10 years Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) - Lessons learned

Transcription

1 Energy 10 years Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) - Lessons learned November 9 th 2010, Lisbon, Portugal Christoph Urbschat, Partner eclareon GmbH Management Consultants on behalf of the German Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology

2 Development of the German PV market Market Data Photovoltaics in Germany 2009* Newly installed power 3,800 MWp Total installed power 9,800 MWp Solar electricity produced 6,400 GWh No. of new systems installed 160,000 Employees 60,000 (Source: BSW-Solar) * Preliminary figures Milestones 1991: First Feed-in Law (FIT with low tariffs) : 1,000 roofs program (grants) : 100,000 roofs program (loans) 2000: Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) (FIT) 2004 & 2009: Amendment (revision) of EEG (FIT) * annually installed cumulated installed 0 Source: BSW-Solar, June 2010

3 The Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) key principles Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG): Federal Act Priority for feed-in (FIT) of renewable energies Extensive regulation of grid access Purchase price regulated by law Tariffs measured according to competitiveness of each technology Degression measured according to sophistication of each technology Graphic by BSW- Solar, 2009

4 Instruments for the Promotion of RES in the European Electricity Market * Source: BMU, 2010

5 PV feed-in tariffs in 2009 and tariffs foreseen for 2010 Feed-in tariff < 30 kwp > 30 kwp > 100 kwp Rooftop systems (on buildings and on noise protection walls) > 1000 kwp 43.01ct 40.91ct 39.58ct 33.00ct -9% -11% -11% 39.14ct 37.23ct 35.23ct 29.37ct Ground mounted systems 31.94ct -11% 28.43ct Source: BSW-Solar, 01/2010

6 Degression rates of feed-in tariffs for PV in accordance with amendment of EEG in annually installed PV power in MWp est Degression rate 5%/6.5% +1% %/ 10% % +1% %/ 10% % % 9% % -1% annually installed PV power in MWp upper limit lower limit Source: BSW-Solar, 2009

7 Global PV Market 2009 Global PV Market 2007: MWp 2008: MWp 2009: MWp Europe North Amerika Asia / ROW Preliminary Figures Source: nat. PV Industry associations, BSW-Solar estimates Update: 09/2010

8 German PV market at maturity stage Development stage of different PV markets according to the life cycle model Cumulative market size 2009 in MW Embryonic/ nascent stage Emerging / early growth stage Later growth / maturity stage Country Installed 2009 Cumulative 2009 Germany Italy Czech R Belgium France Spain Greece Portugal UK Netherlands 6 64 Bulgaria Size indicates total market size Source: eclareon, 2010

9 Image: Sharp Germans PV market - segmentation of applications Ground Roof top BIPV mounted Effort of mounting Image: Solarwatt Image: Schüco <1% Image: Solarwatt Image: Grammer Image: Geosol Image: Sharp 12% 54% 14% Market share in % Image: BP Image: Geosol Size of the system Preliminary Figures Source: Statistics of the Federal Network Agency, BSW-Solar Estimates, August 2010

10 German PV market - Geographical distribution Global irradiation = solar potential Systems installed in total, Systems installed per capita, Sources BSW-Solar, eclareon, JRC

11 PV system prices decrease steadily German PV market - Geographical distribution Overall price reduction by 43.3% since Q2/2006 Average annual reduction of 12.4% p.a. Q2/10: Average PV system price for systems < 100 kwp: 2,834 /kwp Source: BSW-Solar Price Index, 09/2010

12 PV feed in tariffs one-time cut & further degression 2010/11 All Segments 21% Degression [% Points] * GM = Ground-mounted Degression, if installed capacity exceeds/falls short of 18% < 100kW 9% > 100kW/GM 11% GM* (conversio n areas) 8% GM* 12% rooftops 13% All segments 3% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6,500 MWp 5,500 MWp 4,500 MWp 3,500 MWp Base degression 2,500 MWp 2,000 MWp 1,500 MWp 15% 12% 9% 6.5% 4% 1.5% Source: BSW-Solar, 09/ Jan Jul Oct Jan Jan 2012

13 Direct consumption strengthened Option can be chosen by PV system operator Direct consumption requires additional meter to be installed PV system does not longer feed all power to the grid PV power consumed onsite does not make the customer load meter spin backwards kwh produced and consumed is in addition remunerated Source: BSW-Solar, 09/2010

14 Megatrend : Paradigm shift of the energy sector 100% RENEWABLES (new energy supply concepts for communities) SMART GRID (new end-to-end energy infrastructure) SMART POWER PLANT SOLUTIONS (new decentralized energy generation concepts) SMART ENERGY SOLUTIONS (new applications & services for end consumers) Facing the Energy sector (R) Evolution!? E-MOBILITY (new vehicle & transport concepts) Source: eclareon, 2010

15 : PV as one driver of paradigm shift Smart appliances Energy marketing Smart grids Smart energy system Energy storage Integrated energy solutions Energy procurement PV plants Smart metering Smart plants Energy production Energy management Conventional plants Hybrid power plant solutions Biomass / biogas plants Source: : eclareon, 2010 Wind parks

16 Energy Thank you for your attention! Christoph Urbschat Consultant by order of Renewable Energies Export Initiative of the Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology eclareon GmbH Luisenstraße Berlin Tel: Fax: