Drought Risk Management Activities in Iranian Space Agency Using Space Technology

Transcription

1 Drought Risk Management Activities in Iranian Space Agency Using Space Technology ABDOLREZA ANSARI AMOLI Remote Sensing & GIS Department Iranian Space Agency (ISA) 21th Intergovernmental Consultative Committee Meeting on the Regional Space Applications Programme for Sustainable Development Bangkok 9 12 October 2017 Outline: Part (I) Iran A)Location B)Climate C)Drought History Part (II) The Major Aspects of Disaster Risk Management using Space Technology Part (III) Drought Risk Assessment Activities and Projects in Iranian Space Agency 2 1

2 Part (I) Iran Location: Desert Belt of the World Iran Climate: Annual precipitation rate =240 mm (1/3 of world average precipitation) 2

3 Drought in Iran: History The most severe drought periods in Iran during last 60 years One Severe Drought in every 10 years Total Damages=$7.5 Billion Losing 800,000 head of livestock 80 percent damages in annual cereal crops Part (II) The Major Aspects of Disaster Management by using Space Technology A General Diagram of Disaster Management Phases 6 3

4 Mitigation: To minimize or mitigate the consequences of disaster Preparedness: Activities that reduce the degree of risk to human life and property. The Examples of Some Activities in Risk Management Phase Legislation Mitigation Insurance Strategies Land use Management Risk mapping Preparedness Disaster Prediction Disaster Warnings 8 4

5 The Examples of Some Activities in Risk Management Phase Mitigation Risk mapping Preparedness Disaster Prediction 9 Risk mapping Drought Risk Mapping in Iran by Using Remote Sensing Data Disaster Prediction Drought Prediction by Using Remote Sensing and Artificial Neural Network 10 5

6 Disaster Risk Management Framework 11 Project (I) Drought Risk Mapping in Iran by Using Remote Sensing Data Remote Sensing Department Iranian Space Agency (2014 ) 12 6

7 Hazard Evaluation Drought Hazard Index= NDVIi NDVImean N Vulnerability Assessment 14 7

8 Vulnerability Assessment in Iran by Using Terra/MODIS Data

9 Hazard X Vulnerability=RISK

10 APSCO ISA Joint Works Establishment of a Framework for Researches on Application of Space Technology for Disaster Monitoring in the APSCO Member States Objective General Objectives To establish a framework to facilitate joint research works on the application of space technology for disaster monitoring in the APSCO MS. To enhance the technical knowledge of relevant manpower of APSCO MS through researches/technology transfer to assist APSCO MS to establish/strengthen space technology based operational systems for monitoring disasters

11 The First Technical Session of Establishment of a Framework for Researches on Application of Space Technology for Disaster Monitoring in the APSCO Member States Bangkok, Thailand January 2017 Themes: Earthquake & Floods The Second Technical Session of Establishment of a Framework for Researches on Application of Space Technology for Disaster Monitoring in the APSCO Member States Beijing, China April 2017 Themes: Drought & Landslide 11

12 Project (II) RISK=Hazard X Vulnerability X Exposure Vulnerability Map: Digital Elevation Model SPI Exposure Map: Irrigated Land Percentage Population Density 24 12

13 Drought Prediction by Using Remote Sensing and Artificial Neural Network (2014 ) 20 Years 20 Years Multi Layer Perceptron Train: Test: NIR RED NDVI NIR RED NDVI NDVImin VCI NDVI NDVI max min *

14 One Month Two Month Three Month Precision RMSE Next Steps: Satellite Indices:TCI,EVI Ancillary Data: Climate Map, Basin Maps 28 14

15 Capacity Building Activities in Conjunction with Drought Risk Assessment By Using Space Technology in Iran 29 UNSPIDER Knowledge Portal spider.org 30 15

16 The workshop gathered about 200 specialists from different countries The Workshop brought together stakeholders working in frameworks for the monitoring of droughts and of sand and dust storms, including specialists with hydrological and meteorological expertise, as well as representatives of the space industry and of space agencies, representatives of other governmental and non governmental organizations and international experts. They discussed and shared user requirements and experiences and presented existing or planned space technologies and applications relevant to the topic at hand. The Workshop was attended by up to 200 participants with around 30 presentations and 10 posters, with a larger number of national institutions being represented at the plenary sessions on the opening day. There were 18 international participants coming from the following 15 countries: Afghanistan, Austria, Azerbaijan, China, France, Germany, Iraq, Lebanon, Pakistan, Romania, Russian Federation, Sudan, Switzerland, Tunisia and Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of), 16

17 International Training Course on Space based technologies for flood and drought monitoring and risk assessment 22 to 27 September 2016 Introduction to Drought Risk Concepts and Assessments Mapping Regional Drought Vulnerability by Using RS & GIS Methods of Drought Modeling by Using RS Data UNOOSA/UNSPIDER APSCO NDRCC RCSSTEAP Drought Prediction by Using Artificial Neural Network and RS Data) Thank you! 34 17