REGULATORY FRAMEWORK FOR ELECTRICITY IN EGYPT WITH EMPHASIS ON WIND ENERGY

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1 REGULATORY FRAMEWORK FOR ELECTRICITY IN EGYPT WITH EMPHASIS ON WIND ENERGY 23 March 2010 Mohamed Salah Elsobki (Jr.) Professor & Director Energy Research Center Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University Egypt

2 REGULATORY FRAMEWORK FOR ELECTRICITY IN EGYPT WITH EMPHASIS ON WIND ENERGY Current, future demand and energy resources in Egypt Renewable energies and its current implementation programs in Egypt. Current and expected future legislation regarding renewable energy in Egypt

3 REGULATORY FRAMEWORK FOR ELECTRICITY IN EGYPT WITH EMPHASIS ON WIND ENERGY Current, future demand and energy resources in Egypt Renewable energies and its current implementation programs in Egypt. Current and expected future legislation regarding renewable energy in Egypt

4 Expected / Targeted Future Energy Status up 2022 (conservative) Million toe Reduce energy consumption by 8,3% at 2022 Nuclear up MW (6% at 2022) Renewable - current 3000 MW and target MW (9% at 2022) Retain Oil and NG levels of production (a total of 40% at 2022) Additional energy needed to get from else where (solar & others) (37%) 2006/ / / / / / / / / / / / / / / /22 Fuel productes N.G. Hydro Wind Fuel Fuel Fuel productes Fuel productes Fuel productes Fuel N.G. productes N.G. Hydro N.G. N.G. Hydro Wind Demand Hydro N.G. Nuclear WindHydro Demand Wind Nuclear Demand Demand Demand with Demand Energy Eff. Nuclear Demand Demand with Energy Eff. Energy gap

5 Future Energy Vision for Egypt A national energy target was declared by the end of 2007; and approved by the supreme council of energy stating : Diversity of energy resources Confirming the continuation of activities towards liberalization of energy markets Setting targets for the energy mix; including renewable, energy efficiency and nuclear Development & Energy

6 Million KWH Production and consumption of electricity ( ) Electricity needs increased by around 7% (higher than development) / Residential Total Industry Public utilities + Lighting Comm Government Agriculture total demand TOTAL Slide 6 46 M.S.Elsobki (jr)

7 Evaluation of Generation Capacity and Demand ( ) Mega Watt Generation to distribution capacity is about 50% / / / / / / / / / / / /06 PEAK LOAD (MW) Installed capacity PEAK LOAD (MW) Installed capacity Slide 7 46 M.S.Elsobki (jr)

8 REGULATORY FRAMEWORK FOR ELECTRICITY IN EGYPT WITH EMPHASIS ON WIND ENERGY Current, future demand and energy resources in Egypt Renewable energies and its current implementation programs in Egypt. Current and expected future legislation regarding renewable energy in Egypt

9 Solar Atlas The Solar Atlas was issued, indicating that Egypt is gifted with high intensity of direct solar radiation ranging between kwh/m2/year from North to South. The sun shine duration ranges between 9-11 h/day from North to South, with very few cloudy days.

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13 GENERATED ELECTRICITY AROUND 950 MILLION kwh FUEL SAVINGS OVER TOE EMISSION REDUCTIONS OVER TON OF

14 Wind Energy in Egypt 4 November

15 GOVERNMENT COMMITMENT FOR RE & WIND ENERGY PROJECTS ADDITIONAL PROJECTS WILL CONTINUE

16 2011 \ \ \ / / / / / / / / \2009 MW Renewable Energy Authority 33 % Private sector with total share about 66 % / /2011 Year 2011/ / / / / / / / / /2021

17 REGULATORY FRAMEWORK FOR ELECTRICITY IN EGYPT WITH EMPHASIS ON WIND ENERGY Current, future demand and energy resources in Egypt Renewable energies and its current implementation programs in Egypt. Current and expected future legislation regarding renewable energy in Egypt

18 National policy/legislative framework that has been put in place to support the development of the renewable energies market.

19 Implementation Plan for Renewable Energies The proposed polices consists of two phases Phase 1: Competitive Bids (started with a wind farm) According to this approach the grid issue tenders requesting supplying power from renewable energies resources This is done within the following criteria: Coordinate RE capacities w.r.t. transmission and market capacities. Increase local manufacturing Increase private investment Achieving the lowest possible prices. Attracting FDI and provide the investors with guarantees through long term PPAs

20 Competitive Bidding 2500 MW to be executed by private sector through long term PPAs with the grid The 2500 MW will be issued in blocks each 250 MW The program includes 5 bids each consists of more than one block except the first one which will be restricted to one block. Attract highly qualified international developer with strong financial status and high capacity for technology transfer. Promotion of local manufacturing where bid evaluation will be based on points system which offers advantages for proposal having higher share of locally manufacture components (technology Transfer).

21 Competitive Bidding The bidding process consists of two parts Part1: Pre-Qualifications based on experience and financial status (1-Year Period) Wind measurements Bird Migrations & environmental impact assessment Soil testing Part2: Short listed bidders submit proposals to construct, own and operate the wind plant By the year 2017 the last tender for achieving the targeted energy by the year 2020

22 Measures Adopted for Renewable Energies in the proposed New Electricity Law (Contd.) Phase 2 (after the adoption of the New Electricity Law) Feed in Tariff will work in parallel with the competitive bids mechanism. International experience has showed that feed in tariff is more attractive for smaller investors like farmers, cooperatives and private investors. To prevent intersection between the two mechanisms competitive bid will be for large size installations (250 MW wind farm), while feed in tariff will be restricted from small capacities (less than 50 MW installations).

23 Feed in Tariff Goal is to reach another 2500 MW Support medium and small developer Projects with capacities of 50MW and less Tariff will be set for 15 years taking into consideration the wind speed, and capacity Request for technical support

24 Renewable Energy Development Business Models Item NAREA Competitive Bidding Feed-In-Tariff Program size 2200 MW 2500 MW 2500 MW Single Wind Farm Size Large ( MW) Large ten Modules each (250 MW) Medium and Small below 50 MW Developer NAREA Private (most probably international) Private (focus on local and small and medium size developers) finances Governmental and soft financing from international development agencies Commercial finance Commercial finance Tariff Setting Proposed by Egypt era and approved by the cabinet of ministers According to the bid outcome proposed by Egypt era and approved by cabinet of ministers Contracting 20 years Long term PPA mostly for 20 years years Off taker Grid Grid or distribution system O/M NAREA Developer Developer Construction Responsibility NAREA through EPC Developer Developer

25 Renewable Energy Fund Establishment of RE fund: The fund could cover: Full/partial deficit between the RE cost and market prices Exchange rate risk in case of transferring cost full or partially to consumers. Guarantee of the transmission company payments Financial support to pilot projects. Research and development for RET.

26 Renewable Energy Fund Establishment of RE fund: The main sources of finance of the fund will include: Subsidy currently given to the fossil fuels used in power generation. State Budget. Donations Investment of the fund money

27 Support of Egyptian Government Central Bank of Egypt will guarantee all financial obligations of EETC under the PAA. Signing long term PPA (20-25) years. Reduction of custom duties from 5% TO 2% for all renewable energy equipment and spare parts. An area of about km2 has already allocated for establishing W.E. projects (law 168 year 2009) Signing usufruct agreement. All permits for land allocation are already obtained. The project will benefit from carbon credit. Preliminary EIA including Bird migration study will be prepared by NREA in cooperation with international consultant and financed by KfW. A general Authority for Investment GAFI provides assistance to all investors through one window operation for obtaining all permits and licenses. The project company shall get license for power generation from Egyptian Electricity Regulatory Agency.

28 EGYPT S WELL LOCATED GEOGRAPHICAL EU Agreement No customs imposed on some RE Egyptian industries exports from Egypt to Europe, whereas European imports into Egypt are subject to tariffs (limited) LOCATION Industry Regulations Arab Free Trade Agreement Egypt s RE industries COMESA Agreement No customs imposed on RE Egyptian industries exports from Egypt to all African member countries, whereas Arab and European competitors do not enjoy this privilege No customs imposed on RE Egyptian industries exports from Egypt to all Arab countries Egyptian industries enjoys a number of trade agreements between Egypt and Europe, Arab countries, and African countries

29 MOEE/EEHC ISP Generation Co.(s) Trans Co(s) Trans Co(s) Dis Co(s) MV & LV Customers Gov. PP BOOT(s) UHV Customers HV Customers MV Customers Exports & Imports Private Distributor LV customers ISP Target Market Current phase one

30 MOEE/EEHC NG ISP NG IPP expansion Generation Co.(s) Trans Co(s) Dis Co(s) MV & LV Customers Gov. PP BOOT(s) UHV Customers HV Customers MV Customers Exports & Imports Private Distributor LV customers ISP Target Market Proposed phase two

31 Ministry of Electricity and Energy IPP expansion MOEE/EEHC RE: Gov PP & IPP.. Generation Co.(s) Trans. TSOco. Dis Co(s) MV & LV Customers BOOT(s) UHV Customers HV Customers MV Customers Exports & Imports Independent Merchant Transmission & Distribution ISP(s) EEUCPRA Slide M.S.Elsobki (jr) Target market proposed phase four

32 Spain Europe Tunisia Morocco Algeria Western Arabian countries Libya EGYPT Turkey Lebanon Jordan Eastern Arabian countries Syria Iraq Arabian Gulf Countries Kuwait Sudan African Countries Ethiopia Saudi Arabia Emirates Oman Bahrain Qatar 32

33 l e Th P f o d n a a t as u F d n 4 November 2009 e r tu 33

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