Reducing greenhouse-gas emissions of transport beyond 2020
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1 Reducing greenhouse-gas emissions of transport beyond 2020 Linking R&D, transport policies and reduction targets Project co-ordinator: Dr. Wolfgang Schade
2 Reducing greenhouse-gas emissions of transport beyond 2020 Linking R&D, transport policies and reduction targets Analytic framework for estimating GHG savings Lars Akkermans Transport & Mobility Leuven
3 Session 2: Programme Session: 2 (two groups in parallel after introduction) Potentials of GHG reduction measures Analytic framework for estimating GHG savings TML 11:45 12:00 Lunch break (inbetween group discussions) 13:00 14:00 Group discussion 1: measures in road transport Moderator: TML / IEA 12:00 15:30 Road technologies & biofuels ISI / IPTS / Stakeholders Road policies & urban transport TML / ITS / Stakeholders Group discussion 2: measures in rail transport Moderator: TRT / IEA 12:00 15:30 Heavy rail technologies & measures TRT / Stakeholders Light rail technologies & measures TRT / Stakeholders 28/06/2010 Title 3
4 Session 2: introduction Interest areas GHG-TransPoRD WP2: Four transport modes Alternative fuels Identification of measures with GHG reduction potential Focus session 2: the result of an extensive selection process of measures that can reduce GHG emissions 28/06/2010 Title 4
5 Session 2: introduction 28/06/2010 Title 5
6 Selection process of measures First phase: Collection of information on wide range of measures Long list of measures for domains of interest Risks of long list: Bias of selection of measures Road mode measures overrepresented compared to other modes Reduction potential of measures biassed: road mode responsible for most emissions in transport sector 28/06/2010 Title 6
7 Selection process of measures Source: GHG-TranspoRD 28/06/2010 Title 7
8 Selection process of measures Second phase: Composition of short list: Reduction of long list to short list: Reduction potential Feasibility Workshop Reduction potential Need for: unified estimation of energy demand and emission projection by 2020 & 2050: Energy framework Relative reduction potential of selected measures 28/06/2010 Title 8
9 Energy framework: Sources Road & rail mode: TREMOVE model v2.7c Air transport mode: itren-2030 Maritime mode: Ex-TREMIS extensions: ADAM reference scenario /06/2010 Title 9
10 Energy framework: results Estimations for energy demand in Petajoules [PJ] for 2020 and 2050 Level of detail: Road mode: Vehicle category: bus, car, light duty truck (LDT) & heavy duty truck (HDT) Fuel type: (blended) road vehicle diesel (for bus, car, LDT & HDT) (blended) road vehicle gasoline (for car & LDT) Compressed Natural Gas (for bus & car) Liquefied Petrolium Gas (for car only) Trip purpose: business & work trip, non-working trip Trip region: urban & non-urban Trip period: peak & off-peak 28/06/2010 Title 10
11 Energy framework: results Level of detail (continued): Rail mode: Train type: passenger train, freight train, light rail Fuel type : electric & rail diesel Trip purpose : business & work trip, non-working trip Trip region: urban & non-urban Trip period: peak & off-peak Air mode: Trip purpose : business & work trip, non-working trip Trip distance: above 500 km & below 500 km Trip period: peak & off-peak Maritime mode: Vessel type: tanker, bulker, general cargo, containership, RoRo Stage of navigation: cruise, hotelling, manoeuvring Life cycle of vessels: new build, retrofit 28/06/2010 Title 11
12 Energy framework: results GHG TransPoRD Energy Framework [PJ] Air Ship Rail Road Source: GHG-TranspoRD 28/06/2010 Title 12
13 Energy framework: results GHG TransPoRD Energy Framework 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 [PJ] Biofuel (road) Hydrogen Electricity (rail) Kerosene (air) CNG (car) LPG (car) Diesel (ship) Diesel (road & rail) Gasoline (road) Source: GHG-TranspoRD 28/06/2010 Title 13
14 Relative reduction potentials for measures Estimation of relative savings for each of the measures Collected from Literature review Expert interviews Possible effects Transport activity reductions Mode share change Lower energy consumption Less carbon intensive energy 28/06/2010 Title 14
15 Absolute reduction potential for measures Absolute reduction potential = Estimated energy demand for relevant parts of mode X Relative reduction potential Result: Listing of absolute reduction potentials for measures in shortlist 28/06/2010 Title 15
16 Session 2: Programme Session: 2 (two groups in parallel after introduction) Potentials of GHG reduction measures Analytic framework for estimating GHG savings TML 11:45 12:00 Lunch break (inbetween group discussions) 13:00 14:00 Group discussion 1: measures in road transport Moderator: TML / IEA 12:00 15:30 Road technologies & biofuels ISI / IPTS / Stakeholders Road policies & urban transport TML / ITS / Stakeholders Group discussion 2: measures in rail transport Moderator: TRT / IEA 12:00 15:30 Heavy rail technologies & measures TRT / Stakeholders Light rail technologies & measures TRT / Stakeholders 28/06/2010 Title 16
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