Financing Urban Sustainable Development Goals. Bocconi University Milano, 27 th May 2016

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1 Financing Urban Sustainable Development Goals Bocconi University Milano, 27 th May 2016 Aromar Revi Co-Chair, SDSN & Cities Alliance Management Board member Director, Indian Institute for Human Settlements Bangalore,

2 Why are Cities important to Sustainable Development? Source: Yann Arthus-Bertrand/GoodPlanet & Johan Otto von Spreckelsen (2014)

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4

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6 New urban geographies, make new histories?

7 Largest cities in the World (2025) Source: IIED, 2014

8 The Challenges of the 21 st century Sustainability Transition Present consumption requires ~2.0 worlds 21 st century Population growth needs 1.5+ worlds Ending poverty at present throughput ~2.0 worlds Available only One World

9 A 4 o C world is a distinct possibility by the late 21 st century

10 Is urban transformation possible? Source: Yann Arthus-Bertrand/GoodPlanet & Johan Otto von Spreckelsen (2014)

11 URBAN TRANSFORMATION SHANGHAI (1987)

12 URBAN TRANSFORMATION SHANGHAI (2014)

13 URBAN TRANSFORMATION BERLIN: REMEMBERING THE WALL

14 Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, productive, resilient and sustainable #urbansdg Campaign

15 Partners: #urbansdg Campaign

16 Over 200 cities, regional governments, international organisations, people' movements & universities, support an stand alone Urban Sustainable Development Goal 16

17 After lots of debate

18 and even more debate what did we get?

19 Universal Agenda: all people everywhere + No one left behind!

20 Sustainable Development Goals: Goal 1: End poverty in all its forms everywhere Goal 2: End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture Goal 3: Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages Goal 4: Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all Goal 5: Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls Goal 6: Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for Goal 7: Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all Goal 8: Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all Goal 9: Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation Goal 10: Reduce inequality within and among countries Goal 11: Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable Goal 12: Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns Goal 13: Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts Goal 14: Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development Goal 15: Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss Goal 16: Promote peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all and build effective, accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels Goal 17: Strengthen the means of implementation and revitalize the global partnership for sustainable development

21 (23) GDP/cap:$ 46,870* Sweden (2015) (14) HDI: % 95% 78% 83% 94% 82% 91% 71% (1) SDI: 87 97% 59% 79% 93% 61% 88% 91% 99% 97% (20) Biocapacity: +3.4 gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (88) Pop: 10 m

22 (21) GDP/cap:$ 47, 460* Germany (2015) (6) HDI: % 78% 88% 84% 89% 62% 85% 92% (7) SDI: 81 93% 32% 75% 97% 52% 74% 76% 92% 82% 209) Biocapacity: gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (15) Pop: 83 m

23 (37) GDP/cap:$ 39,500* UK (2015) (13) HDI: % 78% 87% 77% 82% 63% 94% 84% (9) SDI: 77 76% 42% 73% 77% 98% 75% 61% 64% 90% 199) Biocapacity: -3.6 gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (22) Pop: 63.3 m

24 (36) GDP/cap:$ 40,100* France (2015) (19) HDI: % 78% 88% 77% 86% 89% 46% 86% (10) SDI: 80 81% 52% 74% 90% 59% 57% 88% 88% 84% 193) Biocapacity: gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (21) Pop: m

25 (20) GDP/cap:$ 48,860* The Netherlands (2015) (5) HDI: % 90% 78% 90% 93% 72% 84% 98% 27% (12) SDI: 81 73% 93% 40% 57% 99% 71% 83% 86% 217) Biocapacity: gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (60) Pop: m

26 (44) GDP/cap:$ 33, 490* Spain (2015) (23) HDI: % 59% 78% 77% 89% 89% 52% 59% (16) SDI: 75 92% 48% 68% 95% 69% 66% 49% 83% 84% 183) Biocapacity: gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (29) Pop: m

27 Australia (2015) (26) GDP/cap:$ 44,700* (2) HDI: % 70% 74% 58% 89% 88% 50% 77% 12% (20) SDI: 79 70% 81% 59% 95% 76% 98% 79% 95% (11) Biocapacity: +7.3 gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (50) Pop: 23 m

28 (41) GDP/cap:$ 35, 450* Italy (2015) (24) HDI: % 84% 65% 56% 88% 83% 69% 41% (23) SDI: 72 87% 40% 69% 32% 94% 59% 60% 73% 81% 214) Biocapacity: gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (23) Pop: 60 m

29 (57) GDP/cap:$ 27, 050* Greece (2015) (26) HDI: % 79% 65% 64% 46% 74% 90% 70% (25) SDI: 69 72% 27% 68% 92% 51% 51% 69% 69% 64% 205) Biocapacity: gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (75) Pop: m

30 USA (2015) (16) GDP/cap:$ 55,900* (7) HDI: % 78% 89% 77% 55% 47% 64% 72% 16% (29) SDI: 69 58% 68% 81% 75% 39% 65% 78% 94% (206) Biocapacity: gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (3) Pop: m

31 (109) GDP/cap:$ 12,700* Poland (2015) (106) HDI: % 74% 70% 63% 34% 73% 83% 49% 19% (37) SDI: 62 66% 74% 81% 39% 40% 52% 79% 76% 180) Biocapacity: -2.1 gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (25) Pop: 52 m

32 Russian Federation (2015) (71) GDP/cap:$ 22,160* (45) HDI: % 61% 58% 59% 25% 24% 73% 73% (57) SDI: 58 6% 50% 51% 65% 56% 41% 66% 73% 80% (37) Biocapacity: +1.1 gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (9) Pop: 143 m

33 Brazil (2015) (95) GDP/cap:$ 15,570* (69) HDI: % 69% 34% 59% 51% 22% 53% 83% 63% (60) SDI: 54 9% 29% 59% 53% 42% 68% 64% 77% (14) Biocapacity: +5.9 gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (5) Pop: 199 m

34 China (2015) (105) GDP/cap:$ 13,170* (88) HDI: % 65% 62% 69% 29% 72% 44% 39% 17% (89) SDI: 49 1% 43% 69% 62% 35% 44% 64% 67% (200) Biocapacity: -2.4 gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (1) Pop: 1408 m

35 South Africa (2015) (109) GDP/cap:$ 12,700* (106) HDI: % 61% 56% 23% 24% 33% 51% 53% 10% (98) SDI: 45 3% 38% 72% 39% 67% 37% 56% 76% (180) Biocapacity: -2.1 gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (25) Pop: 52 m

36 India (2015) (148) GDP/cap:$ 5,630* (121) HDI: % 69% 26% 39% 22% 21% 37% 35% (119) SDI: 36 21% 44% 53% 3% 10% 29% 39% 48% 70% (144) Biocapacity: -0.7 gha/cap Sources: UNSDSN, 2016 Preliminary SDG Index; World Bank, 2016; UNDP, 2015, GFN, 2016 (2) Pop: 1236 m

37 Post SDGs: All countries are now developing countries

38 Did UN member States actually agree to this? UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY: NEW YORK

39 #urbansdg Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, productive, resilient and sustainable

40 600 MILLION NEW PRODUCTIVE JOBS BY 2030 GUANGZHOU

41 SAFE, ADEQUATE & WELL-SERVICED HOUSING FOR 1-2 BILLION+ IN SLUMS HONG KONG

42 SECURE & INCLUSIVE BUILT ENVIRONMENT & UNIVERSAL ACCESS TO GREEN PUBLIC PLACES LONDON

43 SUSTAINABLE WATER SUPPLY & UNIVERSAL ACCESS TO ENVIRONMENTAL SERVICES BANGKOK

44 SECURE REGIONAL FOOD SYSTEMS & SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE VANCOUVER

45 SUSTAINABLE & ACCESSIBLE TRANSPORTION PERTH

46 RELIABLE, SUSTAINABLE ENERGY & CLEAN MANUFACTURING COPENHAGEN

47 DEPLOYMENT OF DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES HONG KONG

48 It s all about 600 million+ local jobs and universal provision of public goods & services

49 It s also about multi-trillion $ urban, infrastructure and housing financing opportunity: same conversation as the global financial architecture

50 New GLocal Partnerships: ~200 countries & 2,000+ local & regional governments enterprises, CSOs, unions, universities & citizens i.e. new political, governance and fiscal arrangements

51 Eight elements of the jigsaw puzzle I. Citizens & Communities II. Utilities & Service providers III. Informal and formal enterprises IV. Universities & Professionals V. Media & Public Opinion VI. Local & Regional Government VII. National Governments VIII.Financial Intermediaries & International Markets A. Getting Land and Property markets right B. Integrated Planning & Development C. Revising Economic & Financial models

52 Financing Sustainable urban development Estimated annual financing requirements for infrastructure & WSS SDGs: $ 0.7 to 1.4 trillion This cannot be bridged by legacy aid mechanisms Private flows will have to make up > 50% of this Global net savings is many times investment required Huge gap in financial architecture to enable this

53 Both hardware (e.g. infrastructure & buildings) and software (people services, institutions, capacity) End-uses Operations & Maintenance Upgradation Retrofitting Replacement What needs to be Financed?

54 Build governance & institutional capacity at local, regional, national and global scales at warp speed

55 Seven key steps on the way forward I. Recognise that cities & regions are the key success factor for successful SDG implementation II. Recognise #urban SDGs: are a powerful opportunity to strengthen member-state economy, society & polity III. Open an urban implementation focus in national & regional legislatures IV. Build a new architecture for localising Finance V. Recognize local Govts & communities as key to implementation VI. Cities as implementation frontrunners: Paris CoP21 VII. Establish a global geospatial M&E architecture

56 #urbansdgs (Goal Other Goals) = No one is left behind + No place is left behind

57 Led by citizens from the peripheries

58 Cities & Regions of the world unite..

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