Coal 2017 Analysis and Forecast to 2022
|
|
- Ashlyn Shields
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Coal 217 Analysis and Forecast to 222 Keisuke Sadamori. Director Energy Markets and Security New Delhi, 18 th December 217 IEA
2 Coal markets update marks the largest 2-year drop in global coal demand - The drop occurred in spite of economic growth 216 was the 3rd consecutive year of decline in China and the 2nd in US - Coal to gas switch in power generation in US and Europe, and in industrial/residential sector in China together with renewables were the drivers India and ASEAN region remained centres of growth - Increasing power demand to support economic/ social development underpins coal use A coal demand rebound is expected in 217 led by China, India and US - Prices have remained strong throughout the year. Is this rebound a blip or a new trend?
3 TWh TWh TWh TWh Power systems are in transformation Change in coal power generation, United Kingdom 2, United States 15 1,5 1 1, 5 5 Coal generation 212 Demand growth Renewables Natural gas Nuclear & others Coal generation 216 Coal generation 212 Demand growth Renewables Natural gas Nuclear & others Coal generation Germany 6, China , 2, Coal generation 212 Demand growth Renewables Natural gas Nuclear & others Coal generation 216 Coal generation 212 Demand growth Renewables Natural gas Nuclear & others Coal generation 216 Whereas power dynamics are country-specific, sluggish power demand, cheaper gas and renewables expansion are squeezing coal in many countries across the globe
4 kwh/capita But power demand growth is not over Per capita power demand in select countries compared with OECD and world average 1, 9, 8, OECD average 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, World average 2, 1, 3,7 Millions of inhabitants Bangladesh Pakistan Asean India China Some populated countries with low per capita power consumption will ramp up power generation. In a few of them, coal will provide a good share of the additional electricity
5 USD/t Will (when) prices start correction? 12 Weekly thermal coal prices in Europe Spot prices Forward curve in January 216 Increasing China coal demand and imports in 217 have been pushing prices up
6 CNY/t USD/t A new force to drive prices 8 Prices in Europe and China vs targets 12 Correlation 92 % Bohai-Rim steam-coal Northwest Europe (ARA) (right axis) Chinese policies targeting the green range gives a strong support international prices to stay within an equivalent margin
7 Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 USD/t Coking coal prices: two spikes in half a year 35 Spot prices of thermal, PCI and hard coking coal in Australia Newcastle Australian prime hard coking Australian ULV PCI The volatility of spot coking coal prices shows the fragility of its supply chain
8 Mtce Global coal demand stagnates Coal demand forecast , Total demand 5, Other 4, 3, European Union United States ASEAN India 2, 1, China After the staggering growth in and the decline thereafter, coal demand will stabilize at the current level
9 The geography of coal demand does matter Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei 37 Other regions Annual coal consumption in boilers to be phased out (Mt) UHV under construction Yangtze river delta and other Eastern China 7 Pearl river delta (Guangdong) Whereas further development of UHV lines will move demand from coastal areas to the West and North, coal boilers will be replaced by gas and electrical solutions
10 Mt Increasing production in India is impacting international markets Coal imports avoided since Solar + wind Domestic coal production Looking ahead, performance of Coal India is key
11 GW TWh Remaining US coal is gaining resilience Coal capacity additions and coal power generation in US 15 2, , 1,5-5 1, New capacity Retired capacity Net capacity addition Coal generation (right axis) After closure of high-cost mines and inefficient coal power units, the decline of the coal generation will slow down. Gas prices are key
12 Mtce Thermal coal trade in contraction with many caveats Difference in thermal coal exports/imports by country ( ) Imports Exports Traditional uncertainty about China s imports has spread to many other countries.
13 CCUS is making real progress Illinois Industrial CCS (Source: ADM) Petra Nova (Source: NRG) Quest - Scotford Upgrader (Source: Shell) Al Reyadah (Source: CSLF)
14 CCUS is making real progress CCUS installed on existing assets which have sustainable business model Low technology risk ( keep it simple approach) Attractive, well understood storage geology or enhanced oil recovery opportunity Coalition of public and private stakeholders Clear source of revenue to cover CCUS costs over asset lifetime
15 Despite recent progress, CCUS needs a boost The IEA, key countries and the world s largest energy companies have shared a commitment to advance CCUS
16 Where are coal markets going? Global coal demand is set to stagnate through Forecast remains fundamentally the same as the last year s forecast Coal demand in China will decline slowly, with annual fluctuations determined by market needs - In 217, economic rebounding and low hydro output are driving coal demand growth in China after three years of decline Growth will be concentrated in India, Southeast Asia and a few other Asian countries - Despite renewable push and lower gas prices, additional power demand will be partially met by coal Global trade could contract, but uncertainty is at highest - Imports increase in China and Korea in 217 are not sustainable; India s success to rein in imports will be key Coal use will be constrained in the longer term without Carbon Capture, Utilisation and Storage - CCUS is needed to meet our climate ambitions. The IEA is working to engage industry and policymakers to build new momentum.
17 IEA
Coal markets update marks the largest 2-year drop in global coal demand - The drop occurred in spite of economic growth 216 was the 3rd consec
Coal 217 Analysis and Forecast to 222 Keisuke Sadamori. Director Energy Markets and Security IEEJ Tokyo, December 217 IEA Coal markets update 214-216 marks the largest 2-year drop in global coal demand
More informationIEEJ:January 2019 IEEJ2019 Coal 2018 Analysis and Forecasts to 2023 Keisuke Sadamori Director, Energy Markets and Security, IEA IEEJ, Tokyo, 26 th Dec
Coal 2018 Analysis and Forecasts to 2023 Keisuke Sadamori Director, Energy Markets and Security, IEA IEEJ, Tokyo, 26 th December 2018 IEA Coal market update After two years of decline, global coal demand
More informationIEA s Medium Term Coal Market Report 2016
IEA s Medium Term Coal Market Report 2016 Coal markets: recent developments Global coal demand declined in 2015 for the first time in this century Coal demand drop in China and US in 2015 was unprecedented
More informationWorld energy demand by fuel Mtoe Oil Coal Gas Biomass Nuclear Other renewables Hydro
IEEJ 24 March 2014 Keisuke Sadamori, Director, Energy Markets & Security, IEA World energy demand by fuel Mtoe 5 000 4 000 Oil Coal Gas 3 000 2 000 Biomass 1 000 Nuclear Other renewables Hydro 1980 1990
More informationCoal markets: recent developments
IEA s Medium Term Coal Market Report 2016 Coal markets: recent developments Global coal demand declined in 2015 for the first time in this century Coal demand drop in China and US in 2015 was unprecedented
More informationGE OIL & GAS ANNUAL MEETING 2016 Florence, Italy, 1-2 February
Navigating energy transition Keisuke Sadamori Director for Energy Markets and Security IEA GE OIL & GAS ANNUAL MEETING 2016 Florence, Italy, 1-2 February 2016 General Electric Company - All rights reserved
More informationTABLE OF CONTENTS 6 MEDIUM-TERM COAL MARKET REPORT 2016
TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword... 3 Acknowledgements... 5 Executive Summary... 12 Is the glass half full or half empty?... 12 The world is splitting apart... 12 A relieved industry... 13 Coal is still a Chinese
More informationCoal 2O18 Analysis and Forecasts to 2O23
Market Report Series Coal 2O18 Analysis and Forecasts to 2O23 Executive Summary INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY The IEA examines the full spectrum of energy issues including oil, gas and coal supply and demand,
More informationOutlook for Bulk Commodities John Barber Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics. bree.gov.au
Outlook for Bulk Commodities John Barber Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics bree.gov.au Overview Outlook for China Steel and iron ore markets Electricity and thermal coal China s economy is still
More informationDelivering on the clean energy agenda: prospects and the role for policy
Delivering on the clean energy agenda: prospects and the role for policy 6th Asian Ministerial Energy Roundtable 9 November 2015 Keisuke Sadamori Director, Energy Markets and Security Climate pledges shift
More informationRenewables investment boost in a global uncertain context
Renewables investment boost in a global uncertain context 31/3/217 Claudio Machetti 1 Technology cost reduction Cost evolution for selected technologies 28-216 12 Index 28 = 1 8 6 4 2 Upstream oil & gas
More informationCoal plays an important and growing role in global energy supply and power generation
OECD/IEA - 21 Coal plays an important and growing role in global energy supply and power generation OECD/IEA, 21 Global Primary Energy Supply, 27 Global Electricity Generation, 27 TPES coal s share World
More informationDr. Uwe Remme Wien 23 April 2015
Dr. Uwe Remme Wien 23 April 2015 Signs of stress in the global energy system Current calm in markets should not disguise difficult road ahead Turmoil in the Middle East raises doubts over future oil balance
More informationTHE THIRD IEA-IEF-OPEC SYMPOSIUM ON GAS AND COAL MARKET OUTLOOKS. Deep dive into the Asian market Sylvie Cornot-Gandolphe Paris, 14 December 2016
THE THIRD IEA-IEF-OPEC SYMPOSIUM ON GAS AND COAL MARKET OUTLOOKS Deep dive into the Asian market Sylvie Cornot-Gandolphe Paris, 14 December 216 1 2 Key Coal Market Trends in Asia Coal dominance to continue:
More informationWorld Energy Outlook Bo Diczfalusy, Näringsdepartementet
World Energy Outlook 2013 Bo Diczfalusy, Näringsdepartementet Energy demand & GDP Trillion dollars (2012) 50 40 30 20 10 000 Mtoe 8 000 6 000 4 000 GDP: OECD Non-OECD TPED (right axis): OECD Non-OECD 10
More informationWorld Energy Investment 2018
World Energy Investment 218 17 July 218 Economics and Investment Office, International Energy Agency IEA OECD/IEA 218 Global energy investment was USD 1.8 trillion in 217, led by electricity Global energy
More informationTipping the energy world off its axis Four large-scale upheavals in global energy : - The United States is turning into the undisputed global leader f
The rapidly changing global energy landscape Dr. Fatih Birol Executive Director, International Energy Agency IEEJ, Tokyo, 27 February 2018 IEA Tipping the energy world off its axis Four large-scale upheavals
More informationTipping the energy world off its axis Four large-scale upheavals in global energy : - The United States is turning into the undisputed global leader f
The rapidly changing global energy landscape Dr. Fatih Birol Executive Director, International Energy Agency IEEJ, Tokyo, 27 February 2018 IEA Tipping the energy world off its axis Four large-scale upheavals
More informationCoal, Carbon, and the Future of the Global Energy Mix
Coal, Carbon, and the Future of the Global Energy Mix By Richard Morse Woods Institute Energy Seminar March 4, 2009 Agenda 1. Background 2. Fundamentals of the Global Trade 3. Coal in the West: Impact
More informationWorld Energy Outlook Dr Fatih Birol Chief Economist, IEA Istanbul, 20 December
World Energy Outlook 2013 Dr Fatih Birol Chief Economist, IEA Istanbul, 20 December The world energy scene today Some long-held tenets of the energy sector are being rewritten Countries are switching roles:
More informationOECD/IEA Dr Fatih Birol IEA Executive Director Oslo, Norway 20 November 2018
Dr Fatih Birol IEA Executive Director Oslo, Norway 20 November 2018 Global energy demand and the growing IEA Family Share of IEA member and association Global energy countries demand in global energy demand
More informationMedium Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2013
Renewable Energy Market Report 213 Michael Waldron Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency OECD/IEA 213 OECD/IEA 213 MTRMR methodology and scope Analysis of drivers and challenges for RE
More informationWorld Energy Investment 2018
World Energy Investment 218 Laszlo Varro, Chief Economist July 218 IEA OECD/IEA 217 Global energy investment was USD 1.8 trillion in 217, led by electricity Global energy investment, 217 (billion USD)
More informationBP Statistical Review of World Energy
BP Statistical Review of World Energy July 2016 bp.com/statisticalreview #BPstats BP p.i.c.2016 BP Statistical Review of World Energy July 2016 2015: A year of plenty Richard de Caux, head of refining
More informationLondon 14 September 2016
London 14 September 2016 The context Investment is the lifeblood of the energy system, which determines long-term trends of supply, emissions and fuel demand Investors face new challenges and opportunities
More informationProfound changes underway in energy markets Signs of decoupling of energy-related CO 2 emissions and global economic growth Oil prices have fallen pre
Keisuke Sadamori Director of Energy Markets and Security, IEA The 88th IEEJ Energy Seminar, 5th October 215 Profound changes underway in energy markets Signs of decoupling of energy-related CO 2 emissions
More informationWorld Energy Outlook 2013
World Energy Outlook 2013 Paweł Olejarnik IEA Energy Analyst Warszawa, 15 Listopada 2013 The world energy scene today Some long-held tenets of the energy sector are being rewritten Countries are switching
More informationOECD/IEA Brent Wanner, Senior Energy Analyst Stockholm, 24 November 2015
Brent Wanner, Senior Energy Analyst Stockholm, 24 November 2015 The start of a new energy era? 2015 has seen lower prices for all fossil fuels Oil & gas could face second year of falling upstream investment
More informationGlobal Energy & CO2 Status Report 2017
Global Energy & CO2 Status Report 2017 March 2018 Key findings Energy: Global energy demand increased by 2.1% in 2017, compared with 0.9% the previous year and 0.9% on average over the previous five years.
More informationdevelopments and economic
Advanced technologies new developments and economic feasibility for India Lesley Sloss Principal Environmental Consultant IEA Clean Coal Centre International Conference on Coal Based Power: Confronting
More informationClimate change and the global energy transition
Climate change and the global energy transition Dave Turk Acting Director Directorate of Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks Global emissions stagnate, but there are regional variations Change in annual
More informationGlobal energy markets outlook versus post-paris Agreement Impact on South East Europe
Global energy markets outlook versus post-paris Agreement Impact on South East Europe Sylvia Elisabeth Beyer International Energy Agency Thessaloniki, 29 June 2016 A 2 C pathway requires more technological
More informationWorld Energy Investment 2018
World Energy Investment 218 25 September 218 Alessandro Blasi and Michael Waldron, International Energy Agency IEA OECD/IEA 218 Global energy investment was USD 1.8 trillion in 217, led by electricity
More informationOECD/IEA Dr Fatih Birol IEA Executive Director Berlin, 16 November 2018
Dr Fatih Birol IEA Executive Director Berlin, 16 November 2018 Global energy demand and the growing IEA Family Share of IEA member and association Global energy countries demand in global energy demand
More informationMedium Term Renewable Energy Market Report Michael Waldron Senior Energy Market Analyst Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency
Medium Term Renewable Energy Market Report 13 Michael Waldron Senior Energy Market Analyst Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency OECD/IEA 13 Methodology and Scope OECD/IEA 13 Analysis of
More informationDr. Fatih BIROL IEA Chief Economist Tokyo, 17 February 2015
Dr. Fatih BIROL IEA Chief Economist Tokyo, 17 February 2015 Signs of stress in the global energy system Current calm in markets should not disguise difficult road ahead Turmoil in the Middle East raises
More informationSTEAM AND COKING COAL PRICES
ENERGY PRICES AND TAXES, 3rd Quarter 2004 - xi STEAM AND COKING COAL PRICES Larry Metzroth, Principal Administrator Energy Statistics Division SUMMARY This article provides analyses of customs unit values
More informationOECD/IEA 2016 OECD/IEA Canberra November 2016
Canberra November 2016 The global energy context today Key points of orientation: Middle East share in global oil production in 2016 at highest level for 40 years Transformation in gas markets deepening
More informationXLVII Meeting of OLADE Ministers Buenos Aires, 6 December Paul Simons, IEA Deputy Executive Director
XLVII Meeting of OLADE Ministers Buenos Aires, 6 December 2017 Paul Simons, IEA Deputy Executive Director Tipping the energy world off its axis Four large-scale upheavals in global energy set the scene
More informationChina s Natural Gas Market Overview
CNPC China s Natural Gas Market Overview Jiangxuefeng CNPC Economics & Technology Research Institute 2016/9/28 Washington Page 1 Table of content 1. Natural gas demand and supply 2. Liberalization of China
More informationThe global energy outlook to 2025 and the megatrends impacting energy markets beyond that Sydney, 16 September Keisuke Sadamori Director
The global energy outlook to 2025 and the megatrends impacting energy markets beyond that Sydney, 16 September 2015 Keisuke Sadamori Director OECD/IEA - 2013 Slide 2 Demand/Supply Balance until 4Q16* mb/d
More informationMadrid WPC Breakfast Conference 7 May Keisuke SADAMORI Director of Energy Markets and Security IEA
Madrid WPC Breakfast Conference 7 May 2015 Keisuke SADAMORI Director of Energy Markets and Security IEA OECD/IEA 2014 Oil prices ease in March, but recover in early April $/bbl 120 110 100 90 80 70 60
More informationRelative Environment Economics Of Natural Gas and Other Fossil Fuels for Power Generation and Policy Options for India
Relative Environment Economics Of Natural Gas and Other Fossil Fuels for Power Generation and Policy Options for India A Petroleum Federation Of India Study The Energy and Resources Institute (Knowledge
More informationThe challenges of a changing energy landscape
The challenges of a changing energy landscape October 26 th 2016 Maria Pedroso Ferreira EDP Energy Planning maria.pedrosoferreira@edp.pt Agenda 1 A changing energy landscape 2 Challenges and opportunities
More informationWhere do we want to go?
Where do we want to go? Dave Turk, Acting Director, Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks EU Talanoa Conference, 13 June 218, Brussels IEA Where do we want to go? Global energy-related CO 2 emissions
More informationIntegrating climate, air pollution & universal access: The Sustainable Development Scenario
Integrating climate, air pollution & universal access: The Sustainable Development Scenario Dr. Timur Gül, IEA COP23, Bonn, 16 November 2017 Context The SDGs recognise climate change, air pollution and
More informationContext Three numbers and three core global energy challenges: 6.5 million premature deaths each year can be attributed to air pollution 2.7 degrees i
Renewables 217 Heymi Bahar IEEJ, Tokyo 31 October 217 Context Three numbers and three core global energy challenges: 6.5 million premature deaths each year can be attributed to air pollution 2.7 degrees
More informationPlenary Session 1: Global Shifts: The Future of Energy Security: Finding New Balances. Background Paper
India New Delhi Plenary Session 1: Global Shifts: The Future of Energy Security: Finding New Balances Background Paper Disclaimer The observations presented herein are meant as background for the dialogue
More informationIEA WORK ON FUTURE ELECTRICITY SYSTEMS
IEA WORK ON FUTURE ELECTRICITY SYSTEMS Power grids, demand response and the low carbon transition Dr. Luis Munuera Smart Grids Technology Lead IEA Symposium on Demand Flexibility and RES Integration SMART
More informationWorld Energy Investment 2017
World Energy Investment 2017 Madrid, September 2017 Alessandro Blasi and Alfredo del Canto IEA OECD/IEA 2017 Global energy investment fell 12% in 2016, a second consecutive year of decline Global energy
More informationCoal and Coal Power s Role in China s Energy System
Coal and Coal Power s Role in China s Energy System Alvin Lin International Conference on Coal Based Power: Confronting Environmental Challenges New Delhi March 17, 2016 Coal has played a dominant but
More informationNew Delhi 24 November th IEF-IGU Ministerial Gas Forum IEF Background Materials
New Delhi 24 November 2016 5 th IEF-IGU Ministerial Gas Forum IEF Background Materials Overview 1. 3+3 Challenges 2. 7 Observations on gas markets 3. What the JODI Gas Data Base Shows 4. 3 Proposals 7
More informationWelcome. Future Energy Scenarios Electricity Supply Andy Dobbie & team. System Operator
Welcome Future Energy Scenarios 218 Electricity Supply Andy Dobbie & team System Operator FES 218 What we will cover today Future Energy Scenarios (FES) 218 overview Key insights Overview of installed
More informationGrowth in China s resource use still has some way to go
Developments in China implications for Australia s resources industries Wayne Calder Deputy Executive Director Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics (BREE) 2014 Growth in China s resource use still
More informationAre Sustainable Urban Energy Systems Essential for a New Deal on Energy Access for Africa? By Dave Turk, Head of IEA Energy Environment Division
Are Sustainable Urban Energy Systems Essential for a New Deal on Energy Access for Africa? By Dave Turk, Head of IEA Energy Environment Division OECD/IEA, 2016 The IEA works around the world to support
More informationThe Outlook for Coal. Presentation to the Australian Institute of Energy National Conference.
The Outlook for Coal. Presentation to the Australian Institute of Energy National Conference. Brendan Pearson Vice President Government Relations Peabody Energy. November 2012 The global outlook. Presentation
More informationReference Materials Overview of Coal Industry
Reference Materials Overview of Coal Industry 1 Table of Contents Global Energy Resource Reserves ---------------------------------------- 3 Status of Global Energy Resources Supply ----------------------------------------
More informationOECD/IEA Dr. Fatih Birol Executive Director, International Energy Agency Istanbul, 15 December 2017
Dr. Fatih Birol Executive Director, International Energy Agency Istanbul, 15 December 2017 Tipping the energy world off its axis Four large-scale upheavals in global energy set the scene for the new Outlook:
More informationOECD/IEA Dr. Fatih Birol Executive Director, International Energy Agency Statoil Autumn Conference Oslo, 28 November 2017
Dr. Fatih Birol Executive Director, International Energy Agency Statoil Autumn Conference Oslo, 28 November 2017 Tipping the energy world off its axis Four large-scale upheavals in global energy set the
More informationRenewables London 04 October 2017
Renewables 2017 London 04 October 2017 Context Policy support & technology progress continue to drive robust growth in renewables Solar PV broke new records in 2016, led by China Solar PV grew faster than
More informationContribution of Renewables to Energy Security Cédric PHILIBERT Renewable Energy Division
Contribution of Renewables to Energy Security Cédric PHILIBERT Renewable Energy Division EUFORES Parliamentary Dinner Debate, Brussels, 9 September, 2014 What Energy Security is about IEA defines energy
More informationWorld Energy Investment 2017
World Energy Investment 217 Bonn, 9 November 217 Simon Bennett IEA OECD/IEA 217 USD (216) billion Global energy investment fell 12% in 216, a second consecutive year of decline 1 75 5-1% Networks Global
More informationRole of clean energy in the context of Paris Agreement
Role of clean energy in the context of Paris Agreement Peter Janoska, Energy Analyst, IEA COP 23, Bonn, 15 November 2017 IEA The IEA works around the world to support an accelerated clean energy transitions
More informationClean energy technologies: tracking progress and the role of digitalization
Clean energy technologies: tracking progress and the role of digitalization Peter Janoska and George Kamiya, Energy Environment Division, IEA COP23 16 November 2017 IEA OECD/IEA 2017 The IEA works around
More informationOECD/IEA London, 14 November 2017
London, 14 November 2017 Tipping the energy world off its axis Four large-scale upheavals in global energy set the scene for the new Outlook: The United States is turning into the undisputed global leader
More informationMedium- Term Renewable Energy Market Report Heymi Bahar Project Manager Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency
Medium- Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2016 Heymi Bahar Project Manager Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency Energy and Mines World Congress, Toronto, 21-22 November 2016 Context
More informationRenewables Curtailment in China is there light at the end of the tunnel? Liutong Zhang
Renewables Curtailment in China is there light at the end of the tunnel? Liutong Zhang Renewable curtailment in China All ready to generate but no place to go RE curtailment in China TWh 100 90 80 70 60
More informationTrends in Energy Scenario Development
Trends in Energy Scenario Development Cecilia Tam, Senior Energy Analyst, International Energy Agency APERC Annual Conference, Tokyo 30-31 May 2018 IEA Context Energy Efficiency: The world is generating
More informationIEA CCS update. Tristan Stanley International Energy Agency CSLF Policy Group, Abu Dhabi 4 May 2017
IEA CCS update Tristan Stanley International Energy Agency CSLF Policy Group, Abu Dhabi 4 May 2017 20 Years of Carbon Capture and Storage 1. Two decades of CCS progress 2. Towards well below 2 C: An increased
More informationDr. Johannes Trüby, IEA Clean Coal Day, Tokyo 5 September 2017
Dr. Johannes Trüby, IEA Clean Coal Day, Tokyo 5 September 2017 Global CO 2 emissions flat for 3 years Global energy-related CO 2 emissions Gt 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
More informationCoal Markets Overview, trends Domestic and Export Markets. Junior Coal Mining Ventures X
Coal Markets Overview, trends Domestic and Export Markets Junior Coal Mining Ventures X 1 Coal Markets Overview, trends -Domestic and Export Markets Global Overview Financing Coal Mines South Africa s
More informationCOAL INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Reference Materials COAL INDUSTRY OVERVIEW May 2013 Table of Contents Global Energy Resource Reserves -----------------------------------------------3 Global Energy Resource Supply ---------------------------------------------------4
More information7. Gas. Resources and Energy Quarterly December
7. Gas Resources and Energy Quarterly December 18 42 7.1 Summary The value of Australia s LNG exports is forecast to increase from $31 billion in 17 18 to $5 billion in 18 19, driven by higher export volumes
More informationEnergy & Climate Change ENYGF 2015
Energy & Climate Change ENYGF 2015 Ellina Levina Environment & Climate Change Unit Sustainable Energy Policy and Technology, IEA 22 June 2015 29 Member Countries: Australia, Japan, Korea, New Zealand,
More informationWorld Energy Outlook 2010
World Energy Outlook 2010 Nobuo Tanaka Executive Director International Energy Agency Cancun, 7 December 2010, IEA day The context: A time of unprecedented uncertainty The worst of the global economic
More informationCONTENTS TABLE OF PART A GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS PART B SPECIAL FOCUS ON RENEWABLE ENERGY OECD/IEA, 2016 ANNEXES
TABLE OF CONTENTS PART A GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS PART B SPECIAL FOCUS ON RENEWABLE ENERGY ANNEXES INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE 1 OVERVIEW 2 OIL MARKET OUTLOOK 3 NATURAL GAS MARKET OUTLOOK 4 COAL MARKET OUTLOOK
More informationWorld Energy Investment 2017
World Energy Investment 2017 Dr. Fatih Birol Executive Director 11 July 2017 IEA OECD/IEA 2017 Global energy investment fell 12% in 2016, a second consecutive year of decline Global energy investment 2016
More informationMedium and long-term perspectives for PV. Dr. Paolo Frankl Division Head Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency
Medium and long-term perspectives for PV Dr. Paolo Frankl Division Head Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency Solar Power Summit, Brussels, 7-8 March 2017 Annual additions (GW) Cumulative
More informationThe National and International Impacts of Coal-to-Gas Switching in the Chinese Power Sector
The National and International Impacts of Coal-to-Gas Switching in the Chinese Power Sector Yiyong Cai CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere Flagship FEEM, Venice, June 2015 INTEGRATED GLOBAL MODELLING AND ANALYSIS
More informationWorld Energy Outlook 2007: China and India Insights
World Energy Outlook 2007: China and India Insights William C. Ramsay Deputy Executive Director International Energy Agency Singapore, 9 November 2007 Approach Co-operation with China s NDRC & ERI, India
More informationPower Generation: A Continued Role for Coal?
Power Generation: A Continued Role for Coal? Keith Burnard Head, Energy Supply Technology Unit International Energy Agency Clean Coal Day Tokyo, Japan 8-9 September 2015 Founded in 1974 as an autonomous
More informationOrientation for a fast-changing energy world. Dr Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist Tokyo, 21 April 2014
Orientation for a fast-changing energy world Dr Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist Tokyo, 21 April 2014 The world energy scene today Some long-held tenets of the energy sector are being rewritten Countries
More informationOutlook on economic viability of gas-fired power generation Session: Price formation and contractual trends
Outlook on economic viability of gas-fired power generation Session: Price formation and contractual trends Gabrielle Seeling-Hochmuth Head of Gas Strategy Vattenfall EMART Energy 2012 21 November 2012
More informationCEEPR/EPRG/EDF European Energy Policy Conference. Dr Fatih Birol Executive Director, International Energy Agency Paris, 7 July 2016
CEEPR/EPRG/EDF European Energy Policy Conference Dr Fatih Birol Executive Director, International Energy Agency Paris, 7 July 2016 Demand growth in Asia the sequel Change in energy demand in selected regions,
More informationCoal in China. Carlos Fernández Álvarez Senior Coal Analyst. Paris, 14 January 2013
Coal in China Carlos Fernández Álvarez Senior Coal Analyst Paris, 14 January 2013 Agenda 1. Intro 2. Overview. China s coal 3. Understanding the 12 th Five Year Plan 4. Who can supply coal to China? 5.
More informationAgenda Short and medium term impact of the German moratorium Longer term challanges: maintaining supply security during decarbonization
Challenges in electricity a focus on Europe Agenda Short and medium term impact of the German moratorium Longer term challanges: maintaining supply security during decarbonization Germany: Moderate, 10%
More informationRenewable electricity: Non-OECD Summary OECD Americas OECD Asia Oceania OECD Europe References...
TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword... 3 Acknowledgements... 4 Executive summary... 13 The role of renewables in the energy mix continued to expand in 2013... 13 Strong market drivers, but increased risks for renewable
More informationTABLE OF CONTENTS GAS MARKET REPORT
TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword... 3 Acknowledgements... 4 Executive summary... 11 1. Demand... 15 Global overview... 15 Assumptions... 18 OECD Demand... 19 Americas... 19 Europe... 26 Asia Oceania... 31 Non-OECD
More informationRoadmap for Solar PV. Michael Waldron Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency
Roadmap for Solar PV Michael Waldron Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency OECD/IEA 2014 IEA work on renewables IEA renewables website: http://www.iea.org/topics/renewables/ Renewable Policies
More informationMedium Term Energy Market Outlook IEEJ Energy Seminar October 213 Keisuke Sadamori, Director, Energy Markets & Security, IEA Primary Energy Supply from Fossil Fuels Mtoe 5 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 2 21 22
More informationChina s Progress in Energy Efficiency and. CHINA JAPAN U.S. Cooperation
China s Progress in Energy Efficiency and Emission i Rd Reduction and Implications i for CHINA JAPAN U.S. Cooperation Gang He Research Associate, Stanford University Program on Energyand Sustainable Development
More informationEnergy for Japan, China, Korea: Future coal exports from the Hunter. Hunter Research Foundation Centre Muswellbrook, 10 April 2019
Energy for Japan, China, Korea: Future coal exports from the Hunter Hunter Research Foundation Centre Muswellbrook, 1 April 219 Overview A fundamental transformation of the global and domestic energy systems
More informationOECD/IEA The IEA gas outlook Ambassador Richard H. Jones Deputy Executive Director
The IEA gas outlook Ambassador Richard H. Jones Deputy Executive Director Key highlights Gas demand has recovered strongly in 2010 It continues to increase in 2011, except in Europe Medium-term outlook
More informationDr Andrew J Minchener (Principal Associate)
Is China s Massive Coal-Fired Capacity Growth Sustainable? Presentation to the Global Insight European Fuel Price Conference December 2006 Dr Andrew J Minchener (Principal Associate) Acknowledgements IEA
More informationThe Global Energy Situation: Tendencies and Challenges Santiago, Chile, May 5, 2008
The Global Energy Situation: Tendencies and Challenges Santiago, Chile, May 5, 2008 Ambassador William C. Ramsay Deputy Executive Director International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook 2007: China and
More informationEnergy Market in Asia-Pacific and Canada s Potential for Natural Gas Export. Shahidul Islam
Energy Market in Asia-Pacific and Canada s Potential for Natural Gas Export Shahidul Islam Objective Examine energy demand in Asia-Pacific Especially natural gas Canada s natural gas situation Potential
More informationWorld Energy Outlook Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist 24 November 2010
World Energy Outlook 2010 Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist 24 November 2010 The context: a time of unprecedented uncertainty The worst of the global economic crisis appears to be over but is the recovery
More informationPlenary session 4: Uptake of Clean Technologies: Disruption and Coexistence of New and Existing Technologies the Way Ahead.
India Plenary session 4: Uptake of Clean Technologies: Disruption and Coexistence of New and Existing Technologies the Way Ahead Background Paper New Delhi Disclaimer The observations presented herein
More informationAuctions in power systems with high shares of renewables. Dr. Paolo Frankl, Head, Renewable Energy Division, IEA AURES, Brussels - 20 November 2017
Auctions in power systems with high shares of renewables Dr. Paolo Frankl, Head, Renewable Energy Division, IEA AURES, Brussels - 20 November 2017 Renewables dominate power generation growth Electricity
More informationThe start of a new energy era?
The start of a new energy era? 2015 has seen lower prices for all fossil fuels Oil & gas could face second year of falling upstream investment in 2016 Coal prices remain at rock-bottom as demand slows
More information