Asian Institute of Technology

Transcription

1 17 th AIM International Workshop National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Japan February 17-19, 2012 Bundit Limmeechokchai 1, Ram M Shrestha 2, Panida Thepkhun 1 Pornphimol Winyuchakrit 1 & Artite Pattanapongchai 1 1 Sirindhorn Inter l Inst. of Technology, Thammasat University 2 Asian Institute of Technology

2 Residential Industry Freight transport Commercial Passenger transport Final Energy Demand (ktoe) 57, ,863 21% 5% 49% 9% 16% 128,963 22% 3% 50% 9% 16% 35,895 ktoe 22% BAU 2030 CM Remarks: BAU: Business as Usual CM: Countermeasure

3 Residential Industry Freight transport 563,730 Commercial Passenger transport GHG Emissions (kt-co 2 ) 185,983 19% 5% 49% 18% 10% 324,170 25% 3% 47% 15% 10% 239,560 kt-co 2 43% BAU 2030 CM Remarks: BAU is Business as Usual CM is Countermeasure

4 Final Energy Demand (ktoe) Remarks: BAU is Business as Usual CM is Countermeasures

5 CO 2 Emissions (kt-co 2 ) Remarks: BAU is Business as Usual CM is Countermeasures

6 SO 2 Emissions (kt-so 2 ) Remarks: BAU is Business as Usual CM is Countermeasures

7 NO x Emissions (kt-no x ) Remarks: BAU is Business as Usual CM is Countermeasures

8 CO Emissions (kt-co) Remarks: BAU is Business as Usual CM is Countermeasures

9 Energy Security Year DoPED Oil Intensity (toe/1000 USD) Gas Intensity (toe/1000 USD) Energy Intensity (toe/1000 USD) CO2 emissions intensity (t-co2/usd) BAU CM

10 LCS Activities (Thailand) in Develop Low-Carbon Technologies & Management curriculum at SIIT-TU for graduate study. 2. Resource person to TGO on CO 2 mitigation in energy system. 3. Revised Thailand s LCS brochure (AIM/ExSS) to include co-benefits of GHG mitigation and energy security. 4. Supported IGES (Kitakyushu), Kyushu Univ & BMA in organising LCS workshop in Bangkok, Aug 2011.

11 LCS Activities (Thailand) in Support TGO in development of Thailand s NAMAs in Power, Industries and Waste to Energy. 6. Resource person to TGO in workshop on GHG reduction target in energy sector under Thailand s NAMAs, 6 Feb Resource person to ONEP and TGO in workshop on Improvement of Thailand s GHG Inventory, 3 Feb LCS networking with AIT (Energy & Environment)

12 Workshop on THAILAND s NAMAs p Power, Industries & Wastes to energy Analysis of CO22 Mitigation by using AIM/Enduse 30 January 2012 TGO Bundit Limmeechokchai, Artite P., Pornphimol W., Prachuab P. Ram M. Shrestha* Sirindhorn International Institute of Technology, THAMMASAT UNIV *Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand

13 Workshop on THAILAND s NAMAs Power, Industries & Wastes to energy (30 Jan 2012) 2) Mr Sirithan, TGO Director Dr Chaiwat, TGO Deputy Director Prof Ram M Shrestha, Dr Bundit Lim Steak-holders, and Senate member

14 Workshop on THAILAND s NAMAs Ministerial Administrators: Ministry of Energy (6 Feb 2012) 2) Chair, TGO Board DEDE Director, and Permanent Sec, MoEN Three TOG Executives SIIT-TU Doctoral, Dr Natarika, Dr Bundit L.

15 Energy Sources Refining & Conversion Transportation Electricity Generation Transmission & Distribution Demand Technology Hydro Electricity Import from Laos Electricity Import from Myanmar Electricity Import from Malaysia Electricity Export to Malaysia Coal Import Lignite Extraction Condensate Extraction Crude Oil Extraction Crude Oil Import Diesel Oil Import Fuel Oil Import Kerosene Oil Import LPG Import Gasoline import Jet Fuel Import Diesel Export Fuel Oil Export Kerosene Export LPG Export Gasoline Export Jet Oil Export LNG Import Natural gas Extraction Natural Gas Import Natural gas Export Biodiesel Import Oil Seed Ethanol Import Cassava, Molasses Nuclear Geothermal Wind Solar Biogas MSW Biomass Oil Refinery Plant (7 Plants) LNG Regasification Natural Gas Separation Plants Biodiesel Purifier Ethanol Purifier Diesel Fuel Oil Kersosene LPG Gasoline Jet Fuel Biodiesel Blending Gasohol Blending Coal Lignite Hydro Power Plant Coal-IGCC Coal-PFBC Lignite-PFBC Lignite-AFBC Mae Moh (Thermal-Lignite- Existing)-(EGAT) Oil-Stream Turbine Oil-CCGT Diesel Power Plant Gas-Gas Turbine Gas-CCGT Gas-CCGT Advance Nuclear Power Plant GeothermalPower Plant Wind Power Plant Solar PV Solar Thermal Biogas Plant MSW Power Plant Direct Fired Power Plant Thailand Reference Energy System BIGCC Electricity Biomass Food and beverage-boilers Food and beverage-gas engines Food and beverage-motors Food and beverage-furnaces Food and beverage-chillers Food and beverage-mechanic equipments Food and beveragecompressors Food and beverage-others Textiles-boilers Textiles-Gas engines Textiles-motors Textiles-furnaces Textiles-chillers Textiles-mechanic equipments Textiles-compressors Textiles-others Paper-boilers Paper-gas engines Paper-motors Paper-furnaces Paper-chillers Paper-mechanic equipments Paper-compressors Paper-others Chemical Ind-boilers Chemical Ind-diesel engines Chemical Ind-motors Chemical Ind-furnaces Chemical Ind-chillers Chemical Ind-mechanic equipments Chemical Ind-compressors Chemical Ind-others Non-metallic Ind-boilers Non-metallic Ind-gas engines Non-metallic Ind-motors Non-metallic Ind-furnaces Non-metallic Ind-chillers Non-metallic Ind-mechanic equipment Non-metallic Ind-compressors Non-metallic Ind-others Wood Ind-boilers Wood Ind-motors Wood Ind-mechanic equip Fabricated metal Ind-boilers Fabricated metal Ind-gas engines Fabricated metal Ind-motors Fabricated metal Ind-furnaces Fabricated metal Ind-chillers Fabricated metal Ind-mechanic eq. Fabricated metal Indcompressors Fabricated metal Ind-others Other Ind-boilers Other Ind-gas engines Other Ind-motors Other Ind-furnaces Other Ind-chillers Other Ind-mechanic eq. Other Ind-compressors Other Ind-others Basic metal Ind-boilers Basic metal Ind-diesel engines Basic metal Ind-motors Basic metal Ind-furnaces Basic metal Ind-chillers Basic metal Ind-mechanic equipment Basic metal Ind-compressors Basic metal Ind-others BTS and MRT Air Freight Bus Freight Air Passenger Truck Private Bus Car Motocycle Motor Tricycle Taxi Fix Route Bus Van and Pick up Microbus Agriculture Machinery & Equipment Agriculture Electric Equipment Commercial Electric Equipment Commercial Mechanic & Heat Residential High Temp Residential Electric Equipment Construction High Temp Construction Electric Equipment Public Lighting

16 NAMAs Domestic NAMAs CO2 countermeasure Incremental Abatement cost ($/t-co 2 ) CO2 Mitigation (kt-co 2 ) by 2020 Biogas Hydro (small) ,593 Biomass ,533 Lighting (EE) ,751 Cooling Equipment (EE) ,150 Motor (EE) ,967 Furnace (EE) ,373 Total Mt-CO2

17 NAMAs Internation ally Supported NAMAs CO2 countermeasure Incremental Abatement cost ($/t-co 2 ) CO2 Mitigation (kt-co 2 ) by 2020 Wind Solar Efficient Kiln ,588 Efficient Boiler ,414 Low carbon fuel switching ,588 New Kiln ,137 New Furnace ,372 New Boiler ,086 Local Landfill MSW-INC MSW-BGS MSW-Controlled Landfill Total Mt-CO2

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23 LCS (Thailand) invited papers in Invited paper on Thailand s LCS Scenarios and Actions: The ExSS Modeling Experience, in the workshop Symposium on Low Carbon Asia Research, JB, Malaysia, July Invited paper on Overview of LCS Development in Thailand in the workshop on Policy and Measures for Development of Low-Carbon Society in the Cities of Thailand, organised by IGES, Kyushu Univ and SIIT-TU, Aug Invited paper on LCS in Thailand s Transport Sector in 4th ATRANS Symposium - "Toward Low Carbon Transportation for Sustainable Society: Bangkok Vision (250th Anniversary), organised by Prof Fukuda, Nihon Univ, Aug 2011.

24 Policy and Measures for Development of LCS for the Cities of Thailand Bangkok, Thailand August 10, 2011

25 Bangkok, Thailand August 26, 2011

26 LCS Activities (Thailand) in Invited paper on Low Carbon Scenario 2030 Development in Thailand in the 1st LCS seminar organised by Chulalongkorn Univ. and Tokyo Univ., Sept

27 S-6, MOEJ