Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Agenda of the Department of Science and Technology

Transcription

1 Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Agenda of the Department of Science and Technology 6 th National Congress &2018 Philippine Agriculturists Summit Waterfront Hotel, Lahug city July 23, 2018 Renato U. Solidum, Jr. Undersecretary, Department of Science and Technology Officer-in-charge, Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology High Hazard Exposure and Risk of the Philippines World Risk Report,

2 Hydro-Meteorological Hazards An average of 20 tropical cyclones affects the country annually These are accompanied by heavy rains and strong winds that may produce floods, landslides and storm surges Other weather systems bring rains Typhoon Yolanda, 2013 (Y It Happened) Recent Hydro-Meteorological Disasters GUINSAUGON LANDSLIDE February 17, 2006 TS Sendong December 15 to 17, 2011 Super Typhoon Yolanda (Haiyan) November

3 Geological Hazards SEISMICITY OF THE PHILIPPINES The country hosts ~300 volcanoes, 24 of which are considered active, with ~170 eruptions in past 400 years More than 90 destructive earthquakes, 40 tsunamis have occurred since 1600s Recent Damaging Volcanic Activities 1984 Mayon Eruption 1911 Taal Eruption 2018 Mayon Eruption 1991 Pinatubo Eruption and Lahar Mayon Lahar 3

4 Recent Large Earthquakes 1968 M7.3 Casiguran 1973 M7.0 Ragay Gulf 1976 M7.6 Moro Gulf 1983 M6.5 Laoag 1990 _M7.1 Panay 1990 M7.8_Central Luzon 1994_M7.1 Mindoro 2012_M6.9 Negros 2013_M7.1 Bohol 2017_M6.7 Surigao 2017_M6.5 Leyte Projected Impacts of Climate Change 0 C Food Global temperature change (relative to pre-industrial) 1 C 2 C 3 C 4 C 5 C Falling crop yields in many areas, particularly developing regions Possible rising yields in some high latitude regions Falling yields in many developed regions Water Small mountain glaciers disappear water supplies threatened in several areas Significant decreases in water availability in many areas, including Mediterranean and Southern Africa Sea level rise threatens major cities Ecosystems Extensive Damage to Coral Reefs Rising number of species face extinction Extreme Weather Events Rising intensity of storms, forest fires, droughts, flooding and heat waves Risk of Abrupt and Major Irreversible Changes Source: Adapted from the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change Increasing risk of dangerous feedbacks and abrupt, large-scale shifts in the climate system 8 From CCC,

5 STATE OF PHILIPPINE CLIMATE FROM D0ST-PAGASA Disaster Losses Life loss or Injury Damage to houses, buildings, infrastructures, properties, equipment Loss of lifelines water, energy/electricity, communication, transport systems (roads, bridges, rail, seaport, airport) Damage to agriculture production or interruption of food supply Loss of public and other critical services Displacement of people Loss of business or revenues from business interruption Disruption of economic development Damage to the environment 5

6 Disaster Risk Reduction/Resiliency Goals Reduce various losses Ensure effective and efficient disaster response Fast recovery, rebuild better MISSION To direct, lead and coordinate the country s scientific and technological efforts, geared towards maximum economic and social benefits for the people. SCIENCE FOR THE PEOPLE DOST Strategic Plan LONG-TERM VISION The DOST is the provider of world-class scientific, technological and innovative solutions that will lead to higher productivity and better quality of life. Intermediate Vision: The DOST as a leading ASEAN Science, Technology and Innovation Hub by Outcome 1: Innovation stimulated. Outcome 2: Technology adoption promoted and accelerated. Outcome 3: Critical mass of globally competitive STI human resources developed. Outcome 4: Productivity and efficiency of communities and the production sector, particularly MSMEs improved. Outcome 5: Resiliency to disaster risks and climate change ensured. Outcome 6: Inequality in STI capacities and opportunities reduced. Outcome 7: Effective STI governance achieved. DOST-11 Point Agenda 6

7 SCIENCE FOR THE PEOPLE: DOST 11-Point Agenda 1 Pursue R&D to address pressing national problems 7 Upgrade STI facilities and capacities to advance R&D activities and expand S&T services 2 Conduct R&D to enhance productivity and improve management of resources 8 Expand STI assistance to communities and the production sector, particularly MSMEs 3 Engage in R&D to generate and apply new knowledge and technologies across sectors 9 Provide STI-based solutions for disaster risks and climate change adaptation and mitigation 4 Strengthen and utilize regional R&D capabilities 10 Strengthen industry-academegovernment and international STI collaboration 5 Maximize utilization of R&D results through technology transfer and commercialization 11 Enhance effectiveness of STI governance 6 Develop STI human resources and build a strong STI culture 7

8 Key Actions for DRRM-CC Monitor <- Monitoring and Forecasting Know Hazards and Risks <- Hazard and Risk Assessment Warn and Disseminate Information <- Risk Communication Respond Appropriately and Timely at various levels <- Preparedness, Mitigation, Response, Recovery (DRRM) <- Mitigation and Adaptation (Climate Change) DOST DRR-CCAM Priorities MONITORING AND FORECASTING HAZARDS, VULNERABLILITY, AND RISK ASSESSMENT WARNING AND RISK COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS FOR DRRM-CCAM POLICY RESEARCH 8

9 MONITORING AND FORECASTING Observation and Monitoring Networks Technology Development and Application for Monitoring Modeling and Simulation for Improvement of Monitoring and Forecasting MONITORING AND FORECASTING Observation and Monitoring Networks 9

10 MONITORING AND FORECASTING Observation and Monitoring Networks Weather / Climate observation and monitoring Hydrological observation and monitoring Ocean observation (including storm surge, waves) Volcano observation and monitoring (seismic, geodetic, geochemical) Earthquake observation and monitoring systems (seismic, intensity meter, accelerometer) Tsunami monitoring systems Landslide monitoring systems Sensor networks DOST-PAGASA RADARS Project 20 OPERATIONAL RADARS BY XBAND RADAR FOR FFWS DAVAO S-band 2013 S-band 2009 Basco Radar Station 20 o N 121 o E Site Elevation: 166 meters C-band 2014 Agno Palawan Radar Station N E Site Elevation: 17 meters C-band 2015 Daet Lao-ang S-band 2008 S-band 2012 S-band BUAYAN MALUNGON TAGOLOA N Masbate S-band 2013 C-band 2011 Bohol C-band 2011 S-band 2012 Iloilo Radar Station N E Site Elevation: 10 meters S-band 2015 S-band

11 DOST-PAGASA Monitoring of River Basins and Dams Establishment of Additional Flood Forecasting Warning Centers 11

12 MONITORING AND FORECASTING Observation and Monitoring Networks Space Systems and Facilities * Small satellite technology * High- to fine-resolution, multi- and hyper-spectral sensor payloads * Synthetic Aperture Radar * Integration and Testing Facility * Ground control stations 12

13 MONITORING AND FORECASTING Technology Development and Application for Monitoring 13

14 MONITORING AND FORECASTING Technology Development and Application for Monitoring Hydro-meteorological and oceanographic Instruments Volcano, earthquake, tsunami and landslide monitoring instruments Instrument test bed facilities DOST - ASTI MONITORING AND FORECASTING Technology Development and Application for Monitoring Radar data processing technologies LiDAR data processing technologies Remote sensing (airborne, space) technologies Data Assimilation System for in-situ and remotely-sensed data 14

15 MONITORING AND FORECASTING Modeling and Simulation for Improvement of Monitoring and Forecasting MONITORING AND FORECASTING Modeling and Simulation for Improvement of Monitoring and Forecasting Numerical Weather, Sub-seasonal and Seasonal Climate Prediction, Climate Change Projection Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (QPF) using Numerical Weather Prediction Models High-Impact Weather (HIW) Forecasting and Warning Projecting future 1.0 C and 1.5 C Philippine climate using Regional Climate Models and their impacts to different sectors (Health, Food security, Water resources, etc.) Data analytics and predictive modeling for flood monitoring and management Source : PAGASA Source : WMO 15

16 PAGASA s Specialized products/services customized for clients specifications 16

17 PAGASA s Seasonal Rainfall Projection in Mid-21 st Century 17

18 HAZARDS, VULNERABLILITY, AND RISK ASSESSMENT HAZARDS, VULNERABLILITY AND RISK ASSESSMENT Hazards Assessment (Geological, Hydro-meteorological, Climate-related, etc.) Exposure Information, Databases and Tools Vulnerability, Capacity and Risk Assessment Vulnerability Hazard events Disaster Risk Exposure 18

19 HAZARDS, VULNERABLILITY AND RISK ASSESSMENT Climate Risk (by sector) * DRR / CCA for Agriculture (vulnerability to food insecurity, diversified farming, livelihood, impact assessment, food resiliency in emergencies, etc.) * Climate Resiliency of highly vulnerable groups and communities (women, fisher-folks, Indigenous People, coastal communities, etc.) MDG-F 1656 Hydro-meteorological Hazards Maps DOST Project NOAH LIDAR, flood,and storm surge hazard maps The DOST funded project DREAM - LIDAR (shares LiDAR, flood hazard and resource maps) Mines and Geosciences Bureau - Landslides and Flood mapped at 1:50,000 to 1:10,000 scales PAGASA flood maps in selected basins (1:10,000) and storm surge lipad.dream.upd.edu.ph 19

20 Geohazards Maps (PHIVOLCS-DOST) Taal Volcano Base Surge Mayon Volcano Lahar Earthquake hazard mapping: active faulting, ground shaking, liquefaction, landslide and tsunami DOST-PHIVOLCS Hazard and Risk Assessment Software Rapid Earthquake Damage Assessment System by DOST-PHIVOLCS Earthquake Impact Assessment Module Hazard Assessment Module Exposure Data Module Flood Loss Assessment Tool Severe Wind Impact Modelling Module 20

21 WARNING AND RISK COMMUNICATION WARNING AND RISK COMMUNICATION Warning Communication (Geological, Hydro-meteorological, Climate-related hazards, and Impacts) Impact-based and risk-based modeling and forecasting Philippine Unified Meteo-Hydrological Information System Web-based and Mobile phone-based warning and information Disaster Information Portal 21

22 WARNING AND RISK COMMUNICATION Risk communication * Stakeholders needs and disaster-information gap * Hazards and risk perception or behavior Community traditional media systems * Expansion of lexical domain (i.e. IEC materials) * Indigenous knowledge systems and practices Communicating uncertainties in climate change projections and warnings DOST-PHIVOLCS HAZARD AND RISK INFORMATION THROUGH WEB AND PHONE APPLICATIONS The PHIVOLCS FaultFinder (locates the nearest active fault from a specified location or the named barangay). The PHIVOLCS Georisk PH, a web-gis based portal, enables the public to view and collate hazards and risk maps. hazardmap 22

23 PAGASA s Delivery of Service Weather on TV PAGASA Daily Weather Forecast Video Regular Climate Outlook Forum SMS (Short message service)/ Infoboard TV, Radio (AM, FM) Newspaper Website (pagasa.gov.dost.gov.ph; bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph) Telefax Social media (Twitter/Facebook), Youtube Press Conference (Media) bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS FOR DRRM-CCAM Technology Development and Application for Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Technology Development and Application for Disaster Risk Reduction and Management 23

24 TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION AND MITIGATION Reduction of Greenhouse Gases Emissions Bio-Fuel from Forest Residues Energy-efficient products, Non-fossil fuels Microbial Biotechnology for Sustainable Waste Management and Alternative Energy Source TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION AND MITIGATION Resource-efficient and cleaner production for industries Advanced Transport Food, Water, Health and Energy Security Decision management tools for climate change-resilient environment 24

25 TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT Projections and impact scenarios for preparedness to respond and recover Interactive and dynamic platform for products and services Tools (including software) for mainstreaming DRR-CCA into contingency and local development planning processes Technologies and products for disaster mitigation (disasterprone) and recovery (disaster-stricken) of communities Technologies for water management TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT Climate and disaster resilient infrastructure Climate and disaster resilient livelihood / business (business continuity) Gender equality and integration in science and technology 25

26 Smarter Approaches to Reinvigorate Agriculture as an Industry SARAI (UPLB, PCAARRD-DOST) Goals: - Risk Reduction - Provision of near real-time and spite specific information services to farmers Science, Technology and Innovation for Disaster and Climate Resilient Philippines 26