The World Bank s Energy Business East Asia and Pacific

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1 Presentation to a Joint Energy Delegation to the World Bank October 14 th, 2008 The World Bank s Energy Business East Asia and Pacific Frederic Asseline Sr Energy Specialist Energy and TRansport Sector Unit East Asia and Pacific Region 1

2 Outline 1. Strategic Context EAP Energy Trends World Bank Group Commitments / EAP Region (FY 07 FY 08) 3. Activities associated with the Asia Sustainable and Alternative Energy Program ASTAE (FY 07 FY 09) 4. World Bank Energy Program 2008 Onwards 2

3 1- Strategic Context EAP Energy Trends The EAP region has the fastest energy demand growth among all regions in the world Coal to account for nearly half of primary energy environmental impacts Oil imports to rise security concerns Primary energy (Million tons oil equiv) 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 EAP to account for 30% of global energy demand growth (IEA 2004) EAP USA+Canada EU Developing East Asia South America South Asia Japan+Korea Rest of the World US$ million per year EAP medium-term needs in power (excl. China) 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Timor Leste Mongolia Cambodia Lao PDR PNG Philippines Vietnam Indonesia Power needs are rising in the EAP, and not only in China Power generation is dominated by coal (~75%); oil (~10%); gas (~10%); rest is renewables + nuclear 3

4 China is the 2nd largest source of global greenhouse gas emissions Indonesia is the 3rd if biomass is considered MCTO2e Global ranks highest CO2 Emitters CHINA INDONESIA USA China Indonesia Brazil Russia India Energy Agriculture Forestry Waste Source: WB, 2007, based on data sources for energy: IEA 2005 (except Indonesia, which uses PIE 2005); agriculture, 2005 data from USEPA 2006; Forestry: Houghton 2006; waste: 2005 data from USEPA 2006 The Bali Roadmap Sets a two-years time frame to strengthen the international response to climate change A central element of the roadmap for developing countries is the focus it places on creating investment opportunities by developing climate friendly technology and finance Several EAP countries have set ambitious targets for renewable energy generation, energy efficiency improvements, and access to electricity much remains to be done to reach these targets 4

5 % of population with electricity access Diversity: Access levels across region 100% 75% 50% 25% Timor-Leste Mongolia Cambodia Laos Philippines Vietnam Indonesia 0% PNG Population Level (Log of population in millions, 2002) China Access Access levels remain low in Indonesia, Cambodia, Lao, Timor Leste, PNG Energy Efficiency Energy efficiency is low in the EAP region compared to OECD average Renewable Energy Targets % of primary energy China 2010/ % Low Efficiency: Energy consumed per unit of GDP is still high in major EAP countries (Energy consumed to produce 1,000 dollars of GDP in 2003) Thailand Vietnam Mongolia Philippines 8% (2011) 5% 3-5% 5GW (2013) 0.0 Source: World Bank WDI Online, BP Statistical Review of World Energy

6 2- World Bank Group Commitments Energy / EAP Region / EE & RE Major Issues/Challenges Manage energy demand growth and increase energy efficiency Improve the energy sector's ability to attract investment Mitigate environmental impact of energy sector Scale up investments for increasing access to modern energy services The Bank Group s commitments (EAP Region) FY07 6

7 World Bank Group New Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Commitments in the East Asia Pacific Region FY02-FY07 (US$ millions) FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 New Renewables Commitments East Asia Pacific Region New Renewables Commitments World Bank Group Total Energy Efficiency Commitments East Asia Pacific Region Energy Efficiency Commitments World Bank Group Total East Asia Pacific Region Total Renewables and Energy Efficiency World Bank Group Total Renewables and Energy Efficiency

8 Mongolia, Laos, Cambodia China Power transmission for GMS (Cam, Laos); financing for generation; hydro (Laos); system rehab, commercialization Power transmission; regulation Rural power; biomass Energy sustainability Environmental cleaning, clean coal, reform of coal mining Heat service/access(mn) Gas T&D, renewables scale-up (incl hydro) Oil product procurement Power, heat efficiency Vietnam Indonesia Power investment framework; power generation, T&D, GMS Power T&D; power investment framework Gas T&D Rural power Pacific Islands Power generation (TL); commercialization Rural power; biomass Oil import security Mainstream CDM; gas T&D; geothermal Rural access (incl. renewables); biomass Philippines Power restructuring, investment framework Rural power distribution efficiency 8

9 China Renewables Efficiency Urban heating & gas (multi-sector) Desulfurization Coal sector restructuring Long-term energy sustainability (AAA) Country focus Vietnam Power generation (hydro, gas, coal) Power transmission & distribution Rural electrification Private participation strategy for power sector (AAA) Indonesia Rural electrification Power transmission & distribution Risk sharing framework for power generation investments (AAA) 9

10 Cambodia/Lao PDR/Mongolia Power sector financing strategies System rehabilitation & commercialization Rural electrification GMS (Cam, Lao) Heat (Mon) Pacific Islands Capacity building System rehabilitation & commercialization Rural electrification Hydro Middle-income Countries Regional energy trade CDM operations Knowledge broker role 10

11 EAP Region Energy Activities (FY 08) Lending: Cambodia GMS Power Trade Project Lao PDR GMS Power Trade Project Timor-Leste Energy Services Delivery Project Timor-Leste-SF-Gas Seep Harvesting Project GEF: Mongolia Renewable Energy for Rural Access Pacific Islands Sustainable Energy Finance PCF: China Inner Mongolia Huitengxile Wind Farm Philippines Northern Negros Geothermal Power AAA: Cambodia Oil and Gas Sector Policy China Coal Bed Methane Development Strategy Fiji Masterplan for Biomass Utilization Indonesia Policy Framework for Regional Electrification Mekong GMS Power Trade Timor-Leste PPIAF Power Regulatory Framework II and Household Energy Study Thailand Sustainable Energy Policies 11

12 EAP Region Opportunities (FY 09) Lending: Fiji FEA Renewable Power Development Mongolia UB Clean Air Project Philippines Bicol Power Restoration Project Vietnam Rural Power Distribution Project GEF: Indonesia Geothermal Sector Reform Regional / Pacific Islands Renewable Energy Development PCF: Cambodia Rural Electrification and Transmission Project Cambodia GMS Power Trade Project Indonesia Lahendong Geothermal Project Philippines Burgos Wind Power Project 12

13 EAP Region Opportunities (FY 09) AAA: Cambodia Power Sector Efficiency Study Indonesia Policy Support for Regional Electrification Lao PDR Review of Hydro Development Framework Mongolia Mitigation Sector Reform & Tariff Adjustment Mongolia Urban Heat Pricing & Regulation Regional Energy Flagship Study Regional Training for Access to Renewable Energy Solomon Islands Supervision of PTF Power Sector Review Vietnam Hydro Safeguards TA 13

14 China energy opportunities (FY08) Lending: China Energy Efficiency Financing Liaoning Medium City District Heating Shangdong Flue Gas Desulfurization GEF: China Thermal Power Efficiency Improvement Energy Efficiency Urban Transport PCF: China Baotou Steel Ind. Efficiency CDM China Guangdong Huizhou CCGT AAA: China Generation Pricing, Trading & Dispatch China Low Carbon Growth Strategy China Pre-Investment in Scale Up Energy (ESMAP) 14

15 4- Activities receiving ASTAE Funding 4- Activities associated with the Asia Sustainable and Alternative Energy Program ASTAE Objective: Scale-up the use of sustainable energy options in Asia to reduce energy poverty and protect the environment ASTAE SECTORAL WORK Access Energy Efficiency Renewable Energy CROSS-SECTORAL IMPACTS Innovative Investment Delivery Mechanisms Development of Institutional and Regulatory Frameworks Training and Knowledge Sharing 15

16 ASTAE Supported Activities in FY08 East Asia and Pacific Energy Flagship Study Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Mongolia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam Pacific Islands Sustainable Energy Financing Project Fiji, Marshall Islands, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu Vietnam Renewable Energy (REDP) Rural electrification (RE2) Energy Efficiency (SEIER / DSM) China Renewables / REDP and CRESP Efficiency / EE Financing and Heat Reforms 16

17 Mongolia Rural electrification / Renewable Energy / Distribution / Electricity Pricing / EE in Power Sector Timor Leste Gas Seep Harvesting Project / Energy Services Delivery project Fiji / Solomon Islands Strategic Master Plan for Biomass Development Sustainable Energy Financing Support to guarantees for Energy Enterprises (SI) Cambodia / Lao PDR / Thailand / Indonesia Rural electrification / Improved Cook stoves / (Cambodia) / Sustainable Energy Polices (Thailand) Philippines Burgos Wind Farm 17

18 ASTAE Supported Activities in FY08- FY09 Vietnam Implementation Support to DSM and REDP Projects Impact Studies of Rural Electrification / Documentary and Conference Material Mongolia Energy Efficiency Heating in the periphery of Ulan Bator Thailand Energy Efficiency Management Information Systems Pacific Islands Wind Resources Maps for Pacific Islands PNG and Fiji Pro-Poor Sub-5W Solomon Islands Rural Electrification and Renewable Energy China Implementation Support to CRESP and REDP Fiscal policies and sector regulations / small coalfired power plants phase-out Support to heat reform / Tianjin Municipality 18

19 ASTAE Supported Activities in FY08- FY09 Indonesia Preparation Support to Wb investment project Carbon Finance concept development Implementation Support GEF project / policy Pacific Islands Production of a documentary and conference material on energizing the pacific islands Publication on Energy solutions for the Pacific islands India Energy Efficiency in Small & Medium Enterprise, implemented bythge South Asia region Changing role of ASTAE from FY09 onwards Recipient Execution Re-opening to South Asia Multi-donor Trust Fund China Energy Efficiency in the Cement sector 19

20 ESMAP Supported Activities FY 09 ESMAP Regional Block Grant Supported Activities in FY09 Regional Greater Mekong Subregion Power Trade China Renewable Energy Targets / Assessment China Heat regulations, North East China Power Dispatch Energy Efficiency Improvement Vietnam Gas Masterplan II 20

21 World Bank Energy Program 2008 Onwards Lending Power Sector FGD implementation on new plants and retrofits Improving thermal efficiency of power plants proposed conversion to CHP Evaluating mechanisms to support to pilot IGCC power generation technology and prepare for carbon capture and storage Energy Efficiency & Clean Energy Energy efficiency financing through financial intermediaries focus is on industrial energy efficiency Coal Bed Methane Utilization [CBM] collecting and distributing CBM as LNG to small towns Heating system efficiency improvement projects Renewable Energy Biomass based CHP plants for heating Small hydro, wind, biomass, & geothermal private financing by IFC Advisory Power Sector Reform Incentive mechanisms to support the closure of small, inefficient coal fired plants Regulatory capacity building Advise on proposed new Energy Law Advise on expanding competition in generation Energy Efficiency and Clean Energy Support for financial intermediaries to scale-up energy efficiency lending and equipment leasing. Advise on heat sector regulation and preparation of heating law Low-Carbon Policy Study Assist policy makers in assessing the costs and implementation challenges to move to lowercarbon economy. Sustainable coal sector strategy Renewable Energy Developing national renewable resource assessment methodologies Wind turbine standards development and certification centers 21

22 Thank you Junhui Wu Sector Manager Energy & Transport East Asia and Pacific Region Contact: Frederic Asseline Contact: 22

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