3 rd LNG SUPPLY, STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION PHILLIPINES FORUM 2016 SMX AURA, MANILA

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1 3 rd LNG SUPPLY, STORAGE AND TRANSPORTATION PHILLIPINES FORUM 2016 SMX AURA, MANILA Growing the market for LNG to Power (L2P) Projects through the Conversion of Existing LNG Carriers Nor Aslam Khan Director newgas Pte. Ltd.

2 LNG is enabling gas to become the fuel of choice for power generation Gas market share of primary energy has been increasing steadily. Power is the main driver for total primary energy consumption. LNG has become the preferred gas transportation technology in global consumption. Shares of Primary Energy * Includes Biofuels Inputs to power as a share of total primary energy Shares of global gas consumption BP Energy Outlook

3 Growth in LNG regas projects in ASEAN fueled by development of new gas power plants A no of mini gas power plant projects to be fueled by LNG LNG Regasification Projects linked to Power markets/customers LNG Supply - Liquefaction Plants Existing LNG Regas Terminal - reloads LNG Supply from Qatar/ME LNG Supply from Australia and Papua New Guinea 3

4 Powering with LNG via pipelines is well established Buyer s Market Abundance Oversupplied Oversupplied Buyer s Market Upstream Gas Supply Liquefaction Standard Sized Shipping Regasification Asia Pacific has 75% of demand market share LNG - 11% of all gas use USA Annual Proved Reserves ( ) Source : The Economist Source : Forbes (EIA, JTC) Source : SSY 4

5 Direct LNG to Power (L2P) is emerging rapidly OPERATING April 2016 STARTING SOON October 2016 COMING UP Bali 200 MW Malta 200 MW Malaysia 300 MW Pesanggaran Peaker PP Delimara CCGT PP and LNG Regas Indonesia 1,000 MW FRU + 26,000m 3 FSU with Port Quayside Mooring Construction of new Jetty Bangladesh 3,000 MW 50 MMSCFD Floating Regas Unit (FRU) 125,000m 3 Floating Storage Unit (FSU) Indonesia 3,000 MW 5

6 Where are the bottlenecks for growth in small scale L2P? Pre Post 2010 Multi Carriers 24 Month Delivery LNG Carrier Chinese LNGC 1-2 Nos - < 20,000 m 3 6 Nos 10,000 12,000 m Nos 6,000 30,000 m 3 5 Nos 14,000-30,000 m 3 Controlled by 1 company Controlled by 1 company. Available for niche usage such as cool-down, short term charter, etc. 1 company dedicated to LNG. Ready designs and firm price from shipyards. Controlled by 3 companies for inland transportation. Available for 1 to 2 year charter. Main bottleneck for small scale L2P is in Logistics availability of ships, right size, price. Challenges related to new entrants in L2P projects are, Procurement Strategy for shipping and FSRU is rigid does not allow to mix and match between EPCC (direct purchase) and Time Charter. Insufficient company size for L2P projects procurement on long term LNG contract to fuel power plant is a challenge. Right sized parcels allow project cashflow optimization. Where to start and how to develop the project - lacking information, knowledge and expertise in LNG. 2 Nos 45,000 m 3 1 company. Possibly targeting private Chinese inland market. 6

7 Enabling L2P projects in a cost effective and fast track basis STRATEGY CHECKLIST main objective is to lower cost/risk, optimize cashflow, whilst meeting schedule requirements Compatibility with Standard Sized LNG take advantage of the LNG Product and Shipping oversupply in the current market of standard sized LNG Chain. L2P solution should be compatible with existing, standard sized LNGC infrastructure. Right Project Size - Develop projects of the right size that is not too big/small to avoid disconnect with standard sized infrastructure. Easy Location - Important to ensure low CAPEX cost for mooring and gas infrastructure and OPEX. Location with at least 7.0m water depth in benign condition is best for small scale LNG Carriers. Lowering Contract Risk start by utilizing FSRU with ship classification (self propel) or FRU/FSU approach. Overcoming LNG logistics challenges, Utilise existing small scale LNGC, if available, either as long term solution or as interim gap filler. Approx months required to build new small scale LNGC. Hub and Spoke approach to optimize logistics. Cost overruns occur mainly due to poor project definition LNG Floating Storage Hub & Regasification Unit (FSHRU) 7

8 Example of sustainable L2P project overcome tight schedule, yet allow for growth 1 st Phase start project LNG FSHRT utilized to store and regas LNG to fuel power plant - < 15 months Gas Fuel LNG Shuttle Tanker standard LNG Carrier Compatible for Ship-to-Ship (STS) transfer to deliver partial LNG cargo 2 nd Phase maintain and grow LNG FSHRT utilized for trans-shipment of LNG cargo for other terminals Gas Fuel Small Scale LNGC Either build new or charter-in if available LNG FSU Utilise existing LNGC as interim until new FSU is delivered Gas Fuel Newbuilding FRU Can be delivered in 12 to 15 months 8

9 Nearshore regas concepts ensure efficiency and allow competitive procurement strategy Small to Medium Scale LNG Regasification capacity required. As an example, a 300 MW gas power plant only requires 60 MMSCFD of gas < 0.5 MPTA of LNG. This is only 5 to 10% of the size of current standard Floating Storage and Regasification Units (FSRU) in the market. For a 300 MW Gas Power Plant in ASEAN, a minimum storage capacity of 20,000 to 40,000 m 3 is sufficient vs standard FSRU size of 125,000 to 170,000 m 3. Logistically, there are a number of loading/supply LNG Plants within range of markets in South China Sea and the Andaman Sea. Project EPCIC schedule for a small scale floating LNG regasification terminal is 14 to 22 months from Final Investment Decision (FID). This allows the commissioning and start-up of gas power plants in 16 to 24 months. A combination of a newbuilding Floating Regasification Unit (FRU) (with a send-out capacity of 10 to 200 MMSCFD) and standard sized LNGC as an FSU allows flexible utlilisation. Design of FRU should cater to ensuring a short to medium term charter of the FSU to maintain competitive rates and substitution if required. Existing LNGC Converted to FSU 125,000 to 145,000 m 3 storage capacity Minimum conversion Newbuilding Floating Regasification Unit - 10 to 200 MMSCFD gas sendout - Delivery in 12 to 15 months LNG Floating Regasification Unit (FRU) + FSU Design 9

10 How can we help you? Competitive Concepts and Solutions Fit for Purpose Project Definition Hit the ground running Decision Making Facilitation Focus on what matters LNG Shipping Tie down the logistics Leverage Partners Turnkey EPCC, Shipyards, O&M Services THANK YOU END

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