Productivity : The Role of Housing and Transport

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1 Productivity : The Role of Housing and Transport

2 Housing Delivery in Crisis Across England a quarter of adults under 35 are living in their childhood bedroom In the 1950 s an average house cost just over 4 times annual salary by the 2008 property boom this had reached 8 times In % of first mortgages did so without parental assistance by 2011 down to 35% By 2012, 70% of homes in England were built by large house building firms

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4 Areas for Reform: - Land Market - House building market - Affordable housing investment - Strategic local leadership

5 National Planning Policy Framework NPPF requires LPAs to boost significantly the supply of housing and ensure local plans meet the full objectively assessed needs for market and affordable housing Presumption in favour of sustainable development. Range of policy initiatives to stimulate housebuilding New Homes Bonus, S106 changes, permitted development changes, 5 year supply Support for speedy plan led approach

6 A Prospectus for Sustainable Growth Joint Spatial Plan: Development plan covering the whole of the WoE Overall quantum of growth, district apportionment, strategic locations, strategic infrastructure (especially transport). 85,000 needed of which 56,000 in pipeline. 29,000 shortfall. Consider constraints and deliverability Issues and Options consultation has started and runs for 12 weeks

7 Why a Joint Spatial Plan is needed Key components: Meeting and exceeding the requirements of the Duty of Cooperate Need to coordinate the reviews of existing Local Plans which are coming to the end of their plan periods Need to respond to new housing and employment growth requirements Roll forward existing planning frameworks to 2036 with a baseline of 2016 Will be prepared on a statutory basis with formal consultation, public and stakeholder engagement and external examination

8 A Prospectus for Sustainable Growth Guiding principles: Commitment to a plan-led approach to guide future development and secure funding for essential infrastructure Balance the need for growth and development with the need to secure quality of life and a strong environmental future Adopt a sequential approach to development using previously developed land and making best use of our existing urban areas Ensure our transport plans are coordinated with the JSP

9 How Many Homes are needed?

10 How will these be provided?

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12 The Bristol and Bath Green Belt

13 A Prospectus for Sustainable Growth Issues and Options Engagement: 12 week consultation to collect views: How should the West of England area change over the next 20 years? How should growth be planned and managed? Where should new homes, jobs and transport improvements be located? Where is it most important to minimise the impact of change?

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18 Delivery Challenges Creating quality places for our expanding population plus 20.1% and supporting our strong economic growth Unlocking full potential of existing urban areas the need for new delivery mechanisms Increasing housing delivery rates from low of 2012/13 2,228 units to Bristol HMA requirement of 4,250pa Affordable housing historic rate 2006/14 794units pa -22.2% versus new requirement 1,455pa 34.2% and a growing affordability gap

19 Timetable

20 Transport Need to refresh our transport strategy in light of successful delivery of JLP3 and new challenges Many JLTP3 schemes have been delivered, are under construction or are in development Delivered - GBBN; Weston Package; J21 outbound phase 1 Under construction - SBL; AVTM; Metrobus In development - Metrowest

21 AVONMOUTH/ SEVERNSIDE EA FILTON EA EMERSONS GREEN EA BRISTOL TQ EZ SOUTH BRISTOL GROWTH LOCATION BATH CITY RIVERSIDE EA J21 EA 200m MetroBus 50KM network, services start m MetroWest Phase 1, includes Portishead line 43m MetroWest Phase 2, Henbury line construction starts 2019

22 Metro Bus - South Bristol Link

23 Network Rail is piloting in Essex a lower cost alternative to extending electrification through battery powered trains that can run beyond the wires. Rail Electrification Electrification of the Great Western Main Line is scheduled to reach Bristol Temple Meads and Bristol Parkway by the end of Some electric services will start from summer 2017 with a full timetable from December The new electric and bi-mode IEP Class 800/801 trains will replace the current High Speed Trains (HST). IEP trains will have 600 seats compared to 472 on HSTs. Journey times from Bristol to London will fall from 96 minutes to 79 minutes.

24 Transport Objectives Support national priorities for stimulating economic growth whilst reducing carbon emissions Build on previous success and continue to tackle existing transport issues Accommodate significant housing and employment development at existing, proposed and potential locations, in line with West of England targets for 2026 and 2036 and in a manner which minimises car dependency Assess funding scenarios for more than one level of intervention to produce list of transport scheme requirements

25 Key Challenges

26 Key Challenges

27 Joint Transport Study Future Transport Concepts 1. Strengthen enhanced PT corridors 2. Extended MetroBus network 3. Extended MetroWest network 4. Cycle Superhighways 5. Orbital Connectivity 6. Demand Management 7. Major Site Mitigation 8. Sub-regional Pinchpoints 9. Strategic Corridor Package 10. International Gateways 11. Behavioural change [e.g. LSTF] 12. Regional Connectivity

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29 Engagement

30 Joint Spatial Plan and Transport Study JSP and JTS being carried out alongside each other JTS to tackle existing problems and growth to 2036 JTS builds upon successes e.g. major scheme programme Opportunity to engage from Nov 2015 beginning with Issues & Options