Planning for Attainment: Ozone Advance

Transcription

1 Planning for Attainment: Ozone Advance Air Improvement Resources Technical Committee Alamo Area Council of Governments December 10, 2012

2 AIR Committee Changes AIR Technical Committee Technical considerations of relative reductions in ozone precursors Modeling: 2006 base case Default TCEQ files AACOG local EI updates Next: 2012, 2018 forecasts Eagle Ford EI late summer Impacts assessments AIR Advisory Committee Business and Industry Considerations Of Feasibility Regional Considerations Working Groups Eagle Ford Improvements Power Generation Cement Industry Transportation Construction Industry AIR Executive Committee Oversight of Process Final Agreement & Authorization Work with EPA Dialogue with All Stakeholders Receive Public Comments

3 AIR Committee Bylaws Mission 1. Facilitate the completion and update of the air quality studies and necessary planning activities for attainment under the current 8 hour ozone NAAQS; and 2. Develop a comprehensive emission reduction plan that will guide our region's actions to attain the 8 hour ozone NAAQS. Goals 1. Provide a list of clean air strategies and combinations which will achieve attainment within the required time frame; and 2. Work directly with the TCEQ on technical analysis and control strategy development, including preparation and approval of the SIP for our region. Objectives 1. Complete the required planning materials: transportation network emission inventory, general emissions inventory and regional photochemical modeling; 2. When published, review EPA's proposed requirements and implementation of alternativeairqualityclassification air choices; and 3. Provide public information and seek public input relating to current and future measures to improve air quality.

4 AIR Advisory Committee: Bylaws The AIR Advisory Committee acts as liaison between the AIR Executive Committee and the greater citizen sectors, both public and private. Business representatives Environmental groups Education agencies Transportation organizations Utilities Minority organizations Industry representatives Chambers of Commerce Health organizations Neighborhood organizations Other elected officials

5 AIR Advisory Co.: Members Standing Members Nominations Forwarded Word Construction Co. Joint-Base San Antonio Guadalupe County CPS Energy VIA Metropolitan Transit Office of Sustainability, City of San Antonio HEB San Antonio Manufacturers Association HoltCAT Southwest Research Institute Texas A&M South Texas Energy & Economic SA Metro. Health District Roundtable San Antonio Water Systems Nominations Sought Nominations Sought: Cement San Miguel Electric Cooperative CEMEX Nominations Sought: O&G Stakeholders TXI Operations, LP Holt CAT Alamo Cement America s Natural Gas Alliance Capitol Cement Texas Natural Gas To be determined: Energy and Sustainability Committee + General Membership, Greater San Antonio Chamber of Commerce; Environmental Law Section, San Antonio Bar Association; Mission Verde Alliance / San Antonio Clean Technology Forum; Construction Industry; SA International Airport; Economic development / city managers in AACOG region; Trucking firms; School Districts; Local Quarries; Union Pacific Railroad

6 AIR Advisory: pre Jan. 17 Meeting Preparation: Web based info Authority for Ground-Level Ozone Planning * History of Ozone Planning * Near Nonattainment Areas: partnerships and funding * Early Action Compact success * Technical aspects of Ozone Planning * Nonattainment Boundary Considerations * Ozone monitors * Placement of regulatory monitors * AACOG's non-regulatory monitors * Design Value Trends * Emissions Inventory Trends * Transport Considerations * Emissions Inventory * Photochemical modeling * How AQ monitoring, EI, modeling provide technical basis of clean air planning * Eagle Ford Shale Federal Policy Impacts on local ozone planning * Five-year review cycle of federal standards * Recent history of 2008 standard, timing of nonattainment designations * Possible revision of ozone standard in 2013 Relevant State Air Quality Policy Review * Nonattainment New Source Review * Transportation Conformity Recent Changes in Local Policy Development * Function of the AIR Committee System * 2012 Violations of the 2008 ground-level 8-hour average ozone standard * Ozone Advance program * Timeline for deliverables * Goals under the Ozone Advance program * Partners and Clean Air Commitments: Ongoing * Partners and Clean Air Commitments: Future Voluntary

7 AIR Advisory Co.: Jan. 17 Meeting Background: Ozone Planning Role of the AIR Advisory Ozone Status: By the Numbers Ozone Status: Considerations Local EI/NA Boundary State SIP/Texas controls & transport Federal jurisdiction, controls & transport Ozone Advance Nonattainment vs. Attainment

8 Eagle Ford Not Included

9 Initial Estimations: EFS Draft NOx Emissions in tons per day from 24 county Eagle Ford shale play Emissions Source 2011 * 2011 estimations for Production not Exploration and Pad Construction 0.6 included. Production may create up to 25 Drilling 23.9 additional tons of NOx/day in Hydraulic Fracturing 12.3 emissions will be higher. For example, Midstream midstream sources are estimated at 39.3 Total* Estimated Emissions 45.6 tons of VOC and 21.0 tons of NOx in NOx Emissions in tons per day from Point Sources, 8 CountySan Antonio NewBraunfelsMSA Type of Industry / Year Electricity Generation Cement Industry Petroleum Industry Manufacturing Military Bases Other Sources Total

10 Next First Cut: Strategies Further refinement of Control Strategy List Comprehensive Listing: Ongoing Strategies Voluntary strategies possible Note both within Control Strategy List

11 Example Building Energy Efficiency: Build San Antonio Green; Sustainable Building Task Force; CPS Energy STEP and Lean Clean Local / Regional Solar: Solar San Antonio; CPS Energy STEP Energy Systems Lab Assessments