GFCS Caribbean: Implementation Support from CIMH

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1 GFCS Caribbean: Implementation Support from CIMH ADRIAN R. TROTMAN C H I E F, A P P L I E D M E T E O R O L O G Y A N D C L I M A T O L O G Y CARIBBEAN INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGY A ND HYDROLOGY Meeting on the Implementation Coordination of the GFCS 29 September to 1 October, 2014 Geneva

2 Functions of the Caribbean Institute for Meteorology & Hydrology WMO Regional Training Centre meteorology, hydrology and associated sciences Operate as a centre of research in meteorology, hydrology and associated sciences Regional Climate Data Centre - Data collection, storage, & dissemination Regional Instrument Centre Develop, maintain, repair, and calibrate meteorological & hydrological instruments Regional Centre of Excellence for Satellite Meteorology WMO Regional Climate Centre (Demonstration Phase) Advisor to regional governments on matters related to meteorology, climate & hydrology Provide specialized services to industry An arm of the Caribbean Meteorological Organisation (CMO) Sixteen Member States

3 Caribbean Meteorological Organization Member States

4 Caribbean Meteorological Organization Membership Anguilla Antigua and Barbuda Barbados Belize British Virgin Islands Cayman Islands Dominica Grenada Guyana Jamaica Montserrat St. Kitts/Nevis Saint Lucia St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Turks and Caicos Islands

5 Guiding Framework1 CDM Strategy is to realize the Safer, more resilient and sustainable CDEMA Participating States through Comprehensive Disaster Management. Five main priorities: Hazard Mapping And Vulnerability Assessment, Flood Management, Community Disaster Planning, Early Warning Systems, Climate Change, and Knowledge Enhancement Four Outcomes Outcome 1: Institutional support for CDM programme implementation at national and regional levels is enhanced. Outcome 2: An effective mechanism and programme for management of CDM knowledge has been established. Outcome 3: Disaster Risk Management (DRM) has been mainstreamed at national levels and incorporated into key sectors of national economies (including tourism, health, agriculture and nutrition). Outcome 4: Community resilience in CDERA (now CDEMA) States to mitigate and respond to the adverse effects of climate change and disasters is enhanced

6 Guiding Framework 2 In 2012, the CARICOM Heads of Government approved the Implementation Plan for the 'Regional Framework for Achieving Development Resilient to Climate Change' (the Regional Framework) for the period that addresses the Region's approach for coping with long-term climate change as outlined in the 2009 Liliendaal Declaration on Climate Change and Development. Three areas of consistency with GFCS: Seeks to guide the identification and prioritization of actions by regional and national stakeholders under each strategic element and goal area of the Regional Framework through the use of risk management approaches to decision making; Considers responsibilities and functional co-operation between regional organizations and national governments; Recognizes that there are existing significant resource and capacity challenges that hold back the region's sustainable development and growth and processes known as the 'three-ones' to assist in resource mobilization and co-ordination of actions; Proposes a monitoring and evaluation (M&E) framework.

7 User Interface Platform - to provide a means for users, user representatives, climate researchers and climate service providers to interact Climate Services Information System - to collect, process and distribute climate data and information according to the needs of users and according to the procedures agreed by governments and other data providers Observations and Monitoring - to ensure that the climate observations necessary to meet the needs of climate services are generated. Research, Modelling and Prediction - to assess and promote the needs of climate services within research agendas GFCS Components 7 Users, Government, private sector, research, agriculture, water, health, construction, disaster reduction, environment,tourism, transport, etc User Interface Climate Services Information System Observations and Monitoring CAPACITY BUILDING Research, Modeling and Prediction Capacity Building - to support systematic development of the necessary institutions, infrastructure and human resources to provide effective climate services.

8 User Interface Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) - Reestablished in June 2010, CariCOF with seasonal forecasts since 2012, First dry season COF Dec ( Season) key to stakeholder engagement. NCOFs CIMH willing to provide tehnical support Long term support for seasonal COFs required. National Stakeholder Meetings Belize 2013 Dominica 2014 Other countries planned for 2015 Developing Interactive web portal Collaboration on Information Flow - Networks, evaluation

9 Sectoral Meetings Already for Agriculture, DRR Forums with the farming community and agricultural extension agencies to promote a better understanding of the applications of weather and climate information Important for understanding farmers needs and how to communicate with them Means for communication, awareness, education, and feedback. Suggested wet/hurricane and dry season Began under CAMI and continues in some countries by NMHS

10 Climate Services Information System Web page with links to climate data and information Climate web-based (interactive) portal Dewetra and Climate Impacts Database (CID) CariCOF Supports information delivery NCOFs to support information delivery

11 Suite of Outlook Products Tool(s) for Dynamic Downscaling? Next Flood Risk Outlooks, Sub-seasonal information and forecasts Future Heat Waves

12 Climate Outlook Newsletter Climate and Impacts Monitoring + Forecast/OUtlook 12

13 SPI outlook AMJJAS (YEAR) 2. any area with imminent drought risk? Previous month s update: drought imminent over Martinique, St. Vincent, Barbados, Curaçao, parts of Guianas (left inset). This month s update: drought imminent over Dominica, Martinique, St. Vincent, Barbados, Trinidad & Tobago, northern Guyana (below). Drought imminent in parts of Southern Caribbean 13

14 Drought Bulletin Drought Monitoring and Impacts + Drought Forecast/Outlook 14

15 Agriculture CSIS Existing and Planned Regional Agroclimatic Bulletin Began under CAMI for farmers in Jamaica Preparation and dissemination of a user-friendly weather and climate bulletins and information Daily, week ten-daily, monthly, seasonally But potential for print, radio, television, mobile/cellular, telecentres Developing an Effective Communication Strategy involving media that can reach farmers with language they can understand

16 Capacity Building

17 Seasonal Forecast Training Pre-CariCOF training 2012 use of CPT tool for rainfall outlook - terciles 2013 plus verification and communication 2014 plus SPI (drought) Outlook, temperature forecast Future focus enhancing forecast verification, flood potential, sub-seasonal forecasts Stakeholder awareness building

18 Climate Monitoring Training Drought Monitoring and Planning training began in 2012 in collaboration with NDMC USA, to be expanded in January 2015 Three Drought Plans/Committees Drafted out of 2012 Jamaica, Grenada, St. Lucia (approved) Near Future temperature, wind Also Climate training in CIMH routine courses

19 Observations and Monitoring 1 Data Management CIMH is the data archiving and management centre for meteorological data for CMO Member Disseminates regional data Recently built a customised data management system with financial support from the Caribbean Development Bank (CDB) data sharing protocols A light version to be developed for NMHS to synchronise with the Central Database supported by USAID enhancing data sharing To be expanded as a regional environmental database in collaboration with the Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre (CCCCC)

20 Observations and Monitoring 2 Expanding national observations networks through a number of projects managed by multiple national and regional organisations in the region and financially supported by a range of development agencies Expanding network includes water level measurements and soil moisture to assist in drought monitoring and forecasting Discussions on observation network homogeneity, however at times difficult due to conditions set out by sponsoring developing agencies Expanding remote sensing activities

21 Observations and Monitoring 3 Developing a regional Climate Impacts Database that would include physical and socio-economic impacts to assist in research and planning With link to existing DEWETRA Multi-hazard Platform for real time information for decisionmaking also some interfacing Supported by and in turn will be supporting DRR Sector So Climate Services to DRR being developed

22 Research, modelling and prediction Climate drivers, trends, predictions, projections CSGM UWI, INSMET, CIMH Physical and socio-economic impacts and vulnerability supported by CID and Dewetra Developing Climate Impacts Database to drive research Climate to relate to impacts (thresholds, warnings, suitability of conditions etc ) Research Priorities

23 GFCS Caribbean Launch 1 A key consideration for advancing implementation of the GFCS in the Caribbean is the limited capacity of most National Meteorological and Hydrological Service Few, and in some cases, no staff assigned to perform specific climate services functions, Observing networks that need to be strengthened by increasing the spatial density and coverage of networks as well as the continuity and reliability of measurements, Absence of appropriate legal frameworks that define the roles and responsibilities of NMHSs, Limited human and technical capacities to generate, on a continuous basis, the range of climate services required by the user community in the region, Limited appreciation of the value of the benefits that can be accrued from the effective application of climate services, Limited ability to effectively and efficiently communicate and interact with stakeholders and users of climate data.

24 GFCS Caribbean Launch 2 Priorities moving forward Organization of National Consultations to bring stakeholders together with a view to identify the specific needs of both the users and providers and chart the road map for specific implementation which will define needs, priorities and roles of the various stakeholders to be involved (Belize October 2013; Dominica August 2014 with strong health focus) Socio-economic cost-benefit studies to provide concrete examples of benefits derived from effective application of climate services and the implications or cost of not taking action. Raise the profile of the work done by NMHSs in the eyes of policy and decision makers, in particular ministries of finance. Capacity development to enable: improved capacities to generate climate products and services through training; improved understanding of the atmospheric processes that have bearing on climate predictability in the region and socio-economic research for better understand evolving societal vulnerabilities that may result from a changing climate; improved technical capacities to generate methodologies, tools and products to transform and enhance operational climate services; Institutional capacities to observe, monitor, rescue, archive and process meteorological data and generate tailored climate products and services.

25 Thank you