Planning for Sea Level Rise in Florida
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1 Planning for Sea Level Rise in Florida Dr. Kathryn Frank Department of Urban and Regional Planning College of Design, Construction and Planning University of Florida February 28, 2012
2 Sea Level Rise Projections Some planning initiatives consider up to 2.5 m by 2100 Source: IPCC, 2007
3 Potential Impacts of Sea Level Rise More frequent inundation at high tides Higher storm surge Higher water table and saltwater intrusion Increased flooding (lack of drainage) Greater coastal erosion Vegetation changes (affect storm buffering) The Nature Conservancy video:
4 Sea Level Rise Planning Prominent cases across Florida - examples South Florida (Miami- Dade, Broward, Palm Beach, Monroe) Tampa Bay region Collier County Charlotte Harbor and Estuary, City of Punta Gorda Satellite Beach, Cape Canaveral (Volusia County) Lower and upper Big Bend
5 Sea Level Rise Planning Projects for which I am Principal Investigator Levy County Florida Sea Grant Two years Matanzas Basin National Estuarine Research Reserve Science Collaborative Guana Tolomato Matanzas NERR Three years
6 Project Goals Initiate community conversations about sea level rise Provide basic locally relevant information about potential impacts of sea level rise and options for adaptation
7 University-Community Partnership Interests, Information, Data, Tools, Techniques, Resources, Networking
8 Levy County Project
9 Fundamental Research Rural Planning for Sea Level Rise Goal: Initiate planning F, L, Reiss Literature Review Project Management All Research Questions F, Reis s Evaluation L Transferable Planning Process F Big Bend Conditions and Needs Big Bend Steering Committee Planning Process Optimization and Transferability Project Transfer to Big Bend Levy County Pilot Study Easley (E) Frank (F) Grist (G) Jourdan (J) Lewis (L) Obonyo (O) Ries (R) Ruppert (Ru) Technical Analyses Conduct vulnerability assessments, and conservation design Next pg Background, Visualization and Communication Conduct background info, visualization and communication tools F, G, J, L Collaboration Facilitate Levy Co steering committee, public workshops, media Future Planning and Policymaking Conduct conflict and readiness assessments, strategies toolbox, plan to plan J, E, L F, J, Ru, O, R, P
10 Levy County Pilot Study Technical (Spatial) Analyses Vulnerability Assessments Conservation Design Bathtub Inundation; Storm Surge; Critical Infrastructure, Facilities and Ecology; Vulnerable Populations Z, P Future Development (with sea level rise) P, O, R Frank (F) Hoctor (H) Linhoss (Li) Lewis (L) Obonyo (O) Peng (P) Ries (R) Zwick (Z) SLAMM, Shoreline Erosion and Hardening Future Development (without sea level rise) Impacts to Water Resources Li Z R, F Habitat and Species Adaptation Corridors Economic Perspective H F, P
11 Bathtub Inundation
12
13 Vegetation Change - Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM) Charlotte, FL Initial Condition Year 2100 (IPCC A1B Mean)
14 Future Development
15 Habitat and Species Migration Corridor Design
16 Levy Co Pilot Study Technical Analyses Visual + Communication Collaboration J, E, L Future Planning and Policy Making Levy County Steering Committee Public Relations, Media, Website Public Workshops Background Info, Vulnerability Assessments, Visual Communication Conservation Design, Future Scenarios, Visual Communication Strategies Toolbox Presentations to Community Groups Conflict Assessment Special Group Envisioning Readiness Assessment Plan to Plan Final Public Workshops (Charrettes)
17 SCHEDULE 1-Sp 1-Su 1-Fa 2-Sp 2-Su 2-Fa Levy Co Steering Committee; Website and Communications Background Info; Vulnerability Assessments; Visual Communication Presentations to Community Groups; Conflict Assessment Conservation Design; Future Scenarios; Visual Communication Special Group Envisioning Readiness Assessment; Strategies Toolbox; Plan to Plan Final Public Workshops (Charrettes)
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