Coal in China: Industrial Efficiency and China in the Global Context. Deborah Seligsohn World Resources Institute October 5, 2010

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1 Coal in China: Industrial Efficiency and China in the Global Context Deborah Seligsohn World Resources Institute October 5, 2010

2 Industrial Energy Efficiency Critical to the Chinese Energy Picture Sources: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics, the US Energy Information Agency

3 Industrial Energy Efficiency Timeline 1997 Energy Conservation Law Began to emphasize on Key Energy-Using Enterprises 1999 Issued the Energy Conservation Management Regulation of Key Energy-Using Enterprises 2000s Set up the Energy Statistical Reporting System (?) Energy demand began increasing faster than GDP growth 2006 Announced the 20% economic energy intensity reduction goal Launched the Top Program 2010 Interim Regulation for Central Enterprises Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction Monitoring Management Energy Saving Certification Centers 2009 Announced carbon intensity target: reduced 40-45% by 2020 over 2005 levels Began localization of ISO standards on GHGs MRV 2008 Amended Energy Conservation Law took effect Established the Key Energy-Using Enterprises Reporting System Broadened Top1000 program to provinces 2007 Began to issue mandatory energy performance standards Issued guidelines to collect, supervise and examine economic energy intensities Source: Hongyou Lu, China Energy Group, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory 3

4 Progress on Energy Intensity

5 The Multi-Pollutant Challenge GDP Energy Intensity Note: SO 2 emissions and coal consumption are for the power sector only Source: Chinese Ministry of Environmental Protection/Jeremy Schreifels US EPA

6 Two Energy Efficiency Programs Stand Out: Top 1000 and Plant Closures Source: Levine et al, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, April 2010

7 Scorecard fortop1000 Enterprises Source: Seligsohn, World Resources Institute,

8 Chinese Data Revisions in 2010 The Chinese issue periodic revisions to economic data This is standard practice most countries revise monthly and quarterly data China conducts a 5 year economic census to further check its economic data The result has been revisions after each of the last 2 censuses Source: Aden, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, 2010

Coal Consumption by Country and Sector ROW=Rest of the World Data Sources & Notes: All data are from BP (2009) and are year 2008 estimates, except fossil fuel consumption by sector, which are WRI

10 Coal Consumption by Country and Sector ROW=Rest of the World Data Sources & Notes: All data are from BP (2009) and are year 2008 estimates, except fossil fuel consumption by sector, which are WRI calculations based on IEA (2009b) and are year 2007 estimates. Industry totals include direct fossil fuel combustion and non-energy uses (e.g., feedstock use in the petrochemical industry). Residential and commercial sector totals include agriculture. Other includes energy transformation and energy industries (e.g., oil and gas extraction).

11 Energy Intensity & Fuel Mix for Selected Major Emitters

12 Selected Proved Fossil Fuel Reserves (as a percentage of global total) Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2009

13 4000 Top 10 Consumers of Coal: China United States India 3000 Germany Russia Japan Million short tons 2000 South Africa Australia Poland Korea, South Source: Energy Information Administration, 2010

14 2008 Energy-related CO2 Emissions: Total, from Coal, and Per Capita 7000 Total CO2 Emissions from All Energy Total CO2 Emissions from Coal 25 Million metric tons CO Per Capita CO2 Emissions from Energy Metric tons CO2 per Person China United States Europe Russia India Japan Canada South Korea South Africa Mexico Australia Brazil 0 Source: Energy Information Administration, 2010

15 Percent of Energy-related CO2 from Electricity Generation: 2007 South Africa 63.6% Australia 58.3% India 56.3% Russia 55.3% China 50.3% Korea 44.8% United States 42.6% Japan 41.2% European Union 37.8% Mexico 32.2% Canada 23.2% Brazil 9.5% Source: International Energy Agency, 2009

16 100% Electricity Generation Fuel Mix: % Renewables Hydro 60% Nuclear Natural Gas 40% Oil Coal 20% 0% South Africa China Australia India United States Korea European Union Japan Russia Canada Mexico Brazil Source: International Energy Agency, 2009

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