17-19 MAY 2017 GOTHENBURG, SWEDEN. Tomas Ekbom, Program Director Advanced Biofuels Conference Swedish Bioenergy Association

Transcription

1 17-19 MAY 2017 GOTHENBURG, SWEDEN Tomas Ekbom, Program Director Advanced Biofuels Conference Swedish Bioenergy Association

2 Summary of the Advanced Biofuels Conference Three days, 9 sessions with 40 presentations and 1+3 moderators. 150 delegates from more than 25 different countries and a matchmaking event with 20 business meetings. And one fine conference dinner! Three study tours Blue, Green and Orange with stops at: - Preem, Volvo Center, Södra Cell Värö - Gothenburg Energy, St1, Perstorp Bioproducts and - ScandiNAOS renewable marine fuel pilot boat Exhibition with Scania Euro 6 ethanol truck, Volvo V60 & V90 Bi-fuel cars, Saab 9-5 fuel-flexible methanol car and Toyota Mirai hydrogen fuel cell vehicle.

3 Thanks for your participation! We would like to thank our great sponsors and partners for supporting us in organizing this conference. Special thanks to YOU who presented, participated, contributed, and explored business opportunities, working hard towards climate change, reducing carbon emissions!

4 We know that atmospheric CO 2 has ranged between ppm for the past 1 million years. Earth has cycled through cold and warm interglacial periods without CO 2 exceeding 300 ppm. The first time in human history CO 2 exceeded 300 ppm was about when the Titanic sank in the North Atlantic Ocean. Now, the crossover to concentrations that stay above 400 ppm is complete. Strike me down with all your hatred, and your journey towards the dark side will be complete

5 The CO 2 levels are increasing despite 50 years of modern knowledge NOAA at Mauna Loa Observatory, Feb. 2015: 400 ppm CO Year Mauna Kea, Hawai i

6

7 Atmospheric CO 2 April parts per million (ppm) Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii (NOAA-ESRL) Preliminary data released May 5, 2017

8 >1000 ppm Global Carbon Project 2016

9 Global Risks Report, World Economic Forum High Impact Fear is the path to the dark side. Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering. Yoda Likelihood World Economic Forum (WEF), Global Risks 2016, January High

10

11 We came all this way to explore the moon, and the most important thing is that we discovered the Earth. William Anders, Apollo 8

12 This is our home, and this is all we've got. Scott Carpenter, Mercury 7 The Blue Marble. It is perhaps the most reproduced photograph of all time, taken in 1972 by the crew of Apollo 17.

13 Venus is the hottest planet in the Solar system with global temperature of 462 C. Why is Venus so hot? Scientists think Venus used to be more similar to Earth, with liquid water. Billions of years ago, Venus started to heat up, surface water evaporated increasing the effect, carbon trapped in rocks formed CO 2 in the atmosphere with oxygen, making it hotter. The greenhouse effect on Venus shows you what happens when trapping sunlight goes out of control into a runaway process. If it happened to Venus, could it happen to Earth?

14 The Man on the Moon project President Kennedy stood before Congress in 1961, and proposed that this nation should commit itself to achieving the goal, before this decade is out, of landing a man on the Moon and returning him safely to Earth. In 1962, he gave an impassioned argument at Rice University, Texas for why the challenge of landing a person on the Moon. It is in this context we need to think about climate change. This makes the challenge greater. But rather shy away from this we should instead embrace it, and use the magnitude and scale of these issues as call for people to participate in truly transformative action.

15

16 What was needed for the Apollo program? Landing a man on the Moon in 1969 required the largest commitment of resources ever made by any nation in peacetime. Still it took less than a decade. At its peak, the Apollo program employed 400,000 people and had support of over 20,000 industrial firms and universities. (As comparison, the European pulp and paper industries employ around 647,000 workers in 21,000 companies). The Space Review estimated in 2010 the Apollo program cost 1959 to 1973 by the United States as $109 billion. In addition, the total cost of the actual 30-year service life of the Space Shuttle program was $196 billion. With the Space Station program and the Exploration program the US spent $486 billion over nearly 60 years, all in all.

17 Can we save the planet with a global project? The Apollo program showed we can undertake extraordinary things and accomplishing great achievements for mankind. In the exploration of space man has set upon to do fantastic projects: manned expedition to Mars, seeking out habitable exo-planets, and looking for intelligent life in the universe. Can we strive for one common goal, one task that will save the planet from global warming, saving millions of lives? The Global Warming Below 1.5 Celsius Project GWB1.5C. The net CO 2 atmospheric growth is 16 billion tonnes per year. Removing this would get carbon neutral with zero net impact. The amounts equal 82 5 per tonne CO 2. For a >66% chance to keep Earth below 2 C, society can emit about 800 billion tonnes CO 2 maximum from 2017.

18 Biofuels have been there for 100 years The use of vegetable oils for engine fuels may seem insignificant today, but such oils may become, in the course of time, as important as petroleum products of the present time. Dr. Rudolf Diesel, 1912

19 Profits in the oil world are huge If mankind can come together on GWB1.5C and stop fossil carbon emissions, the oil companies must pay their dues, and they have been profiting since decades. To put it in perspective, these ten mega oil companies showed in 2006 at $58/bbl a total $185 billion in profits: $39.5 billion ExxonMobil $25.4 billion Royal Dutch/Shell $18.5 billion Gazprom $22.0 billion BP $20.8 billion PetroChina $17.1 billion Chevron 12.6 billion Total $15.6 billion ConocoPhillips $6.4 billion Statoil $5.2 billion Marathon And the world s largest company by value and revenue, Saudi Aramco showed $40 billion in profit (2013), or $360 billion before taxes and royalties!

20 It is time for oil to go green!