Natural Gas Michael Flaherty, Christian Gordon, Christian Lopez. Financial Markets & Instruments Professor Goldstein 12/3/2012
|
|
- Dorothy Lawrence
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Michael Flaherty, Christian Gordon, Christian Lopez Financial Markets & Instruments Professor Goldstein 12/3/2012
2 Table of Contents Executive Summary 2 Natural Gas Overview 2 Market Structure 4 Factors Affecting Demand 5 Factors Affecting Supply 6 Industry 6 Process 6 Hydraulic Fracturing- Fracking 8 Risks 8 Regulation 9 Statistical Analysis 10 Simple Regression 11 Multiple Regression 12 Conclusion 13 References 14 Regression Analysis 16 Exhibits 23 1
3 Executive Summary Natural gas is one of the most abundant natural resources found throughout the United States and is a major contributor to the fueling of America s economy. The process of attaining natural gas is very complicated that comes at a high risk, but with an even higher return on investment when operations run smoothly. As technology in the industry has improved and developed over the past 50 years, the operational risk in natural gas is decreasing, however, their exposures are increasing as result of the industry growth. With the earth suffering a great deal from inefficient environmental practices that have been put in place to drive America s economy in the past and present, natural gas shows tremendous upsides when it comes to the carbon footprint that is left behind, while generating a large amount of energy at the same time. In this paper, we analyze the natural gas process and the market that it performs in, along with the key economic factors which affect the price that natural gas is sold and traded at. Additionally, a statistical analysis is performed to show how these economic factors work with one another and what can be expected out of the natural gas industry in the future. Natural Gas Overview Natural gas is a third primary fossil fuel which was originally discovered during scientists search for oil 1. Natural gas, like crude-oil and coal, is an energy commodity which is traded physically but can also be traded as futures. Compared to crude oil, natural gas has a higher octane level and energy content making it a more efficient source of energy as prices for natural gas remain lower 2. At standard temperature and pressure it is in the form of gas and its main chemical component is methane. When it is extracted from the ground it also contains water, butane, propane, ethane, pentanes, sulfur, carbon dioxide and other compounds which must be removed before entering the pipelines 3. When natural gas is burned the only by-products of the combustion are only carbon dioxide and water, therefore, making 1 Boorse, Dorothy, Wright, Richard. Environmental Science, San Francisco, CA, America s Natural Gas Highway, < 3 Background, < 2
4 it the most environmentally desirable energy source in comparison to coal and oil 4. For many years, there was no practical way to transport it from wells to consumers because when oil drillings occurred, the gas was released from the fields and became flared 5. As knowledge and technology improved surrounding natural gas, companies are now able to stop this harm from occurring to the environment, and also make great use out of this valuable fuel 6. A network of pipelines was constructed to connect consumers to wells and as a result, the use of natural gas rapidly increased for heating, cooking, and industrial processes. On top of natural gas being clean and relatively inexpensive, it is also convenient because it does not require storage bins or tanks to be on site, such as at a residence 7. As an energy resource, the United States holds some of the largest natural gas reserves in the world according to a 2007 National Petroleum Council with 1,451 trillion cubic feet of Natural Gas. As a result, the U.S. is capable to be a net exporter of natural gas which will work towards the goal of becoming energy independent. Future projections for natural gas estimate that the worlds demand for natural gas will increase 50 percent from 2005 to The Southeast Asian region is also projected to be the largest consumer of natural gas and it will be imported in the form of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) 9. Although natural gas prices in the U.S. are currently low, countries such as Japan are experiencing high LNG prices as the world s top LNG consumer 10. This can be attributed to the low supply but more of the increased demand for electricity as a result of losing the nuclear power plants in 4 Boorse, Dorothy, Wright, Richard. Environmental Science, San Francisco, CA, Boorse, Dorothy, Wright, Richard. Environmental Science, San Francisco, CA, Background, < 7 Boorse, Dorothy, Wright, Richard. Environmental Science, San Francisco, CA, Kendall, James. Global Gas Outlook, < 9 Kendall, James. Global Gas Outlook, < 10 Loh, Bohan. Japan LNG demand has likely peaked, < 3
5 the tsunami disaster 11. However, if the U.S. decides to export LNG in the future, an increase in the price of natural gas within the U.S. must be avoided to maintain efficiency. Market Structure In the United States there are over 210 natural gas pipeline systems, 305,000 miles of interstate and intrastate transmission pipelines, and 49 locations where natural gas can be imported or exported via pipelines 12. In 2010, natural gas consumption in the United States totaled quadrillion BTUs, which makes up 25% of the total fuel energy consumption in the country 13. Natural gas annual consumption is forecasted by the year 2035 to reach quadrillion BTUs with only renewable energy predicted to compare to this same level of increase in additional energy consumed over the same period 14. Natural gas is consumed and demanded by different market segments throughout the United States. Electric generation is responsible for 30% of natural gas consumption, 27% is from Industrial, 21% is from Residential, 13% is from Commercial, and 9% is classified as other 15. The Electric Generation sector is predicted to continue as the highest consumer of natural gas with 60% of new electric generation capacity built by 2035 predicted to be natural gas combined-cycle or combustion turbine generation 16. The retirement of old nuclear, petroleum and coal powered generation plants will be replaced by natural gas-fired combined cycle generation plants that require relatively low capital 11 Loh, Bohan. Japan LNG demand has likely peaked, < 12 About Natural Gas Pipelines < 13 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 14 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 15 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 16 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 4
6 requirements 17. The consumption of natural gas in the Industrial Sector is also predicted to maintain growth at an average rate of 0.9% per year through Factors Affecting Demand Similar to any other commodity traded, natural gas prices are determined based upon the supply and demand. In the short run, demand for natural gas is cyclical and therefore so are prices. In its history, natural gas prices were always affected by the seasonal weather patterns 19. This is due to the fact that natural gas is used for heating homes during the winter which means that the prices will increase with demand in the months of January and February. Although this still plays a large role in the determinants of demand today, the uses for natural gas have been diversified which has slightly interrupted that cycle. Advances in technology has made it effective to use natural gas to power trucks and buses, to produce electricity, and run manufacturing plants. As a result, the demand with those new uses is more consistent throughout, and as a result it will bring more consistent demand. One reason for more constant demand is due to increased electricity in the slower months (summer) where natural gas is now the source of producing the electricity to cool commercial buildings and homes. Also with new technologies, the ability to switch fuels is much easier and is not as expensive, so this gives the electricity producers the ability to switch from natural gas to the alternative coal in times of high natural gas prices. As a result, this ends up helping the price lower back down to the equilibrium, ideally. These switches made by some electricity producers will have a significant effect on the short term demand because in 2011, power generation accounted for 34.1 percent of US natural gas consumption 20. Short term demand can be affected by the state of the economy. In a recession, output decreases which will lower the demand for energy in the industrial sector, and increase the demand for energy when output is up. 17 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 18 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 19 Natural Gas Demand, < 20 Capital IQ; NetAdvantage, Industry Surveys: Natural Gas Distribution, July 12,
7 Long Term Demand is determined by the long term adoption of natural gas uses throughout the economy. Investment in Natural gas public transportation fleets, new technology expanding to new industries, and government/environmental regulations in favor of clean energy will all increase the long term demand of natural gas. Factors Affecting Supply In comparison to the changes in short term demand, short term supply on average experiences less fluctuation. This is due to the nature of the process and the longer lead times. Most often, companies aim to produce the optimal amount of natural gas to meet demand. However, it is not economically efficient to shut down active wells because of the investment and costs of operation. As a result, the supply can t easily be reduced and consequently if there was a need to increase supply, the lead times are no shorter than 6 months in many cases 21. To offset this, natural gas is stored in locations near the end users to meet sudden/unforeseen increases in demand. Factors that affect long term supply are more obvious being the actual natural gas reserves. Other determinants are the total cost of extracting to delivering the natural gas, investments in pipeline infrastructure, and capital resources for new drilling sites 22. Industry Process The process of delivering natural gas to the end user consists of several steps beginning with physically removing the gas from beneath the Earth s surface. Enabled by modern technology, scientists are able to survey the rock formations to know how much natural gas can be extracted from the particular location before investment 23. Once a location s potential is realized, water and chemicals are pumped at high pressure deep into the rock formations which will enable the natural gas to be 21 Factors Affecting Gas Prices, < 22 Natural Gas Supply, < 23 Natural Gas, < 6
8 recovered 24. The natural gas is extracted in its raw form which contains water and impurities that must be removed before it can be used for energy. Once the natural gas reaches the wellhead, it is then piped into a processing plant which separates the methane from water, excess hydrocarbons, carbon, sulfur, and crude oil (if present) to make dry and usable natural gas 25. Once it reaches the form of dry natural gas, also known as pipeline quality, it is then transported through interstate transmission pipelines to local distribution companies (LDCs) 26. These transmission pipelines are made of carbon steel and range in diameter from two to 60 inches 27. The newest pipes in the distribution channel are externally coated with cathodic protection to prevent rusting 28. In order to keep the natural gas flowing, compressor stations are located along the pipelines where pressure of the gas is boosted in order to compensate for pressure losses along the pipeline 29. LDC s transport the natural gas to city gates, where local utility companies take ownership of the natural gas and then it is either stored or delivered to the end user 30. The entire process can also be categorized by four basic processes, which are accomplished through a company s gathering systems, transmission systems, gas distribution, and power generation 31. Gathering systems includes raw natural gas from production wells on land, offshore drilling, liquefied natural gas from overseas tankers and raw gas storage 32. Transmissions systems involve gas processing, pipeline systems transporting natural gas thousands of miles across country 33. The equipment is typically tanks, reservoirs, storage facilities, pipes, pumps, valves, racks, compressors and loading 24 Natural Gas, < 25 Natural Gas, < 26 Natural Gas, < 27 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 28 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 29 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 30 Natural Gas, < 31 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 32 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 33 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 7
9 facilities 34. Gas distribution includes branches and extensions that distribute to homes and businesses. Lastly, the power generation process occurs when the gas combusts to generate energy. Hydraulic Fracturing- Fracking Hydraulic fracturing, also known as fracking, is a well stimulation process used to maximize the extraction of underground resources including oil, natural gas, geothermal energy, and water. The oil and gas industry uses hydraulic fracturing to enhance subsurface fracture systems to allow oil or natural gas to move more freely from the rock pores to production wells that bring the oil or gas to the surface 35. The fracking process takes pressurized liquid, known as fracturing fluid, and introduces it to a source rock through a borehole to induce a fracture 36. Petroleum or natural gas is released through the fractures and then captured. Although the burning of natural gas is considered environmentally friendly, the process of fracking is not because of the amount of water which gets wasted. An individual well can require up to seven million gallons water during the fracking process, 30% of which is unrecoverable 37. Operations make every effort to reuse water throughout the process, however, geological conditions, such as the Marcellus, make water recovery impossible 38. Risks The extraction of energy from the ground combined with the transfer of gases is a complicated process where malfunctions have serious repercussions to a company s assets, the environment, and people s health. Distribution and power generation companies pay over $10 million in property 34 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 35 Hydraulic Fracturing Background Information, < 36 Hydraulic Fracturing, The Gale Encyclopedia of Science. 37 Hydraulic Fracturing, The Gale Encyclopedia of Science. 38 Hydraulic Fracturing, The Gale Encyclopedia of Science. 8
10 insurance premiums annually to transfer the risk of their company s assets to the insurance underwriter, however, many exposures still remain 39. Natural gas equipment is susceptible to natural hazards such as earthquakes, floods, and windstorm buildings. Emphasis on proper operational integrity is vital to the successful functioning of a natural gas plant, however, operator error and improper training of employees have been cited in natural gas explosions 40. General exposures include control equipment failure, nearby drilling, fracking, and natural gas processing. Risks involved in the transmission and distribution processes include pipe material, weld defect, pipeline impact, pipeline corrosion, black powder accumulation in pipelines, poor workmanship, fires or explosions at compressor stations, compressed liquid damage to equipment, sulfide stress cracking in equipment and pipelines, and secondary dehydration using ignitable liquids 41. Regulation The natural gas industry is constantly developing and when problems have occurred in the past, it has provokes stricter controls to be implemented across the country. Regulation policies vary from country to country, but the federal regulators in the United States include the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), Department of Transportation (DOT), DOT Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA), DOT Office of Pipeline Safety (OPS), Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA), Transportation Safety Administration (TSA), and Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) 42. Energy generation has taken a toll on the environment, and with the depletion natural resources, regulations are becoming stricter, ultimately improving the efficiency of the natural gas process. Intrastate natural gas transmission pipeline systems and local distribution pipelines are regulated by state public service and public utility commissions along with many local authorities being 39 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 40 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 41 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 42 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 9
11 involved with land use regulation 43. With a major source of harm stemming from pipe leaks, it is vital to the sustainability of the natural gas and energy industry to successfully transfer the liquefied gas. In order to assure pipes were responsibly being monitored, the U.S. Congress passed the Pipeline Safety Improvement Act of These regulations are commonly known as the natural gas Transmission Integrity Management Program (TIMP), which require operators to use a risk-based approach to manage pipelines and specify how pipeline operators must identify, prioritize, assess, evaluate, repair and validate a pipeline s integrity. Statistical Analysis The statistical analysis on natural gas focuses on how demand of natural gas affects the Henry Hub spot price. The data is annual data from The variables we chose to use are residential consumption, industrial consumption, commercial consumption, electricity power consumption (EPC), crude oil price (per barrel), and housing starts. Electricity power consumption represents the total amount of electricity consumed throughout the United States. The data is measured in kilowatt hours and is sourced from the US Energy Information Administration 45. The housing starts measure the number of new private owned housing units started in a given year. This includes both single unit and multi-unit developments. The data is sourced from the US Census Bureau and is the sum of unadjusted monthly data 46. The residential, industrial and commercial consumptions are all measured millions of cubic feet. The crude oil prices come from Cushing, OK WTI Spot Price FOB (Dollars per Barrel) 47. The reason why demand variables were used alone instead of using them with supply is because increase in demand drives the price up and increase in supply drives the price of the product 43 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 44 Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. 45 Natural Gas Distribution in the US, IBISWorld Industry Report < 46 Housing Starts, IBISWorld Business Environment Profiles. < 47 Petroleum & Other Liquids, Cushing, OK WTI Spot Price FOB. < 10
12 down. Since demand and supply are inversely correlated you cannot use them in a regression equation and still get a high R-Sq. Simple Regression Variables R-Sq Residential Consumption 0.1% Housing Starts 2.1% Commercial Consumption 5.9% GDP 36.0% Crude Oil 38.5% Industrial Consumption 42.0% EPC 43.7% p-value>0.1 p-value<0.1 Table 1.1 Table 1.1 shows that individually, residential consumption, housing starts, and commercial consumption do now have a p-value lower than 0.1, which means that they are not significant and we reject the null hypothesis. They also have very low coefficient of determination (R-Sq) which means they are not good indicators of what future spot prices will be. The simple regressions for GDP, crude oil, industrial consumption and EPC all have p-values less than 0.1. Therefore, we reject the null hypothesis. There is sufficient evidence of a linear relationship between these variables and the spot price of natural gas. Electrical power consumption has the highest coefficient of determination, which means it is the best indicator of what future natural gas spot prices will do. This is understandable because as the economy grows more people more will be likely to spend money on utilities and industrial companies will be more be making more products and will require more natural gas. If crude oil goes up in price, more people will start to buy natural gas because it can be used as a substitute. This will drive the price up for natural gas as the demand increases. Increase in the electric power consumption means that power plants need 11
13 more energy in the form of natural gas to power their plants to keep up with their demand. This will also increase the demand, driving up the spot price for natural gas. Multiple Regression R-Sq (adju Industrial Consumption Crude Oil Pirce 35.50% Residential Consumption Industrial Consumption Commercial Con 51.60% Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption Residential Consumption EPC 61.30% GDP Housing Starts Residential Consumption EPC 63.50% GDP Residential Consumption Housing Starts 66.10% Commercial Consumption Industrial Consumption EPC 68.50% GDP Residential Consumption Housing Starts 68.50% Residential Consumption Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption EPC GDP Crude Oil Price Housing Starts 90.90% Table 1.2 p-value>0.1 p-value<0.1 Average 63.24% The regression data from Table 1.2 shows us that as the number of variables in the regression equation the coefficient of determination (adjusted) also increases. The adjusted version of the coefficient of determination is similar to the normal coefficient of determination except it has been adjusted for the number of predictors in the model 48. As the number of predictor variables increase, so does the coefficient of determination. The regression equation with all three types of end user consumptions is the only equation where are the p-values are less than 0.1, but it only has and R-Squared of 51.60%. The full model has a much higher R-Squared than all the other models at 90.90%. This goes to show that there are a lot of different determinates of demand that affect the spot price of natural gas. All of the regression models has adjusted coefficient of determinations above 60% except for industrial consumption and crude oil price. As well as the consumption equation that was mentioned earlier. A reason why these functions could have low coefficient of determinations is due to multicollinearity. If 48 Interpretation: Using Minitab, < 12
14 you look at the time series graph (Exhibit 1) of residential, industrial consumption, and commercial consumption you can see that they all follow a similar trend. That negative trend is not a good determent of the high variance in the graph of (Exhibit 2). If consumers from a specific sector increase their consumption of natural gas it causes the consumers from other sectors to increase their consumption as well. The most reasonable explanation for the high variance in Exhibit 2 is due unexpected weather, which increased the demand in natural gas or slowed down production. Conclusion The recent discovery of the natural gas in the Appalachian Basin and new technologies, such as fracking, should allow for low natural gas prices in the future with such large supply. The development of the infrastructure to move natural gas will also help lower the cost to transport natural gas. Barring any natural disasters, economic crisis, or abnormal temperatures natural gas prices should be fairly stable in the long run due to regulation and technological developments. Our regressions showed us that there are many demand factors that affect the Henry Hub spot price of natural gas. We have learned that although the largest consumers for natural gas are the industrial consumers, they do not have a big impact on the market because the price they pay is so low. Residential customers have the highest impact on the market because they pay the most for natural gas. Due to the residential customers, weather has a significant impact on the short term demand because natural gas is an efficient energy source for heating many commercial buildings and homes in the United States in the winter months. 13
15 References Beauman, Jeffrey. Natural Gas Storage Transmission and Distribution. June 5, FM Global. Boorse, Dorothy, Wright, Richard. Environmental Science, San Francisco, CA, Kendall, James. Global Gas Outlook, < Loh, Bohan. Japan LNG demand has likely peaked, < About U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines, < America s Natural Gas Highway, < Background, < Factors Affecting Gas Prices, < Housing Starts, IBISWorld Business Environment Profiles. < Hydraulic Fracturing, The Gale Encyclopedia of Science. < ndow?failovertype=&query=&windowstate=normal&contentmodules=&mode=view&displaygr oupname=reference&limiter=&currpage=&disablehighlighting=true&source=&sortby=&display Groups=&search_within_results=&action=e&catId=GALE OWJADB &activityType=&s canid=&documentid=gale CV &> Hydraulic Fracturing Background Information, < Interpretation: Using Minitab, < National Data, Bureau of Economic Analysis. < Natural Gas, < Natural Gas, Henry Hub Gulf Coast Natural Gas Spot Price. < Natural Gas, Natural Gas Consumption by End Use. < Natural Gas Demand, < 14
16 Natural Gas Supply, < Natural Gas Distribution, < Natural Gas Distribution in the US, IBISWorld Industry Report < Petroleum & Other Liquids, Cushing, OK WTI Spot Price FOB. < Capital IQ; NetAdvantage, Industry Surveys: Natural Gas Distribution, July 12, The authors of this paper hereby give permission to Professor Michael Goldstein to distribute this paper by hard copy, to put it on reserve at Horn Library at Babson College, or to post a PDF version of this paper on the internet. I pledge my honor that I have neither received nor provided any unauthorized assistance during the completion of this work. 15
17 Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus Residential Consumption Spot Price = Residential Consumption Constant Residential Consumption S = R-Sq = 0.1% R-Sq(adj) = 0.0% Regression Residual Error Total Unusual Observations Residential Spot Obs Consumption Price Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid X X denotes an observation whose X value gives it large leverage. Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus Industrial Consumption Spot Price = Industrial Consumption Constant Industrial Consumption S = R-Sq = 42.0% R-Sq(adj) = 37.5% Regression Residual Error Total Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus Commercial Consumption Spot Price = Commercial Consumption Constant Commercial Consumption
18 S = R-Sq = 5.9% R-Sq(adj) = 0.0% Regression Residual Error Total Unusual Observations Commercial Spot Obs Consumption Price Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid X R R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual. X denotes an observation whose X value gives it large leverage. Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus EPC Spot Price = EPC Constant EPC S = R-Sq = 43.7% R-Sq(adj) = 39.4% Regression Residual Error Total Unusual Observations Spot Obs EPC Price Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid R R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual. Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus GDP Spot Price = GDP 17
19 Constant GDP S = R-Sq = 36.0% R-Sq(adj) = 31.1% Regression Residual Error Total Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus Crude Oil Price Spot Price = Crude Oil Price Constant Crude Oil Price S = R-Sq = 38.5% R-Sq(adj) = 33.7% Regression Residual Error Total Unusual Observations Crude Oil Spot Obs Price Price Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid R R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual. Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus Housing Starts Spot Price = Housing Starts Constant Housing Starts S = R-Sq = 2.1% R-Sq(adj) = 0.0% 18
20 Regression Residual Error Total Unusual Observations Housing Spot Obs Starts Price Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid R R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual. Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus Residential, Industrial C,... Spot Price = Residential Consumption Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption Constant Residential Consumption Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption S = R-Sq = 62.0% R-Sq(adj) = 51.6% Regression Residual Error Total Source DF Seq SS Residential Consumption Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption Unusual Observations Residential Spot Obs Consumption Price Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid R R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual. Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus Crude Oil Price, Industrial Consu Spot Price = Crude Oil Price Industrial Consumption 19
21 Constant Crude Oil Price Industrial Consumption S = R-Sq = 44.7% R-Sq(adj) = 35.5% Regression Residual Error Total Source DF Seq SS Crude Oil Price Industrial Consumption Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus GDP, Housing Star, Residential Spot Price = GDP Housing Starts Residential Consumption Constant GDP Housing Starts Residential Consumption S = R-Sq = 73.4% R-Sq(adj) = 66.1% Regression Residual Error Total Source DF Seq SS GDP Housing Starts Residential Consumption Unusual Observations Spot Obs GDP Price Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid R R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual. 20
22 Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus GDP, Housing Starts,... Spot Price = GDP Housing Starts Residential Consumption EPC Constant GDP Housing Starts Residential Consumption EPC S = R-Sq = 73.9% R-Sq(adj) = 63.5% Regression Residual Error Total Source DF Seq SS GDP Housing Starts Residential Consumption EPC Unusual Observations Spot Obs GDP Price Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid R R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual. Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus Residential, Industrial C,... Spot Price = Residential Consumption Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption EPC GDP Crude Oil Price Housing Starts Constant Residential Consumption Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption EPC GDP Crude Oil Price Housing Starts
23 S = R-Sq = 95.4% R-Sq(adj) = 90.9% Regression Residual Error Total Source DF Seq SS Residential Consumption Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption EPC GDP Crude Oil Price Housing Starts Regression Analysis: Spot Price versus Industrial C, Commercial C,... Spot Price = Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption Residential Consumption EPC Constant Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption Residential Consumption EPC S = R-Sq = 72.4% R-Sq(adj) = 61.3% Regression Residual Error Total Source DF Seq SS Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption Residential Consumption EPC Unusual Observations Industrial Spot Obs Consumption Price Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid R R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual. 22
24 Data Natural Gas Exhibit 1 Time Series Plot of Residential, Industrial C, Commercial C Variable Residential Consumption Industrial Consumption Commercial Consumption Index
25 Spot Price Natural Gas Exhibit 2 Time Series Plot of Spot Price Index
North American Midstream Infrastructure Through 2035 A Secure Energy Future. Press Briefing June 28, 2011
North American Midstream Infrastructure Through 2035 A Secure Energy Future Press Briefing June 28, 2011 Disclaimer This presentation presents views of ICF International and the INGAA Foundation. The presentation
More informationUnderground Natural Gas Storage: Facts & Figures
Underground Natural Gas Storage: Facts & Figures Natural Gas Storage Ensures Reliable and Responsive Delivery Natural gas is the most diversified fuel in the United States. This domestic fuel is used to
More informationOUR CONVERSATION TODAY
OUR CONVERSATION TODAY Our goal is to raise the level of awareness around the natural gas supply chain among key stakeholders in order to facilitate positive working relationships and more informed decision
More informationCHAPTER ONE COPYRIGHTED MATERIAL
c01.qxd:layout 1 10/29/08 5:29 PM Page xiv CHAPTER ONE COPYRIGHTED MATERIAL c01.qxd:layout 1 10/29/08 5:30 PM Page 1 The purpose of this chapter is to provide the candidate an overview of the energy cycle,
More informationAn INDEPENDENT energy consulting company since 1996 No affiliation with any marketer, broker, agent, utility, pipeline or producer.
An INDEPENDENT energy consulting company since 1996 No affiliation with any marketer, broker, agent, utility, pipeline or producer. More than two decades of experience in the natural gas and electric industries
More informationOctober 23, 2018 Harrisburg, PA
Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission Annual Winter Reliability Assessment Terrance J. Fitzpatrick President & Chief Executive Officer Energy Association of Pennsylvania October 23, 2018 Harrisburg, PA
More informationHydraulic Fracturing Technology
LET S TALK ABOUT Hydraulic Fracturing Technology THE HISTORY OF FRACKING A few days is all it takes to unlock decades of energy production from an oil or natural gas well. How the process happens goes
More informationAPPENDIX C FUEL PRICE FORECASTS
APPENDIX C FUEL PRICE FORECASTS BACKGROUND Since the Council s 1991 Power Plan, fuel prices have been following the low forecast. Figure C-1 illustrates this for world oil prices, and similar patterns
More informationAnnual Energy Outlook 2015
Annual Energy Outlook 215 for Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre Annual Conference 215 Tokyo, Japan by Sam Napolitano Director of the Office of Integrated and International Energy Analysis U.S. Energy
More informationShort Term Energy Outlook March 2011 March 8, 2011 Release
Short Term Energy Outlook March 2011 March 8, 2011 Release Highlights West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and other crude oil spot prices have risen about $15 per barrel since mid February partly in response
More informationNATURAL GAS 101 THE BASICS OF NATURAL GAS
NATURAL GAS 101 THE BASICS OF NATURAL GAS April 25, 2014 Natural Gas Basics What is natural gas? Natural gas is a fossil fuel composed primarily of methane, and other hydrocarbons such as ethane, butane
More informationUNDERSTANDING NATURAL GAS MARKETS. Mohammad Naserifard MSc student of Oil & Gas Economics at PUT Fall 2015
UNDERSTANDING NATURAL GAS MARKETS Mohammad Naserifard MSc student of Oil & Gas Economics at PUT Fall 2015 Table of Contents 3 Overview Natural Gas is an Important Source of Energy for the United States.
More informationU.S. NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE
OCTOBER 2012 TECHNOLOGY U.S. NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE Discussion Questions: 1. What are the bottlenecks in our natural gas infrastructure, and how should expansion of the system be prioritized? 2. What
More informationPIPELINE FUNDAMENTALS. texaspipelines.com
PIPELINE FUNDAMENTALS texaspipelines.com Texas Oil & Gas: Generating $2.6 Billion for State Revenues texaspipelines.com Texas Oil & Gas Texas produces 20% of US Domestic Oil Production 1.1 Million Barrels
More informationTechnologies to recover it were refined as natural gas prices rose to $10 per MMBtu Locations of shale gas were known for decades
Technologies to recover it were refined as natural gas prices rose to $10 per MMBtu Locations of shale gas were known for decades Discovery rates are very high Reduces producer expenses Volume was greatly
More informationPipelines Transmission of Natural Gas from Marcellus Shale
Marcellus Shale Natural Gas Extraction Study 2011 Addendum Pipelines Transmission of Natural Gas from Marcellus Shale Leagues of Women Voters of Southeastern Pennsylvania and Indiana County Study Committee
More informationWHAT IS LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS?
WHAT IS LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS? WHAT IS NATURAL GAS? Natural gas is a colourless and odourless gas that is created from organic matter that has decayed for millions of years. Around the world, people use
More informationFuel Information Sheet
Wood (Biomass) Maine has 17 million acres of forest. Wood is a renewable energy source; we can grow more trees and manage forested areas. Wood must be transported to where it is used. Wood requires storage
More informationEnergy: Fossil Fuels Part II: Natural Gas and Coal
Energy: Fossil Fuels Part II: Natural Gas and Coal Natural Gas Natural gas is produced by decomposition of deeply buried organic matter from plants & animals. natural gas is a mixture of 50 90% methane
More informationChapter 12 Nonrenewable Energy Resources
Chapter 12 Nonrenewable Energy Resources Friedland and Relyea Environmental Science for AP, second edition 2015 W.H. Freeman and Company/BFW AP is a trademark registered and/or owned by the College Board,
More informationNATURAL GAS 101. Prepared for: U.S. Department of Energy Oil and Natural Gas Sector Coordinating Council
NATURAL GAS 101 Prepared for: U.S. Department of Energy Oil and Natural Gas Sector Coordinating Council NATURAL GAS 101 Presentation Outline 1 Overview 2 Production & Processing 3 Transmission & Storage
More informationContemplations about the future of natural gas: the good, the bad and the ugly
Contemplations about the future of natural gas: the good, the bad and the ugly Charles F. Mason H.A. True Chair in Petroleum and Natural Gas Economics Department of Economics Associate Dean, College of
More informationInstitute of Law and Finance University of Frankfurt
US Approach To Shale Hydrocarbons Development ( Fracking ) Institute of Law and Finance University of Frankfurt David J. Evans March 27, 2015 Introduction 15 years ago, no one would have recognized this
More informationNatural Gas in the USA
2012 Natural Gas in the USA Christopher Griffin, Jonathan Theriault, Colin Young (9:45) Babson College 12/3/2012 The authors of this paper hereby give permission to Professor Michael Goldstein to distribute
More informationSlides prepared by the Northeast Gas Association
Natural gas represents 29% of total energy consumption in the U.S. There are 73 million natural gas customers in the country. Gas is the leading home fuel in the country, and also is a leading fuel of
More informationFROM RAILROAD COMMISSIONER RYAN SITTON
2018 E N E R G Y M A R K E T O U T L O O K FROM RAILROAD COMMISSIONER RYAN SITTON TABLE OF CONTENTS 2018 ENERGY MARKET OUTLOOK Summing up the analysis contained in this report in a few sentences, my prediction
More informationAnalysis of potential pipeline infrastructure, transportation & IOGCC/SSEB PTTF REPORT
THE PIPELINE PROJECT: Analysis of potential pipeline infrastructure, transportation & storage of CO storage of CO 2 IOGCC/SSEB PTTF REPORT Acknowledgement This material is based upon work supported by
More informationEMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS. for Natural Gas Utilities
EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS Handbook for Natural Gas Utilities AGA Emergency Preparedness Handbook The American Gas Association (AGA), founded in 1918, represents more than 200 local energy companies that deliver
More informationNorth America Midstream Infrastructure through 2035: Capitalizing on Our Energy Abundance
North America Midstream Infrastructure through 2035: Capitalizing on Our Energy Abundance Prepared by ICF International for The INGAA Foundation, Inc. Support provided by America s Natural Gas Alliance
More informationEMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS. for Natural Gas Utilites
EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS Handbook for Natural Gas Utilites AGA Emergency Preparedness Handbook The American Gas Association (AGA), founded in 1918, represents more than 200 local energy companies that deliver
More informationIntroduction. !! Propane is one of the world s most common engine fuels. !! U.S. imports about half of its petroleum
Introduction!! Propane is one of the world s most common engine fuels!! Stations available worldwide!! High energy density!! Exceptionally safe!! U.S. imports about half of its petroleum!! Two thirds of
More information1951 Clarence Iverson #1
THE BAKKEN Where It All Began... On April 4, 95, the first successful well in North Dakota was drilled outside the community of Tioga. Since the success of the first well, named Clarence Iverson #, the
More informationAnnual Energy Outlook 2010 Reference Case
Annual Energy Outlook 21 Reference Case The Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies December 14, 29 Washington, DC Richard Newell, Administrator Richard Newell, SAIS, December 14, 29 1 How
More informationOverview. Key Energy Issues to Economic Growth
Key Energy Issues to 225 The Energy Information Administration (EIA), in preparing model forecasts for its Annual Energy Outlook 25 (AEO25), evaluated a wide range of current trends and issues that could
More informationEnergy Markets. U.S. Energy Information Administration. for. October 29, 2015 Golden, Colorado. by Adam Sieminski, Administrator
Energy Markets for The Payne Institute for Earth Resources at the Colorado School of Mines Golden, Colorado by Adam Sieminski, Administrator U.S. Energy Information Administration U.S. Energy Information
More informationST98: 2018 ALBERTA S ENERGY RESERVES & SUPPLY/DEMAND OUTLOOK. Executive Summary.
ST98: 2018 ALBERTA S ENERGY RESERVES & SUPPLY/DEMAND OUTLOOK Executive Summary ST98 www.aer.ca EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Alberta Energy Regulator (AER) ensures the safe, efficient, orderly, and environmentally
More informationST98: 2018 ALBERTA S ENERGY RESERVES & SUPPLY/DEMAND OUTLOOK. Executive Summary.
ST98: 2018 ALBERTA S ENERGY RESERVES & SUPPLY/DEMAND OUTLOOK Executive Summary ST98 www.aer.ca EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Alberta Energy Regulator (AER) ensures the safe, efficient, orderly, and environmentally
More informationChapter 12 Nonrenewable Energy Resources. Monday, February 5, 18
Chapter 12 Nonrenewable Energy Resources Module 34 Patterns of Energy Use After reading this module, you should be able to describe the use of nonrenewable energy in the world and in the United States.
More informationU.S. DOT Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration
U.S. DOT Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration Priority Issues for 2017+ - -2 2 - - Organizational Updates Leveraging Lessons from Prior Years Congressional Mandates and Recommendations
More informationCanada s Energy Future: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to Emerging Fuels and Energy Efficiency Highlights
Canada s Energy Future: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2035 - Emerging Fuels and Energy Efficiency Highlights Canada s Energy Future: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2035 Emerging Fuels
More informationWHITE PAPER August Natural Gas Pipeline System: Reliability and Resiliency
WHITE PAPER August 2013 Natural Gas Pipeline System: Reliability and Resiliency 1 Introduction The United States electric grid system is riddled with well documented power outages. In the past five years,
More informationEnergy Markets. U.S. Energy Information Administration. for Center on Global Energy Policy, Columbia University November 20, 2015 New York, New York
Energy Markets for Center on Global Energy Policy, Columbia University New York, New York by Adam Sieminski, Administrator U.S. Energy Information Administration U.S. Energy Information Administration
More informationENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY BULLETIN
ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY BULLETIN Vol. 3 No. 2 June 2011 Editor: Jock A. Finlayson THE NATURAL GAS STORY Both globally and in North America, natural gas is poised to play a bigger role in meeting the energy
More informationEnergy Availability and the Future of the Fertilizer Industry. Rayola Dougher API Senior Economic Advisor
Energy Availability and the Future of the Fertilizer Industry Rayola Dougher API Senior Economic Advisor dougherr@api.org Energy: the engine of our economic growth 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016
More information************ Day 2 ************ ************ Session 2, Session 3 11:45 and 1:45 ************
Natural Gas Value Chain: Discussion Questions ************ Day 2 ************ ************ Session 2, Session 3 11:45 and 1:45 ************ Electric Generation What other generation fuels are in the mix?
More informationShale Gas - Transforming Natural Gas Flows and Opportunities. Doug Bloom President, Spectra Energy Transmission West October 18, 2011
Fort Nelson Gas Plant, British Columbia Shale Gas - Transforming Natural Gas Flows and Opportunities Doug Bloom President, Spectra Energy Transmission West October 18, 2011 Natural Gas Golden Age Natural
More informationShort-Term and Long-Term Outlook for Energy Markets
Short-Term and Long-Term Outlook for Energy Markets Guy Caruso Administrator, Energy Information Administration guy.caruso@eia.doe.gov Fueling the Future: Energy Policy in New England December 2, 25 Boston,
More informationPower & Politics Navigating the Changing Vision of Our Energy Future. Rayola Dougher, API Senior Economic Advisor,
Power & Politics Navigating the Changing Vision of Our Energy Future Rayola Dougher, API Senior Economic Advisor, dougherr@api.org U.S. oil and natural gas production is increasing as a result of technological
More informationU.S. natural gas prices after the shale boom
ENERGY ANALYSIS U.S. natural gas prices after the shale boom Kan Chen / Marcial Nava 9 March 218 Shale production fundamentally altered the relationship between oil and natural gas prices Although most
More informationPart 195, Accident and Safety Related Conditions for HL Pipelines
Reporting Requirements Part 191, Incident and Safety Related Condition for Natural Gas pipeline facilities and Underground Natural Gas Storage facilities Part 195, Accident and Safety Related Conditions
More informationOutlook for Oil and Gas and Implications for Biomass
Outlook for Oil and Gas and Implications for Biomass John P. Martin, Ph.D. New York State Energy Research and Development Authority February 17, 2010 Misc. Pictures Here Energy Choices 21 st Century Energy
More informationThe U.S Market for Liquid Natural Gas: Better Out than In Natasha Allen HSA10-5 The Economics of Oil and Energy April 4, 2013
The U.S Market for Liquid Natural Gas: Better Out than In Natasha Allen HSA10-5 The Economics of Oil and Energy April 4, 2013 I. Introduction Over the past couple of decades, the natural gas economy in
More informationAnnual Energy Outlook 2005
Page 1 of 5 Home >EIA Brochures > Annual Energy Outlook 2005 Annual Energy Outlook 2005 With Projections to 2025 Figure 1. Energy Prices, 1970-2025 (2003 dollars per million Btu) The Annual Energy Outlook
More informationEnergy Classifications
FOSSIL FUELS Energy Classifications Renewable Energy any source of energy that can be replaced as fast as it is used Examples: wind, hydroelectric, biofuels, solar, others Nonrenewable Energy any source
More informationOil and Gas 101: An Overview of Emissions from Upstream Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Sources
Oil and Gas 101: An Overview of Emissions from Upstream Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Sources Mike Pring, Eastern Research Group July 18, 2018 Training Overview Oil and gas production in the United
More informationPivotal LNG Natural Gas Fuel for Heavy Duty Trucks. David Jaskolski Senior Account Manager
Pivotal LNG Natural Gas Fuel for Heavy Duty Trucks David Jaskolski Senior Account Manager Forward Looking Statements Forward-Looking Statements Certain expectations and projections regarding our future
More informationNARUC. Global Liquefied Natural Gas Supply: An Introduction for Public Utility Commissioners
2009 Global Liquefied Natural Gas Supply: An Introduction for Public Utility Commissioners NARUC October 2009 The National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners Funded by the U.S. Department
More informationMOLECULAR GATE TECHNOLOGY FOR (SMALLER SCALE) LNG PRETREATMENT
MOLECULAR GATE TECHNOLOGY FOR (SMALLER SCALE) LNG PRETREATMENT Presented at the 2010 Gas Processors 89 th Annual Convention Austin, TX March, 2010 Michael Mitariten, P.E. Guild Associates, Inc. Dublin,
More informationNatural Gas for America s Fleets. cleanenergyfuels.com 1
Natural Gas for America s Fleets 1 What s the Problem? In 1970, we imported 24% of our oil. Today it is nearly 60% Increased Dependence on OPEC OIL 2 Worldwide Marketplace Worldwide Increasing Demand For
More informationPROCESSING NATURAL GAS Leontev A.A. Vladimirskiy State University named after the Stoletov brothers Vladimir, Russia
PROCESSING NATURAL GAS Leontev A.A. Vladimirskiy State University named after the Stoletov brothers Vladimir, Russia ПЕРЕРАБОТКА ПРИРОДНОГО ГАЗА Леонтьев А.А. Владимирский государственный университет имени
More informationChris Helms CEO NGT&S
Chris Helms CEO NGT&S Pipeline Safety: Looking to the Future While Resolving the Past OGA Market Conditions Conference July 19, 2011 1 SYSTEM OVERVIEW Pipeline More than 15,000 miles Delivers approximately
More informationAEO2005 Overview. Key Energy Issues to Economic Growth
Key Energy Issues to 225 The Energy Information Administration (EIA), in preparing model forecasts for its Annual Energy Outlook 25 (AEO25), evaluated a wide range of current trends and issues that could
More informationU.S. EIA s Liquid Fuels Outlook
U.S. EIA s Liquid Fuels Outlook NCSL 2011 Energy Policy Summit: Fueling Tomorrow s Transportation John Staub, Team Lead August 8, 2011 San Antonio, Texas U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent
More informationMEMORANDUM. May 6, Subcommittee on Energy and Power Democratic Members and Staff
FRED UPTON, MICHIGAN CHAIRMAN HENRY A. WAXMAN, CALIFORNIA RANKING MEMBER ONE HUNDRED THIRTEENTH CONGRESS Congress of the United States House of Representatives COMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND COMMERCE 2125 RAYBURN
More informationAPPA 2017 Fuels 1. Energy Fuel Types Fuel consumption What fuels are we using? What are we using it for?
Barry Mielke, PE South Dakota State University Energy Fuel Types Fuel consumption What fuels are we using? What are we using it for? APPA 2017 Fuels 1 As defined by your science teacher, Energy is the
More informationAccelerated Depletion: Assessing Its Impacts on Domestic Oil and Natural Gas Prices and Production
SR/OIAF/2000-04 : Assessing Its Impacts on Domestic Oil and Natural Gas Prices and Production July 2000 Energy Information Administration Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting U.S. Department of
More informationHydraulic Fracturing Is Industry Standard Practice the Best Practice? The Case for Waterless Fracking
5 June 2018 Hydraulic Fracturing Is Industry Standard Practice the Best Practice? The Case for Waterless Fracking Christopher Johns Research Manager, Northern Australia and Land Care Research Programme
More informationInstructor s t Background
Teknologi Pemrosesan Gas (TKK 564) Instructor: Dr. Istadi (http://tekim.undip.ac.id/staf/istadi ) Email: il iistadi@undip.ac.id di di id Instructor s t Background BEng. (1995): Universitas Diponegoro Meng.
More informationNatural Gas Processing Unit Modules Definitions
Natural Gas Processing Unit Modules Definitions Alberta Climate Change Office Draft Version 1.0 December 2018 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35
More informationAnnual Energy Outlook 2018 with projections to 2050
Annual Energy Outlook 218 with projections to 25 February 218 U.S. Energy Information Administration Office of Energy Analysis U.S. Department of Energy Washington, DC 2585 This publication is on the Web
More informationFossil Fuels, Fossil Rules and Fossil Fools
Name: Date: Fossil Fuels, Fossil Rules and Fossil Fools You ve probably heard the term fossil fuels before. Maybe you already know all about fossil fuels. Maybe you stopped and wondered: What are fossil
More informationPublic Service Commission of West Virginia
Public Service Commission of West Virginia Natural Gas Supply Demand Forecast Report for 2017 2026 Issued February 2017 201 Brooks Street P.O. Box 812 Charleston, WV 25323 1-800-344-5113 Chairman Michael
More informationFuels Used in Electricity Generation
Fuels Used in Electricity Generation for Energy and Climate Change Research Seminar May 17 th, 2012 Washington, DC by, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear and Renewables Analysis Energy Information Administration
More informationBiomass. Coal. 10 Intermediate Energy Infobook Activities. Description of biomass: Renewable or nonrenewable: Description of photosynthesis:
Biomass Description of biomass: Description of photosynthesis: Ways we turn biomass into energy we can use: Who uses biomass and for what purposes: Effect of using biomass on the environment: Important
More informationENERGY BLUEPRINT. Energy
Energy ENERGY BLUEPRINT Energy stands as one of the traditional strengths of West Virginia s economy. The state has long been and remains today one of America s leading electricity producers. Two-thirds
More informationChapter 17: Fossil Fuels and the Environment
Chapter 17: Fossil Fuels and the Environment Fossil Fuels Fossil fuels are forms of stored solar energy Plants convert solar energy to chemical energy through photosynthesis Incomplete decomposed organic
More informationNortheast Natural Gas Winter Outlook
Northeast Natural Gas Winter Outlook November 2016 KEY POINTS The natural gas supply situation is strong, nationally and in the Northeast. A secure supply balance and robust storage levels are resulting
More informationSIEPR policy brief. Careful What You Wish For: The Shale Gas Revolution and Natural Gas Exports. By Frank A. Wolak.
SIEPR policy brief Stanford University November 2012 Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research on the web: http://siepr.stanford.edu Careful What You Wish For: The Shale Gas Revolution and Natural
More informationNatural Gas. Smarter Power Today. Perspectives on the Future of Regulatory Policy Illinois State University. Springfield, IL October 25, 2012
Natural Gas Smarter Power Today. Perspectives on the Future of Regulatory Policy Illinois State University Springfield, IL October 25, 2012 ANGA Members 2 ABUNDANCE & PRICE STABILITY The Shale Gas Revolution
More informationNatural Gas from Shale: Potential Economic, Community, Environmental, and Health Implications
Natural Gas from Shale: Potential Economic, Community, Environmental, and Health Implications Aimee Curtright Ph.D. Physical Scientist RAND Corporation, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 Ohio Grantmakers Forum March
More informationNatural Gas Issues and Emerging Trends for the Upcoming Winter and Beyond
Natural Gas Issues and Emerging Trends for the Upcoming Winter and Beyond 2013 NASEO WINTER ENERGY OUTLOOK CONFERENCE November 1, 2013 Kevin Petak Vice President, ICF International Kevin.Petak@icfi.com
More informationOil and natural gas: market outlook and drivers
Oil and natural gas: market outlook and drivers for American Foundry Society May 18, 216 Washington, DC by Howard Gruenspecht, Deputy Administrator U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics
More informationChevron Corporation (CVX) Analyst: Ryan Henderson Spring 2015
Recommendation: HOLD Target Price until (12/31/2016): $118.00 1. Reasons for Recommendation The driving factor behind my hold recommendation for Chevron is due to the state of the oil production industry
More informationGOVERNORS POLICY FORUM ON SHALE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
GOVERNORS POLICY FORUM ON SHALE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT September 9-10, 2013 Broomfield, Colorado Presented By: John Morton, Senior Vice President HDR Engineering, Inc. Lower 48 Shale Plays OURCE: EIA, BASED
More informationAnnual Energy Outlook 2017
Annual Energy Outlook 217 Valve Manufacturers Association of America VMA Technical Seminar 217 March 2, 217 Nashville, TN By, Director, Office of Integrated and International Energy Analysis U.S. Energy
More informationAnnual Energy Outlook 2018
Annual Energy Outlook 218 Columbia University, Center on Global Energy Policy February 13, 218 New York, NY John J. Conti, Deputy Administrator U.S. Energy Information Administration U.S. Energy Information
More informationONE Future 2017 Methane Emission Intensities: Initial Progress Report
ONE Future 2017 Methane Emission Intensities: Initial Progress Report November 15, 2018 i TABLE OF CONTENTS REPORT HIGHLIGHTS & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY... 3 INTRODUCTION TO ONE FUTURE... 4 ONE FUTURE EMISSIONS
More informationONE Future 2017 Methane Emission Intensities: Initial Progress Report
ONE Future 2017 Methane Emission Intensities: Initial Progress Report November 15, 2018 i TABLE OF CONTENTS REPORT HIGHLIGHTS & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY... 3 INTRODUCTION TO ONE FUTURE... 4 ONE FUTURE EMISSIONS
More informationFLORIDA PUBLIC SERVICE COMMISSION
FLORIDA PUBLIC SERVICE COMMISSION NATURAL GAS PIPELINE ANNUAL SAFETY REPORT 2017 DIVISION OF ENGINEERING Table of Contents Figures and Tables... iii Gas Safety Background... 1 Transmission Integrity Management
More information700 Quadrillion Btu History Projections. Energy Consumption (Quadrillion Btu) Carbon Dioxide Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) Region
Highlights World energy consumption is projected to increase by 59 percent from 1999 to 22. Much of the growth in worldwide energy use is expected in the developing world in the IEO21 reference case forecast.
More informationU.S. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Proved Reserves, Year-end 2015
U.S. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Proved Reserves, Year-end 2015 December 2016 Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov U.S. Department of Energy Washington, DC 20585 This report was prepared by the
More informationU.S. Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and NG Liquids Proved Reserves
1 of 5 3/14/2013 11:37 PM U.S. Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and NG Liquids Proved Reserves With Data for Release Date: August 1, 2012 Next Release Date: March 2013 Previous Issues: Year: Summary Proved reserves
More informationProduced In- Imported, from Other States and Total Foreign Countries
4.9 ENERGY & MINERAL RESOURCES This section addresses the Project s potential impacts related to energy and mineral resources. The following discussion identifies energy consumption levels and trends in
More informationNOIA s mission is to secure reliable access to the nation s valuable. and supplied in an environmentally responsible manner.
Energy Challenges for Nebraska and the NATion NOIA s mission is to secure reliable access to the nation s valuable offshore energy resources in order that they may be developed, produced and supplied in
More informationThe Shifting Sands of Natural Gas Abundance
August 17, 2016 The Shifting Sands of Natural Gas Abundance Richard Meyer Manager, Energy Analysis & Standards Here s how global energy changed between 2014 and 2015. Winners were oil, natural gas, renewables.
More informationSummer Fuels Outlook. Gasoline and diesel. April 2018
April 2018 Summer Fuels Outlook This outlook focuses on prices and consumption of gasoline, diesel, and electricity (see Summer Fuels Outlook motor gasoline table and electricity table). The use of these
More informationMilken Institute: Center for Accelerating Energy Solutions
Milken Institute: Center for Accelerating Energy Solutions Center for Accelerating Energy Solutions Promotes policy and market mechanisms to build a more stable and sustainable energy future Identifies
More informationStatement of Dean Cordle President and CEO of AC&S Inc.
Executive Summary Statement of Dean Cordle President and CEO of AC&S Inc. Before the House Committee on Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and Power and Subcommittee on Commerce, Manufacturing,
More informationEA July 11, 2017
EA 2017-03 July 11, 2017 A COMPARISON OF ENERGY USE, OPERATING COSTS, AND CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS OF HOME APPLIANCES 2016 UPDATE Introduction Natural gas, electricity, oil, and propane compete in the
More information