Countries with highest potential for solar process heat The cases of France and Morocco

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Oswald Singleton
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1 Countries with highest potential for solar process heat The cases of France and Morocco Montpellier, 13 September, 2015

2 REmap A roadmap for doubling the RE share Context: UN Sustainable Energy for All Scope: 40 countries; 80% of the global energy use Method: Additional RE Options by cost and potentials Focus: on power, district heat and end-use sectors Engagement: national REmap experts 36% is realisable with both RE, EE & sustainable access Affordable when externalities are accounted for Potential exist in all countries 2

3 REmap 2030 and technology roadmaps REmap 2030 Technology briefs Manufacturing Cities Country N Country N+39 RE grid integration Region A 3 3

Global RE Use in 2030 including REmap Options REmap 2030 132 EJ (final energy)

4 Global RE Use in 2030 including REmap Options REmap EJ (final energy) 60% of total is biomass; and 20% is industry (18% biomass & 2% solar thermal) 4

5 Progress per End-Use Sector 5

6 Options in the Manufacturing Sector With the right policies, the renewable energy share of the manufacturing sector could more than double to 26% 6

7 Share of solar thermal in process heat generation Morocco UAE Mexico Turkey Nigeria Australia China France South Africa United States Global 26 REmap Germany Brazil India United Kingdom Ukraine Indonesia Italy Canada Denmark Japan Malaysia Russia Saudi Arabia South Korea Ecuador Country by country potentials 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Reference Case REmap

8 China Rest of the world United States India UAE Nigeria Brazil Turkey Mexico Australia Germany France South Africa Morocco Indonesia Ukraine United Kingdom Italy Canada Denmark Japan Malaysia Russia Saudi Arabia South Korea Ecuador Cumulative installed capacity in REmap 2030 (million m2) Country by country potentials Worldwide, up to 510 billion EURO cumulative investments in Europe 9-26 billion EURO investments required 8

9 More potential exists 9

10 Key findings (1/3) By technology Solar thermal heating for various applications up to 15% of the total techno-economic potential 10

11 Key findings (2/3) By region OECD and Asian countries account for majority of the total global techno-economic potential 11

12 Key findings (3/3) Costs in 2030 Solar thermal close to cost-competitiveness in most regions by

13 France and Morocco 13

14 Prioritisation areas Small and medium enterprises: >90% of all industrial plants, low absolute energy demand per plant Regional aspects: energy pricing and climate policies, growth of industry versus availability of resources Solar thermal systems: potentials exist, but more deployment needed High investment costs and lack of finance options Fossil fuel pricing Public awareness Scaling issues Lack of suitable design guidelines and tools 14

15 Guiding international cooperation 15

16 Study on developing quality infrastructure for SWH Key question of the study: How to develop and implement QA mechanisms while balancing costs and benefits? - Performance - Reliability -HS&E -Bankable projects Testing & Certification Cost In-country Expertise End user Awareness 16

17 Keep updated 17

18 THANK YOU

19 Manufacturing sector energy Breakdown of global TFEC in 2012 (382 EJ) Agriculture/for estry/fishing 2% NEU 9% Industry (incl. BF & CO) 31% 40% 25% 13% Residential & commercial 31% 6% 4% 12% Transport 27% 19 Source: IEA (2015)

20 Sector roadmap methodology 1) Projections of industrial energy use: (ten world regions) 2) Production costs of process heat generation: ) Potential of renewables (bioenergy, solar thermal, geothermal, heat pumps) 1) Technical potentials, capital stock and temperature level, two scenarios: Optimistic and Realistic 2) Economic potentials, comparison of process heat generation costs, two scenarios: Moderate climate policy and Ambitious climate policy 3) Economically realisable potentials, comparison of economic potentials with resource supply (notably for biomass) 4) Allocation of realisable potentials to different temperature levels 20

21 Potentials of renewable energy technologies (EJ/yr) Ambitious Climate - Optimistic technical Ambitious Climate - Realistic technical Moderate Climate - Optimistic technical Moderate Climate - Realistic technical Key findings (1/4) Techno-economic scenarios Additional RE use EJ for the global industry by 2030, Low-cost biomass basis for process heat generation: EJ (both existing & new capacity) Geothermal and heat pumps for LT heat 3 EJ (new capacity) Biomass as feedstock 1-2 EJ Biomass - process heat Solar thermal Heat pump Biomass - feedstock Geothermal Electricity 21

22 Capital cost (USD/kW) IEA-ETSAP/IRENA Technology briefs: Costs today Installed capacity (kw) Austria China Germany Greece India Israel Italy Portugal Spain Turkey Vietnam USA Economies of scale play an important role for solar process heating 22

REmap 2030: Renewables for manufacturing industry

REmap 2030: Renewables for manufacturing industry Paris, 11 May, 2015 REmap 2030 2 REmap 2030 - A roadmap for doubling the RE share In 2011, UN Secretary-General initiated the global Sustainable Energy