Developing Domestic Gas Infrastructure...a private sector approach

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1 Developing Domestic Gas Infrastructure...a private sector approach The Nigerian Infrastructure Summit Transcorp Hilton, Abuja 6 th -8 th August 2008 Wale Tinubu Oando PLC 1

2 Outline 1.0 Background Nigerian Gas Industry 2.0 Current Realities / Challenges Funding and Infrastructural Issues Government Intervention 3.0 Practical Way Forward A suggested revised path 4.0 Role of private enterprise such as Oando 2

3 Background Nigeria, has the world s 7 th largest proven reserves of gas with 182 TCF already discovered The gas is rich in natural gas liquids and have little or no sulphur Over the years, there has been a steady growth in reserves with recent discoveries coming from the deepwater basin To date, all gas discoveries in Nigeria have been incidental; resulting from the search for oil There is a significant potential for reserves growth with focused gas exploration The reserve potential has been put at up to 600TCF which will make Nigeria the 4th largest gas reservoir after Russia, Iran and Qatar Nigeria currently flares 35-39% of total gas exports Put another way, the gas flared in Nigeria is sufficient to generate 15GW of electricity; this in a country with 6GW of installed and only 3GW of available power generation. 3

4 Nigeria s Gas Sector is predominantly government-controlled Government is the dominant gas resource owner but has limited operatorship Most of the production is by Major Oil Companies which although are about 60 % owned by NNPC are commercially driven The export market is growing With train 6 now operational, NLNG s capacity has reached 22MTPA Other LNG plants (Olokola and Brass) are under evaluation The West African Gas Pipeline Project is continuing apace and there is evidence of increasing demand The domestic demand is also growing The power sector reform and the attendant government funded Gas Power Plant developments of over 10GW is driving domestic demand Oil prices are driving up the cost of alternative fuels and industries are turning to gas where available 4

5 The government-led investment in domestic gas infrastructure is no longer adequate The Escravos to Lagos Pipeline System (ELPS), completed in the nineties is the main transmission pipeline system dedicated to domestic consumption in the country This pipeline system is the only source of supply to the industrial and utility sectors of the domestic market ELPS also serves as the source of gas supply for the West African Gas Pipeline System As with many other oil and gas facilities, repeated sabotage of this and feeder systems has led to frequent supply disruptions of recent The other major downstream pipeline systems are dedicated to single projects leading to sub optimal pipeline configurations These pipelines are mainly to export oriented projects and cover areas already served by other single project pipelines. 5

6 The private sector will feel the brunt of any long term gas unavailability The dearth of investment in major domestic pipeline infrastructure has lead to a short fall in the pipeline capacities required to sustain the growing economy In addition, there is no pipeline connection between the gas supply fields of the East and the growing markets of the West and North. This has led to led to a shortage of gas availability for the newly commissioned power plants in the Western parts of the country Significant and Urgent pipeline Infrastructure has now become imperative if the country is to benefit from the gas resource 6

7 Power heavy (cheap) mix in domestic gas market limits the ability to recover capital leading to limited private investment TYPICAL GAS SECTOR FLOW OF FUNDS Consumer Return on Investment NIGERIAN GAS SECTOR FLOW OF FUNDS Consumer Government Grants Power & other Markets Transmission & Distribution Gathering & Processing Power & other Markets Transmission & Distribution Gathering & Processing Sources: Nexant, Oando This might explain the current inadequacy in gas infrastructure 7

8 facilitating gas export rather than local consumption which has the maximum net benefit LNG VALUE CHAIN Maximising Gas Net Benefit Gas Production Liquefaction Plant Shipping Gas Processing Pipelines LNG Receiving Terminal Power Transmission Maximum Benefit via this Route to Domestic Power Source: Nexant 8

9 Investment Required and also sub-optimizing potential for local job creation LNG is a growing and robust international market BUT it costs ~$20million / job created (compared with. $10-20,000 / job in plastics processing or construction) EMPLOYMENT CREATION vs. CAPITAL COST (Bubble size indicates volume of gas consumed) Hi LNG Petrochemicals Plastics Processing Power Lo Employment Created Hi Sources: Nexant, Oando 9

10 The government policy has now approved policy instruments that seeks to Exploit the Nigerian gas reserve potential for accelerated economic development In support of the 10% GDP growth aspiration Concurrent focus on domestic and export market Develop an integrated infrastructure strategy that will support domestic, regional and export (LNG) markets The adoption of an infrastructure investment blue print Implement a gas pricing regime that favors local value added projects (Methanol, Urea and Gas to Liquids) Ensure commerciality for all investments Set aggressive goals with buffers to offset potential delays and possible problems Encourage the private sector to drive the developments and recognises the need to incentivise viable domestic gas companies to execute the infrastructure investment required 10

11 11

12 The Gas Infrastructure Blueprint identifies the critical infrastructure required to develop the domestic market ID Pipeline Project Length (km)/ Diameter(in) Capacity Description 2 OB-OB to Oben 100 / Provides security of Supply to the West 3 Calabar to Ajaokuta 365 / (48,48,56) 3000 Provides Security of Supply to North. Serves as pre-investment for TSGP( Abia, Anambra en route) 4E East Loop Onshore East 188 / Main Supply to Calabar CPF and the North 4W East Loop Onshore West Supply to Bonny from the East Onshore 5E East Loop Offshore East Supply to Calabar from offshore 5W East Loop Offshore West 209 / Supply to Bonny from East offshore 11 Shagamu to Jebba 265 / (24,22) 390 Secure supply to Ogun, Osun, Oyo and Kwara ELOPS Escravos to Lagos Offshore 200 / Supply to Lagos via secure offshore route ID CPF Location Capacity COD Year Description A Escravos Serves North and West. Several phases of expansion, 2bcfd by 2012 B Ob-Ob Servers North and West. Several Phases of expansion. C Calabar Main supply to Calabar and North F Forcados bcf required by 2012, successive expansion phases G Brass Brass LNG Only H Olokola No incremental capacity LNG only foreseen Source: IHS Gas Master Plan These gas pipeline and Gas Central Processing Facilities (CPF) represent investment opportunities for the private sector 2 12

13 Gas Infrastructure Blueprint 2 13

14 Oando intends to play in four specific opportunities 2 3 B C 2 2 ob/ob to Oben interconnector pipeline 3 Calabar to Ajaokuta pipeline B OB/OB CPF C Calabar CPF 14

15 Specific Opportunities Pipeline Project Length (km) Diameter (in.) Capacity (mmscf/d) COD Year OB-OB to Oben Calabar to Ajaokuta Phase 1 (Okopedi Ito) Phase 2 (Umuahia) Phase 3 (Ajaokuta) Total 365 CPF Capacity COD Year Calabar CPF Phase Phase Phase CPF Capacity COD Year OB/OB CPF Phase Phase 2 1, Total 1,700 Phase Phase 5 1, Phase Total 4,500 Source: IHS Gas Master Plan 2 15

16 Oando Gas and Power a local gas company Oando has had an 8 year history of supplying gas to industries in the Greater Lagos Area, the success of which is demonstrated by the following achievements: Phased completion of a 99 km distribution network in Lagos The development of a 124km gas supply pipeline to the Cement Plant in Calabar Plans include a city gate to supply gas to the Calabar Industrial Area $156m (NGN18.7bn) of investment mobilized by Oando to construct pipeline infrastructure The connection of over 90 industrial customers to the gas network Oando is gearing up to play a major role in the development of the national gas grid 16

17 Oando an Integrated Energy Company Oando Plc Marketing No. 1 marketer of Petroleum Products Supply and Trading Dominant local player Expansion into other West African Markets Gas (Pipeline Transmission of Natural Gas) 20-year BOT Franchise Agreement with NGC New Industrial customer connects Energy Services Offering Product service lines through strategic alliances (e.g. Baroid, Halliburton) Exploration and Production Assets Acquisition and Monetization Refining New Build Power A Significant option play for Oando Further pipeline expansion into un-served markets 6 17

18 Oando is positioned to capture maximum value along the entire energy chain and harvest synergies between subsidiaries Oil and Gas E&P Refining Trading Primary Distribution Storage Secondary Distribution Channels Consumer Production & Dev. Co. Refinery Division Supply & Trading Marketing Energy Services Gaslink / East Horizon Power Synergies 18

19 Thank you

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