Blue Growth in the Mediterranean: A challenge for the MPA network

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1 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean: A challenge for the MPA network Catherine Piante, Denis Ody, Mauro Randone WWF Mediterranean Initiative

2 Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. Maps and trends 3. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 4. ICZM & MSP 5. Discussion

3 Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. Maps and trends 3. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 4. ICZM & MSP 5. Discussion

4 Relative sizes of sectors and their expected growth to 2030 Professional fisheries Aquaculture Offshore mining Taille relative actuelle (PIB) Taille attendue en 2030 (estimations)

5 Relative sizes of sectors and their expected growth to 2030 Professional fisheries Tourism Aquaculture Offshore mining Taille relative actuelle (PIB) Taille attendue en 2030 (estimations)

6 Relative sizes of sectors and their expected growth to 2030 Professional fisheries Tourism Shipping Aquaculture Offshore mining Taille relative actuelle (PIB) Taille attendue en 2030 (estimations)

7 Relative sizes of sectors and their expected growth to 2030 Professional fisheries Tourism Shipping Aquaculture Offshore mining Offshore O&G Taille relative actuelle (PIB) Taille attendue en 2030 (estimations) Offshore windfarms

8 Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. Maps and trends 3. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 4. ICZM & MSP 5. Discussion

9 ECONOMIC SECTORS 9

10 Maritime traffic > 4% year Global trade

11 Rush for offshore oil & gas x 5 by 2030 Offshore gaz production +60% by 2020 Offshore oil production

12 Offshore oil & gas: exploration contracts (April 2015) Pas besoin de titre sur des photos larges qui permettent une respiration

13 > 4% Mediterranean: 1st year tourism destination Global in the trade world

15 Professional Fisheries A downward trend is expected at an uncertain rate at the Mediterranean regional level. > 4% year Global trade

16 Professional fisheries A sector potentially strongly impacted by Blue Growth Topic can go here Presentation title can go here Diminution of captures, loss of fishing grounds Secondary information XX-XX Month, Year Additional information can run Underneath if neccessary

17 Recreational fisheries Recreational fishing in the Mediterranean Sea follows an upward trend. Fishing effort is likely to increase in correlation with the expected coastal population increase and the development of the coastal tourism sector. > 4% year Global trade

18 Marine aquaculture > 4% year Global trade

19 Aquaculture Topic can go here Presentation title can go here EU Med fish aquaculture +112% by 2030 Secondary information XX-XX Month, Year Additional information can run Underneath if neccessary Giorgos Paximadis, WWF-Greece

20 Renewable energy > 4% year Global trade

(EU countries) Secondary information XX-XX Month, Year

21 Offshore windfarms Emerging industry Topic can go here Presentation title can go here 12 gigawatts (GW) in 2030 (EU countries) Secondary information XX-XX Month, Year Additional information can run Underneath if neccessary Nenuphar

22 Marine mining EU released its Blue Growth strategy, which identified seabed mining as one of the five priority areas > 4% year Global trade

Marine Mining Topic can go here By 2020, 5% of

and zinc, could come from the ocean floors.

Presentation title can go here Secondary

XX-XX Month, Year Additional information can

chimneys on the Eastern Lau Spreading Center,

23 Marine Mining Topic can go here By 2020, 5% of the world s minerals, including cobalt, copper and zinc, could come from the ocean floors. This could rise to 10% by Presentation title can go here Secondary information Mediterranean? XX-XX Month, Year Additional information can run Underneath if neccessary Seafloor sulfide chimneys on the Eastern Lau Spreading Center, Kingdom of Tonga Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution and Charles Fisher, Pennsylvania State Universi

24 Coastal development At the Mediterranean basin level, Blue Plan estimates that 5,000 km of additional coastline will be artificialised by 2025 as compared > 4% to the 2005 situation. year Global trade

25 Land based pollution Wastewater: is expected to keep decreasing over the next 15 years. Heavy metals : an upward trend for mercury and lead. > POPs: 4% slowly decline. Nutrient discharges year : slight increase. Global trade

26 Summary of the trends Sector Trend Sector Trend Oil and gas Tourism Maritime transport Renewable energy Professional Fisheries Recreational fisheries Marine Acquaculture Marine mining Coastal development Land based pollution > 4% year Global trade

27 Climate change and acidification > 4% year Global trade

28 AREAS OF CONSERVATION INTEREST 28

29 Areas of conservation interest > 4% year Global trade

30 Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. Maps and trends 3. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 4. ICZM & MSP 5. Discussion

31 Interactions between sectors > 4% year Global trade

32 Interactions between sectors > 4% year Global trade

33 Interactions between sectors and areas of conservation interest > 4% year Global trade

34 Interactions between sectors and areas of conservation interest > 4% year Global trade

35 Will the 2020 target of 10% MPA coverage be achieved? MPAs in the Mediterranean Sea region accounted for 1.08% of its area in 2010 (Pelagos Sanctuary excluded), and grew up to 3.21% in 2015, most of the new designated MPAs being located in EU waters. The area to reach 10% is equal to marine Natura 2000 network designated over the last 20 years. > 4% It is thus unlikely that the 10% target will be achieved year in 2020 at the Mediterranean regional scale. Global It is highly possible that the growth in maritime trade sector activities and the increasing competition over space may slow down or even hinder the designation process of new MPAs.

36 Risks of not achieving GES in 2020 > 4% year Global trade

37 MedTrends reports

38 Download at

39 Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. The MedTrends Project 3. Maps and trends 4. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 5. ICZM & MSP 6. Discussion

42 Transposed by Member Global States in Sept 2016 trade All States have to finalize their MSP by 2021

43 Take-away conclusions from the MedTrends project (1) > 4% year Global trade

44 > 4% year Transposed by Member Global States in Sept 2016 trade All States have to finalize their MSP by 2021

45 Recommendations Need for a prospective approach Need for a cross-cutting approach to sectors and maritime policies Anticipate the increase of environmental impacts Take in account ecosystem services and cumulative impacts Protect sensitive or highly impacted ecosystems, focusing on EBSAs

46 Recommendations

47 Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. The MedTrends Project 3. Maps and trends 4. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 5. ICZM & MSP 6. Discussion

48 Key questions Which are the key recommendations from the different sectors of the MPA community (MPAs managers, national authorities and regional organizations) to implement a sustainable Maritime Spatial Planning and Integrated Coastal Zone Management in the Mediterranean? What are the economic sectors for which high environmental standards are required? What are the recommendations that marine conservation community needs to produce on this topic? How to guarantee a successful implementation of the ecosystem approach from the MPA perspective in GIZC and MSP processes?

49 Contact:

Blue Growth in the Mediterranean: the challenge of Good Environmental Status

Blue Growth in the Mediterranean: the challenge of Good Environmental Status Mauro Randone Marine Programme Officer WWF Mediterranean Initiative Athens - March 10, 2016 The MedTrends project was funded