Scenario Analysis for the Use of LNG as Marine Fuel in the Western Mediterranean. The Case of the GAINN Key Pilot Projects

Transcription

1 Scenario Analysis for the Use of LNG as Marine Fuel in the Western Mediterranean. The Case of the GAINN Key Pilot Projects Eva Pérez Transport Economics Director Fundación Valenciaport

2 CONTEXT LOW-SULPHUR MARINE FUELS WITHIN THE EU DIRECTIVE 2012/33/EU DIRECTIVE 2016/802/EU 0.5% Shulphur limit 2020 LNG BUNKERING STATIONS AT CORE PORTS DIRECTIVE 2014/94/EU 3

3 CONTEXT Dunkerque France Azores Islands Ariico- Granadilla Spain Murgados Spain Vigo Spain Canary Islands Madeira Portugal Sines Portugal Huelva Spain Arinaga Spain Gijón Spain Montoir de Bretagne France Bilbao Spain Sagunto Spain Bahía de Algeciras Spain Fos Cavaou France Fos-Faster France Valencia Spain Cartagena Spain Barcelona Spain Fos Tonkinn France Panigaglia Italy Toscana Italy Trieste Italy Krk Croatia Porto Levante Italy Civitavecchia Italy Castellammare di Stabia Italy Gioia Tauro Italy Falconara Maritima Italy Porto Empedocle Italy Kavala Greece Fiere Albania Revithoussa Greece Alexandroupoli s Greece Constanza Romania Marmara Turkey Aliaga Izmir Turkey Aliaga Turkey Vasslikos Cyprus Operational Under construction Planned new facility Planned expansion TTS operations already done LNG Bunker Barge (under study) LNG Infrastructure 3

4 MARKET ANALYSIS 171 4

5 MARKET ANALYSIS 171 5

6 MARKET ANALYSIS 6

7 Scenarios

8 MARKET ANALYSIS TWO SCENARIOS 8

9 Savings in Environmental Emissions

10 MARKET ANALYSIS ANNUAL SAVINGS IN ENVIRONMENTAL EMISSIONS 10

11 11

12 MARKET ANALYSIS AVERAGE INVESTMENTS IN

13 MARKET ANALYSIS BEST OPTION FROM A FINANCIAL PERSPECTIVE LOW BRENT SCENARIO 13

14 Uncertainty HIGH BRENT SCENARIO: 89 vessels to be LNG retrofitted, 25 scrubbers installations and 57 would use MGO as marine fuel Investments: 157 million Euros installing scrubbers and 1.3 billion Euros retrofitting to LNG dual fuel Annual LNG bunkering needs: 2.1 million m3 LOW BRENT SCENARIO: Only 2 vessels to be LNG retrofitted, 78 scrubbers installations and 91 would use MGO as marine fuel Investments: 26 million Euros in LNG retrofitting and 583 million Euros in installing scrubbers Annual LNG bunkering needs: 51,428 m3

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16 UNCERTAINTY MAIN RISK FACTORS? Gap between HFO, MGO and LNG prices? Logistic costs of distributing LNG? Investments required once the LNG engines reach an industrial manufacturing stage? International and EU regulation? Sufficient bunkering stations for all routes 16

17 CONCLUSIONS DOWNS DE: Many risk factors UNCERTAINTY PREVAILS UPS DE: RISK FUTURE INVESTMENTS 17

18 GAINN4MOS GENERAL OVERVIEW Action Number: 2014-EU-TM-0698-M Action Number: 2014-EU-TM-0700-S January/2015 September/2019 European Union, Connecting Europe Facility Transport Call for Proposals,

19 GAINN4MOS GENERAL OVERVIEW 6 EU COUNTRIES 16 PORTS 6 SEA CARRIERS 19 PARTNERS 19

20 GAINN4MOS GENERAL OVERVIEW 20

21 GAINN4MOS ACTIVITIES 21

22 GAINN4MOS ACTIVITIES 22

23 GAINN4SHIP INNOVATION Action Number: 2014-ES-TM-0593-S January/2015 December/

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25 Bencomo Express: An LNG dual-fuel retrofitted ropax HSC Santa Cruz de Tenerife Year of construction: 1999 Agaete Distance: 36 nm Transit time: 1 hour Round trips: 3/day Speed:38 Knots Capacity 871 passengers 330 line metres Main engines: 4 x CAT 3618 (4 x 7200 kw) Auxiliary engines: 4 x CAT 3406 Waterjets: 4 x Wartsila LIPS LJ 150D 6113 mm 35 tonnes 3462 mm

26 Step 1. Adapt an external engine to run on dual fuel CAT3618 External second hand sister engine FO3618DF Acceptance Test CAT3618 FO3618DF Engine overhaul Designing and building the dual-fuel conversion kit Adapting the test bench to dual-fuel operation Selecting a test bench

27 External second hand sister engine 33

28 Engine overhaul 33

29 Designing and building the dual-fuel Engine conversion overhaul kit 33

30 33 Engine overhaul Test bench

31 Adapting the test bench to dual-fuel operation LNG

32 GAINN4SHIP INNOVATION: Event at Shipyard

33 Bencomo Express: An LNG dual-fuel retrofitted ropax HSC Retrofitting ropax HSC STEP1 TO ADAPT AN EXTERNAL ENGINE TO RUN ON LNG STEP2 TO CONVERT THE FOUR ENGINES AND VESSEL S SYSTEMS STEP3 REAL LIFE TRIALS

34 GAINN ACTIONS www JOIN OUR SOCIAL NETWORKS! GAINN: LNG Ship Retrofitting & Bunkering Station 34

35 Thanks for your attention! Eva Pérez García Fundación Valenciaport