LNG from Western Canada: developing a new supply hub

Transcription

1 LNG from Western Canada: developing a new supply hub Gastech Betsy Spomer March 2014 Source: BG Group Ridley Island (Prince Rupert)

2 Legal notice The following presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning BG Group plc s strategy, operations, financial performance or condition, outlook, growth opportunities or circumstances in the countries, sectors or markets in which BG Group plc operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve uncertainty because they depend on future circumstances, and relate to events, not all of which can be controlled or predicted. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Actual results could differ materially from the guidance given in this presentation for a number of reasons. For a detailed analysis of the factors that may affect our business, financial performance or results of operations, we urge you to look at the Principal risks and uncertainties included in the BG Group plc Annual Report & Accounts Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit forecast and no part of this presentation constitutes, or shall be taken to constitute, an invitation or inducement to invest in BG Group plc or any other entity, and must not be relied upon in any way in connection with any investment decision. BG Group plc undertakes no obligation to update any forwardlooking statements. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information in this presentation and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by BG Group plc or any of its respective subsidiaries, affiliates and associated companies (or by any of their respective officers, employees or agents) in relation to it. 2

3 Shale gas basins Large undeveloped shale gas resource base Resource (gas in place) is massive; over 1,200 tcf Extensive gas pipeline network Favorable fiscal regime, moderate work commitments, long terms Tightly-leased tracts available through JVs, M&A or farm-ins Numerous companies, including Chevron, Shell, and XOM, have entered Source: Map from Advanced Resources International (2012) WCSB = Western Canada Sedimentary Basin 3

4 Shipping distances to Asia Asia Pacific Japan 3,940 n miles W. Canada US Gulf Coast E. Africa Japan 9,282 n miles Japan 6,747 n miles Other trades in nautical miles (n) Source Market Distance Qatar Japan 6,314 Australia Japan 3,683 Egypt Japan 7,573 Source: Dataloy (2013) 4

5 Canada LNG exports geography Horn River Montney Prince Rupert Kitimat 5

6 Site selection B.C. coastline is challenging Site selection critical Key criteria for site selection: Sufficient land for material project First Nations impacts Marine access with deep water and turning basin Limited impact to sensitive fishing and spawning grounds Reasonable dredging and jetty length Access to infrastructure; road and rail access Distance from known fault lines Line of sight on feasible pipeline route Source: Google Maps 6

7 Multiple projects and sites proposed Stewart Stewart Energy LNG Kitsault Kitsault Energy Horn River/ Liard Cordova Portland inlet Nisga a First Nation Prince Rupert Prince Rupert LNG (BG Group) Pacific NorthWest LNG (Petronas) Aurora LNG (CNOOC) Woodside LNG WCC LNG (ExxonMobil) Kitimat Alaska Prince Rupert British Columbia Stewart Kitsault Portland Inlet Kitimat Montney Alberta Douglas Channel LNG (LNG Partners) Kitimat LNG (Chevron / Apache) LNG Canada (Shell & partners) Triton LNG (AltaGas / Idemitsu) Campbell River Discovery LNG (Quicksilver Resources) Squamish Coastal Mountains Campbell River Port Alberni Squamish Rocky Mountains Canada USA Woodfibre LNG (Pacific Energy Corporation) Port Alberni Port Alberni Port Authority Montana Source: Google Maps / BG Group 7

8 Northern British Columbia (B.C.) Grassy Pt. Kitsault Ridley Is. Lelu Is. Source: Google Maps 8

9 Prince Rupert LNG site Source: BG Group Ridley Island (Prince Rupert)

10 Prince Rupert LNG proposed site plan

11 Source: Spectra Energy LNG from Western Canada: developing a new supply hub Proposed pipelines Spectra - BG Route TCPL-PETRONAS Route Grassy Point TCPL-Shell Route Kitimat Chevron/Apache

12 Pipeline challenges Working in cold weather Construction on steep gradients Experience in rock blasting and excavation Source: Spectra Energy 12

13 Western Canada LNG exports Challenges Varied geography: for site and pipeline routing Securing licence to operate Consultation and negotiation with First Nations and communities Cost creep Fiscal creep Multiple projects competing for same markets: buyer confusion Local stakeholder perspective: an overwhelming array of options 13

14 Western Canada LNG exports Positives Vast and high quality gas resources Strong B.C. Government support Established gas industry: existing infrastructure and skilled workforce Close to Asian markets Cost of supply is competitive Ambient temperature improves midstream unit costs Local communities accustomed to industrial development and supportive Access to North American gas market provides liquidity Source: BG Group 14

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