of land cover) High Resolution Layers (information on specific land cover characteristics) Urban atlas (land cover and land use in major EU cities) Urban growth monitoring Ground motion monitoring Road and other transportation route mapping 3D modelling construction Remote monitoring of construction sites by Building Radar Work progress monitoring and early issue detection app for construction companies 60 % of the satellite data comes from Copernicus Clients save 3 hours per day and EUR 60K per year on average

Natural Disaster Insurance + 64 % EUR 3-186 EUR 0-2.

6 Natural Disaster Insurance + 64 % EUR EUR % Enabled revenues for geo-service providers in 2015 and expected average annual growth up to 2020 Enabled revenues for (re) insurers in 2015 and expected average annual growth up to 2020 EO data is a complementary source of information, which is not critical for traditional claim-based insurance Satellite data enables the development of index products, allowing insurers to address new markets, but requires long data history Strong discrepancies exist between (re)insurance companies regarding the adoption of EO data Copernicus Emergency Management Service (available to authorised users only) Reference maps Delineation maps Grading maps Pre-disaster situation maps Post-disaster situation maps Tracking and forecasting of storms, cyclones and hurricanes routes Tracking of potential floods to send early warnings In case of large fires, identification of initial and potential new fire departures EO-based agricultural insurance policy for the Spanish market by Agroseguro Index insurance against lack of pastures, in case of droughts or other natural hazards 4,000 to 5,000 insured farmers per year in Spain EUR 172 M expected Copernicus enabled revenues for pastures index insurance in Europe (from 2025)

7 Ocean Monitoring EUR % Enabled revenues for geo-service providers in 2015 Expected average annual growth up to 2020 Ocean monitoring includes numerous fields such as mapping of fishing zones and marine protected areas, coastal protection, extraction of natural resources etc. EO data suits well the rapidly changing parameters of ocean monitoring as it provides precise and frequently updated data Sentinel-3 will be a strong contributor to the ocean monitoring sector Copernicus Marine Environment Service Global Ocean Biochemistry Analysis and Weekly Forecast Mediterranean Sea L4 Gridded Maps NRT SLA (calculates sea surface height) Measuring water quality Monitoring of harmful algal blooms Mapping of fishing zones Mapping of marine protected areas Monitoring of coastal erosion Monitoring of toxic algal blooms through the ASIMUTH project Tracking toxic algal blooms through satellite images Close to 100 % accuracy for forecasting systems 5% Increase in fish farmers productivity thanks to the toxic algal bloom monitoring system

8 Oil & Gas EUR % EUR % Enabled revenues for geo-service providers in 2015 and expected average annual growth up to 2020 Enabled revenues for O&G companies in 2015 and expected average annual growth up to 2020 O&G value chain is private-oriented, and very sensitive to oil price evolutions Most of EO benefits are generated by Oil & Gas upstream companies EO data is combined with other sources (UAVs, in-situ, internal ) to deliver GIS products and services Maps and measurements to support: - exploration and drilling - transport and logistics - infrastructure construction and safety - prevention of risks of disasters Measures for environmental monitoring (coastal ecosystems, marine habitats, pollution at sea etc.) Pipeline monitoring in the Netherlands Improvement of management practices for sub-surface pipeline monitoring Between EUR 50K and 140K budget saved by replacing fee-based satellite imagery by Sentinels data Up to EUR 18M Overall economic benefits at the country scale of Netherlands Source: EARSC, Copernicus Sentinels products economic value: a case study, May 2016

9 Renewable Energies EUR % Enabled revenues for geo-service providers in 2015 Expected average annual growth up to 2020 EO data is particularly exploited in the fields of biomass and solar energies Commercial applications are relatively new Copernicus represents 10 % of the overall EO data used by geo-service providers for commercial applications Monitoring of solar power production by Reuniwatt Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Land Monitoring Marine Environment Services Global Ocean Daily Gridded Sea Surface Winds from Scatterometer (CMES) Total-sky Surface Solar Irradiation (CAMS) Digital Elevation Model (CLMS) Site selection and design of plants and facilities Solar and wind farm maintenance Energy production forecasting Energy trading Tracing and monitoring biomass production Soleka is an application that forecasts solar power production Forecasts based on satellite data have a 30 % error rate. It falls to 25 % with Copernicus data 2 % Increase of photovoltaic electricity producers remunerations thanks to Copernicus

10 Air Quality EUR % Enabled revenues for geo-service providers in 2015 Expected average annual growth up to 2020 EO data has recently been inserted in Air Quality monitoring compared to other data sources Geo-service providers are mostly environmental and meteorological agencies or publicly funded-organizations Final users are mainly public authorities with increasing reporting obligations Air Quality monitoring in cities by NUMTECH Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service Forecasts reports - Global atmospheric composition - Global aerosol concentrations Analyses reports - Global chemical species Urban air nowcasting and forecasting Pollutant fluxes tracking Local scale air quality analysis Hotspots detection Information bulletins for the population Support to policy making for public authorities Urban Air, is an application using Copernicus data to provide high resolution air quality 10 % of the data used stems from Copernicus, but accounts for 90% of the data exploited to analyse pollution 60 % Improvement of the service precision for pollutants coming from trans-boundary movements

eo4all The European EO Services Industry

eo4all The European EO Services Industry eo4all @ESA, Pío XI Glacier, Chile @Benjamin Grant/Google Earth/Digital Globe Man must rise above Earth to the top of the atmosphere & beyond, for only then Industry will he fully understand the world