Biomass Energy for Transport and. under low CO2 concentration scenarios

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Biomass Energy for Transport and. under low CO2 concentration scenarios"

Transcription

1 Biomass Energy for Transport and Electricity: Large scale utilization under low CO2 concentration scenarios PW Luckow, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, SH Kim College Park, MD May 26,

2 Major Themes of Forthcoming Paper (Luckow, Wise, Dooley, Kim) Importance of the land use policy for biomass energy to be an effective (and efficient) part of emissions mitigation Revisit Science (Wise et al 2009) paper insights Understanding di very large scale biomass production and use and the difference from current experience The use of biomass for liquid fuels and electricity under climate policy, and the importance of CCS 2

3 Biomass and Land-Use Policy One of the clearest results from the Science paper (Wise et al 2009) was that a policy that valued carbon in energy but not in land could lead to runaway clearing of land for biomass. But another result was that, t in a policy where the carbon in land could be valued equally with the carbon in the energy system bioenergy, including purpose grown crops, could be an major component of CO 2 mitigation And when bioenergy is used in conjunction with CCS, it may be a key technology in achieving low CO 2 concentrations. 3

4 Valuing the Carbon in Land Use When the carbon in land is valued equally with the carbon in the energy system, the economic trade-offs are efficient Biomass would be grown only where the value of the energy provided and the carbon mitigated in the energy system (including CCS) exceeds the carbon value (and any product) of using that land for of other purposes. including maintaining or even expanding forested and other unmanaged lands for their terrestrial carbon value 4

5 Bioenergy Feedstocks in the GCAM Purpose Grown, Dedicated Bioenergy Crops For this study, we modeled a switchgrass crop with intrinsic yields specified by region (with diminishing returns when production spreads to less productive lands) These crops compete for land with forest and other agriculture Agricultural Residues Potential supply directly linked to the production of food, forest, and other crops modeled in GCAM Collection of that supply depends on prices of biomass and erosion and land conservation factors (Gregg 2009) Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) Potential linked to regional economic activity (Greg 2009) Smaller amount than ag residues but still significant 5

6 Modeling a large scale bioenergy production and distribution system Collection and Processing Pelletizing important to increase the energy density of the fuel and facilitate transportation Average cost to transport to local collection facility and pelletize of $2.18/GJ (2005$) 85% of cost is in pelletizing compare to $1.33/GJ for Coal (Edwards). International transport cost of $0.31/GJ (2005$) added to all regions (assumes large ocean bulk carriers) (Hamelinck, 2005) (Van Vliet, 2009, consistent with Wolf 2006) 6

7 Bioenergy-derived electricity production Many studies assume higher capital costs for Biomass IGCC, due to smaller plant size (Brown 2009, RRI 2009, Williams et al. 2009) GCAM assumes small increased cost due to bulk materials handling and lower energy density of biomass, but assumes that plant size would not be smaller since we have accounted for the cost of long distance transport of the biomass fuel (van Vliet 2009, Rhodes 2008) (IEA 2003, Rhodes 2008) 7

8 Production of Biomass-based liquid fuels CO 2 lost in processing (1-efficiency) is capturable CCS capture costs of $10.67 & $56.26 (2005$/tCO 2 ) for high and low purity streams (Dooley/Dahowski) Produced from lignocellulose through saccharification and fermentation with the use of enzymes Small (26%) fraction of high-purity CO 2 at the scrubber vent, a result of fermentation (Aden) Remainder is in combustion exhaust, more expensive to capture Ethanol Fischer-Tropsch Chemical reaction converts syngas to liquid fuels Can also be used for coal-to-liquids and gasto-liquids For biomass-derived FT fuels, CCS costs identical to coal are used Relatively large (81.8%) high purity stream resulting from syngas cleaning done even w/o capture in order to improve reaction (Dooley & Dahowski, van Vliet) Remainder is a low purity stream from combustion of tail gas, more expensive to capture

9 Modeling: 400 ppm and 450 ppm Concentration (Overshoot) Overshoot Cases; implications on timing The Base assumes CCS The Base (no CCS) is not intended d as a likely l scenario but an illustration of CCS importance 9

10 Biomass Production By 2050, tens of EJ of biomass produced per year in many regions, growing substantially by 2095 Initially much of production is residue/msw. Much of growth by 2095 comes from dedicated biomass ppm, with CCS

11 Land Use GCAM considers all demands for land in an integrated economic framework, including food, forests, and biomass Carbon price has large impact of forest and crop land (see Wise 2009 for more detail) 11 No policy 400ppm, with CCS 400ppm with ccs

12 Where bioenergy will be used in the long-term depends on the technologies available, particularly CCS With CCS Witho out CCS 12

13 400ppm Reference Energy Technologies and CCS is not available Electricity Transportation Electricity it sector Transportation ti sector dominated by nuclear heavily reliant on bioenergy energy Electricity and conventional Immediate phase-out of oil also play important roles coal 13

14 400ppm Reference Energy Technology Case with CCS Available throughout the economy Electricity Transportation 14 The world relies on a much more balanced portfolio of low-carbon electricity generating options The global deployment of biomass+ccs becomes significant after % of total in 2095 Conventional coal (CO 2 vented to the atmosphere) disappears well before the end of the century Conventional oil production remains steady at around current levels Bioenergy derived fuels meet much of the increased demand 12% of total in 2095 Electricity and natural gas are also important parts of the global transportation sector

15 400ppm Advanced Energy Technology Case with CCS Available throughout the economy Global CO 2 Emissions by Sector 2 y Electricity sector emissions rapidly reduced, becoming negative from bioccs Transportation emissions relatively constant, reflecting large continued contribution from fossil fuels 15

16 400ppm Advanced Energy Technology Case CCS is not available Global CO 2 Emissions by Sector 2 y Electricity sector emissions rapidly reduced,,going gto zero (not negative) Transportation emissions rapidly reduced, as fossil fuels are completely phased out 16

17 Carbon Price Results Especially with BioCCS as an option, the availability of CCS has a large impact on carbon prices required to hit low CO 2 concentration levels. 17

18 Large Plantation Scale Biomass Energy Production Is Economic in a Greenhouse Gas Constrained World The fraction of the bioenergy price that accounts for the cost of collecting, transporting and delivering a uniform bioenergy commodity energy feedstock drops precipitously as the price of carbon permit prices rise GCAM now explicitly accounts for the cost of biomass collection/ preparation (including dehydration, densification and pelletization) and long distance transportation Hamelinck, C. N., R. A. A. Suurs and A. P. C. Faaij (2005). "International bioenergy transport costs and energy balance." Biomass and Bioenergy, Volume 29(2): ,ISSN , Luckow P, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim Large Scale Utilization of Biomass and Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Energy in the Transport and Electricity Sectors under Stringent CO2 Concentration Limit Scenarios." Accepted for publication The International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control. May 2010.

19 Concluding Remarks Given an efficient policy for valuing carbon in land, biomass energy in conjunction with CCS could be a major component of achieving low concentration targets. Bio+CCS results in negative emissions which is very useful for Offsetting emissions (like oil in transportation) that may be the most expensive to mitigate Reducing concentrations in an overshoot scenario Under a climate policy, CCS should be deployed where possible (and economic) when biomass is used Net zero emissions is not good enough economically and will be beaten out by net negative emissions systems. 19

20 Conclusions (cont d) Percentage of energy-system biomass used in combination with CCS rises rapidly with carbon price 10% at $100/tC 90% at $500/tC 100% beyond $1000/tC In the end, the two major biomass pathways, electricity and refining, are very similar and no single path with win out entirely 20

21 21 References Aden, A., M. Ruth, et al. (2002). "Lignocellulosic Biomass to Ethanol Process Design and Economics Utilizing Co-Current Dilute Acid Prehydrolysis and Enzymatic Hydrolysis for Corn Stover." Brown, D., M. Gassner, et al. (2009). "Thermo-economic analysis for the optimal conceptual design of biomass gasification energy conversion systems." Applied Thermal Engineering 29(11-12): Dooley, J. J. and R. T. Dahowski (2009). "Large-Scale U.S. Unconventional Fuels Production and the Role of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Technologies in Reducing Their Greenhouse Gas Emissions." Energy Procedia 1(1): Gregg, J. (2009). Spatial and Seasonal Distribution of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Fossil-Fuel Combustion; Global, Regional, and National Potential for Sustainable Bioenergy from Residue Biomass and Municipal Solid Waste. Department of Geography. College Park, University of Maryland, College Park. PhD Dissertation. Hamelinck, C. N., R. A. A. Suurs, et al. (2005). "International bioenergy transport costs and energy balance." Biomass and Bioenergy 29(2): ( ) Research Reports International (2009). "Utility Use of Biomass: 2nd Edition." October Evergreen, Colorado. USA. Rhodes, J. and D. Keith (2008). "Biomass with capture: negative emissions within social and environmental constraints: an editorial comment." Climatic Change 87(3): van Vliet, O. P. R., A. P. C. Faaij, et al. (2009). "Fischer-Tropsch diesel production in a well-to-wheel perspective: A carbon, energy flow and cost analysis." Energy Conversion and Management 50(4): Wise, M., K. Calvin, et al. (2009). "Implications of Limiting CO2 Concentrations for Land Use and Energy. " Science 324(5931): Wolf, A., A. Vidlund, et al. (2006). "Energy-efficient pellet production in the forest industry--a study of obstacles and success factors." Biomass and Bioenergy 30(1):

22 450ppm Reference Energy Technologies and CCS is not available Biomass Consumption by use The inability to deploy CCS anywhere in the economy results in Biomass being devoted to the transportation sector Relatively little biomass is used to generate electricity 22

23 450ppm Advanced Energy Technology Case with CCS Available throughout the economy Biomass Consumption by use When CCS technologies are allowed to deploy throughout the global economy, it has an impact on how bioenergy is used In 2095, ~200 EJ of bioenergy used to produce electricity ~50 EJ of bioenergy goes to creating refined liquids 23

24 450ppm Advanced Energy Technology Case with CCS Available throughout the economy Bioenergy by feedstock Bioenergy Production in 2095 (EJ/year by Region) Dedicated Residue Western Europe USA Southeast Asia Middle East MSW Residue Dedicated 200 MSW Latin America Korea E J 150 Japan India 100 Former Soviet Union 50 Eastern Europe China Canada Autralia/NZ Africa

25 450ppm Advanced Energy Technology Case with CCS Available throughout the economy Global CO 2 Emissions by Sector 2 y Electricity sector emissions rapidly reduced, becoming negative from bioccs Transportation emissions relatively constant, reflecting large continued contribution from fossil fuels 25

26 Carbon Prices Substantially increased costs without CCS availability CO 2 Concentration Carbon Price 26

27 Carbon prices drive bioenergy prices Carbon Price Trajectories in Two CO 2 Stabilization Scenarios Carbon Price and Biomass Price in Two CO 2 Stabilization Scenarios Luckow P, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim Large Scale Utilization of Biomass and Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Energy in the Transport and Electricity Sectors under Stringent CO2 Concentration Limit Scenarios." Accepted for publication The International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control. May 2010.

28 Bioenergy doesn t need to be limited to marginal lands Bioenergy Land, as a Fraction of Total Land, in 2050 in a Reference Scenario Crop Land, as a Fraction of Total Land, in 2050 in a Reference Scenario 28

Biomass Energy for Transport and Electricity: Large scale utilization under low CO 2 concentration scenarios

Biomass Energy for Transport and Electricity: Large scale utilization under low CO 2 concentration scenarios PNNL-19124 Prepared for the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract DE-AC05-76RL01830 Biomass Energy for Transport and Electricity: Large scale utilization under low CO 2 concentration scenarios P Luckow

More information

How effective would a global version of the EU policy be?

How effective would a global version of the EU policy be? How effective would a global version of the EU 2-2-2 policy be? JAE EDMONDS AND KATHERINE CALVIN Joint GCAM Community Modeling Meeting and GTSP Technical Workshop Joint Global Change Research Institute

More information

Implications of Abundant Natural Gas

Implications of Abundant Natural Gas Implications of Abundant Natural Gas JAE EDMONDS AND HAEWON MCJEON APRIL 213 April 29, 213 1 Gas and the Global Energy System Gas is has been a growing component of the global energy system for some time.

More information

Modeling Post-2012 Climate Policy Scenarios

Modeling Post-2012 Climate Policy Scenarios Modeling Post-2012 Climate Policy Scenarios Interim Results Elliot Diringer, Director of International Strategies Pew Center on Global Climate Change Leon Clarke, Kate Calvin, Marshall Wise, Jae Edmonds

More information

Bioenergy with CO 2 Capture and Geologic Storage

Bioenergy with CO 2 Capture and Geologic Storage Bioenergy with CO 2 Capture and Geologic Storage Joint Global Change Research Institute (JGCRI) Presented by Jae Edmonds EPRI Global Climate Change Research Seminar Washington, DC May 19, 2009 PNNL-17943

More information

Sectoral Approaches in International and National Policy

Sectoral Approaches in International and National Policy Sectoral Approaches in International and National Policy 2nd International Expert Meeting on Bottom-up Based Analysis on Mitigation Potential Leon Clarke, Kate Calvin October 21, 2008 Acknowledgements

More information

Agriculture, Energy, Land and Water in GCAM

Agriculture, Energy, Land and Water in GCAM Agriculture,, Land and Water in GCAM Jae Edmonds 14 December 2012 National Institutes for Environmental Studies Tsukuba, Japan Long term research support provided by The Global Change Assessment Model

More information

International and National Policy

International and National Policy Sectoral Approaches in International and National Policy 2nd International Expert Meeting on Bottom-up Based Analysis on Mitigation Potential Leon Clarke, Kate Calvin October 21, 2008 Acknowledgements

More information

GCAM Scenarios and Latin America

GCAM Scenarios and Latin America GCAM Scenarios and Latin America Leon Clarke for the GCAM Team October 2, 212 San Jose, Costa Rica 2 Overview of GCAM GCAM: The Global Change Assessment Model 14 Region Energy/Economy Model Regions 151

More information

Overview of GCAM (Global Change Assessment Model) Sonny Kim JGCRI PNNL/UMD November 4, 2010

Overview of GCAM (Global Change Assessment Model) Sonny Kim JGCRI PNNL/UMD November 4, 2010 Overview of GCAM (Global Change Assessment Model) Sonny Kim JGCRI PNNL/UMD November 4, 21 The Integrated Assessment Framework MAGICC/SCENGEN ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION CLIMATE & SEA LEVEL Atmospheric Chemistry

More information

James J Dooley Joint Global Change Research Institute Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Battelle PNNL-SA-52439

James J Dooley Joint Global Change Research Institute Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Battelle PNNL-SA-52439 On the Potential Large-Scale Commercial Deployment of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Technologies: Findings from Phase 2 of the Global Energy Technology Strategy Project James J Dooley (dooleyj@battelle.org)

More information

AGRICULTURE WATER DEMAND. Incorporating water in GCAM. Vaibhav Chaturvedi

AGRICULTURE WATER DEMAND. Incorporating water in GCAM. Vaibhav Chaturvedi AGRICULTURE WATER DEMAND Incorporating water in GCAM Vaibhav Chaturvedi Background! Agriculture highest consumer of water globally, more than 70% of global water withdrawals! Increasing population and

More information

The Impact of Emissions Mitigation on Water Demand for Electricity Generation

The Impact of Emissions Mitigation on Water Demand for Electricity Generation The Impact of Emissions Mitigation on Water Demand for Electricity Generation PAGE KYLE, EVAN DAVIES, JAMES DOOLEY, STEVE SMITH, MOHAMAD HEJAZI, JAE EDMONDS, AND LEON CLARKE Joint GCAM Community Modeling

More information

RENEWABLE ENERGY DEPLOYMENT AND FINANCIAL DE-RISKING

RENEWABLE ENERGY DEPLOYMENT AND FINANCIAL DE-RISKING RENEWABLE ENERGY DEPLOYMENT AND FINANCIAL DE-RISKING A CASE STUDY FOR AFRICA Bob van der Zwaan with Bart Sweerts and Francesco Dalla Longa 13-15 November 2018, IAMC, Sevilla, Spain GHG EMISSION PATHWAYS

More information

Prospects for the International Bioenergy Market and Scientific Cooperation

Prospects for the International Bioenergy Market and Scientific Cooperation Prospects for the International Bioenergy Market and Scientific Cooperation Network of Expertise in Energy Technology Integrated Approaches to Energy Technologies Beijing, China November 27, 2012 Jonathan

More information

Long-Term Scenarios: Perspectives, Experience, and Activities

Long-Term Scenarios: Perspectives, Experience, and Activities Long-Term Scenarios: Perspectives, Experience, and Activities Leon Clarke RITE International Symposium The frontiers of scenarios for climate change research and assessment Wednesday, February 09, 2011

More information

The Role of Technology in Meeting National and Global Technology Needs PART II

The Role of Technology in Meeting National and Global Technology Needs PART II The Role of Technology in Meeting National and Global Technology Needs PART II GTSP The Global Energy Technology Strategy Program Presented by Jae Edmonds and Leon Clarke for the GTSP team The Cosmos Club

More information

Climate Impact on U.S. Building Energy Use

Climate Impact on U.S. Building Energy Use Climate Impact on U.S. Building Energy Use YUYU ZHOU, LEON CLARKE, JIYONG EOM, PAGE KYLE, PRALIT PATEL Joint GCAM Community Modeling Meeting and GTSP Technical Workshop Joint Global Change Research Institute

More information

Combining Bio-Energy and Carbon Capture and Storage(BECCS)

Combining Bio-Energy and Carbon Capture and Storage(BECCS) Combining Bio-Energy and Carbon Capture and Storage(BECCS) An option for Negative Emissions and IEA Perspectives to 2050 Dennis Best Programme Manager Energy Efficiency and Environment Division (CCS) Twenty-eight

More information

Global Bioenergy Market Developments

Global Bioenergy Market Developments Global Bioenergy Market Developments Dr. Heinz Kopetz World Bioenergy Association Tokyo, 9 March 2012 Japan Renewable Energy Foundation - Revision 2012 The importance of biomass Biomass is organic matter

More information

CCS: an option to reduce CO2 emissions

CCS: an option to reduce CO2 emissions CCS: an option to reduce CO2 emissions Dennis Best Division for Asia Pacific/Latin America Bioenergy, CCS and BECCS: Options for Indonesia, Jakarta, 21-23 September 2012 ETP2012: need to cut CO 2 by 50%

More information

Mitigation and Adaptation

Mitigation and Adaptation Prof. Dr. Ottmar Edenhofer Mitigation and Adaptation Our Common Future Hannover, 4th November 2010 Volkswagen Stiftung Tipping Points in the Earth System T. M. Lenton & H. J. Schellnhuber (Nature Reports

More information

GCAM GAINS Scenario Comparison

GCAM GAINS Scenario Comparison GCAM GAINS Scenario Comparison STEVEN J. SMITH 2030 Global Emission Scenarios Workshop International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Laxenburg, Austria October 8, 2012 PNNL- SA- xxxx OUTLINE In

More information

Prospects for Renewable and Fossil-Based Electricity Generation in a Carbon-Constrained World

Prospects for Renewable and Fossil-Based Electricity Generation in a Carbon-Constrained World International Journal of Clean Coal and Energy, 2013, 2, 35-43 doi:10.4236/ijcce.2013.22b008 Published Online May 2013 (http://www.scirp.org/journal/ijcce) Prospects for Renewable and Fossil-Based Electricity

More information

GCAM Modeling of Bioenergy and Carbon Emissions from Land Use Change

GCAM Modeling of Bioenergy and Carbon Emissions from Land Use Change GCAM Modeling of Bioenergy and Carbon Emissions from Land Use Change MARSHALL WISE, LEON CLARKE, KATE CALVIN, PAGE KYLE, HAEWON MCJEON Joint GCAM Community Modeling Meeting and GTSP Technical Workshop

More information

Bio-CCS status and negative emissions after COP21

Bio-CCS status and negative emissions after COP21 Bio-CCS status and negative emissions after COP21 Dr. Uwe Remme Workshop on Applicable Bio-CCUS concepts for member states 2030-2050 Technical and financial aspects of Bio-CC(U)S 10 May 2016 IEA Energy

More information

Earth s energy balance and the greenhouse effect

Earth s energy balance and the greenhouse effect Earth s energy balance and the greenhouse effect Average incident solar radiation 342 W/m 2 Reflection to space by atmosphere, clouds, and earth surface 102 W/m 2 Infrared radiation emitted to space 240

More information

Technology and Climate Policy in the Post-Copenhagen World: GTSP Research

Technology and Climate Policy in the Post-Copenhagen World: GTSP Research Technology and Climate Policy in the Post-Copenhagen World: GTSP Research Jae Edmonds The Global Energy Technology Strategy Annual Meeting May 23, 2011 The Cosmos Club, Washington, DC Acknowledgements!

More information

Carbon Capture and Sequestration as a Means for Managing Carbon Dioxide Emissions

Carbon Capture and Sequestration as a Means for Managing Carbon Dioxide Emissions Carbon Capture and Sequestration as a Means for Managing Carbon Dioxide Emissions February 5, 2004 JJ Dooley Joint Global Change Research Institute Battelle Administration Global Warming Commitments Administration

More information

The Economics of International Offsets

The Economics of International Offsets The Economics of International Offsets KATE CALVIN, JAE EDMONDS, MARSHALL WISE GTSP TECHNICAL WORKSHOP COLLEGE PARK, MD October 1, 2013 This work has been done with support from Electric Power Research

More information

Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change: Perspectives on Renewable Fuels

Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change: Perspectives on Renewable Fuels Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change: Perspectives on Renewable Fuels John Reilly jreilly@mit.edu 1 Vision and Overview Discover new interactions among natural and human climate system

More information

III. Commercial viability of second generation biofuel technology 27

III. Commercial viability of second generation biofuel technology 27 III. Commercial viability of second generation biofuel technology 27 The previous chapters focused on first generation biofuels. In this chapter we focus on second generation biofuels, specifically biofuels

More information

Nuclear Hydrogen for Production of Liquid Hydrocarbon Transport Fuels

Nuclear Hydrogen for Production of Liquid Hydrocarbon Transport Fuels Nuclear Hydrogen for Production of Liquid Hydrocarbon Transport Fuels Charles W. Forsberg Oak Ridge National Laboratory Oak Ridge, Tennessee 37831 Email: forsbergcw@ornl.gov Abstract Liquid fuels (gasoline,

More information

CONTENTS TABLE OF PART A GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS PART B SPECIAL FOCUS ON RENEWABLE ENERGY OECD/IEA, 2016 ANNEXES

CONTENTS TABLE OF PART A GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS PART B SPECIAL FOCUS ON RENEWABLE ENERGY OECD/IEA, 2016 ANNEXES TABLE OF CONTENTS PART A GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS PART B SPECIAL FOCUS ON RENEWABLE ENERGY ANNEXES INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE 1 OVERVIEW 2 OIL MARKET OUTLOOK 3 NATURAL GAS MARKET OUTLOOK 4 COAL MARKET OUTLOOK

More information

Biofuels: Trends, Specifications, Biomass Conversion, and GHG Assessments

Biofuels: Trends, Specifications, Biomass Conversion, and GHG Assessments Biofuels: Trends, Specifications, Biomass Conversion, and GHG Assessments 6 th International Symposium on Fuels and Lubricants New Delhi, India March 9-12, 2008 S. Kent Hoekman, Ph.D. Desert Research Institute

More information

Long Term Trends in Electric Power

Long Term Trends in Electric Power Long Term Trends in Electric Power STEVEN J. SMITH 2030 Global Emission Scenarios Workshop International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Laxenburg, Austria October 9, 2012 PNNL- SA- xxxx Introduction!

More information

THE ROLE OF CARBON CAPTURE & SEQUESTRATION IN A LONG-TERM TECHNOLOGY STRATEGY OF ATMOSPHERIC STABILIZATION

THE ROLE OF CARBON CAPTURE & SEQUESTRATION IN A LONG-TERM TECHNOLOGY STRATEGY OF ATMOSPHERIC STABILIZATION THE ROLE OF CARBON CAPTURE & SEQUESTRATION IN A LONG-TERM TECHNOLOGY STRATEGY OF ATMOSPHERIC STABILIZATION JJ DOOLEY, JA EDMONDS, and MA WISE Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 901 D St, S.W. Suite

More information

Agriculture and Land-Use in GCAM 3.0

Agriculture and Land-Use in GCAM 3.0 Agriculture and Land-Use in GCAM 3.0 Marshall Wise, Kate Calvin, Page Kyle, Patrick Luckow May 24, 2011 GTSP College Park, MD 1 PNNL-SA-80172 Outline! Model Structure & Assumptions! What underlying assumptions

More information

Hydro power in Madison County

Hydro power in Madison County Hydro power in Madison County Phil Hofmeyer, Ph.D. Assistant Professor of Renewable Energy Instructor, Renewable Energy Training Center Morrisville State College hofmeypv@morrisville.edu Overview What

More information

Hydrogen in An Energy System Context

Hydrogen in An Energy System Context Hydrogen in An Energy System Context Supply & Demand Side Technology Competition John Clarke and Jae Edmonds Nuclear Hydrogen Workshop General Atomic, May 14-15, 22 National Laboratory Some Fundamental

More information

Agriculture and Land-Use in GCAM 3.0

Agriculture and Land-Use in GCAM 3.0 Agriculture and Land-Use in GCAM 3.0 Marshall Wise, Kate Calvin, Page Kyle, Patrick Luckow May 24, 2011 GTSP College Park, MD 1 PNNL-SA-80172 Outline! Model Structure & Assumptions! What underlying assumptions

More information

Fossil fuel production scenarios under carbon budget and equity considerations

Fossil fuel production scenarios under carbon budget and equity considerations Fossil fuel production scenarios under carbon budget and equity considerations Steve Pye, Paul Ekins, James Price LCSRnet Conference, University of Warwick September 13 th, 2017 Significant growth of fossil

More information

Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Coal-Powered Electricity with Biomass

Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Coal-Powered Electricity with Biomass Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Coal-Powered Electricity with Biomass Aimee Curtright, PhD 2 Emissions from Power Plants: Flexibility and the Path Forward Conference at WVU Law February 24, 2014

More information

Technology and International Climate Policy

Technology and International Climate Policy The Harvard Project on International Climate Agreements December 2008 Discussion Paper 08-21 Technology and International Climate Policy Leon Clarke Kate Calvin James A. Edmonds Page Kyle Marshall Wise

More information

Biomass Electricity. Megan Ziolkowski November 29, 2009

Biomass Electricity. Megan Ziolkowski November 29, 2009 Biomass Electricity Megan Ziolkowski mziolkowski@kentlaw.edu November 29, 2009 Agenda 1. Introduction 2. Conversion Process 3. Environmental Impact 4. Benefits for the US 5. The Future of Biomass Electricity

More information

Global view on perspectives for biodiesel.

Global view on perspectives for biodiesel. Global view on perspectives for biodiesel. Biodiesel International Conference, FAAP Convention Center, Armando Alvares Penteado Foundation, Sao Paulo - Brazil, 18th November 2011 André Faaij Utrecht University

More information

Uncertainty in land resource projection associated with static geographic land units in GCAM

Uncertainty in land resource projection associated with static geographic land units in GCAM Uncertainty in land resource projection associated with static geographic land units in GCAM Alan V. Di Vittorio Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Page Kyle and William Collins IA/GCAM annual meeting

More information

RESEARCH GROUP: Future Energy Technology

RESEARCH GROUP: Future Energy Technology RESEARCH GROUP: Email: hermann.hofbauer@tuwien.ac.at Web: http://www.vt.tuwien.ac.at Phone: +43 1 58801 166300 Fax: +43 1 58801 16699 Institute of Chemical Engineering page 1 Project Groups of : Univ.Prof.

More information

Renewable Energy: Pathways to a Sustainable Future

Renewable Energy: Pathways to a Sustainable Future National Renewable Energy Laboratory Renewable Energy: Pathways to a Sustainable Future Richard H. Truly, Director National Renewable Energy Laboratory Georgia Institute of Technology Workshop on Sustainable

More information

Renewable Energy Technology 2004 Energy Workshop

Renewable Energy Technology 2004 Energy Workshop Renewable Energy Technology 2004 Energy Workshop Andy Aden National Renewable Energy Laboratory June 17, 2004 Major NREL Thrusts Wind Solar Photovoltaics Solar Thermal Biomass Biorefineries Biosciences

More information

RIETI BBL Seminar Handout

RIETI BBL Seminar Handout Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI) RIETI BBL Seminar Handout October 7, 2014 Speakers: Mr. Didier HOUSSIN & Mr. HATTORI Takashi http://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/index.html Energy, Climate

More information

Economic Analysis of Field Crops and Land Use with Climate Change

Economic Analysis of Field Crops and Land Use with Climate Change Economic Analysis of Field Crops and Land Use with Climate Change Ron Sands Joint Global Change Research Institute Battelle PNNL University of Maryland Cost of Inaction Workshop German Institute for Economic

More information

Transportation Fuels. Future Options and Opportunities. Harry Sigworth June 7, 2007

Transportation Fuels. Future Options and Opportunities. Harry Sigworth June 7, 2007 Transportation Fuels Future Options and Opportunities Harry Sigworth June 7, 2007 University of Wisconsin ERC Research Symposium: Future Fuels for IC Engines Topics The new energy equation Future scenarios

More information

GIANT KING GRASS: A Dedicated Energy Crop for Electricity Generation, Pellets & Biofuels. Munzer Sundos, PhD

GIANT KING GRASS: A Dedicated Energy Crop for Electricity Generation, Pellets & Biofuels. Munzer Sundos, PhD GIANT KING GRASS: A Dedicated Energy Crop for Electricity Generation, Pellets & Biofuels Munzer Sundos, PhD Chief Business Officer VIASPACE Inc. Irvine, CA USA msundos@viaspace.com www.viaspace.com VIASPACE

More information

Global economic consequences of deploying bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)

Global economic consequences of deploying bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) Environmental Research Letters LETTER OPEN ACCESS Global economic consequences of deploying bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) To cite this article: Matteo Muratori et al 2016 Environ. Res.

More information

DOE Activities on Biofuels Sustainability Issues. Zia Haq

DOE Activities on Biofuels Sustainability Issues. Zia Haq DOE Activities on Biofuels Sustainability Issues Zia Haq Coordinating Research Council, October 22, 2009 Introduction: Department of Energy Biomass Program The Biomass Program (OBP) at the DOE works closely

More information

The systems analysis must

The systems analysis must The systems analysis must Professor Semida Silveira PhD, Head of Division Energy and Climate studies Department of Energy Technology School of Industrial Technology and Management KTH Energy Initiative

More information

PERP/PERP ABSTRACTS Ethanol

PERP/PERP ABSTRACTS Ethanol PERP/PERP ABSTRACTS 2010 Ethanol Commercial and developing ethanol fermentation production technologies and cost of production estimates. Global & regional supply/demand and trade forecasts PERP 2010 Report

More information

Analysis of Life-Cycle Energy Use and GHG Emissions of the Biomass-to-Ethanol Pathway of the Coskata Process under Chinese Conditions

Analysis of Life-Cycle Energy Use and GHG Emissions of the Biomass-to-Ethanol Pathway of the Coskata Process under Chinese Conditions Low Carbon Economy, 2012, 3, 106-110 http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/lce.2012.323014 Published Online November 2012 (http://www.scirp.org/journal/lce) Analysis of Life-Cycle Energy Use and GHG Emissions of the

More information

Biomass & Wood Pellets National Policies

Biomass & Wood Pellets National Policies Energy consumption patterns have strongly changed during the last decades. The increase on industrial production of goods, the high mobility of the population and the dependency on fossil fuels for energy

More information

Biofuels: Environmental Sustainability and Interaction with Food Systems

Biofuels: Environmental Sustainability and Interaction with Food Systems International Council of Science Biofuels: Environmental Sustainability and Interaction with Food Systems Bob Howarth (Cornell University, USA) Chair, International SCOPE Biofuels Project November 3, 2010

More information

Biological Conversion of Cellulosic Biomass to Ethanol at UCR

Biological Conversion of Cellulosic Biomass to Ethanol at UCR Biological Conversion of Cellulosic Biomass to Ethanol at UCR Mirvat Ebrik Center for Environmental Research and Technology Bourns College of Engineering University of California Riverside, California

More information

Technology and a Low Carbon Transformation

Technology and a Low Carbon Transformation September 14, 2016 Technology and a Low Carbon Transformation Haroon Kheshgi Outline CO 2 stabilization and the pace of transformation Transformation pathways Enabling environments for technology deployment

More information

Sean Biggs, Howard Herzog, John Reilly, Henry Jacoby Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA, USA

Sean Biggs, Howard Herzog, John Reilly, Henry Jacoby Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA, USA ECONOMIC MODELING OF CO 2 CAPTURE AND SEQUESTRATION Sean Biggs, Howard Herzog, John Reilly, Henry Jacoby Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA, USA ABSTRACT As policy makers look for

More information

IEEJ: December 2013 All Right Reserved Implications of the Changing Energy Map Comments for IEA WEO 2013 Symposium Tokyo 28 November, 2013 The Institu

IEEJ: December 2013 All Right Reserved Implications of the Changing Energy Map Comments for IEA WEO 2013 Symposium Tokyo 28 November, 2013 The Institu Implications of the Changing Energy Map Comments for IEA WEO 2013 Symposium Tokyo 28 November, 2013 The Institute of Energy Economics, Yukari Yamashita Board Member, Director Energy Data and Modelling

More information

Biomass and Biofuels. Biomass

Biomass and Biofuels. Biomass and Biofuels Prof. Tony Bridgwater BioEnergy Research Group Aston University, Birmingham B4 7ET AV Bridgwater 2008 Energy crops Agricultural and forestry wastes Industrial & consumer wastes 2 Why convert

More information

Meeting global temperature targets the role of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage

Meeting global temperature targets the role of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage Meeting global temperature targets the role of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage Christian Azar, Daniel J.A. Johansson and Niclas Mattsson Supplementary In this supplementary material, we first

More information

Chapter 7 Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions

Chapter 7 Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions Chapter 7 Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions In the coming decades, actions to limit greenhouse gas emissions could affect patterns of energy use around the world and alter the level and composition

More information

Third IEA IEF OPEC Symposium on Gas and Coal Market Outlooks. Tim Gould, IEA

Third IEA IEF OPEC Symposium on Gas and Coal Market Outlooks. Tim Gould, IEA Third IEA IEF OPEC Symposium on Gas and Coal Market Outlooks Tim Gould, IEA A new fuel in pole position Change in global primary energy demand Mtoe 2 000 1990-2015 2015-2040 Rest of world 1 500 1 000 Renewables

More information

Tackling Energy Security in Europe: the Role of the Electricity Sector

Tackling Energy Security in Europe: the Role of the Electricity Sector Tackling Energy Security in Europe: the Role of the Electricity Sector Uwe Remme, Markus Blesl Institute of Energy Economics and the Rational Use of Energy (IER) University of Stuttgart IAEE 28 June 18-2,

More information

Abstract Process Economics Program Report 252 CHEMICALS FROM AGRICULTURAL WASTES (September 2004)

Abstract Process Economics Program Report 252 CHEMICALS FROM AGRICULTURAL WASTES (September 2004) Abstract Process Economics Program Report 252 CHEMICALS FROM AGRICULTURAL WASTES (September 2004) Petrochemical hydrocarbon sources are finite and many experts suggest that they will become exhausted within

More information

Overview of GCAM. November 29, 2011 PNNL-SA-84312

Overview of GCAM. November 29, 2011 PNNL-SA-84312 Overview of GCAM November 29, 2011 PNNL-SA-84312 Outline! Brief introduction to Integrated Assessment Models! Overview GCAM! Detailed information on GCAM s! Economic assumptions,! Energy system,! Agriculture

More information

Carbon- Nega+ve Energy Systems

Carbon- Nega+ve Energy Systems Carbon- Nega+ve Energy Systems 1Energy and Resources Group 2Goldman School of Public Policy Dan Sanchez1, 3 & Dan Kammen1,2, 3 3Renewable and Appropriate Energy Laboratory University of California, Berkeley

More information

Global Climate Change and the Unique (?) Challenges Posed by the Transportation Sector

Global Climate Change and the Unique (?) Challenges Posed by the Transportation Sector Global Climate Change and the Unique (?) Challenges Posed by the Transportation Sector 8 th Diesel Engine Emissions Reduction Conference August 26, 2002 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory James J Dooley,

More information

OECD/IEA World Energy Outlook 2011

OECD/IEA World Energy Outlook 2011 World Energy Outlook 211 The context: fresh challenges add to already worrying trends Economic concerns have diverted attention from energy policy and limited the means of intervention Post-Fukushima,

More information

OPTIMIZING BIOMASS CONTRIBUTION TO GLOBAL ENERGY BALANCE

OPTIMIZING BIOMASS CONTRIBUTION TO GLOBAL ENERGY BALANCE OPTIMIZING BIOMASS CONTRIBUTION TO GLOBAL ENERGY BALANCE EDF Patrice Dhumes François Cattier, Jean-David Sta, Jerôme Wirth EDF R&D International Energy Workshop, Paris - 19-21 June 2013 CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVES

More information

Opening Remarks. Prof. Dr. Nebojsa Nakicenovic. Deputy Director

Opening Remarks. Prof. Dr. Nebojsa Nakicenovic. Deputy Director Opening Remarks Prof. Dr. Nebojsa Nakicenovic Deputy Director International Institute for National Member Organizations Applied Systems Analysis International, independent, interdisciplinary Research on

More information

IEA Technology Roadmap: Delivering sustainable bioenergy - a key role for advanced biofuels

IEA Technology Roadmap: Delivering sustainable bioenergy - a key role for advanced biofuels IEA Technology Roadmap: Delivering sustainable bioenergy - a key role for advanced biofuels Adam Brown EU-India Conference on Advanced Biofuels, Delhi 6-8 March 2018 OECD/IEA 2017 The full portfolio of

More information

Studies of Nuclear Fusion Energy Potential Based on a Long-term World Energy and Environment Model

Studies of Nuclear Fusion Energy Potential Based on a Long-term World Energy and Environment Model Studies of Nuclear Fusion Energy Potential Based on a Long-term World Energy and Environment Model K.Tokimatsu 1), J.Fujino 2), Y.Asaoka 3), Y.Ogawa 4), K.Okano 3), T.Yoshida 3), R.Hiwatari 3), S.Konishi

More information

Dr. Johannes Trüby, IEA Clean Coal Day, Tokyo 5 September 2017

Dr. Johannes Trüby, IEA Clean Coal Day, Tokyo 5 September 2017 Dr. Johannes Trüby, IEA Clean Coal Day, Tokyo 5 September 2017 Global CO 2 emissions flat for 3 years Global energy-related CO 2 emissions Gt 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

More information

Real-world low-carbon policy packages for the energy sector

Real-world low-carbon policy packages for the energy sector Real-world low-carbon policy packages for the energy sector Christina Hood, Head, Environment and Climate Change Unit Workshop on Economic Theories and Low-Carbon Transformation Policies, Cambridge 23

More information

International Energy Agency Biofuels & Bioenergy Technology Roadmaps

International Energy Agency Biofuels & Bioenergy Technology Roadmaps Joint Research Center of the European Commission EC JRC National Research Center Kurchatov Institute Workshop International Cooperation in the Field of Bioenergy Moscow, 22 23 October 2013 International

More information

Energy, Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050

Energy, Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 REFERENCE DATA SERIES No. 1 2018 Edition Energy, Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 @ ENERGY, ELECTRICITY AND NUCLEAR POWER ESTIMATES FOR THE PERIOD UP TO 2050 REFERENCE

More information

Possible Role of a Biorefinery s Syngas Platform in a Biobased Economy Assessment in IEA Bioenergy Task 42 Biorefining

Possible Role of a Biorefinery s Syngas Platform in a Biobased Economy Assessment in IEA Bioenergy Task 42 Biorefining Possible Role of a Biorefinery s Syngas Platform in a Biobased Economy Assessment in IEA Bioenergy Task 42 Biorefining G. Jungmeier 1, R. Van Ree 2, E. de Jong 3, H. Jørgensen 4, P. Walsh 4, M. Wellisch

More information

Energy Technology Perspectives 2017 The Role of CCS in Deep Decarbonisation Scenarios

Energy Technology Perspectives 2017 The Role of CCS in Deep Decarbonisation Scenarios Energy Technology Perspectives 2017 The Role of CCS in Deep Decarbonisation Scenarios Dr. Uwe Remme, IEA International Energy Workshop, 19 June 2018, Gothenburg IEA How far can technology take us? 40 Reference

More information

Innovation Technology Outlook of Advanced Biofuels

Innovation Technology Outlook of Advanced Biofuels Innovation Technology Outlook of Advanced Biofuels production and deployment in the next three decades Shunichi NAKADA IITC-IRENA Ecuador, November 2015 Contents 1. Why advanced Biofuel? 2. Framework of

More information

Role of biomass in meeting future energy demands

Role of biomass in meeting future energy demands Role of biomass in meeting future energy demands Martin Junginger Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University IEA Bioenergy Task 40 Workshop Biomass supply challenges how to meet biomass demand by 2020 15

More information

Power Generation: A Continued Role for Coal?

Power Generation: A Continued Role for Coal? Power Generation: A Continued Role for Coal? Keith Burnard Head, Energy Supply Technology Unit International Energy Agency Clean Coal Day Tokyo, Japan 8-9 September 2015 Founded in 1974 as an autonomous

More information

Approaches to Sustainable Bioenergy

Approaches to Sustainable Bioenergy Approaches to Sustainable Bioenergy IRENA - University of Bonn Lecture Series November 23, 2017 Jeff Skeer, IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency Established: April 2011 Mission: Accelerate deployment

More information

Fast Pyrolysis: Pathway to Unlocking Value from Forest Product Residuals. Randal Goodfellow March 15 th, 2011

Fast Pyrolysis: Pathway to Unlocking Value from Forest Product Residuals. Randal Goodfellow March 15 th, 2011 Fast Pyrolysis: Pathway to Unlocking Value from Forest Product Residuals Randal Goodfellow March 15 th, 2011 Envergent Envergent Technologies Technologies 2009 2009 Agenda Introduction Rapid Thermal Processing

More information

PROJECT UPDATES. Westinghouse Plasma Commercialized; Industrial Scale Syngas Production

PROJECT UPDATES. Westinghouse Plasma Commercialized; Industrial Scale Syngas Production Westinghouse Plasma Commercialized; Industrial Scale Syngas Production PROJECT UPDATES Gasification Technologies Council (GTC) October 26-29, Washington, DC WESTINGHOUSE PLASMA CORP (WPC) Excels by gasifying

More information

U.S. Department of Energy Biomass Program Sustainability and Biofuels Production: A DOE Perspective

U.S. Department of Energy Biomass Program Sustainability and Biofuels Production: A DOE Perspective QuickTime and a Photo - JPEG decompressor are needed to see this picture. U.S. Department of Energy Biomass Program Sustainability and Biofuels Production: A DOE Perspective National Academies Federal

More information

Energy Technology Perspectives: Transitions to Sustainable Buildings

Energy Technology Perspectives: Transitions to Sustainable Buildings Energy Technology Perspectives: Transitions to Sustainable Buildings John Dulac International Energy Agency IEA Global buildings status report Buildings are not on track to meet 2DS objectives Tracking

More information

Bio-energy in the FP7

Bio-energy in the FP7 Bio-energy in the FP7 National Contact Point Andrzej Sławiński andrzej.slawinski@kpk.gov.pl UE Framework Programmes 60 50,52 50 40 30 20 13,12 14,96 19,11 10 3,27 5,36 6,6 0 1984-1987 1987-1991 1990-1994

More information

ABENGOA. Hugoton project

ABENGOA. Hugoton project sustainability sustainability Hugoton project Located in Hugoton, Kansas, Abengoa's new plant has the capacity to convert more than 300,000 dry tons of agricultural residues into up to 25 Mgal of ethanol

More information

U.S. Reflections on Outcomes and Implications of Bali

U.S. Reflections on Outcomes and Implications of Bali U.S. Reflections on Outcomes and Implications of Bali Dr. Harlan L. Watson Senior Climate Negotiator and Special Representative U.S. Department of State IISD Conference on A Way Forward: Canadian and International

More information

2.2 Conversion Platforms

2.2 Conversion Platforms 2.2 Conversion Platforms The strategic goal of the conversion element is to develop technologies for converting feedstocks into cost-competitive commodity liquid fuels, like ethanol, as well as bioproducts

More information

Estimates of the land-use-change carbon intensity of ethanol from switchgrass and corn stover using the GCAM 4.0 model

Estimates of the land-use-change carbon intensity of ethanol from switchgrass and corn stover using the GCAM 4.0 model Estimates of the land-use-change carbon intensity of ethanol from switchgrass and corn stover using the GCAM 4.0 model Prepared for Environmental Working Group by Richard Plevin, Ph.D. 1 and Gouri Shankar

More information

POTENTIAL FOR BIOMETHANE PRODUCTION WITH CARBON DIOXIDE CAPTURE AND STORAGE

POTENTIAL FOR BIOMETHANE PRODUCTION WITH CARBON DIOXIDE CAPTURE AND STORAGE POTENTIAL FOR BIOMETHANE PRODUCTION WITH CARBON DIOXIDE CAPTURE AND STORAGE Report: 2013/11 September 2013 INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY The International Energy Agency (IEA) was established in 1974 within

More information

Trends in Energy Scenario Development

Trends in Energy Scenario Development Trends in Energy Scenario Development Cecilia Tam, Senior Energy Analyst, International Energy Agency APERC Annual Conference, Tokyo 30-31 May 2018 IEA Context Energy Efficiency: The world is generating

More information