ENVIRONMENTAL RISK MANAGEMENT

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1 ENVIRONMENTAL RISK MANAGEMENT Jaime Lima September, DNV GL 2014 September, 2014 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

2 Objective To present the development of the Environmental Risk Management in Brazil. To present what is currently required by Brazilian regulations. To discuss the future needs in order to control environmental risk under a big increase of offshore activities 2

3 Topics Introduction (History) ERM methodology (Current Situation) Final comments (Discussing the future) 3

4 About DNVGL One of the most recognized consultancy company for Risk Management in the World including Environmental aspects DNVGL was responsible to lead the work group for development of Environmental Risk Analysis methodology for OGP In Brazil: Working in local risk analysis for oil industry since the beginning (1984) Responsible for the first Quantitative Environmental Risk analysis in Brazil Largest group (40 consultants) developing risk analysis, risk management, asset risk management and environmental risk analysis 4

5 Introduction Before 2000: 2000: 2007: Low level of requirements. Petrobras initiatives. CONAMA nº 237/97. Guanabara Bay and Curitiba oil spills in Explosion and spill at the Roncador Field in Federal Law Nº 9966 setting requirements for prevention, monitoring and inspection of pollution. ANP 43 (Management System for Operational Safety). MMA nº 422/2011. Complementary Law 140/2011. CGPEG responsible for O&G license process. IBAMA Term of Reference for Environmental Risk Managment 5

6 Introduction Oil Spills in Brazil Number of Oil Spills due Offshore Activities in Brazil Number of Oil Spills per Mb in Brazil Volume of Oil Spills per Mb in Brazil (b/mb) Source: ANP reports International Average OGP = (>1 barrel) International Average OGP =1.2 6

7 ERM methodology Steps for Environmental Licensing Process Definition of the documents, projects and environmental studies The company requests the environmental license The Environmental Agency analyzes the documentation Additional documents may be required by the Environmental Agency Public hearing, following specific legislation (CONAMA Nº 09) Additional documents may be required by the Environmental Agency Environmental Agency issues a Term of Reference (ToR) 7

8 ERM methodology ERM steps, according Term of Reference (ToR) Description of Facilities Historical Analysis of Environmental Accidents Identification of Accidental Scenarios Evaluation of the frequency of accidental scenarios Evaluation of Consequences Oil drift modelling Vulnerability analysis Identification of Valued Environmental Component (VEC) Environmental Risk Calculation Recovery Time / Occurrence Time Relationship Review of the Risk Analysis Risk Management Plan (RMP) 8

9 ERM methodology ERM steps, according Term of Reference (ToR) Each ToR is prepared according to project particularity or activity and environmental characteristics of the area. Some aspects that are considered: Distance from the coast; Water deep: shallow water until 400 m and deep/ultra deep waters between 400 and m; Influence area and its respective ESI (Environmental Sensitivity Index) The ESI can be found in SAO Charts (Oil Environmental Sensitivity Charts) 9

10 ERM methodology Qualitative Studies Preliminary Hazard Analysis (PHA) Quantitative Studies Frequency Calculation based on International data base or fault tree modeling Consequence Simulation (Oil dispersion models, Damage estimation for each Valued Environmental Component (VEC) Risk Calculation 10

11 ERM methodology Main challenges for Quantitative Studies: Utilization Factor Spill Categories: Spill Category Volume Category Small Up to 8 m 3 Medium 8 to 200 m 3 Large More than 200 m 3 11

12 ERM methodology Main challenges for Quantitative Studies: Impact of oil in each VEC type Percentage of damage in each VEC cell Rocky Shores Coral Reefs Sandy Beaches 12

13 Final Considerations The future: Increase of offshore activities Distance of the coast and deep More complex operations and logistic Advantages and Challenges 13

14 Advantages and Challenges Advantages Challenges Distance to coast (Pre-salt: 250 km) Most of oil produced will be transferred to the coast using tankers Probably oil will not achieve the coast Frequency of spills could be high during transference of 3 Mbd for 350 km Using data from ITOPF and considering 3 Mbd produced, the estimated frequency for large spill (>700 t) will be 1 per 20 years Therefore, we can predict that, in addition to leaks from platforms, most of spills will occur due to leakage from tankers 14

15 Final Considerations The future: Qualitative approach could be not enough What we need to do: Include accidents with tankers Open discussion about quantitative approach Utilization Factor Spill Categories Percentage of damage in each cell reached Intensify research to obtain reliable data for local VCE 16

16 THANK YOU! Jaime Eduardo Pinto Lima SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER 17

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