Forecast Million Lbs. % Change 1. Carryin August 1, ,677, ,001, % 45.0

Save this PDF as:
 WORD  PNG  TXT  JPG

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Forecast Million Lbs. % Change 1. Carryin August 1, ,677, ,001, % 45.0"

Transcription

1 Almond Industry Position Report JANUARY Crop Year Salable Forecast Million Lbs /01-01/31 Kernel Wt /01-01/31 Kernel Wt. % Change 1. Carryin August 1, ,677, ,001, % 2. Crop Receipts to Date 2, ,242,586,076 2,108,202, % 3. [2% Loss and Exempt] 45.0 (44,851,722) (42,164,041) 4. New Crop Marketable (2-3) 2, ,197,734,354 2,066,038, % 5. [Reserve] n/a Total Supply (1+4-5) 2, ,596,411,466 2,478,039, Shipments by Handlers 7. Domestic ,876, ,816, % 8. Export 1, ,286, ,836, % 9. Total Shipments 2, ,232,163,542 1,116,652, % 10. Forecasted Carryout Computed Inventory (6-9) 1,364,247,924 1,361,386, % Commitments (sold, not delivered)** 12. Domestic 13. Export 14. Total Committed Shipments 252,782, ,839, ,621, ,859, ,351, ,211, % 25.32% Uncommitted Inventory (11-14) 762,626, ,174, % Handlers reporting commitments represent 97% of the 2016/2017 crop MONTHLY REPORT OF SALABLE HANDLER SHIPMENTS Crop Year Crop Year 01/01-01/31 08/01-01/31 01/01-01/31 08/01-01/31 DOMESTIC Shelled 38,769, ,461,757 38,620, ,509,034 Manufactured 24,429, ,449,884 21,552, ,784,601 Products 634,291 3,512,391 (9,581) 1,710,393 Inshell 230,404 3,791, ,221 3,764,928 (Interhandler Transfers) (1,315,540) (7,593,378) (2,139,319) (11,938,423) (Industry Purchases) (2,564,183) (12,744,835) (978,094) (11,013,776) Total: 60,183, ,876,944 29% 57,286, ,816,757 30% EXPORT Shelled 101,405, ,162,904 78,754, ,714,694 Manufactured 10,837,114 73,376,325 9,527,283 62,147,024 Products 225, ,627 15, ,945 Inshell 20,851, ,989,742 20,212, ,859,542 Total: 133,319, ,286,598 71% 108,509, ,836,205 70% NET SHIPMENTS 193,503,240 1,232,163, % 165,796,614 1,116,652, % EXEMPT/INEDIBLE SHIPMENTS 3,401,943 7,719, ,536,208 Source: ABC Form 25 February 09, 2018

2 Global 2017/ Current Current Percent vs. Current Month - January, 2018 August 1 through January 31, 2018 Current Month - January, 2017 August 1 through January 31, 2017 Destination > 250,000 LBS. Current are reported Total 2016/17 World Region Month Month Shiments Destination SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL + / - 84% 16% 100% 70% 30% 100% 81% 19% 100% 71% 29% 100% NORTH AMERICA 3% Canada 4,805, ,805,438 28,471,019 37,135 28,508,154 4,224, ,224,215 27,583,142 42,420 27,625,562 Mexico 1,205, ,205,557 11,369, ,369,887 1,335, ,335,040 10,481,108 2,100 10,483,208 5% Ttl NORTH AMERICA 6,010, ,010,995 39,897,866 37,135 39,935,001 5,565, ,565,735 38,077,210 44,520 38,121,730 LATIN AMERICA/CARIBBEAN 96% Argentina 233, ,475 1,513,819 17,073 1,530, , , ,350 8, , % Brazil 264, ,000 2,196,254 32,409 2,228,663 74, ,400 1,019,813 8,201 1,028,014 16% Chile 1,056, ,056,464 3,567, ,567, , ,000 3,070, ,070,546 20% Colombia 173, ,080 1,328, ,328, , ,100 1,109, ,109,080 22% Costa Rica 44, , , ,200 68, , , ,275 12% Peru 180, , , , , , , ,000 56% Trinidad 133, , , ,500 55, , , ,750 41% Ttl LATIN AMERICA/CARIBB 2,170, ,170,026 10,834,055 81,954 10,916,009 1,131, ,131,340 7,682,595 50,764 7,733,359 4% 11% Total AMERICAS 8,181, ,181,021 50,731, ,089 50,851,010 6,697, ,697,075 45,759,805 95,284 45,855,089 NORTHEAST ASIA 12% China/Hongkong 6,687,974 2,276,658 8,964,632 63,516,606 57,781, ,298,230 2,308,302 1,560,923 3,869,225 57,389,807 50,698, ,088,351 Japan 7,946, ,946,861 37,804, ,197 37,964,839 6,693, ,693,250 34,965, ,291 35,136,271 7% South Korea 4,937, ,937,357 26,885, ,885,145 3,908, ,908,452 25,188, ,188,662-11% Taiwan 1,134, ,134,000 6,088, ,633 6,410,755 1,277, ,277,250 6,933, ,713 7,184,110 10% Ttl NORTHEAST ASIA 20,705,760 2,277,090 22,982, ,294,515 58,264, ,558,969 14,187,044 1,561,133 15,748, ,481,446 51,119, ,600,994 SOUTHEAST ASIA 3% Indonesia 286, ,250 1,316, ,316, , ,500 1,274, ,274,081-7% Malaysia 408, ,128 2,777, ,777, , ,100 2,985, ,985,650-4% Philippines 28, , , ,733 18, , , ,817 1% Singapore 339, ,040 2,282,668 61,812 2,344, ,223 31, ,277 2,285,801 31,054 2,316,855 6% Thailand 317, ,625 2,139, ,139, , ,250 2,019, ,019,385-1% Vietnam 1,110,600 1,542,101 2,652,701 7,931,903 28,389,827 36,321, , , ,325 3,611,128 33,069,787 36,680,915-1% Ttl SOUTHEAST ASIA 2,490,195 1,542,101 4,032,296 16,727,307 28,451,639 45,178,946 1,534, ,201 1,931,452 12,478,862 33,100,841 45,579,703 SOUTH/CENTRAL ASIA 0% Afghanistan 88, , ,000 25, , % India 1,068,800 13,841,752 14,910,552 4,306, ,024, ,330, ,295 14,776,309 15,060,604 3,491, ,134, ,625, % Kazakhstan 1,362,900 63,000 1,425,900 4,746, ,083 4,929, , ,000-24% Pakistan 620, ,294 1,359,294 3,060,800 4,869,497 7,930,297 2,022,000 1,175,795 3,197,795 4,994,700 5,437,083 10,431,783-53% Tajikistan , , , ,200 1,668, ,668,550 30% Ttl SOUTH/CENTRAL ASIA 3,227,700 14,644,046 17,871,746 13,496, ,102, ,598,676 3,140,495 15,952,104 19,092,599 10,751, ,571, ,322,991 AUSTRALASIA/OCEANIA 44% Australia 456, ,628 1,968, ,968, , ,690 1,355,049 8,672 1,363,721 39% New Zealand 431, ,520 2,054, ,054, , ,500 1,480, ,480,199 42% Ttl AUSTRALASIA/OCEANIA 888, ,148 4,045, ,045, , ,190 2,841,699 8,672 2,850,371 33% 16% Total ASIA-PACIFIC 27,311,803 18,463,237 45,775, ,564, ,818, ,382,359 19,297,980 17,910,438 37,208, ,553, ,800, ,354,059

3 Global 2017/ Current Current Percent vs. Current Month - January, 2018 August 1 through January 31, 2018 Current Month - January, 2017 August 1 through January 31, 2017 Total 2016/17 World Region Month Month Shiments Destination SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL + / - 84% 16% 100% 70% 30% 100% 81% 19% 100% 71% 29% 100% WESTERN EUROPE 19% Belgium 3,367, ,367,900 10,916, ,916,600 1,640, ,640,925 9,106,453 58,083 9,164,536 10% Denmark 968, ,000 4,683, ,683, , ,075 4,262, ,262,108 23% France 3,995, ,995,836 16,333,852 17,010 16,350,862 2,870, ,870,875 13,259,175 16,835 13,276,010 12% Germany 13,683, ,683,615 66,771, ,771,722 13,021,824 30,600 13,052,424 59,453,879 93,794 59,547,673 Greece 927, ,450 5,864,093 41,424 5,905, , , ,900 5,187, ,381 5,478,195 53% Ireland 24, , , , , ,164 13% Italy 7,138, ,988 7,446,590 35,140,102 1,656,364 36,796,466 4,849, ,413 5,034,463 31,819, ,680 32,685,907 Netherlands 4,964, ,964,089 28,403, ,403,645 4,553, ,553,674 26,304, ,304,501 2% Norway 455, ,000 3,719, ,719, , ,578 3,663, ,663,068 94% Portugal 387, ,000 1,838, ,838, , , , ,589 4% Spain 18,757,261 30,600 18,787,861 97,339, ,386 98,172,932 16,743, ,311 17,247,136 92,975,698 1,621,465 94,597,163 23% Sweden 1,088, ,088,000 3,415, ,415, , ,000 2,773, ,773,550-1 Switzerland 300, ,000 1,708, ,708, , ,000 2,076, ,076,500 1 United Kingdom 3,416, ,416,628 19,862,704 30,775 19,893,479 3,091, ,091,842 16,819, ,819,997 10% -11% Ttl WESTERN EUROPE CENTRAL/EASTERN EUROPE Bulgaria 59,474, , , ,813, , ,772,453 1,304,000 2,578, ,351,412 1,304,000 49,695, , , ,606, , ,139,698 1,461,474 2,947, ,086,936 1,461,474 19% Croatia 124, ,000 1,271, ,271, , ,850 1,067, ,067,850 30% Czech Republic 220, ,000 1,142, ,142,900 44, , , ,850 9 Estonia 924, ,000 5,403,200 63,347 5,466, , ,600 2,766, ,766, % Latvia 257, ,000 1,899,950 31,316 1,931,266 81, , , ,250 70% Lithuania 484, ,000 2,287, ,287, , ,000 1,346, ,346,000 39% Poland 250, ,400 2,191, ,191, , ,200 1,579, ,579,400-45% Romania 125, , , , , , , ,000-11% Russia , ,350 84, , , , Ukraine 196, , , , ,900 36, , , ,500 4 Ttl CENTRAL/EASTERN EURO 2,886, ,886,400 18,153, ,063 18,370,813 2,120, ,120,100 12,413, ,413,224 26% 12% Total EUROPE 62,361, ,588 62,699, ,926,203 2,796, ,722,225 51,815, ,024 52,726, ,552,922 2,947, ,500,160-24% MIDDLE EAST Bahrain 114, , ,014 8, ,855 63, , ,586 6, ,799 52% Cyprus 88, , , ,000 36, , , ,400 66% Iraq 72, , , ,000 36, , , ,000 21% Israel 990,050 53,183 1,043,233 5,348, ,042 5,497, ,750 63, ,886 4,454,750 95,923 4,550,673 3% Jordan 802,000 47, ,925 4,634, ,321 5,042, ,000 58, ,185 4,390, ,171 4,888,446-29% Kuwait 472, ,500 1,564,725 15,429 1,580, , ,000 2,191,350 33,525 2,224,875 27% Lebanon 264, ,000 3,625,525 3,390 3,628, , ,000 2,864, ,864,400 64% Qatar , ,500 87, , , ,000-30% Saudi Arabia 1,977, ,104 2,127,604 7,637, ,967 8,010,267 1,801,034 79,533 1,880,567 11,175, ,656 11,433,750 4% Turkey 3,834,075 1,065,471 4,899,546 14,126,319 21,804,062 35,930, , ,285 1,539,985 14,226,110 20,350,995 34,577,105 13% United Arab Emirates 4,673, ,110 5,306,760 31,636,103 7,376,141 39,012,244 4,885, ,469 5,165,169 29,942,936 4,672,863 34,615,799 4% -49% Ttl MIDDLE EAST NORTH AFRICA Egypt 13,287, ,000 1,949,793 68,190 15,237, ,190 70,746, ,000 30,138,193 86, ,884, ,190 9,608, ,225 1,373,608 17,042 10,982, ,267 70,827,901 1,498,225 25,916,346 99,934 96,744,247 1,598, % Libya , ,000 72, ,000 72, , % Morocco 349, , , , , , , , % Ttl NORTH AFRICA SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA South Africa 833, , , , ,100 2,176,335 3,036, , ,294,475 3,036, , ,951 17, , ,951 4,333,675 2,723,291 99, ,433,609 2,723,291 7% Ttl SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 492, ,100 3,151, ,151, , ,951 2,949, ,949,041 9% 2% Total MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA 14,613,825 2,049,933 16,663,758 76,074,671 30,256, ,331,004 10,486,735 1,390,650 11,877,385 78,110,617 26,016, ,126,897

4 Global 2017/ Current Current Percent vs. Current Month - January, 2018 August 1 through January 31, 2018 Current Month - January, 2017 August 1 through January 31, 2017 Total 2016/17 World Region Month Month Shiments Destination SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL + / - 84% 16% 100% 70% 30% 100% 81% 19% 100% 71% 29% 100% 12% TOTAL EXPORTS 29% 6% TOTAL DOMESTIC 100% 10% GRAND TOTAL SHIPMENTS 112,467,739 20,851, ,319, ,296, ,989, ,286,598 88,297,758 20,212, ,509, ,976, ,859, ,836,205 60,183, ,876,944 57,286, ,816, ,503,240 1,232,163, ,796,614 1,116,652,962

5 Almond Board of California Almond Board Quality Control Receipts Report Industry Summary August 1, 2017 through January 31, 2018 From ABC Form 1 From USDA Inspection Certificates Variety Name Total Receipts Total Receipts Total Inedibles % of Total Receipts % Rejects Aldrich 70,573,670 70,258,777 1,919, % 2.73% Avalon 6,983,695 6,930, , % 5.59% Butte 93,204,077 91,980,580 1,492, % 1.62% Butte/Padre 241,997, ,094,092 3,214, % 1.33% Carmel 132,509, ,324,352 3,260, % 2.56% Carrion 376, ,162 6, % 2.17% Folsom 1,423,401 1,419,532 28, % 1.97% Fritz 106,566, ,710,272 2,858, % 2.70% Hash 8,308,255 3,760, , % 10.10% Hashem 97,050 97,001 1, % 1.64% Independence 55,730,033 55,723,030 1,331, % 2.39% Livingston 5,551,463 5,452, , % 2.83% Marchini 393, ,756 27, % 6.90% Marcona 2,105,621 1,320,402 30, % 2.30% Merced 88,145 48, % 1.84% Mission 10,784,953 10,900,823 92, % Mixed 36,125,826 48,604,650 3,854, % 7.93% Mono 317, ,141 11, % 5.73% Monterey 363,200, ,278,978 10,009, % 2.79% Morley 534, ,581 8, % 1.35% Neplus 765, ,640 37, % 5.14% Nonpareil 915,525, ,813,915 20,756, % 2.29% Padre 33,523,645 33,839, , % 0.66% Peerless 3,874,040 3,843,340 40, % 1.05% Price 20,732,168 19,599, , % 1.97% Ruby 2,280,364 2,300,865 40, % 1.74% Savana 280, ,739 3, % 2.32% Sonora 31,235,956 31,132,677 1,095, % 3.52% Supareil 4,040,239 4,037,234 95, % Thompson 509, ,542 6, % 3.20% Tokyo 380, ,886 5, % 1.49% Winters 9,442,703 9,278, , % 4.14% Wood Colony 82,047,227 81,028,545 1,491, % 1.84% Major Varieties Sub Total 2,241,510,325 2,222,734,849 53,636, % 2.41% Minor Varieties Sub Total 1,075, ,159 20, % 2.13% Grand Total All Varieties 2,242,586,076 2,223,705,008 53,657, % 2.41% This report is subject to futher verification of handler's receipts and futher reconciliation of USDA Incoming Certificates Friday, February 9, 2018

6 Almond Board of California Record Breaking History Million Pounds Domestic 17/18 vs. 16/17 17/18 16/17 15/16 14/15 13/14 12/13 11/12 10/11 9/10 8/9 August 14.4% September -13.3% October 6.3% November 17.0% December 7.7% January 5.0% February March April May June July Total 5.97% Export 17/18 vs. 16/17 17/18 16/17 15/16 14/15 August -8.9% September -2.2% October 4.1% November 23.7% December 41.6% January 22.9% February March April May June July Total 12.22% 13/ , , , , , , , , /13 11/12 10/11 9/10 8/9 Net 17/18 vs. 16/17 17/18 16/17 15/16 14/15 August -0.9% September -5.4% October 4.6% November December 30.9% January 16.7% February March April May June July Total 10.34% 13/14 1, , , , , , , , , , /13 11/12 10/11 9/10 8/9