German-African Energy Forum 2012
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1 German-African Energy Forum 2012 Kirsten Offermanns Senior Project Manager Subdevision Energy and Environment KfW Entwicklungsbank Dr. Fritjof Börstler Senior Project Manager Bundesanstalt für Geowissenschaften und Rohstoffe
2 Contents 1 Geothermal Energy/ Potential in East Africa Slide 1 2 Geothermal Risk Mitigation Facility Slide 3 3 Policy, legal and institutional framework Slide 6
3 Geothermal Energy An Overview The Energy, which is contained in the upper 3 km of the earth s crust, could cover the world-wide energy demand for the next years. Adapted from GEO Geothermal Education Office 2001
4 Geothermal Energy/Potential in East Africa Energy-Mix Hydropower Gas & Thermal Geothermal Co-generation
5 Geothermal specific investment barriers Up to 15 million EUR for a set of 2 exploration wells Risk of failure about 30% internationally in Eastern Africa maybe even higher Geothermal specific investment barriers: High upfront capital costs, much equity needed Limited availability of human/technical resources Limited information and coordination Our Experience Kenya: (Co)- Financing of Olkaria I-IV Indonesia: Financing of Exploration wells at Seulawah Agam Chile: Geothermal Exploration Programme
6 Geothermal Risk Mitigation Facility Objective: To encourage public & private investors to mobilize financing for development of geothermal power plants in East Africa Instruments Direct grants for drilling programmes Grant premium for successfull wells Regional geothermal database 80 % of: surface exploration costs & preparatory studies 40 % of Drilling cost 20% of costs for infrastructure 30 % of the Drilling costs if developers ensure financing of subsequent development steps within a certain period of time To reduce risks of future wells
7 Geothermal Risk Mitigation Facility The Design 20 Mio. Grants for exploration drillings 30 Mio. Geothermal Risk Mitigation Facility 30 % Success Premium Private/ Public Investor Regional Information EU- ITF Regional Geothermal Coordination Unit (RGCU) Information and Coordination of Developers, Donors etc. Evaluation of Geothermal Projects (especially for GRMF)
8 Policy, legal and institutional framework Resource Exploration Site Inventory Surface exploration Geological surveys Resource Assessment Exploration drilling Appraisal drilling Feasibility study Drilling / Well field Development Production drilling Steam gathering network Power Plant Development Power plant transmission Operations Sales Marketing Examples (Installed capacity by 2010) National Utility National Utility National Utility Several national and local government entities Costa Rica (165 MW), Mexico (958 MW), Italy (842 MW), El Salvador (204 MW), Portugal (28 MW) Slow development because of access to finance and capacity. Philippines (1,902 MW), New Zealand (650 MW), Mobilization France (17 of MW), grants Ethiopia /concessional (7MW), Turkey loans (94 MW) required in order to reduce high up-front costs and high Iceland risk (573 of MW) resources. Public entitie (s) National utility, IPPs Private Costa sector Rica (165 investment MW), Philippines can push (1,902 MW), Kenya (200 MW) development of the industry by diversifying financing options but not easy to get private Public entitie (s) IPPs sector Turkey investment (94 MW), before Guatemala resources (49 MW) are assessed (cf. Longonot, Suswa) PPP IPPs Public Japan Intervention (535 MW), US crucial (3,074 to MW), reduce Australia risks for private (0.1 investor MW) and accessibility (KEY: national strategy for GT,,one-stop-shop, Gov National utilities / Local governments / IPPs fiscal US incentives (3,074 MW), and NZ (650 drilling MW), risk Nicaragua insurance (87 MW) scheme) Russia (81 MW) Entry of investment has a direct impact on IPPs tariffs Indonesia (1,197 MW) 8 Source: AfD (2011), Geothermex (2010), KPMG (2010)
9 Policy, legal and institutional framework Ownership Definition Policy/Geot hermal Act? National Geothermal authority Licensing Geotherma l Act Regulators Income tax Royalities Feed-intariffs (1) GRMF (2) PPA, BOT BOO, JOC Political Will Institutional Set-up Resource Access Sectoral incentives Risk Mitigation (1)Exploration (2)Exploitation Institutional and Regulatory framework
10
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