Seminole Electric proposes $727M natural gas plant In Bad Trade Off, New England Forsakes Natural Gas For Petroleum
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- Rosa Powers
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1 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 8: 8:45 9:3 1:15 11: 11:45 12:3 13:15 14: D E C E M B E R 2 8, Prior Day s NYMEX Jan-18 Contract (CT) NYMEX NG Futures Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan YR Strip YR Strip I N T H E N E W S Seminole Electric proposes $727M natural gas plant The Tampa Bay Times reported: State regulators will hear arguments in March on proposals for two new natural gas power plants in Putnam and Pasco counties that would supply electricity to customers of electric cooperatives throughout Florida. Filings last week with the state Public Service Commission show a two-pronged 1 2 M O N T H C A N D L E S T I C K ( W E E K L Y ) Seminole Electric proposes $727M natural gas plant In Bad Trade Off, New England Forsakes Natural Gas For Petroleum strategy by Tampa-based Seminole Electric Cooperative, Inc., to help meet future power needs. Part of that strategy calls for building a $727 million plant; the cost of the other, smaller facility has not been disclosed. "Based on its continuing evaluation of its member cooperatives electricity needs," Seminole said in the filing, "Seminole projects a need for 91 megawatts of additional generating capacity by the end of 221." Seminole is a nonprofit utility that provides wholesale power to cooperatives throughout the state to 1.6 million customers in Florida. For more visit tampabay.com or click In Bad Trade Off, New England Forsakes Natural Gas For Petroleum Forbes reported: In New England, an overall concern for the environment and safety has actually led to further risks to the environment. New England has been at the forefront of converting its fossil fuel power plants to use cleaner burning natural gas. In fact, the region s electricity generation is over 5% reliant on natural gas. In addition, many New Englanders have gas lines in their homes and use natural gas for heating and cooking. However, natural gas prices in New England are also the most expensive in the nation, because state and local governments have fought to keep out the pipelines needed to transport it into and around the region. Now, a polar vortex has hit the northeast and frigid temperatures are causing demand for natural gas to skyrocket. Natural gas prices in New England tripled in just one day and are currently some of the highest in the nation. For more visit forbes.com or click Prompt Natural Gas (NG) Daily Sentiment BEARISH RESISTANCE 2.78 & 2.84 SUPPORT 2.64 & 2.55 Trading Summary NATURAL GAS Futures Close Change NG Volume 33,698 (141,475) Open Int. 1,481,13 3,176 CRUDE AND GASOLINE Futures Close Change Crude (.33) RBOB Crude/NG (.77) METALS Futures Close Change Gold 1, EQUITIES Exchange Close Change DOW 24, S&P 5 2, CURRENCY Currency Close Change EUR/USD USD/CND 1.26 (.59) Contact Us Mansfield Energy Corp 125 Airport Pkwy Gainesville, GA info@mansfieldoil.com Phone: (8)
2 Month: December 217 Day Price Day Price Average (Dec) (through 12/27/217) Average (Nov) Average (Oct) N A T U R A L G A S B A S I S F U T U R E S, H E N R Y H U B S P O T P R I C E S, A N D F O R W A R D C U R V E Waha Basis (platts Iferc) D E C E M B E R 2 8, CME NG Option Prices ATM Call CME NG Option Prices ATM Put /1/ /1/22 2/1/221 12/1/221 5/1/222 1/1/222 3/1/223 8/1/223 1/1/224 6/1/224 11/1/224 4/1/225 9/1/225 2/1/226 7/1/226 12/1/226 5/1/ Sumas Basis (platts Iferc) -.5 Michcon Basis (platts Iferc) Transco Zone 6 Basis (platts Iferc) Henry Hub Daily Spot Price 4.25 NYMEX Natural Gas Forward Curve DEC 217 NOV 217 OCT San Juan Basis (platts Iferc) Month Strike Close Imp Vol Feb-18 Mar Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Month Strike Close Imp Vol Feb-18 Mar Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Transco Zone 4 Basis (platts Iferc) NYMEX WTI Delivery Month Average ($/bbl) (Excluding Weekends and Holidays) Page 2
3 D E C E M B E R 2 8, W E E K L Y G A S I N U N D E R G R O U N D S T O R A G E W I T H 5 - Y R R A N G E Release Date: December 21, 217 O B S E R V E D S N O W D E P T H Rig Count Report Date: December 22, 217 Total Change US CN - 21 (28) EIA Storage History for 51st Week of Year (Due to Report Dec 21) Year Week Ending BCF 213 Dec 2, 213 (177) 214 Dec 19, 214 (5) 215 Dec 18, 215 (32) 216 Dec 16, 216 (29) ESTIMATE (115) Total Working Gas In Storage 3,444 BCF (182) BCF (LAST WEEK) (183) BCF (LAST YEAR) (84) BCF (5-YR AVG) 2 4 H O U R S N O W F A L L F O R E C A S T U.S. Natural Gas Supply Gas Week 12/14 12/2 Average daily values (BCF/D): Last Year (BCF/d) Dry Production Total Supply Last Week (BCF/d) Dry Production Total Supply +82. [NEXT REPORT ON JAN 4] U.S. Natural Gas Demand Gas Week 12/14-12/2 Average daily values (BCF/D): Last Year (BCF/d) Power Total Demand Last Week (BCF/d) Power Total Demand [NEXT REPORT ON JAN 4] Page 3
4 D E C E M B E R 2 8, W E A T H E R H I G H / L O W T E M P E R A T U R E T O M O R R O W HIGH Temperature LOW Temperature W E A T H E R 6 T O 1 D A Y O U T L O O K N O A A Temperature Precipitation W E A T H E R 8 T O 1 4 D A Y O U T L O O K N O A A Temperature Precipitation Page 4
5 1/1/218 11/1/ /1/218 4/1/218 8/1/218 11/1/ /1/219 1/1/218 11/1/ /1/218 4/1/218 8/1/218 11/1/ /1/219 D E C E M B E R 2 8, E T H A N E F U T U R E S, N G / E T H A N E R A T I O, P R O P A N E F U T U R E S, A N D T H E F R A C S P R E A D Ethane Futures 1.7 Ethane / Natural Gas Ratio CME Future Prices Ethane (C2) Non-LDH Mont Belvieu (cents/gallon) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Propane Futures Frac Spread 1YR Strip.26.1 CME Future Prices Propane (C3) Non-LDH Mont Belvieu (cents/gallon) Jan (.1) Feb (.6) Mar (.4) Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YR Strip Page 5
6 6/1/219 1/1/219 2/1/22 6/1/22 1/1/22 2/1/221 6/1/221 1/1/221 2/1/222 6/1/222 1/1/222 2/1/223 6/1/223 1/1/ /1/219 8/1/22 6/1/ /1/222 9/1/222 2/1/223 7/1/223 12/1/223 5/1/224 1/1/224 3/1/225 8/1/225 1/1/226 6/1/226 6/1/219 1/1/219 2/1/22 6/1/22 1/1/22 2/1/221 6/1/221 1/1/221 2/1/222 6/1/222 1/1/222 2/1/223 6/1/223 1/1/223 2/1/224 6/1/224 1/1/224 D E C E M B E R 2 8, Prompt WTI (CL) Crude Daily Sentiment BULLISH RESISTANCE & SUPPORT & FOLLOW US ON TWITTER: NYMEX Brent (BZ) Feb (.58) Mar (.47) Apr (.44) May (.41) Jun (.4) Jul (.39) Aug (.38) Sep (.38) Oct (.36) Nov (.35) Dec (.33) Jan (.32) Feb (.31) Mar (.31) Apr (.3) May (.3) Jun (.29) Jul (.29) Aug (.28) Sep (.27) Oct (.25) Nov (.24) Dec (.23) Jan (.21) 1YR Strip (.4) (.41) 5YR Strip 6.11 (.14) B R E N T C R U D E F O R W A R D C U R V E W T I C R U D E F O R W A R D C U R V E W T I B R E N T S P R E A D (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (1) FRAC Spread Specifications Ethane : 42% Propane: 28% Butane: 11% 66,5 btu/g 9,83 btu/g 12,916 btu/g Iso-Butane: 6% 98,935 btu/g Natural Gasoline: 13% 115,21 btu/g Prompt NGL Futures ($/gallon) Jan-18 Butane Iso-Butane Nat Gasoline Close Change 1.31 (.4) NYMEX WTI (CL) Futures Feb (.33) Mar (.31) Apr (.3) May (.26) Jun (.24) Jul (.22) Aug (.19) Sep (.17) Oct (.15) Nov (.15) Dec (.13) Jan (.1) Feb (.8) Mar (.8) Apr (.4) May (.3) Jun (.4) Jul (.3) Aug (.2) Sep (.1) Oct Nov Dec Jan (.1) 1YR Strip (.21) (.22) 5YR Strip Page 6
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