SAMPLE. Reference Code: GDAE6214IDB. Publication Date: September GDAE6214IDB / Published SEP 2012

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1 Solar PV in Spain, Market Outlook to Capacity, Generation, Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE), Investment Trends, Regulations and Reference Code: GDAE6214IDB Publication Date: September 2012 GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (1)

2 Table Of Contents 1 Table of Contents 1 Table of Contents List of Tables List of Figures 7 2 Executive Summary Global Carbon Emissions Continue to Increase in after a Slight Dip in Global Power Market Increasing Focus on Clean Technologies Government Support will continue to Foster the Growth of Global Renewable Power Market Global Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Market Will Sustain its Growth Momentum Spain is the Fifth Largest Electricity Producer in Europe Spain Renewable Power Market Wind Power to Remain a Dominant Renewable Source during Policy Uncertainty and Suspension of Feed-in Tariffs (FITs) are the Key Restraining Factors for PV Installations during Introduction Carbon Emissions, Global, Primary Energy Consumption, Global, Report Guidance 17 4 Renewable Power Market, Global, Renewable Power Market, Global, Overview Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation, GWh, Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, Renewable Power Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, Renewable Power Market, Global, Comparison among Power Sources 26 GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (2)

3 Table Of Contents 5 Solar PV Market, Global, Solar PV Market, Global, Overview Solar PV Market, Global, Installed Capacity, MW, Solar PV Market, Global, Power Generation, GWh, Solar PV Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Growth by Region, MW, Solar PV Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Country, %, Solar PV Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions in Major Countries, MW, Solar PV Market, Global, Comparison between Key Countries Solar PV Market, Global, Investment Trends, $m, Solar PV Market, Global, Cost Analysis Solar PV Market, Global, Cost Break-up of a Grid Connected PV System, Solar PV Market, Global, Cost Break-up of an Off-grid PV System, Solar PV Market, Global, LCOE in Major Countries, $/kwh, Solar PV Market, Global, Trade Flow Analysis of PV Modules Solar PV Market, Global, Major Debt Providers, Power Market, Spain, Power Market, Spain, Overview Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, MW, Power Market, Spain, Power Generation by Fuel Type, GWh, Power Market, Spain, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, Power Market, Spain, Comparison of Fuel Types, Renewable Power Market, Spain, Renewable Power Market, Spain, Overview Renewable Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (3)

4 Table Of Contents 7.3 Renewable Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, 2011 and Renewable Power Market, Spain, Power Generation, GWh, Renewable Power Market, Spain, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, Renewable Power Market, Spain, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources Renewable Power Market, Spain, LCOE Comparison, $/kwh, Solar PV Market, Spain, Solar PV Market, Spain, Overview Solar PV Market, Spain, Installed Capacity, MW, Solar PV Market, Spain, Power Generation, GWh, Solar PV Market, Spain, Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, %, Solar PV Market, Spain, Investment Trends, Solar PV Market, Spain, Export and Import of Modules, Solar PV Market, Spain, Carbon Savings, Tons, Solar PV Market, Spain, Average Number of Homes Powered, Solar PV Market, Spain, LCOE, $/kwh, Solar PV Market, Spain, Deal Analysis Solar PV Market, Spain, Deal Value vs. Deal Volume, Solar PV Market, Spain, Split by Deal Type, %, Solar PV Market, Spain, Asset Finance Deals, Spain vs. Global, Solar PV Market, Spain, Asset Finance Deals, Comparison Among Various Renewable Energy Sources, Renewable Energy Policy Framework, Spain Financial Incentives and Policy Support for Renewable Energy Sources, Spain, Major Policies Feed-in Tariffs and Premium Tariffs for Renewable Power Spain, Renewable Energy Targets 85 GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (4)

5 Table Of Contents Special Regime for the Production of Electricity from Renewable Energy Sources (Royal Decree 661/2007) Financing for Renewables and Efficiency Financial Incentives and Policy Support for Solar PV, Spain, Major Policies New Tariff Regulation for the Production of Photovoltaic Electrical Energy (Royal Decree 1565/2010) Building Codes for Solar R&D Initiatives for Solar PV Solar PV Market, Spain, Company Snapshot: aleo solar AG aleo solar AG, Company Overview aleo solar AG, Business Overview aleo solar AG, Key Financial Performance aleo solar AG, SWOT Analysis aleo solar AG, Locations and Subsidiaries Company Snapshot: ATERSA ATERSA, Company Overview ATERSA, Business Overview ATERSA, Major Products and Services ATERSA, Locations and Subsidiaries Company Snapshot: GRUPO T-SOLAR GLOBAL, S.A GRUPO T-SOLAR GLOBAL, S.A., Company Overview GRUPO T-SOLAR GLOBAL, S.A., Business Overview GRUPO T-SOLAR GLOBAL, S.A., Major Products and Services GRUPO T-SOLAR GLOBAL, S.A., Locations and Subsidiaries Company Snapshot: Fotowatio Renewable Ventures Fotowatio Renewable Ventures, Company Overview Fotowatio Renewable Ventures, Business Overview Fotowatio Renewable Ventures, Major Products and Services Fotowatio Renewable Ventures, Locations and Subsidiaries Appendix Abbreviations Market Definitions Methodology Secondary Research Primary Research Modeling and Forecasting 106 GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (5)

6 Table Of Contents Market Estimates and Assumptions Disclaimer List of Tables Table 1: Carbon Emissions, Global, MMT, Table 2: Primary Energy Consumption, Global, Mtoe, Table 3: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, MW, Table 4: Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation by Fuel Type, GWh, Table 5: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, Table 6: Renewable Power Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, Table 7: Renewable Power Market, Global, Comparison among Power Sources Table 8: Solar PV Market, Global, Installed Capacity, MW, Table 9: Solar PV Market, Global, Power Generation, GWh, Table 10: Solar PV Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Country, %, Table 11: Solar PV Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions in Major Countries, MW, Table 12: Solar PV Market, Global, New Investment, $m, Table 13: Solar PV Market, Global, Cost Break-up of a Grid Connected PV System, %, Table 14: Solar PV Market, Global, Cost Break-up of an Off-grid PV System, %, Table 15: Solar PV Market, Global, LCOE in Major Countries, $/kwh, Table 16: Solar PV Market, Global, Import and Export of Modules, $m, Table 17: Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, Table 18: Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, MW, Table 19: Power Market, Spain, Power Generation by Fuel Type, GWh, Table 20: Power Market, Spain, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, Table 21: Power Market, Spain, Comparison Between Power Sources, Table 22: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, Table 23: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, 2011 and Table 24: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Power Generation by Source Type, GWh, Table 25: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, Table 26: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources, Table 27: Solar PV Market, Spain, Installed Capacity, MW, Table 28: Solar PV Market, Spain, Power Generation, GWh, Table 29: Solar PV Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, MW, Table 30: Solar PV Market, Spain, Annual Additions Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, MW, Table 31: Solar PV Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, %, Table 32: Solar PV Market, Spain, Annual Additions Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, %, Table 33: Solar PV Market, Spain, Investment Trends, Table 34: Solar PV Market, Spain, Export and Import of Modules, $m, Table 35: Solar PV Market, Spain, Carbon Savings, 000 Tons, Table 36: Solar PV Market, Spain, Homes Powered, 000, GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (6)

7 Table Of Contents Table 37: Solar PV Market, Spain, Assumptions for LCOE Calculation Table 38: Solar PV Market, Spain, LCOE, $/kwh, Table 39: Solar PV Market, Spain, Deal Value Vs. Deal Volume, Table 40: Solar PV Market, Spain, Split by Deal Type, %, Table 41: Solar PV Market, Spain, Asset Finance Deals, Spain vs. Global, Table 42: Solar PV Market, Spain, Asset Finance Deals, Comparison Among Various Renewable Energy Sources, Table 43: aleo solar AG., SWOT Analysis Table 44: aleo solar AG, Other Locations and Subsidiaries Table 45: ATERSA, Major Products and Services Table 46: ATERSA, Other Locations and Subsidiaries Table 47: GRUPO T-SOLAR GLOBAL, S.A., Major Products and Services Table 48: GRUPO T-SOLAR GLOBAL, S.A., Other Locations and Subsidiaries Table 49: Fotowatio Renewable Ventures, Major Products and Services Table 50: Fotowatio Renewable Ventures, Subsidiaries Table 51: Abbreviations Table 52: LCOE Calculation, Discount Rates by Technology List of Figures Figure 1: Solar PV Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, Figure 2: Solar PV Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, Figure 3: Carbon Emissions, Global, MMT, Figure 4: Primary Energy Consumption, Global, Mtoe, Figure 5: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type MW, Figure 6: Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation by Fuel Type, GWh, Figure 7: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, Figure 8: Renewable Power Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, Figure 9: Renewable Power Market, Global, Comparison among Power Sources Figure 10: Solar PV Market, Global, Installed Capacity, MW, Figure 11: Solar PV Market, Global, Power Generation, GWh, Figure 12: Solar PV Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Growth by Region, MW, Figure 13: Solar PV Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Country, %, Figure 14: Solar PV Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions in Major Countries, MW, Figure 15: Solar PV Market, Global, Comparison Between Key Countries Figure 16: Solar PV Power Market, Global, New Investment, $m, Figure 17: Solar PV Market, Global, Cost Break-up of a Grid Connected PV System, %, Figure 18: Solar PV Market, Global, Cost Break-up of an Off-grid PV System, %, Figure 19: Solar PV Market, Global, LCOE in Major Countries, $/kwh, Figure 20: Solar PV Market, Global, Import and Export of Modules, $m, Figure 21: Solar PV Market, Global, Trade Flow of Modules, Figure 22: Solar PV Market, Global, Major Debt Providers, Figure 23: Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (7)

8 Table Of Contents Figure 24: Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, MW, Figure 25: Power Market, Spain, Power Generation by Fuel Type, GWh, Figure 26: Power Market, Spain, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, Figure 27: Power Market, Spain, Comparison Between Power Sources, Figure 28: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, Figure 29: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, MW, 2011 and Figure 30: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Power Generation by Source Type, GWh, Figure 31: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, Figure 32: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources, Figure 33: Renewable Power Market, Spain, LCOE Comparison, $/kwh, Figure 34: Solar PV Market, Spain, Installed Capacity, MW, Figure 35: Solar PV Market, Spain, Power Generation, GWh, Figure 36: Solar PV Market, India, Cumulative Installed Capacity Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, MW, Figure 37: Solar PV Market, Spain, Annual Additions Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, MW, Figure 38: Solar PV Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, %, Figure 39: Solar PV Market, Spain, Annual Additions Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, %, Figure 40: Solar PV Market, Spain, Investment Trends, Figure 41: Solar PV Market, Spain, Export and Import of Modules, $m, Figure 42: Solar PV Market, Spain, Carbon Savings, 000 Tons, Figure 43: Solar PV Market, Spain, Homes Powered, 000, Figure 44: Solar PV Market, Spain, LCOE, $/kwh, Figure 45: Solar PV Market, Spain, Deal Value Vs. Deal Volume, Figure 46: Solar PV Market, Spain, Split by Deal Type, %, Figure 47: Solar PV Market, Spain, Asset Finance Deals, Spain vs. Global, Figure 48: Solar PV Market, Spain, Asset Finance Deals, Comparison Among Various Renewable Energy Sources, Figure 49: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Impact Analysis of Various Policies, Figure 50: Renewable Power Market, Spain, Policy Impact on Applicable Renewable Power Sources Figure 51: Solar Power, Spain, New Installed Capacity, MW, Figure 52: Solar PV Market, Spain, Presence of Companies Across Solar PV Value Chain Figure 53: aleo solar AG, Key Financial Performance GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (8)

9 Solar PV in Spain 8 Solar PV Market, Spain, Solar PV Market, Spain, Overview 8.2 Solar PV Market, Spain, Installed Capacity, MW, Figure 34: Solar PV Market, Spain, Installed Capacity, MW, Source: GlobalData, Alternative Energy etrack [Accessed Date: July 9, 2012] GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (60)

10 Solar PV in Spain Table 27: Solar PV Market, Spain, Installed Capacity, MW, Year Annual Additions (MW) Cumulative Capacity (MW Year-on-Year Growth (%) Source: GlobalData, Alternative Energy etrack [Accessed Date: July 9, 2012] GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (61)

11 Solar PV in Spain 8.3 Solar PV Market, Spain, Power Generation, GWh, Figure 35: Solar PV Market, Spain, Power Generation, GWh, Source: GlobalData, Alternative Energy etrack [Accessed Date: July 9, 2012] GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (62)

12 Solar PV in Spain Table 28: Solar PV Market, Spain, Power Generation, GWh, Year Power Generation (GWh) Source: GlobalData, Alternative Energy etrack [Accessed Date: July 9, 2012] GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (63)

13 Solar PV in Spain 8.4 Solar PV Market, Spain, Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, %, Figure 36: Solar PV Market, India, Cumulative Installed Capacity Segmentation by On-grid and Off-grid, MW, Source: GlobalData, Alternative Energy etrack [Accessed Date: July 9, 2012] GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (64)

14 Solar PV in Spain Table 29: Solar PV Market, Spain, Cumulative Installed Capacity Segmentation by Ongrid and Off-grid, MW, Year On-grid Installation (MW) Off-grid Installation (MW) Source: GlobalData, Alternative Energy etrack [Accessed Date: July 9, 2012] GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (65)

15 Appendix 12 Appendix 12.1 Abbreviations Table 51: Abbreviations Acronym Expanded Form $ US Dollar a-si CAGR CHP CIEMAT C-Si CSP FIT GW GWh ICO IDAE IES kt ktoe kw kw kwh kwh LCOE m mt mt MW MW PV UK US YOY Source: GlobalData 12.2 Market Definitions Amorphous Silicon Compound Annual Growth rate Combined Heat and Power Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas, Medioambientales y Tecnológicas Crystalline Silicon Concentrated Solar Power Feed in Tariff Gigawatt Gigawatt Hour Official Credit Institute (ICO) Institute for Diversification and Energy Saving Institute of Solar Energy kilo tons thousand tons of oil equivalent Kilowatt Kilowatt Kilowatt hour Kilowatt Hour Levelized Cost of Energy Million Million Tons million tons Megawatt Megawatt Photo Voltaics Historic Period: United Kingdom United States Year on Year Forecast Period: Global Solar PV Market includes North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South and Central America, Middle East and Africa and Others. North America Solar PV Market includes The US and Canada. GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (104)

16 Appendix Europe Solar PV Market includes Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine and the UK. Asia-Pacific Solar PV Market includes Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines, Republic of Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. South and Central America Solar PV Market includes Argentina, Brazil and Chile. Middle East and Africa Solar PV Market includes Israel, Morocco and South Africa. Others include Rest of Europe, Rest of Asia-Pacific, Rest of South and Central America, Rest of Middle East and Africa. Power Market includes Thermal Conventional (Coal, Gas and Oil), Nuclear, Large Hydro & Pump Storage and Renewables. Renewable Power Market: Wind (Onshore and Offshore), Solar PV, CSP, Biomass, Biogas, Geothermal and Small Hydro. Small Hydro: Classification of small hydro power is as follows Project size of <= 30 MW is considered as small hydro in countries such as Brazil, Japan, Mexico, Venezuela, and the US. Project size of <= 50 MW is considered as small hydro in countries such as Canada and China. Project size of <= 25 MW is considered as small hydro in India. Project size of <= 10 MW is considered as small hydro in European countries. Import and Export: The data for wind turbines is sourced from UN Comtrade through HS code The data for solar modules is sourced from UN Comtrade through HS code Methodology GlobalData s dedicated research and analysis teams consist of experienced professionals with a pedigree in marketing and market research, a background in consulting, and advanced statistical expertise in the energy industry. GlobalData s research methodology for the wind towers report mainly consists of primary and secondary research Secondary Research The research process begins with exhaustive secondary research on internal and external sources being carried out to source qualitative and quantitative information relating to each market. The secondary research sources that are typically referred to include, but are not limited to: Company websites, annual reports, financial reports, whitepapers, news and press releases. Industry trade journals, magazines and other literature. Industry associations, energy agencies and other government bodies. GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (105)

17 Appendix Internal proprietary databases such as our alternative energy etrack and power etrack Primary Research GlobalData conducts extensive primary interviews with industry participants and commentators in order to validate its data and analysis. A typical research interview fulfills the following functions: To get the interviewee s perspective on installed capacities, capacity utilization rates, market share, market trends, growth trends, and future outlook Helps in validating and strengthening the secondary research findings Further develops the analysis team s expertise and market understanding Primary research involves interactions, telephonic interviews as well as face-to-face interviews for each market, category, segment and sub-segment across geographies. Primary respondents include key representatives of companies across the industry value chain Modeling and Forecasting To forecast installed capacity and generation, we use in-house models to forecast the data. Historic data and the analysis of trends within it form the basis of all forecasting methodology. Various qualitative and quantitative factors are usually taken into account for estimating future growth. The forecast data is validated through industry experts across the value chain Market Estimates and Assumptions The following are the datapoints that are estimated or sourced through primary and secondary research LCOE Calculation Capital Cost The capital costs of various technologies have been collected from secondary sources, such as energy agencies and asset finance deals from the internal databases (alternative energy etrack; power etrack). Capital costs have been forecasted based on the opinions obtained from industry experts and used to calculate base-case LCOE. Capacity Factor Capacity factor for a technology has been estimated from installed capacity and generation of a technology in the country. Capacity forecasts have been done based on opinions obtained from industry experts. Thus obtained, the capacity factor is used to calculate base-case LCOE. Discount Rate The discount rate is based on technological risk factors. Table 52: Technology LCOE Calculation, Discount Rates by Technology Discount Low LCOE Case Discount Base LCOE Case Discount High LCOE Case Wind 5% 6.5% 8% Solar PV 5% 6.5% 8% Biomass 5% 6% 7% Small Hydro 5% 6% 7% Source: GlobalData GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (106)

18 Appendix Fuel Cost Information on fuel cost for biomass power is sourced from industry associations and government agencies. Biopellets is considered as feedstock to calculate fuel cost for biomass power LCOE calculations. Data has been collected for the last 20 years and forecasted through to 2025 based on the trends observed in historic data. O&M Cost O&M cost has been taken as percentage of capital cost. The percentage taken Investments depends on the technology. Life Period of Power Plants Generally accepted life span of a power plant in the industry has been considered for calculating LCOE for all technologies. Investments are calculated on the basis of annual capacity additions in each year and capital cost Carbon Savings and Number of Homes Powered Carbon savings (in million tons or in thousand tons) and number of homes powered is calculated for each renewable power source on the basis of project level information available for active and upcoming plants in the assets database of alternative energy etrack or industry associations or trade publications Disclaimer All Rights Reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publisher, GlobalData. GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be photocopied Page (107)

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