TOWARD A PRT SYSTEM FOR THE PARIS METROPOLITAN AREA?

Transcription

1 TOWARD A PRT SYSTEM FOR THE PARIS METROPOLITAN AREA? A FIRST PROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS Nicolas Coulombel, Fabien Leurent, Shaoqing Wang and Florent Le Néchet (LVMT) Claude Escala (Supraways)

2 THE GRAND PARIS EXPRESS TRANSPORTATION MEGAPROJECT An ambitious transport project at the core of the sustainable development strategy of the Paris region A megaproject indeed: o Construction of 205 km of new automated metro lines, with 68 new stations o Commercial speed: 55 to 60 km/h o Predicted ridership: 2 million users / day o Estimated cost: 22.6 billion Key objectives: o Improve travel conditions and reduce car use o Rebalancing the development of the Paris region o Combat urban sprawl and agricultural encroachment o Promote the economic development of the Ile-de-France Region (and of France as a whole) Introduction Assessing the potential of PRT Research prospects

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4 THE LAST MILE ISSUE The GPE faces a critical challenge: how to efficiently access (egress) the network o ring route in order to promote suburb-to-suburb travel most stations are to be located in medium density areas o access by car will be uneasy for most stations : congestion, lack of parking supply o same for transit: bus planned to serve as the main local feeder system low to average quality of service (frequency, commercial speed) A key opportunity for the development of a PRT system? o providing the GPE with an efficient, short to medium range feeder system o in case of a suspended system: free vacant land for new real estate development projects

5 Assessing the potential of PRT as a feeder system for the GPE CASE STUDY: THE FUTURE PLEYEL BUSINESS CLUSTER (SAINT- DENIS)

6 STUDY AREA: THE SAINT-DENIS PLEYEL STATION Located at the center of the Culture and Creation Cluster A key multimodal hub for the GPE o Junction of 4 lines o Connection with RER D (heavy rail): 100m Metro line 13: 250m o Predicted patronage: users/day but in a medium density area (for now) o only inhabitants within a 1 km radius o for jobs

7 STUDY AREA: THE SAINT-DENIS PLEYEL STATION Located at the center of the Culture and Creation Cluster A key multimodal hub for the GPE o Junction of 4 lines o Connection with RER D (heavy rail): 100m Metro line 13: 250m o Predicted patronage: users/day but in a medium density area (for now) o only inhabitants within a 1 km radius o for jobs

8 STUDY AREA: THE SAINT-DENIS PLEYEL STATION Located at the center of the Culture and Creation Cluster A key multimodal hub for the GPE o Junction of 4 lines o Connection with RER D (heavy rail): 100m Metro line 13: 250m o Predicted patronage: users/day but in a medium density area (for now) o only inhabitants within a 1 km radius o for jobs

9 OBJECTIVE & METHODOLOGY Intermediate research objective: assess the potential of Personal Rapid Transit to serve as a feeder system for the future Saint-Denis Pleyel multimodal hub o very preliminary analysis at this stage rough design, simple assumptions, o assess demand potential under favorable conditions Methodology o use of a standard 4-step transport model: MODUS developed and used by the State regional planning organization (DRIEA IdF) separate road & transit assignment models o refine the Traffic Analysis Zones within a 2.5 km radius around the station improve the representation of service characteristics at a local scale + choices of destination, mode and route o design a PRT system that considers local land-use characteristics o compare the reference scenario (bus) and the project scenario (PRT)

10 REFINING THE TRAFFIC ANALYSIS ZONES Study area: 2.5 km disk around the Pleyel station o 5 municipalities o 14 TAZ o inhabitants / jobs POPULATION & EMPLOYMENT PER MICRO-ZONE New division of TAZ o o Zone partitioning based on existing blocks, land-use characteristics, size of zones, 14 TAZ 88 micro-zones Data pretreatment o o data collection at the finest possible scale when necessary, disaggregation based on land-use patterns (using MOS)

11 OVERVIEW OF THE PRT SYSTEM Several branches to optimize local coverage o Total length: 19.6 km NETWORK DESIGN o # of stations: 48 o Average interstation: 350m Service characteristics o No stop, all turns possible o Initial waiting time: 1 minute o Travel speed: 50 km/h Fare: o no fare in the 1 st run o generalized cost analysis to appraise the optimal fare

12 PRELIMINARY RESULTS : PUBLIC TRANSIT DEMAND 50% ex-car users Marginal increase in public transit demand 50% ex-active travelers Day Reference scenario (no PRT) Projet scenario (PRT) Variation Daily trips Mode share Daily trips Mode share Private car % % Transit % % Active modes % % Total % % 0 Peak-hour Reference scenario (no PRT) Projet scenario (PRT) Variation Transit

13 PRELIMINARY RESULTS 2 PRT USAGE (1) Total ridership for morning peak hour users P+E Total VMT pax.km h of vehicle usage (commercial speed + 15% margin) Usage and benefits of the PRT system by O-D relation PRT Users Travel time (minutes) Generalized cost ( ) Number Share No PRT PRT No PRT PRT Internal % Study area Outside % Outside Study area % Transit % Total Distances traveled by mode within the study area Passenger-Kilometers Traveled No PRT PRT Variation Train % RER % Subway % Tramway % Bus % PRT X Total %

14 PRELIMINARY RESULTS 3 PRT USAGE (2) FLOWS VOLUME OF TRIPS AND PRT SHARE

15 PRELIMINARY RESULTS 4 EFFICIENCY AS A FEEDER SYSTEM Usage of the Saint-Denis Pleyel station '- no PRT PRT Boarding Alighting

16 OPTIMAL FARE Appraisal based on the analysis of generalized cost savings Fare = 1.25 / Revenue = 25 k

17 INTERMEDIATE CONCLUSIONS Promising results o Preliminary analysis shows latent demand for efficient feeder systems o Synergy with GPE Various caveats o Very optimistic assumptions regarding quality of service sensitivity analysis o Need for cost analysis more care in network design Future works o Study other stations and compare results o Finer representation of the network, of vehicle traffic, use of PRTSim

18 Fly in your city The Supraways project Partnership with ENPC & LVMT

19 Supraways principles 17

20 Supraways principles Now 17

21 Supraways principles Now Small & Fast 17

22 Supraways principles Now Small & Fast Suspended 17

23 Supraways principles Now Small & Fast Suspended Solar PV 17

24 Supraways principles Now Small & Fast Suspended Solar PV People & Goods 17

25 Supraways principles Now Small & Fast Suspended Solar PV People & Goods Expertise & innovation dynamics 17

26 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach 18

27 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach BUSINESS (Viability) 18

28 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach BUSINESS (Viability) HUMAN VALUES (Usability, Desirability 18

29 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach BUSINESS (Viability) OB = Organizational Behavior OB HUMAN VALUES (Usability, Desirability 18

30 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach TECHNOLOGY (Feasibility) BUSINESS (Viability) OB = Organizational Behavior OB HUMAN VALUES (Usability, Desirability 18

31 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach TECHNOLOGY (Feasibility) BUSINESS (Viability) OB = Organizational Behavior D&I OB D&I = Design & Interactivity HUMAN VALUES (Usability, Desirability 18

32 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach M = Manufacturing TECHNOLOGY (Feasibility) M BUSINESS (Viability) OB = Organizational Behavior D&I OB D&I = Design & Interactivity HUMAN VALUES (Usability, Desirability 18

33 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach M = Manufacturing TECHNOLOGY (Feasibility) D&I M DI OB BUSINESS (Viability) OB = Organizational Behavior D&I = Design & Interactivity HUMAN VALUES (Usability, Desirability DI = Design Innovation 18

34 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach 19

35 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach TARGET Transportation needs Economical viability Financial capacity Right partnerships 19

36 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach TARGET Transportation needs Economical viability Financial capacity Right partnerships UNDERSTAND Social values Social acceptance Societal impact Political interest 19

37 Methodology & partnerships Design thinking approach TARGET Transportation needs Economical viability Financial capacity Right partnerships UNDERSTAND Social values Social acceptance Societal impact Political interest DEMONSTRATE Technical feasibility Environmental impact Architecture design Security & Safety 19

38 Methodology & partnerships design thinking 20

39 Methodology & partnerships Transport modeling External benefits Limits design thinking 20

40 Methodology & partnerships Transport modeling External benefits Limits design thinking Infractructure Acceptability Urban insertion 20

41 Methodology & partnerships Transport modeling External benefits Limits Territory design thinking Infractructure Acceptability Urban insertion 20

42 Methodology & partnerships Transport modeling External benefits Limits Territory design thinking Infractructure Acceptability Urban insertion Technology Prototype Demonstrator 20

43 Methodology & partnerships Transport modeling External benefits Limits Territory design thinking Infractructure Acceptability Urban insertion Technology Prototype Demonstrator Engineering & Mkg 20

44 Methodology & partnerships Transport modeling External benefits Limits Territory design thinking Infractructure Acceptability Urban insertion Engineering & Mkg Operation & Maintenance Technology Prototype Demonstrator 20

45 Methodology & partnerships Transport modeling External benefits Limits Territory design thinking Infractructure Acceptability Urban insertion Engineering & Mkg Operation & Maintenance Technology Prototype Demonstrator Manufacturing 20

46 Methodology & partnerships Transport modeling External benefits Limits Territory design thinking Strategy Business model Fund raising Infractructure Acceptability Urban insertion Engineering & Mkg Operation & Maintenance Technology Prototype Demonstrator Manufacturing 20

47 Methodology & partnerships Transport modeling External benefits Limits Territory design thinking Strategy Business model Fund raising Infractructure Acceptability Urban insertion Finance Operation & Maintenance Technology Prototype Demonstrator Engineering & Mkg Manufacturing 20

48 Methodology & partnerships Sales Transport modeling External benefits Limits Territory design thinking Strategy Business model Fund raising Infractructure Acceptability Urban insertion Finance Operation & Maintenance Technology Prototype Demonstrator Engineering & Mkg Manufacturing 20

49 The Grand Paris Express project Plan : Société du Grand Paris ; images de synthèses de divers cabinets d architectes 21 21

50 Methodology & partnerships 22

51 GPE case Methodology & partnerships 22

52 GPE case Methodology & partnerships Traffic analysis & modeling 22

53 GPE case Methodology & partnerships Traffic analysis & modeling Mechanical analysis & modeling 22

54 GPE case Methodology & partnerships Traffic analysis & modeling Mechanical analysis & modeling Energy analysis & modeling 22

55 Methodology & partnerships GPE case Traffic analysis & modeling Mechanical analysis & modeling Energy analysis & modeling Ambiance analysis & modeling 22

56 Multi-modal modeling Methodology & partnerships GPE case Traffic analysis & modeling Mechanical analysis & modeling Energy analysis & modeling Ambiance analysis & modeling 22

57 Methodology & partnerships GPE case Traffic analysis & modeling Mechanical analysis & modeling Energy analysis & modeling ENSA VT Acceptability study Multi-modal modeling Ambiance analysis & modeling 22

58 Methodology & partnerships GPE case Traffic analysis & modeling Mechanical analysis & modeling ENSA VT Architecture & urbanism study Acceptability study Multi-modal modeling Ambiance analysis & modeling Energy analysis & modeling 22

59 Methodology & partnerships Design Thinking Design GPE case Traffic analysis & modeling Mechanical analysis & modeling ENSA VT Architecture & urbanism study Acceptability study Multi-modal modeling Ambiance analysis & modeling Energy analysis & modeling 22

60 GPE case Methodology & partnerships Business modeling & strategy Design Thinking Design Traffic analysis & modeling Mechanical analysis & modeling ENSA VT Architecture & urbanism study Acceptability study Multi-modal modeling Ambiance analysis & modeling Energy analysis & modeling 22

61 Q & A 23